Draft Watcher Davo-27's 2019 Draft Watch

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so far the Championships have been good to watch, but i was thinking about the players missing from each team either through injury or not selected, more from a Vic and Allies PoV as im not as sure on the SA and WA talent not picked in the squads or injured for the Champs

Vic Country:
Cooper Stephens - Geel - Tall Mid, injured his leg a few weeks before the champs
Flynn Perez - Bend - Half Back, injured his ACL in Pre-season
Darcey Chirgwin - Sand - originally from Geel, had a great comeback game this week, 32 disp, 16 tackles, might get a run?
Chas Karpala - Geel - he is a dark horse for the draft, talented, high tackle count, a good smokey for the draft imo
Charlie Lazzaro - Geel - highly skilled mid for the 2020 pool, wasnt selected in squad

Vic Metro:
Lachlan Stapleton - East - was injured and has made a return recently, might get an opportunity for the last game?
Ryan Byrnes - Sand - similarly injured and returned recently, might get an opportunity in last game?
Zak Pretty - East - not in VM squad, should be, accumulator and high clearance player, also strong bodied and good endurance
Eddie Ford - West - he is VM's Elijah Hollands and yet wasnt selected in the squad, he and Hollands will be players to watch in the 2020 pool
Josh Clarke - East - very classy half back in the 2020 pool, wasnt selected for squad
Jackson Davies - North - composed half back from northern knights

Allies:
Ben Kelly - Murr - one of the better rucks in the pool, 19 yr old, has not got a game yet for Allies
Logan Fitzgerald - Bend - active half back with skill, another Allies player i thought would play more games
Beau O'Connell - NT - im surprised he has not gotten a run, dangerous HFF
Jackson Callow - TAS - an interesting product from Tas for 2020, could replace Ellem at FF, can kick bags of goals
Alex Davies - GCS - another 2020 prospect who has shown promise, could play mid or a flank

WA:
Jack Musika - WA - wasnt selected in squad but is an accumulator and looked good in trials
Mitch Georgiades - WA - injured tall forw, looked good in 2018 champs, bad luck he isnt playing in the champs this yr

SA:
Declan Carmody - SA - 19 yr old that looked and played similar to Mead, would like to see what he can produce in the champs
Tom Rundle - SA - played ruck in the trials, although KPP size he was really handy around the grounds and competed well, injured recently
Thilthorpe - SA - 2020 ruck prospect, i have yet to see play - injured
Schofield - SA - 2020 prospect, i have yet to see play - injured
Stapleton named best for Ranges yesterday, classy left footer, similar to Pretty in style, maybe a tad more outside than Pretty but both accumulators and use ball to advantage. Clarke has the tools, probably needs to improve disposal in tight and decision making under pressure but another 12 months at this level should do that.
 
Hearing very good things about Ugle-Hagan, if he's dogs NGA they'd be very happy.

atm i have Ugle-Hagan at around 15-30 draft range, but obviously if he starts kicking bags and playing good footy he can rise in the rankings, as its very early and my rankings are fluid until near the end of their draft years, i saw he got an article written about him which is a nice confidence boost for the young man.

also i heard Cal Twomey talk about the AFL clearing up the NGA information in July so we might know more about all the NGA's for the next few years in July some time.
 
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Sam Berry (Gipps) looks a likely type for the 2020 pool, also Fraser Phillips having a good game with 5.3 goals for Gipps and Brock Smith having a strong game also against Oakleigh, while Sparkes also pushes for a chance to get drafted, Jenkins (Oak) is another to watch for 2020

Jye Chalcraft (Murr) also playing well, he is another that probably should have made the VC team and is a possible draft chance

Liam Herbert and Mitch Martin having good games for GWV, pushing their claims to be drafted.

Ben Worme (Bend) having a good game and pressing for a shot at representing VC in at least 1 of the remaining 2 games, Josh Treacy (Bend) kicking 4 goals and looking good for 2020

Darcy Chirgwin (Sand) putting in a good effort against Eastern in the rain, Stapleton (East) also performing well in the wet, with the 2 big men at Eastern guaranteeing the win Billy McCormack and Ben Hickleton having strong games
 
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atm i have Ugle-Hagan at around 15-30 draft range, but obviously if he starts kicking bags and playing good footy he can rise in the rankings, as its very early and my rankings are fluid until near the end of their draft years, i saw he got an article written about him which is a nice confidence boost for the young man.

also i heard Cal Twomey talk about the AFL clearing up the NGA information in July so we might know more about all the NGA's for the next few years in July some time.
Oh really? That sucks. We have some talent coming in the next two years
 
Oh really? That sucks. We have some talent coming in the next two years
The likely changes could involve stopping clubs having dibs on players early (First couple of rounds). Players taken later would probably be fine.

Unfortunately, it may mean Ugle-Hagan is taken off the Dogs
 
Sam Berry (Gipps) looks a likely type for the 2020 pool, also Fraser Phillips having a good game with 5.3 goals for Gipps and Brock Smith having a strong game also against Oakleigh, while Sparkes also pushes for a chance to get drafted, Jenkins (Oak) is another to watch for 2020

Jye Chalcraft (Murr) also playing well, he is another that probably should have made the VC team and is a possible draft chance

Liam Herbert and Mitch Martin having good games for GWV, pushing their claims to be drafted.

Ben Worme (Bend) having a good game and pressing for a shot at representing VC in at least 1 of the remaining 2 games, Josh Treacy (Bend) kicking 4 goals and looking good for 2020

Darcy Chirgwin (Sand) putting in a good effort against Eastern in the rain, Stapleton (East) also performing well in the wet, with the 2 big men at Eastern guaranteeing the win Billy McCormack and Ben Hickleton having strong games
Hi Davo, fair to say that the Ranges have surprised this year. Where did you have them at the start of the year and how do you assess them as a team? They have a very good engine room; Smith, Pretty, Stapleton and others that rotate through there (McCormack, Zalac, Sal F.). Solid backline (least points scored against) and effective fwd line and some class around the edges; Mellis, Clarke, Downie, Jaworski, Parker. Hickleton consistently hits the scoreboard, brings good aggression and pressure for a 6'4" key fwd, but low possessions. What are your thoughts on him?
 
Hi Davo, fair to say that the Ranges have surprised this year. Where did you have them at the start of the year and how do you assess them as a team? They have a very good engine room; Smith, Pretty, Stapleton and others that rotate through there (McCormack, Zalac, Sal F.). Solid backline (least points scored against) and effective fwd line and some class around the edges; Mellis, Clarke, Downie, Jaworski, Parker. Hickleton consistently hits the scoreboard, brings good aggression and pressure for a 6'4" key fwd, but low possessions. What are your thoughts on him?

if you read the earlier posts in this thread you'll see i thought Eastern would be a top 4 team with Gippsland, Oakleigh and Sandringham, i liked what Bendigo and Dandenong had to offer earlier in the season with all their talent on board and it seems Bendigo couldnt hold up their good game plan without some of their school footy kids.

i actually had Ben Hickleton as 1 to look out for last year, he has been alright, theres 3 windows into proving yourself draftable, the first 3 games when all the kids are playing TAC, then the Trials/National Champs, then the Finals, he has missed the first 2 opportunities, so the finals is his last chance to push his draft credentials, but im unsure if he will get drafted at this stage, maybe a team wants to invest in a project tall? that would be his best bet otherwise unlikely if he doesnt smash the finals.

April 2nd

My View on the best teams in the NAB League.

Sandringham Dragons and Bendigo Pioneers are my 2 favourite teams to watch, Sandy remind me a bit of Dandenong last year with so much depth its crazy, Bendigo seem really strong, their midfield and defence is very strong and they had a forward step up for them on the weekend so they are looking really good and balanced, early call but i wouldnt be surprised to see them both play off in the GF, Oakleigh is the only other challenger only because of Anderson, Rowell and Williams and how strong those individuals are, but Oakleigh seem to lack the depth needed for a premiership push so far, although a couple of underagers have stepped up and if a few more do they could challenge, another team i liked were Dandenong, they have a tough style of footy i like and they have better performers than some thought.

from my POV so far this season, they are all undefeated as well
1. Sandringham
2. Bendigo
------------------
3. Oakleigh
4. Dandenong

before the season started i did not expect those teams to be at the top, i thought Oakleigh, Sandy, Gipps and Eastern would be top 4, i never thought Bendigo would be so high and end up being my favourite team to watch, thats a huge surprise, but a good surprise.

Eastern have a good squad, probably stronger than i first thought, theres a mix of good 16 and 17/8 year olds as well as Cody Hirst who got picked up by the Swans in the mid-season draft

i dont think the ruck is a strong area, McCormack does well in the ruck, but he is more useful as a forward, Pretty, Stapleton, Salele, Kalac, Downie are a strong midfield, the defence of Ross, Hourihan, Clarke are very strong with some good squad players like Gilbee who is unlikely to be drafted but he is a great squad player, then forward you have some quality that doesnt get as much praise in players like Gawel, Duffy(who is short but is a good pressure player), Mellis who plays HFF and mid, Hickleton who has given you a handy big man target all year(with McCormack and frees him to ruck part time), Jaworski who has come from nowhere, Rossiter who has been ok, White who has played some handy games as well.

they will be up there come finals time.
 
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The likely changes could involve stopping clubs having dibs on players early (First couple of rounds). Players taken later would probably be fine.

Unfortunately, it may mean Ugle-Hagan is taken off the Dogs
Why not remove/reduce the discount and require clubs to use a same round draft pick from either that draft or the next (not quite sure how this would work to avoid wrangling of picks via trading, but perhaps it could require an original pre-trading draft pick).
 
Why not remove/reduce the discount and require clubs to use a same round draft pick from either that draft or the next (not quite sure how this would work to avoid wrangling of picks via trading, but perhaps it could require an original pre-trading draft pick).
I have always agreed with this. Why on Earth should clubs be getting a discount in the first place? It's already enough that they get dibs on the player, but to get a discount on top is just taking the piss.
 
I have always agreed with this. Why on Earth should clubs be getting a discount in the first place? It's already enough that they get dibs on the player, but to get a discount on top is just taking the piss.

Because of the work effort and training they delivered to set up the training facilities to generate this talent from an under representative area.

No discount = no investment by the clubs in doing the academies.

Let’s make it perfectly clear. No academies = reduced intake and potentially no pathway for under representative areas.

Whereas GWS have a high yielding region both currently and historically. That’s the difference!
 
Is Luder short for Luddite?

Because of the work effort and training they delivered to set up the training facilities to generate this talent from an under representative area.

No discount = no investment by the clubs in doing the academies.

Let’s make it perfectly clear. No academies = reduced intake and potentially no pathway for under representative areas.

Whereas GWS have a high yielding region both currently and historically. That’s the difference!
Why can't the reward be having first dibs? Why does the discount need to apply. Same case with father sons
 
Why can't the reward be having first dibs? Why does the discount need to apply. Same case with father sons

Let’s provide an example... club x, does numerous clinics in deepest darkest remotest Australia, and they notice some kids with significant talent for their age.

Now suppose they have a chat to well meaning interest groups who think that given the kids have talent and a desire to one day be an AFL football play that the arrange scholarships for them to continue at high profile private schools to firstly give them good schooling but also focus and harness their football ability.

Then on top of that the AFL clubs through Academies give them full access to an AFL club for specialist skills training, fitness training and dietary training. Access to training and interaction with AFL stars, and sponsorship to engage in elite training in AFL programs with full sponsorship and equipment.

What if the same kid was told yeh got some talent but sort yourself out.

Because that’s the difference. It’s not the AFL that goes out in the bush finding talent it’s the clubs.

The clubs need a reward! Not just a pat in the back!
 
Let’s provide an example... club x, does numerous clinics in deepest darkest remotest Australia, and they notice some kids with significant talent for their age.

Now suppose they have a chat to well meaning interest groups who think that given the kids have talent and a desire to one day be an AFL football play that the arrange scholarships for them to continue at high profile private schools to firstly give them good schooling but also focus and harness their football ability.

Then on top of that the AFL clubs through Academies give them full access to an AFL club for specialist skills training, fitness training and dietary training. Access to training and interaction with AFL stars, and sponsorship to engage in elite training in AFL programs with full sponsorship and equipment.

What if the same kid was told yeh got some talent but sort yourself out.

Because that’s the difference. It’s not the AFL that goes out in the bush finding talent it’s the clubs.

The clubs need a reward! Not just a pat in the back!
Then why does the same still apply for "developing" kids who would have made their way into the AFL regardless? People like Tarryn Thomas and Nick Blakey last year, for example. Both went in the top 10, and both would have easily made their way onto lists anyway, but Sydney and North both received significant discount and first dibs on these two
 

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Then why does the same still apply for "developing" kids who would have made their way into the AFL regardless? People like Tarryn Thomas and Nick Blakey last year, for example. Both went in the top 10, and both would have easily made their way onto lists anyway, but Sydney and North both received significant discount and first dibs on these two

One is nominally developing talent in NSW and one in Tasmania... think about how many people get drafted from those two regions each year as against let’s say Vic Metro.

Bigger the draw area for players will eventually relate to bigger audiences, and expansion of the code.
 
Luddite exceptions don’t make for the rule.

One is nominally developing talent in NSW and one in Tasmania... think about how many people get drafted from those two regions each year as against let’s say Vic Metro.

Bigger the draw area for players will eventually relate to bigger audiences, and expansion of the code.

Or we could all be Luddites
I completely understand the idea of providing opportunity to those who otherwise wouldn't make it - but especially in the case of Blakey, his status as a father/son should have ruled him out of academy eligibility. I feel the system is broken in that it doesn't serve the purpose it is supposed to, but instead provides random extra benefit to clubs.

If anything, I think they should remove the discount from those bid on in the 1st and 2nd round. These are the kids who would have made it regardless of whether a club intervened.
 
I completely understand the idea of providing opportunity to those who otherwise wouldn't make it - but especially in the case of Blakey, his status as a father/son should have ruled him out of academy eligibility. I feel the system is broken in that it doesn't serve the purpose it is supposed to, but instead provides random extra benefit to clubs.

If anything, I think they should remove the discount from those bid on in the 1st and 2nd round. These are the kids who would have made it regardless of whether a club intervened.

Agree on father son v academy rorting via Sydney in this instance.

Totally disagree in your concept of removing discount for 1st 2nd rounders.

A : it doesn’t encourage the existence of NGA’s
B: encourages clubs to hide players and not let them develop to the best of their potential in U18’s
 
This has been discussed so many times.

The northern clubs invest significant funds in to their academies every year, primarily because the pathways are not as developed up here, and the talent is spread thin, far and wide. AFL is not the dominant football code, the junior clubs that do exist don't have the same level of top talent or depth that is seen in Vic, SA or WA.

That's why we have Club Academies that begin at 12 years of age, so the best talent can be pulled in to an academy and receive specialised development, and each year clubs hold talent ID camps so any kids who are late developers get pulled in to the academies at some point.

We have seen in this years NAB League, our Northern Academies still aren't up to the level of the Vic NAB League teams.

Much of the junior talent play many sports, and there is a big push for many of the talented kids to change sports or codes when they enter secondary school, whether that be from Private Schools playing a different code and require students to prioritise school sports over club sports, or talented junior receiving scholarships or even contracts from Union or League.

The sporting landscape, junior pathways for other sports, and what contact and contracts professional football clubs can have and offer juniors is different up here compared to Victoria. Bit hard for AFL to compete when Rugby League is offering 14 year olds $5k - $10k per annum to join their junior clubs, or Private Schools are offering full scholarships.

Plus, Rugby League don't have a draft, so it's a bidding war between NRL clubs for the top young talent each year. Kalyn Ponga was in the Brisbane Lions academy, but we couldn't keep him, when in 2016 the North Queensland Cowboys NRL club offered him a significant contract as a 17 year old, and then North Queensland lost him a year later when the Newcastle Knights offered the then 18 year old a 5 year $3.6million contract. Which is currently being renegotiated to $6million.

It's hard to keep kids in AFL when they have to go through a draft, on a rookie contract, compared to NRL where kids can choose which club they go to and can earn so much more.

That's what AFL is up against up here.
 
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Then we have the farce that is the NGA academies. The vast majority of these kids already have played AFL through the junior pathways in Victoria, and made it in to a NAB League team at U16 level before being "identified" by an AFL team, and received token "training" by an AFL club.


Jake Niall wrote an article last year about the farce of the NGA academies, where many Vic AFL clubs invest more money and time researching NAB leagues kids family backgrounds than they invest in "developing" these kids and contact time.
 
Then we have the farce that is the NGA academies. The vast majority of these kids already have played AFL through the junior pathways in Victoria, and made it in to a NAB League team at U16 level before being "identified" by an AFL team, and received token "training" by an AFL club.


Jake Niall wrote an article last year about the farce of the NGA academies, where many Vic AFL clubs invest more money and time researching NAB leagues kids family backgrounds than they invest in "developing" these kids and contact time.
Tbf NGAs have only been around a couple of years, we're still 5 years before we see the impact that's been expected, but it was always going to be a likely scenario that kids already playing footy were the ones that would get drafted
 
2 of the best posts re the difference between the Northern Academies and the NGAs I have read briztoon , awesome stuff.

NGAs are a rort bought in to appease the heartland clubs because of the perceived unfair academies, the vast majority of these players would be playing Australian Rules without the NGAs. IIRC there are more indigenous players as a percentage playing in the AFL than there are in the general population, the Northern Academies are a very different beast.

Note- I just had a look at the figures and 3.3% of the Australian population is indigenous and 10% of AFL players are indigenous.
 
Dubious world of AFL's Next Generation Academies


The purported purpose of these academies, like the northern state versions, is to bring players into the game who otherwise would be unlikely to make it – a commendable ambition. In practice, though, this is not what is happening.

The clubs are not uncovering athletic Sudanese basketballers, with minimal footy backgrounds and converting them; they’re harvesting from the existing crops. They look at their under 18 or WAFL/SANFL team(s), check out who might qualify and apply to have them listed as NGA recruits.

It would be overstating matters to call the NGA system a rort, because the AFL – not the clubs – set it up. But the eligibility and rules for NGA must be re-examined, or completely discarded. As it stands, up to a quarter of the national draft pool might be locked down by either NGA, Northern Academies or father-sons this year. The uncompromised draft is dead and, in the long run, this does not help the equalisation process.
 
I think that article has some great points. It’s worth pointing out that Sth Aus clubs (and prob wa clubs) have different access than Victorian clubs do.

Ports 2 nga kids from 2018 draft were genuine and wouldn’t be on a list if it wasn’t for ports training though. Pudney and Frederick are of Japanese and Sudanese heritage.

From ports POV we have a huge issue with the son of a 4 time premiership captain of the club being zoned to Adelaide because he was born in Egypt when his dad worked there for 1 year.
 
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