News Coronavirus Thread

[7577969923]

Case in point.

It's a numbers game, dangerous in the sense of how easy it is to get it and no vaccine but the data is all over the place depending on who you're reading.



This article here is the best one I've read on the subject overall.

Can't see the article. I am keen to read it.

 

[Snake_Baker]

This article here is the best one I've read on the subject overall.

Do NOT underestimate the impact that the Whores of Babylon (politicians) are placing upon this with regard to their own careers.

Something unforeseen goes pear shaped and it's career over.

They are primarily modifying this FOR THEMSELVES!

 

[CURVE]

Your mortality rate for the flu is too high. In August 2019 there had been 217k diagnosed with flu for the year and 430 deaths. That's 0.2% versus a best-case estimate for Covid 19 of 0.7% based on the South Korean numbers. So based on equal infections there would be approximately 1,500 deaths if we were to replicate South Korea.
It is far too early to tell what the mortality rate in Australia will be. Hopefully, we are at the right end of the scale.

It does feel like they have continually ramped things up to the next level without waiting to see what impact the last changes they made had. I assume they are receiving advice from the experts about what is to come that has the Government extremely worried.

Last year was considered a moderate flu season, Australia averages about 3500 deaths a year from Influenza.


These figures are from 2014.

 

[TennisPlayerAndy]

We'll all get through this, and will fu** the corpse of this campaigner of a virus.

And...we're 1-0.

That’s probably how it started.

 

[TennisPlayerAndy]

Do NOT underestimate the impact that the Whores of Babylon (politicians) are placing upon this with regard to their own careers.

Something unforeseen goes pear shaped and it's career over.

They are primarily modifying this FOR THEMSELVES!

Always back self-interest because you know it’s trying.

 

[Billy Not Really]

Can't see the article. I am keen to read it.

Strange, it got removed from Medium.

But I found it here;

ZeroHedge

ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero

www.zerohedge.com

 

[Scallop Industry Thug]

 

[7577969923]

Last year was considered a moderate flu season, Australia averages about 3500 deaths a year from Influenza.
View attachment 844899

These figures are from 2014.

The last few years the numbers seem to be a lot lower than that. 2017 was described as a severe flu season with about 1,400 deaths.

 

[Billy Not Really]

Do NOT underestimate the impact that the Whores of Babylon (politicians) are placing upon this with regard to their own careers.

Something unforeseen goes pear shaped and it's career over.

They are primarily modifying this FOR THEMSELVES!

Alot of elections are being held this yearglobally so they're being careful every step of the way regardless of who gets affected, but now they're just setting themselves up for a greater challenge after its all said and done with how they respond to the fallout.

 

[TennisPlayerAndy]

I’m going with a nearest the pin guestimate of 50,000 cases Australia wide, with less than 300 deaths.

 

[Scallop Industry Thug]

I’m going with a nearest the pin guestimate of 50,000 cases Australia wide, with less than 300 deaths.

In total? ****, you'd take this and run.

 

[giantroo]

 

[muttley45]

The figures I keep hearing about Italy's situation are absolutely horrendous, and seemingly getting worse by the day.

 

[TennisPlayerAndy]

In total? fu**, you'd take this and run.

Yep.

Judged of total population, travel restrictions, residential proximity, shit being closed (which IMO is becoming overkill), and possible vaccine being developed.

 

[Scallop Industry Thug]

Yep.

Judged of total population, travel restrictions, residential proximity, shit being closed (which IMO is becoming overkill), and possible vaccine being developed.

Andy, I hope to **** you're right.

Also, no pangolin ****ing is in the tick column.

 

[GarnerSmash]

Yep.

Judged of total population, travel restrictions, residential proximity, shit being closed (which IMO is becoming overkill), and possible vaccine being developed.

In the opinion of docs i know the shut down is too late. It will reduce their workload but won't stop them from being overwhelmed.

 

[TennisPlayerAndy]

In the opinion of docs i know the shut down is too late. It will reduce their workload but won't stop them from being overwhelmed.

The total cases aren’t the issue.

The cases that require intensive medical treatment are, so I’m hoping it’s enough.

 

[Billy Not Really]

It will reduce their workload but won't stop them from being overwhelmed.

Do we have any data tracked about hospitals becoming overworked, and is there any evidence to suggest that in say, 1-3 weeks they will be overwhelmed?

We can't look at Italy as the golden rule, we aren't in the same scenario.
I have surgery in April, expecting it to be cancelled, hospital says they're fine and I'm still good to go.

 

[CURVE]

The last few years the numbers seem to be a lot lower than that. 2017 was described as a severe flu season with about 1,400 deaths.

Flu vaccines have helped, but the numbers are still higher than Corona Virus without a vaccine. Except for last year.

 

[TennisPlayerAndy]

Do we have any data tracked about hospitals becoming overworked, and is there any evidence to suggest that in say, 1-3 weeks they will be overwhelmed?

We can't look at Italy as the golden rule, we aren't in the same scenario.
I have surgery in April, expecting it to be cancelled, hospital says they're fine and I'm still good to go.

Italy it seems are an outlier and aren’t comparable.

 

[Scallop Industry Thug]

Snake_Baker based on your knowledge, is secondary infection a widespread possibility? (not sure if that's the correct term. I mean can we keep catching it)

 

[Cyber_punk]

Everyone gotta quarantine and homebody introverts be all like

 

[GarnerSmash]

The total cases aren’t the issue.

The cases that require intensive medical treatment are, so I’m hoping it’s enough.

Well yeah, the docs are expecting that the cases requiring hospitalisation will be overwhelming already. This shut down will help, but they still expect to get smashed.

Their opinion on how regular peeps should approach this is as follows:

 

[mouncey2franklin]

If in the end there is no overwhelming of the hospitals, no mass deaths, etc, will everybody assume that we were saved by the lockdowns and so forth?

Or will some people point out there is a difference between correlation and causation?

 

[GarnerSmash]

Do we have any data tracked about hospitals becoming overworked, and is there any evidence to suggest that in say, 1-3 weeks they will be overwhelmed?

We can't look at Italy as the golden rule, we aren't in the same scenario.
I have surgery in April, expecting it to be cancelled, hospital says they're fine and I'm still good to go.

Italy is off the charts and we aint there at all. Alls i know is that our hospitals are expecting shit to get real so are keen for peeps to do as much as possible to avoid infection.