Okay, so GWS want Hopper through their academy.
Let's say Hopper attracts a bid in the top 5 (which is where he seems to be rated), GWS then need to come up with 1,502* points to get him. Given GWS currently have pick 8 - which has a point value of 1,551 - they can get him at that pick. However, if Carlton were to get a band 1 compo pick for Kreuzer if we say offered him a biggish contract, suddenly all picks drop a spot and GWS end up with pick 9 which is worth 1,469 which is now not enough to get Hopper. So our 1st pick - whether that remains at 7 or drops to 8 - will be crucial in GWS getting Hopper.
It's certainly within our grasp to effect the draft in terms of it dropping down a cog. If we offered Kreuzer a juicy contract, that would activate band 1 and push GWS out of the frame to nab Hopper with their first round pick. Our 1st pick drops down too but we retain at pick 7 or 8 the points that GWS need to get Hopper. But even if we don't take Kreuzer and the AFL dishes out a compo pick to Brisbane and everyone drops down, the same logic applies. GWS would still need our pick 8 points to get him.
To put it another way, GWS need our pick 7(8) which is why Richmond's nonsense talk about blowing us out of the water with 2 first rounders is a sham. Their pick 12 (13) is not going to help GWS land Hopper. And in this draft it's a bit of a shabby pick anyway.
GWS want our first round for Hopper. If the draft order remains unchanged, all the sweeter for GWS. They can use their pick 8 to nominate for Hopper while using our pick 7 in the draft.
This is why people should stop shitting themselves about being involved in some bidding war with Richmond. Our first and a second round pick is more than enough to get the job done.
* the points required for pick 5 is 1878 but once a 20% discount is applied to academy players the figure becomes 1,502