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NSW, Victoria ‘unlikely’ to regain AAA rating any time soon
Victoria in particular continues to display “structurally weaker budgetary metrics and a higher debt burden relative to domestic peers”, S&P Global says.
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NSW, Victoria ‘unlikely’ to regain AAA rating any time soon
Australia’s two most locked-down states, NSW and Victoria, are unlikely to regain their much-coveted AAA credit ratings in coming years, according to ratings agency S&P Global.
Victoria in particular continues to display “structurally weaker budgetary metrics and a higher debt burden relative to domestic peers”, S&P said, giving it the weakest rating of the nation’s jurisdictions.
NSW’s debt burden continues to rise, but S&P said it had more room to move within its AA+ rating.
“The NSW and Victoria budgets did not factor in the delta wave in their 2021-2022 budgets. They will therefore be weaker than the forecasts contained in their June-quarter budgets,” S&P said.
Victoria’s strict and prolonged COVID-19 lockdowns over the past five months caused its economy to contract 0.4 per cent last financial year, making it the only state to record a decline in 2020-21.
Victoria’s debt is forecast to triple 2019 levels by 2024, while most other states are expected to double their debts. The only exception is Western Australia, which S&P said would reduce its debt in coming years.