Nearly 90 percent of test matches get a result so backing the draw is a quick way to poverty!
Cricket Betting. Best Cricket Tipster in the land in here.
- Thread starter Austoraisetheurn
- Start date
- Tagged users None
Each to there own but value exists both ways.
A market you rate as a $3 chance and can get $6 should be backed as it is value. If the market changes in play and is now being offered $2 but you still rate it a $3 chance it should be layed, as laying it is value.
Price and value works both ways as those using BF regularly would know.
- Sep 17, 2014
- 1,152
- 1,292
- AFL Club
- West Coast
He backed a draw at 5s and it come into even money before a ball was even bowled. Good bet for me.
If you buy and hold all 5 days then yeah, it's a bad bet. The bet was always going to be a cash out/hedging play when the market firmed further and I wrote an extensive analysis of the plan a couple of posts later. Test match cricket is the best sport in the world for betting on results as it throws up all manner of opportunities throughout a game if you can think a couple of sessions ahead.
No it didn’t
Yes fair enough. And I agree with you test crixket is the best sport in the world to bet on and make good $$
So I just laid the draw at different times during the game but never backed it so I guess we have a similar system
Austoraisetheurn
Cancelled
- Aug 25, 2019
- 619
- 976
- AFL Club
- Collingwood
- Thread starter
- #608
Of course. It was a superb hedge/trade when looked at as a 'one-off' event. Called in advance and traded to perfection. Very well done.
My point is what do you do if that trade goes against you?
That determines whether you can make it as a profitable gambler. Do you trade out for a 20% loss of your original stake or do you let it run for a 100% loss.
Austoraisetheurn
Cancelled
- Aug 25, 2019
- 619
- 976
- AFL Club
- Collingwood
- Thread starter
- #609
Once again i walked away from the match with a profit.
Roston Chase cashing again in the 4's overs market.
This game is simple but hard.
Only the most emotionally stable can handle the heat in this kitchen.
Risking money to make money sets the men from the boys.
Sets the risk takers from the public servants who never take risk.
Come get some.
Roston Chase cashing again in the 4's overs market.
This game is simple but hard.
Only the most emotionally stable can handle the heat in this kitchen.
Risking money to make money sets the men from the boys.
Sets the risk takers from the public servants who never take risk.
Come get some.
Austoraisetheurn
Cancelled
- Aug 25, 2019
- 619
- 976
- AFL Club
- Collingwood
- Thread starter
- #610
No doubt. But that approach only works if you trade out when the market moves against you. Otherwise you are selling your winners short and letting your losses run.
That’s a good point. I am starting to think you know what you are talking about
Draw is short for next test. Must be some bad weather around.
Austoraisetheurn
Cancelled
- Aug 25, 2019
- 619
- 976
- AFL Club
- Collingwood
- Thread starter
- #613
It has taken you 25 pages to work that out?
Mate i have been killing it on here.
Fair chance of rain on 4 of the 5 days play. Will wait until about the lunch break on Friday to figure out the situation and bet accordingly.
Austoraisetheurn
Cancelled
- Aug 25, 2019
- 619
- 976
- AFL Club
- Collingwood
- Thread starter
- #615
Pro tip to those looking to bet on some of the player's exotic markets. Benny Stokes has a poor recording in the 2nd innings when Eng bowl first. Obvious explanation is his technique falls down with the bat due to poor fitness.
Ended up getting on the draw yesterday at $2.80 and it's now into $2.40 without a ball being bowled.
Will once again look to lay it off at some point during the game once things unfold a bit more.
Will once again look to lay it off at some point during the game once things unfold a bit more.
Looks like no rain the first day then showers off and on for the rest of the match. This will be the best odds we can get for England for the whole series. Think I will be getting n them.
Hope y u managed to lay off?
Not yet, was otherwise occupied last night and missed the day's play. Will let it play out a bit further today and see how the situation looks later on.
Cometh the hour cometh the decison.
England are currently at $1.30 would allow me to hedge the outcome by putting 3x my initial bet on England to win and call it a day coming out about even.
With that said it's been a profitable week elsewhere so I'm going to let it ride without hedging.
A couple of reasons for this, first and foremost I won't miss the stake invested, but also the pitch is looking very uninspired the last couple of days of play, plus the Windies should (hopefully) bat better than the did day 5 of the second test. Plus the outside chance of some rain. Bring on day 5 of a hard fought draw and consider it an inverse $2.80 8 leg multi of batsmen going out, where if 2 batsmen don't go out the bet gets up.
England are currently at $1.30 would allow me to hedge the outcome by putting 3x my initial bet on England to win and call it a day coming out about even.
With that said it's been a profitable week elsewhere so I'm going to let it ride without hedging.
A couple of reasons for this, first and foremost I won't miss the stake invested, but also the pitch is looking very uninspired the last couple of days of play, plus the Windies should (hopefully) bat better than the did day 5 of the second test. Plus the outside chance of some rain. Bring on day 5 of a hard fought draw and consider it an inverse $2.80 8 leg multi of batsmen going out, where if 2 batsmen don't go out the bet gets up.
As I said earlier you will go broke backing the draw in test cricket
Think that might have happened this test match! And I believe he let it run for a 100 percent loss
Looks like good weather for the first test between England and Pakistan. Think I will have a good crack at England!
Austoraisetheurn
Cancelled
- Aug 25, 2019
- 619
- 976
- AFL Club
- Collingwood
- Thread starter
- #625
Exactly right.
We soon find out who are the lightweights when the blow torch has been applied.
I regularly wager 4 figure sums on outcomes. I move markets. I alter outcomes.
You need to remove your emotions to succeed in this game.
It does come at a cost.
Are you prepared to pay the price?
