Racing Cox Plate 2018

Winx Winning Margin

  • 8L+

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • 6-7.99L

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • 4-5.99L

    Votes: 5 17.9%
  • 3-3.99L

    Votes: 3 10.7%
  • 2-2.99L

    Votes: 5 17.9%
  • 1-1.99L

    Votes: 8 28.6%
  • 0.5-0.99L

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Nose-0.49L

    Votes: 1 3.6%
  • none of the above, i am a flog.

    Votes: 6 21.4%

  • Total voters
    28
  • Poll closed .

HeathComeBack

Norm Smith Medallist
Mar 17, 2014
5,573
5,263
AFL Club
Collingwood
Winx will position up last in this small field. I can see Hughie letting her loose about 800m from home and she gaps them. If Dargento puts on too much speed it might bring Humidor into the race. Just can’t see that happening.
i cannot possibly see Humidor beating Benbati. Banbati treated him with contempt last start.
 

RobbyRoy

Premiership Player
May 3, 2007
4,519
1,993
AFL Club
GWS
Other Teams
Victory
But he still won't beat Winx because last years CP she was having her 5th run for the prep which I always felt was one too many as it was her longest prep since she has been dominating. The year before it was her 4th and the year before her 3rd. Being wide the trip also didn't help her finishing burst after a long prep.
4th run in this prep, she will blow them away again.
Agree about the 4th up factor. Since the streak started her 4th up efforts have included the 2016 Doncaster (way back then Bowman bustles through at the 300 and pulls clear of HC), the 2nd Cox Plate (perhaps the most dominant win of her career), the 2017 QE (cruises about 6 wide then lengthens for the most effortless of wins), and the 2017 Turnbull (or maybe this was the most effortless). Clearly performs pretty well at every stage of the prep but these would be close to her four best performances.
 

Duritz

Scourge of Bookmakers
Oct 15, 2007
33,996
31,376
AFL Club
Brisbane Lions
This track is going to be very quick, like last year. She prefers it softer. That, and Bowman is riding like a campaigner make me think the 1.24 is unders.
 

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rideclutch

Premium Platinum
Jun 25, 2011
9,131
8,612
AFL Club
Richmond
Other Teams
Formula 1, PGA Tour
Been tied up with work, so late to the party but FWIW:

Loved Matt Chapman's comments. Don't have to agree with him, but he's giving the sport exposure both in the wider media and the people who follow him from Europe. He IS a bit of a dickhead, but Waller took the bait big time - should've just played it off or even invited him to his stables; spun it a different way etc.

I think she'll win (lol gud 1 bro) but I got a lot of time for Benbatl. It just goes to show how vast the gap is when he's comfortably held by A graders in Europe yet he's probably one of the best horses they've sent out here for the race. Backing him for a place is my recommended play in the race, but I'm not investing heavily.

Been burnt by Humidor too many times, I can't back him here. He's not a profile horse - he's an on-the-day run of the race type horse and it's very very hard to predict that accurately. Good luck if he's your get out.
 

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PP34

Finals MVP
Oct 8, 2009
26,555
19,652
AFL Club
Carlton
Got a bet on Winx to go undefeated in the spring. This would be her last run tomorrow for the Spring right?
 

PP34

Finals MVP
Oct 8, 2009
26,555
19,652
AFL Club
Carlton
What about the MacKinnon? Obviously depends on how tough it's run is tomorrow, but wouldn't that make sense for a nice farewell to Melbourne racing?
I just had a look at her races. Every year she's gone for a 3 month break after the Cox Plate.
 

LukeParkerno1

Post-Human
Sep 23, 2005
107,937
40,677
AFL Club
Sydney
Other Teams
Sydney Swans
I just had a look at her races. Every year she's gone for a 3 month break after the Cox Plate.
She has, but with the exception of the last run, none have been tough. I don't know, but maybe they will push onto the MacKinnon. You could well be right, and the Winx team will do what's best for the horse
 

Cash is King

Team Captain
Sep 8, 2016
322
181
AFL Club
Carlton
Gonna price boost my sisters Neds with Winx for a grand then lay her on the exchange for a guaranteed. Hundred. Should never really do this on the piss but it’s a Saturday and it’s been a hard week at work.

Like Savatiano for the boosted odds of $2.34 also
 

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