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All positive points. However, what we also have is one of the highest private debt to income ratios in the world. We can thank greed and short term government policies for that.We're pretty well placed. Largely because we DIDN'T suffer much in 2008.
Imbeciles claim money was wasted by Rudd/Swan then but what they did was hailed globally as the world's best response, and it was. They kept unemployment down below 10 per cent which is critical. It takes so much longer to get that rate down than it does for it to go up.
We have enormous advantages though. The first is super. We have an enormous pile of cash and assets that we can use to get through this.
We can thank Paul Keating for that. It is a generationally defining policy achievement and it will save us here.
We also have vast amounts of raw materials of every sort. Some will be in less demand in a global slowdown, but we also have stuff like lithium that will be in high demand.
We have great human capital as well. Our medical research is world leading, and we have hugely important soft power cultural production.
Most importantly though, we have very strong political and governance institutions. Our system will hold up in ways that other countries don't have.
Take Britain. The 2008 crash led directly to the Brexit vote. Even by the Brexiteers own admission leaving the EU will cost 5-10 per cent of GDP. Add that to what is happening and British living standards are going to be below where they were in 2007 well into the 2030s.
Australian living standards in the 2030s will be well ahead of where they are now (presuming the climate effects aren't too bad)
On Keating, while Super is a positive legacy, he also introduced negative gearing. That policy has more than anything led to a ramping up of property prices which has blunted the full potential of Super and has contributed to our current vulnerability to excessive debt.




