Colin Wisbey's draft profiles: JARED BRENNAN (+ 10 more!)

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Westy_Boy

Club Legend
Sep 13, 2001
1,031
1
Smeltona, Melbourne
Jared Brennan (Southern Districts, NT). This and all of the following draft profiles have been directly copied from the Extreme Black and White BULLET IN BOARD.

191/78 mid-age left-footer (no right).

Style like very raw combination of Darryl White & Koutoufides (with a bit of O’Loughlin for good measure)

The X-factor in this year's draft. Flashy 6'3" daredevil jack-in-the box skeleton who can be quite freakish. A one-man combination of circus and Olympics, of high drama and slapstick, of creative genius and infant, of ballet dancer and yearling colt. He does the things we all enjoy doing at amusement parks – except he doesn’t need any equipment like we mortals do. Expect the unexpected and be prepared to be mesmerised and frustrated in equal doses. A different cat.

Picture Darryl White’s ungainly “placement” kicking style, freakish jack-in-the-box acrobatics, ball-handling party tricks, left-field creativity, and demeanour. Now picture Kouta’s ball-in-hand “pick-up and carry” and explosiveness. Add their “16 strides per kilometre” running style and their aerial climbs and you’ve got the idea.

My head says his draft worth should be early-mid round 2. A facsimile of the mid-size onballer you miss this year will probably turn up next year but opportunities to snare a cat with the raw development potential of Brennan are rare so my heart has just over-ruled my head and I would use any first round pick after Goddard, Wells, Salopek and McVeigh. Admittedly the $1/4m to invest in a player’s first 2 years is not coming out of my pocket. He will get drafted and quite early, perhaps late 1st round, but how early depends on which clubs can hold their nerve. This kid doesn’t fit the usual formula. You are not buying a predictable production-line family car which you may need or choose to refine. You are buying what appears to be the parts to a limited edition Ferrari for the same price, and whether it turns out a good investment depends on how good you are at assembling those parts. You are buying opportunity in its rawest, most unpredictable form.

Aside from athleticism, what may excite a coach most is his lightning-quick creative brain. What may scare a coach most is also his quick creative brain. Plays largely on instinct and energy. His brain is always ticking over and usually a step ahead of his peers but he has footy smarts more than footy wisdom. He regularly outfoxes opponents by doing something really clever, often very much left-field (if not “uniquely Brennan”). However he doesn’t seem to understand the concept of playing the percentages. Loves a speccie and a dash and when any chance arises, I’m not sure to what extent “game plan” factors into his thinking at that moment. He backs himself, no matter the odds, with no concept of “too hard” or failure.

He could be anything. Except average. Is exceptionally talented and exceptionally raw. Is a risk but has the potential to be a really special AFL match-winner cum cult hero …. or a local legend who tried for a job in the head-office factory but couldn’t find a uniform which fitted.

If he becomes an AFL player, he is a chance to feature in the mark of the day, the goal of the day, the play of the day, and the blooper of the day. On the same day.

Only shines in bursts at this stage - tantalises rather than dominates. Invariably threatens to break a game open and regularly creates something out of nothing.

Even in cameo he will show a full range of everything - he can really jump (even standing leap), can kick long, has that Kouta ability to pick-up & carry ball in one hand, is very quick across ground, has excellent poise (nothing seems to rattle him), step-ahead-of-the-rest brain, lightning reflexes.

He certainly has some major flaws that need to, and probably can, be addressed. The real selling point is that he can do things right now that almost no other players will ever be capable of and his potential for continual development seems immense.


Athleticism, strength, intensity, traffic management, hands:

Amazing leap, even from a standing start, but if he gets a ride on you, you’ll find his hip is the natural enemy of your head – no matter how tall you are. Sometimes his big leap is a too millionairish though.

Seriously fast and quick off the mark. Finds another gear. Very few current AFL players would beat him for pace or acceleration. Deceptively quick. His long-striding Kouta running style belies how fast he is travelling. Looks to be cruising until you notice the gap behind him is increasing. Loves a dash – is a “catch me if you can” type. Opens up space very quickly.

Can pick the ball up (and I mean "pick" up, a la Kouta) off the ground at pace, without breaking stride, and open up a break (with the.ball clasped in hand or tucked under arm).

Excellent (and creative) evasion skills, split second change of direction.

Cat-like agility, reflexes and recovery.

Great stamina – runs and runs. Even as FF he will regularly run to the wing and back.

Soooo skinny. Chicken legs. Almost as skinny as Gilham but a bit better frame (?) and is even quicker and more athletic …. and less orthodox and consistent.

Is desperate (chasing, tackling, 1%'s, attack on ball and man) and can't be physically intimidated. Is a fierce tackler but currently light at 78kg, so opponents aren’t always impeded to the extent the ferocity deserves. Picture an electrified rag doll and you’ll get the idea of how he throws himself at man or ball and his stability when bumped.

Timely ability to subtly nudge opponent off or under that ball at the last moment.

Runs hard one contest to next. Sometimes a study in perpetual motion. Can feed off in the BP then follow play downfield and bob up 2 or 3 plays later in the FP.

Will run hard 20m to block.

Presents well but also gets his own ball and doesn’t give up in traffic.

Excellent traffic management (and not just for his height) – regularly slips into heavy traffic to crisply pluck the ball the others were fumbling over, then quick feed or scoots out again at and opens up a break.

Extremely clean (crisp, quick) hands below the knee.
Can take a vice-grab mark but, at this stage, quite a few of his marks are 2-grab.

Has a habit of coming from nowhere to contest the mark or swoop on the ball or launch at an opponent or charge through traffic or intercept.

Has razor-sharp inventive mind and instincts. Reads the play well. Reads the ball exceptionally well. Has an incredible ability, demonstrated regularly, to re-position at the last moment – even while airborne.


Versatility:

6'3" but could play literally any position on the ground if he can significantly add to his 78kg. In the U18 Championships he had stints as FF, wing, tap ruckman, etc. 2001 as a 16yo he played on Ablett, the current Geelong giant Playfair, and the current Pies tall forward Davidson etc.

Can rove the ball off or from under the pack like a small rover, or be consistently dangerous in contested pack-marking.

He is so quick, his opponent needs to be too if he plays on a flank. If the quick opponent happens to be not so hot overhead, Brennan aerial ability and height offer his coach the chance to create a mismatch in the goal-square. Similarly if his opponent is a tall intended to counter Brennan in the air or push a weight advantage.


Disposal:

Mixed bag. Hands good, feet need a lot of work – although the news isn’t all bad.

He is decidedly one-sided (left) by foot. He can certainly roost the pill and do the freakish lookaway kick or feed or the miraculous snap (or dribble goal).

Is invariably unbalanced when kicking on the run. No matter how much time he has or how little pressure I think he will usually run out and kick across his body (partly a lefties’ thing but especially with him), whether the kick is intended to be short or long, and he will invariably be leaning very forward, typically with his head leaning down too far, and off-balance on contact. It means he kicks the ball from very low from the ground so he hasn't got much of an arc to kick through - which must impair depth. The result is usually a mongrel flat floating punt (although he sometimes gets surprising depth). It is not simply a matter of teaching him to steady – his kicking style is not one of good balance. As with Darryl White, it almost looks as if he is trying to kick off his wrong foot or trying to literally place the ball on his boot.

He also regularly does very clever passes and some set kick long bombs and some Daicos-like sneakies. His set kicks, especially shooting for goal, are OK and can get great relaxed depth. His main kicking problem is primarily re “on the run”. Unfortunately he typically plays on when he can take a set kick so kicking on the run is a fair % of his disposals, especially considering that, regardless of what role he plays, his disposals are very predominantly kicks rather than feeds.

As an aside, nothing to do with drafting, I’ve noticed that kids from northern Australia invariably have a deft kicking style in the way their foot caresses the ball instead of driving through it. (May be due to the fact that they don’t wear normal footy boots on their hard grounds or maybe it’s an aboriginal thing). It does mean that many of their players, Brennan and Darryl White included, have a special “touch of foot” (on dry grounds) conducive to dinky weighted passes and goal-set-ups in lieu of handballs. Brennan is clever at doing these and good at presenting for them then opening up the play. Shame to sacrifice that style for AFL as it’s great to watch.

- Good temperament. Pester-tagging (at least at U18 level) doesn’t phase him.

If you haven’t seen him, some actual examples may help (sample from 7 games):-

1. Magnificent reading of flight: Was in goal-square for marking contest and he could see early in ball's flight it was going to drop short so he re-positioned himself in a flash from being ready to contest mark to being front 'n square like a rover – very quick clever adjustment which you just can't teach. Then roved the spill like a rover.

2. Huge leap from behind to crash through pack marking contest, coming very high from nowhere a long way back at great pace then climbed up through pack & finished up in front of pack. Soooo athletic - was full arms's length higher than next highest player.

3. Was running at pace to bouncing ball with opponent on his jack and as soon as he got the ball he stopped in his tracks and simultaneously dropped flat to the ground like a rock. Opponent ran straight over the top with momentum and Brennan was up and off, leaving opponent non-plus.

4. Running after the ball with a few others including the quick McLean, he came from behind and got to ball 2m in front., then picked up one-handed a la Kouta, held it in palm then streamed off in a “catch me if you can” Kouta special.

5. Was never going to be in the marking contest – was way too far behind. Charged straight at Crawford’s back and never had his eyes on the ball at any stage. His eyes were clearly on Crawford’s back and he was going to spoil Crawford by shoving him blatantly in the back. Ummm … but he didn’t. With precision timing, on reaching Crawford as Crawford was about to contest the overhead mark, he stopped forward momentum completely and jumped dead vertically, so high his hip was at Crawford’s head and he held a great mark he had no right to even contest. He instinctively took his cue from Crawford’s body movement and didn’t try to spot the ball until he was in vertical leap.

6. Stole ball from traffic but was about to get nailed immediately so instead of completely taking delivery he deliberately rolled ball along ground in front of him so he could subsequently take it when he had gained a break.

7. The ball was heading for the points but, at pace under pressure, he somehow half-stopped it in its tracks, deftly tapping it along ground to deflect ball from in front of points to in front of the goals, then pinged himself back to it and deftly goaled off the ground while opponent sailed past.

8. Huge one-grab mark coming over the top of huge pack from side, having been the candidate least likely to get it - mainly natural spring as no chance for run-up.

9. Huge overhead mark over the top of Furfaro (Qld) on half-back line. Brennan's backside was higher than Furfaro's head. And it was all natural spring as he came from behind Furfaro but finished in front of him after taking the mark.


Query:

- Kicking on the run definitely needs improvement.
- At this stage his marks are sometimes 1-3 grabs. (Once he stops being sooo skinny this may change as he won’t be so buffeted / unbalanced).
- Skinny as, slight frame and hasn’t changed shape much since last year. He may bulk up enough in time to play key but even down the side he presents opposition coaches with match-up problems.
- Doesn't take a game by the scruff of the neck and get a lot of ball yet.
- No right foot. Fortunately he has the pace & agility to be able to get onto his left pretty easily so not likely to be big problem but it is still a bit of a shame.

Some stats:
- Played 2 TAC games (invitation) & got 3 Morrish Medal votes for BOG in one.
- Fairly consistent. “Quietest of 6 U18 Championships games 2001-2 was 9 disposals (best 16, 2002 average 13 3 games).

Other stuff:
All Australian (2002 U18 Championships)

______________________________________

Another outstanding profile from Colin - thought the family car / parts to a Ferrari analogy was excellent. As The Doc has said previously, drafting Brennan at pick #6 would be a very 'attacking' draft strategy - it's a risk, but one which could pay some massive dividends. Gilham is most people's pick for our selection, but if either North or Brissie nab him, Brennan will probably come into the mix.
 
Brendan Goddard

188/80, right-foot dual-sided, bottom-age.

6'2" ruckrover-type midfielder who can play tall or small. No obvious fault. Clearly #1 pick. Ready for AFL 2003.

Style like Michael Tuck (but better kicking style).

"Genuine footballer - a ball magnet who does his job extremely well without fuss and is wherever the ball is", rather than a spectacular "magic" type. Is consummate all-round professional footballer – “the footballer’s’ footballer”. Exceptional footy smarts, strong overhead, excellent disposal, quick hands, deceptive pace and athleticism.

Salopek is likely to be #2 or #3, probably the latter. Both Goddard and Salopek are very consistent, and natural on-field "leaders by example". Physically, if you saw Goddard and Salopek walking side by side without knowing who they were, you'd pick Salopek as a footballer (great built, posture, cool-dude "man's man" look, air of assurance). By comparison, Goddard would look like his non-sporting side-kick - hunched shoulders, dorky darkish/reddish hair style, walks like he carries the world on his shoulders and his posture projects a somewhat introverted persona. Despite appearances, I’d like to have Goddard standing next to me in the trenches. He has a nice combination of self-confidence, courage and never-say-die. And he's too smart and slippery to ever get shot.

Both Goddard and Salopek are serious talents. They are both the real deal. And I rate Goddard significantly above Salopek.

A tall midfielder but, in the right circumstances, could probably play almost anywhere.

- Never seems to be rushed - always seems in cruise mode.

- Serious footy smarts.

- Uses ball so well, hand or foot, either side, short or long, weighted or worm-burner. Can do a 45m pin-point pass off basically one step.

- He routinely gets the trajectory of his kicks perfect – the right depth, power, direction and weighting – they don’t hospital float or go so hard the team-mate can’t run onto them at a comfortable pace. Even kicks through traffic. Same can be said about his handballing. Gets terrific depth to his kicks with apparent ease. Is not a Rocca but 60m is certainly not beyond him – and reliably.

- Very clean hands. He is one-grab – aerially or below the knee. Very quick hands. He routinely picks up and feeds in the one motion – and to a target.

- Has terrific vision, awareness, poise under pressure.

- Excellent traffic management. Finds space in traffic amazingly well. Is very slippery, never seems to get caught. Seems mentally a step ahead of other players. Is very adept at centre bounce clearances. He gets his own ball and a very high percentage of his possessions are hard-ball gets.

- Importantly, whatever he can do, he can do at pace (where appropriate).

- Excellent decision-making. A very quick, creative mind. Doesn’t get flustered, has seemingly intuitive awareness of players around him, knows how to slip into space to give himself added time, picks the right option and makes up his mind quickly.

- Reads the play so well and covers a stack of ground in what often resembles perpetual motion. Is all over the ground, always seems to be where he needs to be. A ball-magnet. Eg He can break from serious traffic in the back pocket , deliver a quick feed, run 20 to apply a block, then pop up 3 plays later in the forward pocket. I’d probably describe him as a “mopper-upper”. His natural style seems to be to come from just behind the play. He is very good at dropping a kick behind play. He also reads the ball so well – both aerially and at ground level.

- Strong overhead. Huge leap, even from a standing start. Is not a Carey but does regularly take contested pack marks from the front, the back or inside. He doesn’t need a ride – he can float across to mark from an “impossible” position. Is also very good at selectively flying over the top of the rucks at throw-ins to feed to a team-mate.

- Excellent balance. He keeps his eyes on the ball and keeps his feet. Has cat-like recovery.

- Excellent evasion skills, in various ways.

- His pace and acceleration are deceptive. Occasionally looks slow but he plays within himself wherever possible. He is not greased lightning by any means but, despite appearances, he is very quick off the mark and can run the lines. Loves a bounce or two and, when he goes for one of his dashes, he normally looks to be cruising – until you notice they don’t look like catching him.

- Excellent work and team ethic in every regard, including leadership. Seems to have good people skills & good brain on and off the field. eg blocking, “dummy marking” blocking, talking, encouraging, directing traffic, concentrating hard at the coach’s huddles, one-percenters, chasing hard, fierce and effective tackling.


Query:

- Weight? A very minor query. 6’2” and 80kg but is deceptively strong. Doesn’t necessarily look to have a frame which will bulk up easily. His style though is a little similar to Michael Tuck’s and he will certainly be heavier than Tuck.


Some stats:

- Played just 4 TAC games but averaged 30 disposals, 6 marks and picked up a BOG and a 2nd BOG in the Morrish Medal. Missed some games due to a July injury and has school commitments. In his first game back after injury, 29 disposals against Salopek’s side. Last year averaged 19 disposals from 7 games as a 16yo.

- In the U18 Championships had 19 disposals (6 marks) and 29 disposals (5 marks) in his 2 completed games (injured early in the 3rd).
 
Cameron Croad (Oakleigh Chargers)

187/84 top-age one-sided right-foot forward.

Style like Fevola (?)

Slightly undersize hit 'n miss FF. Lacks footy smarts, height, reliability. Not recommended.

FF who can take a big grab on occasions but is primarily an opportunist who operates within the goal-square area and who is also good on the lead. Can kick a bag against the right opposition at U18 level but lacks intensity and footy smarts, is not reliable overhead, and is not as reliable a kick as his stats suggest.

At only 187cm is too small for key and not good enough on the ground for a flank. Last year he lacked strength but he has bulked up really well since.

Injury to left shoulder saw him play only 6 TAC games and one and a bit Rep games this year.

Kicked 19-6 in his TAC games, 5-2 for Vic Metro, and 42-17 in TAC last year. As accurate as that sounds, it is misleading in that a large percentage of Croad’s goals come from within the goal-square (or immediate vicinity). He normally doesn't venture far from goals and he leads straight , so he is generally shooting from a comfortable angle and not far out.

Can get 3 goals in 3 minutes but is erratic. He can kick long goals but also too often misses 30m gimmes. Sometimes he displays a nice kicking style and kicks long and straight but other times his kicks can be ugly flat punts and the kicks can go anywhere. He can snare a clever snap one minute but miss a gimme a few minutes later.

His marking is similar. Sometimes he can take a terrific clean grab - especially on a fast lead but even in a pack. Other times he has hard hands overhead. In his 27 TAC and Rep games 2001-2 he has taken more than 4 marks on only 4 occasions.

He has good pace and his leads are very sharp. Good leap, even from standing start.

He does read the ball very well off the pack. He also gets quite a few goals by losing his opponent – it is common to see one of Croad’s team-mates feed or kick the ball over the head of Croad’s opponent to a loose Croad a few metres clear in the goal-square. And Croad is generally a good snap from anywhere within 20m.

Variable footy smarts. Is very clever / opportunistic around the goal-square area creating opportunities for himself and capitalising on his opponent’s lapses in concentration and errors. He is good at clever well-timed nudge-outs and playing for frees, and is especially good at losing his opponent in a wink. It’s other aspects which worry me. I've seen him on various occasions turn his back on play and fail to see a teammate alone in the goal square. He is also too inclined to go for a tough-guy bump (not always even making contact) when a tackle is really called for. He can give away silly frees. He plays a fair bit for frees and generally does OK with that but sometimes will play for a free when the percentage thing suggests it is the wrong time.

His below the knee skills generally are below par but improving.

He lacks poise under pressure and can be easily out-bodied.

Last year he seemed very immature to me. May still be immature but seems to have improved this year. I’m told he is a decent kid off-field. On-field he is verbally aggressive but if you talk the talk, you’d better .….

The key to Croad at U18 level is his opponent. He can murder a weak opponent, taking well-judged marks, leading fast. A decent close-checking opponent will typically have the better of him. Croad is very much a confidence player rather than a fighter. Seems to lose concentration. Still lacks enough intensity (2nd efforts, chasing, attack on the ball, etc) on various occasions. Last year he had no defensive skills whatsoever and too often didn't bother with 2nd efforts, although he has improved a bit in this area this year.

A brief period in defence in 2001 seemed to indicate he had very little idea of what defence and accountability was about. Ironically, when he does chase (which he was doing more this year) he has shown he can run down a quickish opponent and lay a fierce tackle. However, if he has any AFL future he may be best suited to a HBF and for that (or any other role) he would have to up his work rate immensely. Is possibly worth a try on a Rookie list as a project with a running, tallish HBF role in mind. I’m not confident.


Query:

- Unreliable overhead and kicking.
- On-field work ethic
- Footy smarts
- Extent of injury to left shoulder.


Other stuff:

- Draft camp nomination


Some interesting stats:

- In 19 TAC games 2001 kicked 42-17 but only 2 bags of 5 or more goals, one against the easy-beats. In 2002, kicked 19-6 in his 6 TAC games, including a 5goal and 6goal, and 5-2 for Vic Metro.
- In his 27 TAC and Rep gamers 2001-2 he has only take more than 4 marks on 4 occasions. Only 30% of his possessions are marks, which is low for his type.
- In his 27 TAC and Rep gamers 2001-2 he has gathered more than 9 possessions only 8 times (max 16). Averages 9 disposals per TAC game in 2002 (only 6 games) – same as in his 19 games last year.
- 5 goals against SA in 2002 U18 Championships.
 

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Bo Nixon (Calder Cannons)

190/86 mid-age great size right-footer.

6’3”, strong athletic build. Seems already physically mature. On physical build and the way he carries himself and runs and jumps and moves and spots and hits targets by hand in traffic, he looks “class” – as in your classical key position type. First impressions aren’t everything, though. I see him as a ruckrover / flanker who does indeed offer a lot but who is also unreliable overhead, susceptible to a bump, whose kicking is a mixed bag, and who does a surprisingly not-so-smart thing or two almost each game. Quite consistent - never plays a genuinely poor game.

Could go early 2nd round. I rate him 3rd round. Is a good player but I'm not convinced he has the scope for continuous improvement that some of the others might.


Decision-making, hands, feet:

Biggest features are vision / awareness, quick and reliable hands, decision-making and handballing. Good in close. Very good traffic management. Quickly spots an option anywhere and feeds off (typically by hand) to running targets, even out of traffic or while being tackled. And in those situations he keeps his balance and poise extremely well. Has very quick and creative brain and spots quickly (eg sometimes deftly palms from marking contest to team-mate at the fall instead of trying to outmark the pack). Good below the knee, incl off the carpet. Handballs tend to be powerful, accurate, very well timed and weighted, and mainly long to an option in space.

Good team man – unselfish decision-making.

Kicking can be classical or surprisingly indifferent. Set kicks for goal can be iffy. Reasonable depth – range seem to be about 45m.


Overhead marking:

Is a reputed overhead mark but, while he can take a nice one, he often has hard hands overhead (contested). Is very susceptible to overhead spoil or nudge-out . In a genuine contest he seems to jump as if in hope, rather than with conviction. Always strives for front position though. Purposeful on a lead and usually takes it well in front of his face.


Athleticism, intensity:

Pace and acceleration off the mark are OK without being particularly quick. (Is arguably about a metre slower than Ahmat or Brad Fisher)

Good mobility, smooth mover. Quite good leap. Good agility in traffic. Sideways agility / evasion skills bit dubious (seems to have somewhat wide turning circle rather than evasive agility).

Balance is mixed bag. In a marking contest or run to the ball he tends to have poor balance and be easily bumped off the contest. I'm surprised how often the 6’3” Nixon is knocked off the ball by someone 5’10” and 10kgs lighter (who knows how to use body). In general static play (eg traffic) his balance is excellent eg even when being tackled he keeps his feet very well and maintains balance and great poise under pressure even while being dragged to ground by two opponents.

Stamina seems OK.

Good physical strength, attack on the ball. Will come from behind tight traffic to barge his way through and get ball.

Sometimes lacks intensity in a chase (or what should be a chase).


Versatility:

On paper, looks the type who is built for key position but is mobile enough and good enough in traffic to play almost anywhere. However, he is no where near reliable enough overhead and nor does he have the balance in a marking contest or on a contested run to play key position. Set shots for goal are a mixed bag. Has played almost everywhere at U18 level (mainly HBF) but I see any AFL potential as an onballer who can also be useful changing on HFF, and who can also do a good job on HBF on the right opponent. His wide range of attributes make him unlikely to be disadvantaged by match-ups too often.


Query:

- Hard hands overhead. He can take a good overhead mark and, if it is uncontested or his opponent is very short, he can look very clean. Generally though he is unreliable overhead (contested), and even many of the marks he takes are 2-grab. The ball often tends to bounce straight out of his hands.
- Has poor balance in a marking contest or run to the ball and is easily bumped off the contest, even by a much smaller lighter opponent.
- Poor technique for set shot for goal. Tends to have stuttering run-up. Also often runs too close to the man on the mark. Moves the ball very much left to right, left to right during his run-up. All these combine to make such kicks unreliable (despite what the stats might suggest). Not always but very regularly.
- Inclined to stage for frees.
- Does a surprisingly not-so-smart thing or two almost each game. Sometimes seems to get ahead of himself and be too casual. Eg (1). Set shot from the goal-square dead in front – tried to kick it the bare 15m - and missed. (2). Marked 35m out and turned his back on potential options to walk back to his mark twirling the ball on his finger – trivial in isolation but indicative of some concentration lapses of his around goals – he could have had a team-mate alone in goal but would have had no idea or readiness.
- Seems to be right-foot only. Many players are one-sided but Nixon’s best AFL chance may be as “ruckrover” (who can play HBF, HFF) and I prefer onballers who are dual-sided.


Some stats:

- Average 23 disposal in 11 TAC games, up 60% on last year. Mid-year trend down 23%. Best was 30 disposals but he doesn’t vary much from the 23 average. Average 4.6marks, 2.8 tackles. Average 12disposals (14, 10, 12) and 4 marks in 3 U18 Div 2 Championships games for NSW/ACT.
- 60% of TD are kicks which is at the high end of standard for his type.
- No votes 2002 Morrish Medal.
 
Brent Moloney (Geelong Falcons)

181/85 top-age right-footer. Style like Dew / J Johnson.

5'11" impact midfielder I rate worth an early 2nd round pick but I suspect may go 3rd or 4th round.

He is plug 'n play. A genuine footballer. Won't be found wanting for strength or disposal or poise or confidence or attack on the ball (or man) or pace or smarts at AFL level straight out of the box.

This year he has had a frustrating run with (mainly unrelated) injuries but is a big improver with a lot of scope for much further improvement.

Last year I wrote "I don't imagine many rate him at all but I rate him highly. .... he doesn't get a huge amount of the pill at this stage but I believe he is likely to be THE BARGAIN in the draft". Geelong Falcons used him off the bench a lot in 2001 (even allowing for the way they regularly use the bench more than most) yet he still averaged 18 disposals and kicked 27-19 primarily as an onballer/HFF and performed well in the 2001 U18 Championships.

He has recently taken his game up a notch ot two and has also lifted his off-field work rate and focus. Definite AFL potential. Why do I rate him? Heres' why :-

- His improvement half-way trend line, which I monitor to compare the 2nd half of a player's season with his first, (in Moloney's case, comparing his last 6 games to his previous 5) is statistically among the best in the TAC comp. Even at the half-way mark his stats were fairly healthy, especially for someone whose kicking is so potent. He was averaging 19 disposals (including 2.6 marks). In the 2nd half of his season he lifted his kick statistics by 113% (that means an increase of a whopping 113%, not just 13%), his total disposals by 37% and his marks by 85%. His average numbers for his last 6 games? 26 disposals (17 kicks, 19 hb) and 4.8 marks. Many other TAC players average more disposals but Moloney's are potent.

- Thumping kick. And his kicking is extremely reliable (albeit primarily only right foot). Can kick 60m on the run.

- Good pace, deceptively good acceleration off the mark. Doesn't mind a bounce or two.

- Is a 80-90 metre player. Can regularly run the lines (though is not your typical stream-lined build) and kick over the lines. That almost defines him.

- Consistently excellent at ballup (especially centre bounce) clearances - just snatches the ball, charges through like a bull, then either breaks clear and delivers a penetrating kick, or does a quick accurate feed to a receiver then clears a path for them. He is a strong and reliable clearer from any stop-play or traffic situation. Has good hands and vision. You wouldn't even notice a lot of his possessions unless you're seriously watching him because he often gets it so quickly and feeds it so quickly. In particular, he is a gift for outside team-mates who like to run past traffic and cop a feed while running towards goal.

- He creates goals, and often, and he makes them happen QUICKLY. This "quick creation" is a huge attribute, particularly in these times where opposition teams will invariably try, as quickly as they can, to flood or at least implement some form of zone defence. Moloney's trademark is a get from centre-bounce, charge through centre-bounce traffic, run 20m then thumping running goal from the edge of the centre square or a thumping accurate pass or handball to set up a team-mate downfield. He himself is a handy goalkicker who can consistently kick them from outside 50, either set shot or in the run. Only 9-14 this (interrupted) year, although 27-19 last year. For every goal he kicks himself, he arguably sets up another two. His ability to create opportunities for others, to bring team-mates into the game, is a big feature of his play.

- Excellent reader of the ball off the pack or in flight or at ground level. He has a Daicos-like (but not same standard of course) ability to anticipate and to position himself.

- His "quiet games are still valuable, something I rate very highly. Statistically, the worst of his 11 games in 2002 still saw him have 14 disposals. And that in a year interrupted by 3 unrelated injuries. Even last year, only 5 of his 22 games (19 TAC games and 3 U18 Championships games) were below 13 disposals.

- Good balance, even when he has the ball. That balance at the pace he "charges" makes him very hard to impede. He is a steam-train rather than someone who seems to glide over the turf. Is very powerful. Tough as old boots. Quick recovery.

- Good on-field work ethic - keeps presenting (running on to next play as well as presenting himself as an option running past), covers ground. Strong tackler, very physical.

- Good evasion skills - not just blind turns etc but, importantly, is also good at Robert Harvey -style side-stepping

- Good leap. Can take a good overhead mark (although overhead marking is not a big part of his game).

- Most importantly (!!), he has such scope for further improvement. Country kids generally are at a major disadvantage compared to city kids, but country kids who live such a long way from their U18 club's base suffer even worse due to the travel and logistics curse. Not just how often such a kid can be at his U18 club but also the mental wear and tear of spending lonnnng hours travelling all around the state, much of it by car. Moloney lives in South Warnambool and commutes once a week to Geelong U18s for training. Get him into an AFL club, where he can embrace the culture, be inspired by seeing first-hand the way others prepare themselves, be able to train and practice and have his body finely tuned full-time for 10 months of the year and I am confident he will develop into a seriously good AFL player.

His 2002 season was badly disrupted with injury. However the injuries seem to be unrelated. Ankle in pre-season, hairline fracture of the leg in a May trial, shoulder mid August (since successfully operated on).


Query:

- On face value, seems a bit injury-prone but I'm not concerned. He tends to have both shoulders strapped (both 2001 and 2002). He has had 3 separate injury periods this year but not related and not necessarily soft-tissue. (Pre-season was ankle, mid-season was hairline leg fracture, late-season was shoulder which has subsequently been operated on). Due to injury, only managed 11 TAC games this year but last year played 19 plus the U18 Championships trials and games.

- Last year there may have been queries over how hard he was willing to work to fully prepare himself. Part-way into this year he lifted his off-field work ethic once he realised he needed to do more to get the most out of himself. I no longer have any concerns in this area..

- I'm not sure about the extent of his versatility. He is essentially a hard nut (but dashing, long-kicking) midfielder/onballer but he can certainly play HFF. His list of attributes make him sound like an ideal run-the-lines HBFand he may well turn out to be one. However, I'm not convinced he is a natural defender, even though he has had his moments. I really do see his best value as a centre-bounce onballer who creates quick goals but, as an 80-90metre player I would like to see him at least tried as a half-back to add that string to his bow. I do not see him with a permanent role deep in defence though.
 
Adam Fisher (North Ballarat Rebels)

Top-age 178/75 hard-nut onballer. Style like Anthony Stevens.

Hard-nut, smart, in-close slow ball-magnet onballer who uses the ball well both sides. I rate him worth a (latish) 3rd round pick (lower than his record suggests).

If Goddard is your Olympic equestrian and after-dinner speaker, Fisher is your horse-breaker cum blacksmith. That’s what he does, he does it very well, and what you see now is what you will always get – predictable, with limited scope, but tough-as-teak dependability.

He is one of those close-in, over the ball quick-grab, quick feed or quick kick out of traffic types who don’t tend to stand out as much as his possession tally would indicate. Eg He polled 9 votes (4 games) in the 2002 Morrish Medal yet failed to catch enough attention in his (statistically) biggest 3 games to earn even a single vote in any of those 34, 37 and 42 (yes 42, Greg Williams) possession games.

He is slow, only 5'10", not versatile, has injury history and, while a good user of the ball on both sides, his disposals overall don't tend to cut teams up as much as, say, a Goddard or even a Grima can.

Were he at least 2” taller and/or quick, his prognosis would be very healthy. Many of his type get overlooked entirely. He is an unfashionable size and anyone considering him would also be considering David Kellett, Blake Grima, Paul Shelton and various others. He does not have the flexibility, athleticism or height of the 188cm Goddard, or the overhead strength and versatility of the 184cm Salopek, or the sheer size of Watson, or the impact of Grima.

His direct contemporary is Kellett (SA). Both have slow feet but quick minds, excellence balance, clean hands and very good disposal by hand or foot both sides. And courage by the bucket-load. They are almost peas of a pod. Kellett is a bit stronger overhead and predominantly disposes by hand, Fisher a bit more genuinely dual-sided and predominantly disposes by foot this year. Kellett is bottom age and I would choose Kellett over Fisher as he may have more scope for development.

I have no doubt he will be capable of playing AFL level and playing some good games at that level. But he is NQR and there will be various times his AFL coach will have match-up concerns.

Regardless of my assessments, I would love to see Adam make it. I admire anyone who works as hard as he does, on and off-field, to get the absolute most out of himself but in such a way that he always places the team first. He has outstanding courage, leadership and team-ethic.

To some extent he is an outstanding junior with probably less scope for further development than the other kids who are catching up and in some cases overtaking him.


Disposal, decision-making:

Genuinely dual-sided and it is not obvious which is his preferred foot. Is a thumping kick and generally reliable by foot (except for an occasional tendency to not steady enough and rush his kicking from traffic). Can deliver a perfectly-weighted 30m pin-point pass one minute then kick a 50m goal on the run with the other foot a minute later.

Averages 28 disposal per TAC game – up slightly on LY. Interesting significant (and consistent) shift in the mix compared to last year though – last year 56% were kicks, this year 71%. This is a high split for his type. Most of his type tend to be in the 50’s (eg Ball, Bartel, McGough last year and Salopek, Watson, Kellett this year), as he was last year. This year, though, his kick spilt is even marginally higher than Grima who routinely has an unusually high kick split. Bottom line is that he predominantly disposes by foot this year although that has not been his previous pattern.
Is very good with long handballs but also does very many quick little give-offs. Quick spotting, uses it very well, sets up plays well.

His decision-making is excellent. He excels in close but also in pressure situations generally. He spots well and delivers well (short or long) and doesn’t take too long for either. Can be creative.

He can sometimes get a stack of ball without putting a huge imprint on game. The disposals of Grima, for example, at his best can hurt a team more than Fisher’s at his best (IMHO).


Speed, athleticism, versatility:

He is not a slug but he definitely is slow. In fairness, he gets to contests he wants to and generally gets out them as he wants to, and has quick recovery.

Doesn’t seem to have much leap, even for his size and type. In watching him once-off you could easily conclude he simply can’t jump (or doesn’t choose to). He took two one-grab overhead marks one-on-one in one half in one game and his general lack of overhead highlights is such that those two stuck in my mind – not because they were great marks as such but because they were rarities. He does have strong hands in front of his face though. I compare his style to Anthony Stevens, except that Stevens has overhead capability which Fisher lacks and Stevens chases everything.

I think Fisher is naturally slow but it is hard to know how advanced he is in getting over his 2001 injury problems and particularly knee problems. Once he started 2002 (round 3) he played right through but it is possible that he will be able to improve his speed and athleticism a bit now that he has put further space between himself and previous injury. He would need to though as his lack of speed and athleticism (although good stamina) make him virtually a single-role player in an era where the typical AFL player is expected to have various strings to his bow.

At the moment he is very easy to run away from and easy to mark over the top of. Has heavyish, shortish legs and very strong balance. Is physically very strong generally, although officially only 75kg.

Doesn’t seem to show much aptitude as a potential tagger. Eg Was “tagging” Salopek in one game. He would be in body contact with Salopek at the preparation of each stop play but would instinctively move off as soon as the ball was being aired.

Is handy around goals at U18 level (20-17) when resting but I don’t see him as a permanent forward at AFL level and I doubt his ability to do scoreboard damage in such a role. Can certainly kick a good goal running through half-forward though.


Intensity, work ethic:

His intensity (with one exception) is terrific. Excellent attack on the ball. Tackles fiercely. Blocks for team-mates and applies very strong body work to shield team-mates after he feeds to them. Runs hard to present and to cover ground generally. Good 2nd efforts, one-percenters. He will tackle one opponent then launch from a prone position to tackle another. In general, he ain’t pretty but he is effective.

My one concern is an occasional tendency to not chase or try to spoil. I do not expect a “run all over the ground all day”, in-close physical onballer to tear off after every opponent. You have to ensure you keep enough petrol in the tank to get you through the day. However, there are occasions (enough to frustrate but not numerous per se) where I get the impression that Fisher decides instinctively that he hasn’t the pace to catch the opponent or the leap to outmark him so doesn’t start the chase or try to spoil. I wouldn’t hang him on it but it is his only negative aspect in an otherwise terrific work ethic on and off-field.

Ultra consistent. His quieter games are still good. Quietest TAC game statistically was 19 disposals and in that game was well tagged by McCrossen. (Incidentally, McCrossen kept Fisher relatively quiet for Fisher but McCrossen got plenty himself).

Reads the play and the ball extremely well. He just happens to always be where the ball is. Has outstanding traffic management.

Very self-assured - never seems to get flustered. Looks a real footballer almost every time he goes for it. Good temperament.

I can’t write an assessment of Fisher without mentioning his uncanny knack of stealing the ball. He will intercept the ball through traffic or simply steal it out of an opponent’s hands often enough that whenever I see someone do it I usually think of Fisher and McGough.


Query:
- Speed
- Aerial strength.
- Versatility
- Injury history. Missed most of 2001 with knee & ankle problems. Early in the 2002 season he had a big “black” brace on his right knee and thereafter had his knee strapped.


Some interesting stats:
- average 28 disposal per TAC game. Shift in the mix compared to last year – Last year 56% were kicks, this year 73%.
- Quietest game was 19 disposals and in that game was well tagged by McCrossen (Tassie mariners)
- Despite my comments above, he averages 4.6 marks a game (up 30% on mid-year). Rarely are they over his head though.


Other stuff:
-3rd 2002 Larke Medal for U18 Championships Div 1 B&F. All Australian.
-2002 TAC Team of the Year (onball).
-9th 2002 TAC Coaches Award (24 votes).
-9 votes 2002 Morrish Medal.
-2000 Sheehan Medal B&F U16 Champs.
 
Troy Selwood (Bendigo Pioneers)

187/75 top-age right-foot HBF/utility.

Skinny, tallish desperate run-all-day utility play-reader who backs himself but has sub-standard disposal.

Style like (slightly taller) Dean Laidley (?).

Will possibly go late 2nd round or early 3rd but disposal, hands and potential physical strength make him a 4th rounder for me. My jury is out. Seems to be sensible and a genuine improver, which is very much in his favour. If he has an AFL career, I see him initially as a HBF who can also play wing. Down the track I see him potentially in a run-with role but he would need to become more accountable and back himself less.

Is a real goer - desperate, not much science, not very clean hands or disposal, but a real team man who can be relied upon to do his best for the team.

HBF or winger who also plays onball for his U18 club. Has improved enormously since last year (observation supported by all major stats up about 70%).

Although skinny, is as courageous as they come and has fantastic stamina. Has great desperation which, coupled with athleticism, agility, recovery, reflexes and passable speed make him extremely hard to beat in one-on-one contests of any sort, despite his lack of physical strength currently. At his weight he can be out-bodied and sometimes brushed away but he will keep throwing himself after you, at you, over you and in your path.

Reads both the play and the ball very well and backs his ability to do so. This means he likes to run forward of the ball whenever he thinks he can. It also means he is happy to leave his opponent in order to attack the ball or present an option. This in turn means his opponent does not lack for opportunities to slip into space. Likes to get the ball and play on quickly whenever possible.


Disposal / Decision-making:

Is essentially a one-sided kick (right). Occasionally attempts a left foot kick but usually unsuccessfully.

Both his kicks and handballs very often tend to be floaters, lacking depth and power and are often up ‘n under. He can sometimes also do a pinpoint short pass or sharp handball but I believe I would be flattering him if I said AFL-standard and non AFL-standard were 50/50.

His decision-making is a mixed bag. On balance, I would describe him as an unreliable decision-maker. He often doesn’t look for an option. In fairness, he often does too. What I can’t understand is that he regularly seems to be blind to short options. He typically kicks for length – to a contest. Many times I have seen him have a set kick, appear to be looking for options, have one or even two about 30m away, yet choose (?) to overlook them in favour of kicking to a contest further downfield.

Whether he sometimes lacks confidence in his ability to find a 30m target, or whether he simply doesn’t see such options (which is hard to believe) or whether he just thinks “longer is safer”, the bottom line is that he wastes an unnecessary number of his disposals.


Hands:

Whether overhead or below the knee, he has days when he has the stickies and days when he has hard hands. Overall, I would not describe him as a one-grabber (although on his day he can take a nice overhead mark). I don’t know yet whether there is a pattern and, if so, whether it is just confidence or nature of opponent or standard /pace of the game or what. Against SA he had hard hands, overhead and below, throughout the day. Later that month he marked and handled everything cleanly against Northern Knights. That example makes it look like a standard of competition thing but even in the TAC comp his marking in particular can be up one week and down the next.


Intensity, ethic:

Courage and desperation personified. Will throw himself onto an opponent’s boot or into his path. Launches himself when tackling. Regularly backs back into marking contests. Will stand under a hospital pass or run into oncoming traffic without flinching.

From a prone position, will tackle one opponent then throw himself at the next opponent. Regularly.

Chases hard. Runs hard, covers a lot of ground.

Good team man. Excellent work ethic. Good one-percenters. Can be relied upon to block and will run 20m to do so.

Is tenacious but lacks strength. Is a fierce and desperate tackler but sometimes his lack of physical strength means he doesn’t impede the opponent as much as he deserves.


Reading the play:

Reads play and ball very well. eg while watching Goddard getting the ball, he snuck "2 plays" downfield to present - nice work ethic, clever anticipation, initiative.

Is clever at leaving his opponent in order to present for a team-mate, or dropping back to mark across halfback - usually seems to know when to leave his man but he does take the risk. Is a good mopper-upper across halfback.

Reads the ball well, especially in flight. Good spoiler at a marking (or even over the top of a ruck) contest.


Speed, Athleticism:

Speed acceptable. I’d back him to beat almost anyone over 3km but not over 30m.
Likes a dash, especially from halfback. Very athletic. Good leap.

Can burst through traffic brushing opponents aside (albeit via momentum rather than strength).


Consistency:

Form last year was up and down week by week like a yoyo. Not completely predictable this year but consistency has improved immensely.


Query:

- Disposal by hand or foot – tends to lack power and reliability.
- Decision-making.
- Strength, ability to add enough weight. Should be OK but looks to have a frame like a 187cm Dean Laidley. At this stage, although a fierce tackler, his tackles can sometimes be brushed aside even at U18 level. Can be bumped off the ball without too much effort (although he recovers very quickly).
- Right knee heavily strapped in June at least. OK? (I ask due to twin Adam’s knee history).


Some interesting stats:
- Avg 27 disposals, 6.4 marks, 3.9 tackles per TAC game. Scored only 3-3.
- Polled 9 votes 2002 Morrish Medal (3 games). 8th 2002 TAC Coaches Award (25 votes).
- His club 3km time trials 2002 were apparently better than anyone's at the 2001 Draft Camp. (He was 2nd in the 3kick trial 2002 Draft Camp also).
- All Australian. TAC Team of Year HBF.
 
Adam Selwood (Bendigo Pioneers)

Call me lazy but my profile of Adam reads almost identically to that for Troy. Even for twins, their patterns are amazingly parallel. Please refer to Troy's profile. I have two additional comments re Adam:-

1. Concern as to whether Adam has chronic knee injury. (Played rounds 1-2, missed 3-8, played 9-11, missed thereafter. Troy also had his knee strapped during 2002).

2. Adam kicks floaters also but I am inclined to think he is the better decision-maker.


Stats and other stuff:

- Avg 27 disposals, 5.2 marks, 4.4 tackles per TAC game (only 5 games 2002). Over 70% of his dispoosals are kicks (same in 2001 and 2002).
- All major TAC stats up 50% to 190% on his 11 games last year. (He only played 5 games in 2002 though and came off the bench a lot in 2001).
- Polled 3 votes 2002 Morrish Medal (1 game).
 
Tim Walsh (Northern Knights)

194+/81 bottom-age right-footer (dual-sided). Style like early Chris Grant.

Bottom-age athletic, stylish versatile tall. So much to offer but very seriously lacking in intensity.

U18 CHF and part-time ruck who can run, jump, catch, kick both feet, and pick-up like a rover ..... but is too often a spectator. Has good character, good ability. If he had half-decent intensity he would be worthy, in a draft like this, of a top 10 pick as many suggest. I’ve seen players conquer a host of weaknesses but I can’t recall too many players turning around a distinct lack of instinctive intensity. Tim’s almost complete lack of intensity scares me to the extent that, for that reason ALONE, I rate him worthy of no higher than a 2nd round pick at best. Some will argue that I’m putting too much emphasis on his intensity but its the one problem he has in which I am not confident of him being able to make sufficient improvement to allow him to fully utilise his otherwise impressive attributes.

As with Johnson, I acknowledge that this puts me out of sync with mainstream thinking. He seems a great kid and certainly has a lot of very appealing attributes and I hope he proves me wrong, but to be honest I would not be in a rush to draft him as a potential key position player. He will definitely get drafted and definitely early. I think that is a shame as I suspect another year of U18s would have helped him learn to take more responsibility during a game and stamp his authority on a game.

I first noticed him in a game against Dandenong last year and I instinctively formed the opinion that “this kid could be anything – he has the lot”. I posted the same on the internet at the time. Subsequently, however, I have become more and more uneasy and disappointed in his continuing lack of intensity.

Broke collarbone early in game 1 of the 2002 U18 Champs and ran out of time to be ready for 2002 finals.


Athleticism, Mobility:

Has a huge leap, even from a standing start, but particularly when he has a run-up. He’s a bird.

He does move very stylishly – smooth running style, nicely-balanced. Generally looks agile.

Sometimes looks to have quite good pace but occasionally looks a bit slow. I have trouble getting a handle on his pace. I am not sure about his stamina either, despite his athletic appearance. Sometimes he appears to run out of puff (and when he does he can look a bit slowish).


Marking:

Can take a very big grab, especially over the top. Can mark from in front also but his best is possibly on a lead (his leads are good and tend to be quick, direct and purposeful) or coming from behind. Generally has good hands overhead. Can rise high enough to take a chest mark where others might have to mark it overhead.


Hands:

Very clean hands generally but exceptional off the carpet for one so tall.


Disposal:

Is dual-sided.

Is excellent with the hands – quick spotting, quick reaction, sharp decision-making, excellent accurate powerful feeds short or long, clear air or through traffic. As soon as he hears the call, he usually spits it out straight to the caller – even if the caller is not in his line of vision. (Is primarily a right footer but seems to handball mainly with his left?) In general, I would describe his kicking as a mixed bag. I definitely believe it does need work but I am confident it can be improved and that ultimately he can become a reliable kick.

Has nice style kicking on the run. His kicking often looks quite good off the boot but his kicks too often drop short – especially attempted passes less than 30m.

For set kicks, sometimes tends to get too close to man-on-mark or try a too-cute dinky pass off virtually just one step. With some of his set shots for goal, he tends to have a stuttering run-up – almost like a medium-pacer in cricket who runs 20m to the wicket then virtually stops before bowling the ball off virtually one step. (He can look on such occasions almost as if he is kicking off the wrong foot, although he isn’t).

He is also capable of fairly regular pin-point passes and some long kicks. Some of his short passes that drop too short tend to be stabbed.


Intensity:

Woeful. Often he just doesn't seem to really want to make the ball his own or even go for it – all too often he seems to adopt a wait and see attitude.

If he contests a mark and the ball spills free, he too often just stands there and spectates.

If he is bumped off a contest, he too often just stands there and spectates.

He too often stands back leaving a small team-mate to go in for the ball while he spectates..

If he doesn’t think he will be able to mark the ball he too often just stands there and spectates while an opponent takes the uncontested mark under no pressure.

If he is forced to the ground he too often just stays there and spectates instead of quickly getting back to his feet and involving himself.

He very often fails to commit his body to an awkward marking contest or oncoming pressure.

He will feed to a team-mate but then spectate when he should instead move on to lay a block for the team-mate.

He often doesn’t chase.

In fairness, every so often I get a pleasant surprise. Eg in a trial game, I had been noting (for not the first time that day even) his lack of intensity. Shortly after, he put in a big effort to keep chasing Brennan and throw himself at him and effect the spoil. (However, soon after, he was easily bumped off the ball and he then just stood there).


Work ethic:

Other than the above, he actually has quite good on-field work ethic in some ways. He always presents as a target for his team-mates. As a CHF, he straightens the team up as they go forward.

Covers a lot of ground.


Poise under pressure:

When he happens to find himself in traffic or under great pressure or even outnumbered or any combinations of these, he typically shows good poise, evasion skills and traffic management skills generally – he doesn’t panic, he does look for options. He moves very well through traffic. Ironic, and frustratingly so, given his general lack of intensity.

Occasionally he lacks a bit of awareness and seems to think he has more time than he actually does. On these occasions he can be inclined to not know what to do – but he is probably smart enough to get on top of that in time with more experience in games at a predictable tempo.


Ruckwork:

Can do some part-time ruck work. Some of his hitouts are very well targeted. A fair few are Stynes-like though i.e. where he gets clear purchase but just taps it to his feet thus not giving a team-mate an advantage. Has genuine potential as a 6’5” -ish part-time ruck though.


Versatility, build:

Handy height (nudging 6’5” and possibly still growing). Only 81kg but is bottom-age and has a frame which should furnish into a really nice footy build.
Has the height for a key and at least adequate enough pace and agility for a wing/flank. Frankly, the latter is where I suspect his AFL future may lie – as a tall, hard-to-match up “HFF” (although most would presumably argue that he is suited to CHF instead). Technically he even has a lot to offer as a “ruckrover” but, unless he can completely turn around his lack of intensity, his traffic management attributes are likely to be more than offset by failure to pressure the opposition when he doesn’t have the ball.


Query:
- Intensity (!!!!!)
- Hard to gauge his physical strength because of the way he currently plays. I’ve no reason to be overly concerned. I just don’t have a handle on it.
- Doesn’t yet take a game by the scruff of the neck. Sometimes threatens to but can then go missing.
- Stamina? Occasionally looks like he is unduly puffed-out. In such circumstances he can look surprisingly slow. I don’t have a handle on whether this is even a pattern or whether I just noticed a couple of random occurrences that don’t mean much. Regardless he is naturally athletic so, at worst, he probably just needs some conditioning.

Some TAC stats:
8 games 2001, 4 2002, so not statistically a great sample for this season. FWIW though, double-digit disposals in only 4 of those 12 games, and nothing over 16. Max marks 6.

Other stuff:
- Son of Geoff Walsh (Kangaroos Football Mgr).
- I think he was also a basketballer until recently when he decided to concentrate on footy.
 
Ryan Crawford (Calder Cannons)

Racy-looking 182/80 top-age dashing left-foot winger / HBF.

Physically looks very much the part. Jet black hair, sleeves to the elbow, athletic proportioned build and demeanour. Trademark is centre-line receive then 20m dash then longish kick across his body to half-forward.

Good pace, likes a dash and can open up the play but I'm not a fan. Has the look and running style of an elite athlete but lacks stamina and evasion skills. Needs greater intensity. His kicking style looks racy but leaves him vulnerable.

He is good at playing just off and behind the play when the ball is at half-back or mid-field and swooping past (sometimes through) traffic with perfect timing to receive (get), then launching his left foot into the 50m arc. His combination of dash and direct kicking gives his team a lot of drive into half-forward and quickly opens up a lot of scoring opportunities. When you see him at his best doing this stuff he looks every inch the AFL footballer, as he also usually does when playing a dangerous opponent tight on half-back.

Will get drafted but I suspect he won’t make it. I believe there is too much, largely inherent, which needs to be changed and I would not recommend him beyond a rookie spot at best. Having said that, I believe he is capable of playing some games at AFL level and of doing some impressive things (most likely off half-back) in a particular AFL game. I just don’t see him as being able to sustain an AFL career over a period as I think he has too many flaws that will be exploited – no matter what remedial programs are undertaken.

Not a high possession-earner but very consistent. Statistically, in his last 7 TAC games, never less than 13 disposals or more than 20. Used to be almost exclusively an outside player – and that is still his natural inclination - but he now gets a fair % of his own ball. In traffic, he has clean hands and good balance. Doesn’t trouble the scorers much but seldom ventures that far down (and is accurate enough when he does).

Overhead marking is not a major part of his game – he has never taken more than 4 marks in a game – but he is very clean overhead, has a good leap and judges it quite well. He does like to fly for overhead marks from behind and tends to try this a bit too often - when the ball spills he isn't at the spill as he should be.

Has very clean hands.


Athleticism, evasion:

Has very good pace and acceleration.

Despite the appearance and style of an elite athlete, he seems to seriously lack stamina He regularly tires badly in the 2nd half (and I don’t mean just the last 5 minutes). Once this sets in, his chasing drops right off and his kicking, which may have even been reliable and attacking earlier, lets him down.

Seriously lacks evasion skills. He can occasionally execute a nice spin out of traffic but on the run he is an “arc evader” – he will try to get past an opponent by either running around the outside in a continuous arc or by charging straight through. There is no finesse. He lacks ability to quickly change stride, to wrong-foot his opponent, to sell the dummy, sidestep, balk etc. This inability to evade means he regularly kicks into, or is cornered by, an oncoming player. His only weapon is pace. As he tires (see above) he gets away with fewer arc evasions. When a player is coming at you with the ball you usually need to be on the alert in case he tries to wrong-foot you or do a look-away feed etc. In Ryan’s case you just need to go straight at him as strongly as possible – you can pretty well count on him maintaining his original flight path and you simply need to cramp the space in front of him in that path. It’s not that he wimps it – it’s just that he lacks the evasive skill to get out of your way. The result is that he very frequently kicks into or runs into the oncoming opponent, or has his kick smothered, or is knocked off balance.


Kicking:

Is very one-sided (left) - I can recall noticing him using his right only one or twice in 2 years of watching him.

Many praise his kicking. Certainly it is very stylish.

I have made constant mention of his across-body kicking style since I first saw him last year and it does not seem to have changed. Almost every kick is across his body, sometimes as if he was running to the boundary trying to screw the ball back towards goal. He kicks as if his right leg starts to give way on him, and he drops the ball high. He lists to the right like a soccer player, as if he is riding a motorbike, and kicks with a very taut instep. The listing gets worse as he tires and the worse it gets the less accurate his kicks become.

Regardless of style, at U18 level the results of his kicking (long or short) are often very good (at least until he tires). And, theoretically, what matters are the results, not the style. Nevertheless it is a style which costs him for accuracy as he gets tired and makes it hard for his team-mates to judge and run on to. In particular, though, it leaves him exposed to being bumped off the kick because he is basically unbalanced in the first place. At the faster pace of AFL, and with opponents better attuned to exploiting the balance vulnerability of his listing style and lack of evasive skill, he is likely to struggle to get the same results with his extravagant (albeit aesthetically silky) kicking style that he often gets at U18 level. In short, I see his kicking (in an AFL context) as a concern, whereas many describe it as one of his major strengths.


Intensity, physicality, accountability:

Very mixed bag. He can lay a fierce tackle, sometimes launching himself at one opponent then another in quick succession in rugby style. He can also chase hard to run an opponent down. He does both regularly.

He can decide he can’t be bothered getting up after going to ground (he spectates while his opponent jumps to his feet and breaks away) and he can also decide it is his opponent’s turn to dash off, under no pressure, with the ball. He does both of these regularly too.

On occasions recently he has been given the job of minding someone in a HBF/wing role. In this role he plays very close and smart. He is prepared to back his judgement at the last minute but he gives his opponent no opportunity to slip into space initially. He is good body-on-body.

In summary, he is not by nature a chaser or 2nd effort or desperate type. He is not “give til it hurts”. On some occasions his effort is impressive and on others his lack of effort is embarrassing and costly. When he does decide to display intensity and/or accountability he is terrific and his pace is a major asset here. His problem re intensity and ability to apply physical pressure is mind-set (and sometimes stamina), not lack of physical attributes or capability.

Although he is very well built, his tackles are fierce without being ultra strong. He brings his man to the ground via momentum rather than strength. His “static” tackles sometimes fail to sufficiently impede.

The more tired he becomes, the slacker he gets at the team things.


Query:
- Stamina. My concern is that he already looks very fit so it may be more a “natural aerobic capacity” issue than simply “let’s get him fit”.
- Evasion skills
- Intensity.
- Appropriateness of his kicking style to AFL level.

Some interesting stats:
- Avg 16 disposals in 9 TAC games, 2.4 marks, 2 tackles. Kicks and handballs are 50/50. 6goal-2 for the year.
- 3 games 2002 U18 Championships for 18, 21, 12 disposals – predominantly kicks (72%, 86%, 83% compared to no game over 64% in his 9 TAC games)
- No votes Morrish Medal.

Other:
- All Australian (2002 U18 Championships)
- Cousin of Shane. Another Assumption College graduate (captain).
- Didn't play TAC U18 2001 but did represent NSW/ACT in 2001 and 2002 U18 Championships .
 
Steven Salopek (Dandenong Stingrays)

184/81 bottom-age right-foot (dual-sided) versatile midfielder.

An inside ball-magnet who gets his own ball above and below the shoulders. A great combination of grunt and class. An outstanding talent. Will definitely be a player. Worth pick 2 or 3.

I’m not sure who to compare Salopek with. Perhaps picture (if you were around then) Gerard Healy with jet black hair and attitude.

Vanilla height but good build and he does play tall for his height, which I like in a
mid-fielder. On the paddock, about all he lacks is a yard (although he is not a slug and seldom gets shown up for lack of pace …. at U18 level at least).

Were he born 10 days later, he'd be too young for the draft. In the first of 4 games he played last year he was only 15yo yet collected 18 possessions as a defender.

Hasn't grown much taller in the past year but has gone from a skinny 15yo/16yo defender who looked promising to a well-built “mid-field” architect with enormous influence all over the ground, week by week, even when under duress.


He is a genuine footballer:-

Soft hands above and below the knee and overhead. Genuine footy smarts. Good vision, awareness, poise. Quick thinker. Good decision-maker. Always seems to have plenty of time.

Reads the play well. Reads the ball well, especially at stop plays, off the pack. Just knows where to be and what to do. Can play the kick-behind-play very well.

Good work rate. Covers ground. Presents well. Does the one-percenters.
Moves well. Doesn't mind a dash.

Attacks the traffic. Excellent traffic management generally, but especially over the ball. Excellent at centre bounce clearances.

Determined, courageous, and has good intensity. Physical (and verbal) presence, including ferocious tackling and blocking. Good strength, balance (Very muscley legs – is arguably a bit bow-legged). Doesn’t take eyes off the ball.

Barely adequate pace but good agility and recovery. Can be acrobatic.

Very light feet. Not only good evasion skills generally but good at side-stepping into space to give him time.


Disposal:

Disposal is generally very good by hand or foot, short or long, although I would rate Goddard clearly ahead. Does an occasional blooper, by hand or foot, but disposal is generally a strength not a concern.

Right-footer who has nice kicking style with relaxed power in the legs and nice follow-through. Good depth – 50m easily. Is very good kicking to the lead. Quite proficient with the left also.

Regularly sets up play with long quick feeds.

Not a noted goalkicker but you don't see him wandering into scoring range as much as some U18 onballers.

Injured his shoulder (AC joint) game 2 of 2002 U18 Champs then resumed mid August but “re” injured it after half a game (20 disp, 6m in 2.5 qtrs). Carried it in subsequent games.

Is a highly consistent ball-magnet - 7th highest average disposals in the TAC comp and was highest until injured. He never plays a “poor” game. Despite carrying a bad shoulder since resuming in August, his worst TAC game statistically was 18 disposals - the last game of year and the only time he dipped below 20. Got over 27 or more disposals 8 times out of his 12 TAC games, and 30 or more in 6 of those (including a 44).

He is also 15th up in the number of marks per game. In this era of high possession footy, you have to be a bit careful with "marks/game" stats because so many marks these days are uncontested. However, in Steven's case, a significant proportion of his marks are contested and he is surprisingly capable and reliable, given his height, in pack marking contests.


Query:
- Pace. Is certainly not a slug but I’d describe his pace as “AFL adequate”, no better. He can chase down an opponent over a few metres by virtue of his intensity. I would not back him in a race over 30 metres though. He does run within his means - he likes a dash but seems to be judicious in choosing when to chance his running speed.
- Any likely ongoing problems from 2002 shoulder injury? (I assume not).
- Is he in danger of getting ahead of himself? Self-confidence to the point of premature arrogance. Any team harmony implications? (Just a query – I’m not too concerned). (Not that it matters but he is unlikely to become popular with opposition supporters and players).


Some interesting stats:
- Average 29 disposals in 12 TAC games (5.8 marks, 3.3 tackles, total 13goal-10). Almost 60% of disposals are kicks (standard for his type). Was averaging 34 disposals at the mid-way point of his year but persistent shoulder injury saw the last 6 games at 24 disposals.
- 25 disposals, 8 marks in his only completed 2002 U18 Championships game (SA).


Other stuff:
- All Australian 2002 U18 Championships despite playing only 1.5 games.
- 9 votes (4 games) 2002 Morrish Medal.
- 14th 2002 TAC Coaches Award (21 votes).
- Barracks for St Kilda.
 
Id like to get Gilham, and then Paul Johnson, although chances that Johnson will be around come pick 17?

I suppose it depends...Johnson is seen as a bit of a risk by some (as in not having enough potential to improve), so if all clubs think he is not worth a first rounder and we have the 1st second round pick, we might be in luck. Actually there are probably a few draftees in that bag.

I reckon Johnson sounds like the next Plugger, rather than a genuine ruck prospect.
 

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