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Cox Plate

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Race 1: JILL'S ANGEL
Race 2: JOHANSKI
Race 3: AVENUE
Race 4: RANGIRANGDOO
Race 5: CARRARA
Race 6: DANLEIGH
Race 7: LODGE THE DEEDS
Race 8: SCENIC SHOT
Race 9: SILENT SOPHIA

Race 3: 3/1 exacta
Race 4: 1,6 box exacta
Race 5: 1,2 box exacta
Race 6: 1,2,5 box trifecta
Race 7: 4,6/4,6,9,11/1,4,6,9,11,15
Race 8: 5,10/1,5,10,11/1,2,5,10,11,14
Race 9: 2,3,14 box quinella

BET OF THE DAY: Race 6 - Danleigh win
 
OK everyone I'm gonna tip the card for you... you can thank me after.

Race 1 - Devils Melody (fresh 2yos = pick random number, #7 it is)
Race 2 - Sublimity
Race 3 - Avenue
Race 4 - Raffaello
Race 5 - Extra Zero
Race 6 - Light Fantastic
Race 7 - Hissing Sid
Race 8 - Speed Gifted
Race 9 - Prima Nova
 
Road to Rock is easily the best outsider of the race, 26-1 is ridiculous odds for a horse with his quality and form.

For the record; Heart of Dreams and Whobe to fight it out with Road to Rock and Manhattan Rain.
 

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Race 1: Jill’s Angel
Race 2: Zaleba
Race 3: Avenue
Race 4: Raffealo
Race 5’ Cararra
Race 6’ Apache Cat
Race 7: Ista Kareem
Race 8: Heart Of Dreams
Race 9: Sparkling Satine

Quaddie 1,4,5,7/1,4,6,14/1,9,10,11/2,5,9,12
 
Moonee Valley
2-3 Angelic Heart - Unlucky last start
4-3 Raffaello - Should account for these. Not alot of depth to it apart from #1
6-1 Apache Cat - The champ will run down Lucky Secret
7-4 Hissing Sid -
8-10 Whobegotyou - Just can't go past him and his odds are longer than they should be
9-4 Prima Nova - Class Edge

Morphettville
3-3 Musigny
4-7 Naughty Boy
6-5 Lapel - Suited by the barrier and front runners track
7-3 Barwon Express
8-5 Holy Guacamoley - Best weighted horse of the day
 
Road to Rock is easily the best outsider of the race, 26-1 is ridiculous odds for a horse with his quality and form.

For the record; Heart of Dreams and Whobe to fight it out with Road to Rock and Manhattan Rain.
His quality? As in an 'ok' 2000m WFA horse? Their are plenty with more proven quality in the field than him.

His form is good yes but I reckon his quality would be the big question mark.
 
1 - Merger Benfits - I pick this one because it cost the most.
2 - Zaleba
3 - Avenue
4 - Rangirangdoo
5 - Viking Legend
6 - Apache Cat
7 - Hissing Sid
8 - Heart of Dreams
9 - Estee
 
Thoughts on the race:


El Segundo - Hasn't been his good self this season, and terrible barrier. Fav track sure to help though.
Zipping - Think he's proven he's not up to winning a top race, not sure barrier 2 helps either.
Vision and Power - Run very good in Yalumba, track upgrade to good is not ideal, distance should be fine. Think he'll go well.
Nom Du Jeu - Handicapper and he couldn't run past Miss Marrielle. Bad in Yalumba.
Scenic Shot - Should be in a good spot close enough to make a challenge and the distance is ideal for him. Turnbull run very good, think he'll go well today.
Black Pirahna - Another Toorak horse in the Cox Plate, definite no for mine. Good miler though.
Road To Rock - Not the worst, can run 2000m unlike B.Pirahna and Rock Kingdom who i don't think can.
Speed Gifted - Tight track should be against him.
Whobegotyou - Horse to beat although not much has seperated him with Heart Of Dreams this season.
Heart of Dreams - Tipping this horse to win by getting the perfect run with a lead over the main run-on types. Odds gap between him and Whobe are too much in my opinion considering their close battles.
Rock Kingdom. - Epsom form B-grade, and he barely won it.
Manhattan Rain - Interrupted season, and 3rd up at 2000m having never run that far, no thanks. Couldn't catch Carrara or the Banner and what price would they be here?
So You Think - Can't say i can see a horse being a Cox Plate chance at their 5th race start. Tight track might be against him too. Under the odds due to Bart mania.



Ratings:


Distance:
1 - Scenic Shot
2 - Vision and Power
3 - Whobegotyou / Heart of Dreams
Lay: Rock Kingdom

Track:
1 - Whobegotyou
2 - El Segundo
3 - Heart of Dreams
Lay: Speed Gifted

Form:
1 - Whobegotyou / Heart of Dreams
3 - Vision and Power
Lay: El Segundo

Class:
1 - Whobegotyou
2 - Heart Of Dreams
3 - Vision And Power
Lay: Zipping

Overall:
1 - Heart of Dreams
2 - Whobegotyou
3 - Vision and Power.
 
Others today i like are,

Extra Zero - Has run well at the Valley before, and seems like he could peak for a race like this after a good Guineas run.

Hissing Sid - Pretty good in his last race and Alcopop and Shocking aren't in this race.
 
Race1: Watch it but don't waste your money
Race2: Sublimity
Race 3: Avenue*
Race 4: Maxisun
Race 5: Extra Zero
Race 6: Light Fantastic
Race 7: Hissing Sid
Race 8: Whobegotyou
Race 9: Not going to bother with this way, raffle!
 
Something interesting in the last race at MV - Subtle Cove.. Was flying from Sydney to Melbourne on Thursday night and Jason Coyle was on the plane with a smile on his face. His only runner for the day, so just a bit of an omen bet.
 

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Good to see the 4 great champs on parade at the Valley, Might and Power, Fields of Omagh, Saintly and my favourite Better Loosen Up who would go on to smash the world a month later in the 1990 Japan Cup.
 
Amazing...

Before the Melbourne Cup last year, everyone thought Bart had just about lost the knack. Looks like he's found his seventh wind! ;) :p

Ahh well, had my money on Scenic Shot, but you can't win them all. Correct me if I'm wrong, but Maldivian won from the front last year didn't he?!
 

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Cox Plate

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