Prediction Do you think we make finals?

[Drugs Are Bad Mackay?]

I reckon the final 8 teams are there now, although I'd love to see Hawthorn lose their next couple and get vulnerable.

Next three please

 

[Dangarman]

Need to win 7 of our last 12.
Maybe 6 with a healthy percentage, but you'd want 14 to be comfortably in 7th place.

Sydney, away. W. 8-4
Brisbane, home. L. 8-5
Hawks, away. L. 8-6
Richmond, away. W. 9-6
Melbourne, home. W. 10-6
Dogs, away. L. 10-7
Suns, home. W. 11-7
Port. W. 12-7
Hawks, home. W. 13-7
Eagles, away. W. 14-7
Pies, home. L. 14-8
North, away. W. 15-8

Melbourne, Suns and Hawks at home could all still be losses.
But highlights why beating Sydney this week is vital.

The last team to get 13 or more wins and not play finals was doing naughty things in the medical room.
Even in the 23 game seasons no team has missed on 13 or more wins.

But 14 has never been enough for a top 4 finish in a 23 round season.

 

[Dangarman]

Next three please

To use the CB parlance, yeah, big ten-four on that!

(For those that have NFI what I'm on about)

 

[kirky]

To add - the improvement is obvious in this chart of quarters won - we lead it - the next step is winning against sides we have struggled under Nicks.

 

[Rotayjay]

Imagine breaking the Collingwood hoodoo, away, in a final. Unlikely under Nicks, but possible.

 

[adelaidecrows]

The last team to get 13 or more wins and not play finals was doing naughty things in the medical room.
Even in the 23 game seasons no team has missed on 13 or more wins.

But 14 has never been enough for a top 4 finish in a 23 round season.

the difference is there is an extra game now due to gather round. So yeah, 13 may not be enough anymore to certify finals.

 

[MRB37]

To add - the improvement is obvious in this chart of quarters won - we lead it - the next step is winning against sides we have struggled under Nicks.

View attachment 2326687

Not surprising to see 3rd quarters are our worst.

 

[pjcrows]

Imagine breaking the Collingwood hoodoo, away, in a final. Unlikely under Nicks, but possible.

I see no scenario where we beat Collingwood at the MCG in a final.

 

[Cromulant]

I see no scenario where we beat Collingwood at the MCG in a final.

I can see it, and then my alarm goes off.

 

[Crowboto]

I see no scenario where we beat Collingwood at the MCG in a final.

With the side we have now I can see us doing it in a canter if we put our big boy pants on and kick straight.

 

[kirky]

I see no scenario where we beat Collingwood at the MCG in a final.

AFLW?

But seriously we have a better side and I’d back us in on a dry day in September.

 

[1990crow]

AFLW?

But seriously we have a better side and I’d back us in on a dry day in September.

We are still very flawed. Fail under pressure.

 

[Doctor B]

I see no scenario where we beat Collingwood at the MCG in a final.

Different coach

 

[cleanhands]

Different coach

I can see that working

 

[Drugs Are Bad Mackay?]

I see no scenario where we beat Collingwood at the MCG in a final.

Collingwood are old this year

Will they go the distance?

 

[Scorpus]

Collingwood are old this year

Will they go the distance?

Against us?

Yes

 

[AFC979810]

the difference is there is an extra game now due to gather round. So yeah, 13 may not be enough anymore to certify finals.

Yup. Although technically Collingwood didnt have 13 wins -they had 52 points and missed last year. 2023 was a lot more generous to average teams as 8th place had 12 wins and 5,6,7 all had 13 wins.

 

[adelaidecrows]

Yup. Although technically Collingwood didnt have 13 wins -they had 52 points and missed last year. 2023 was a lot more generous to average teams as 8th place had 12 wins and 5,6,7 all had 13 wins.

The comp had a skew because of West Coast, Richmond and North all being woeful which ment some teams benefited from what could be between at a minimum 3 easy games or could have been as high as 6 easy games if a club played each one twice.

 

[JPetro83]

I said weeks ago that at our bye we have to be at least 7-7 at the bye if we are going to make the 8... i think we get to the bye 8-6
We are not beating Hawthorn away in Tassie cos thats something the crows just dont do.. especially prime time on a Friday night.
That leaves us to get a win from the next two games. surely! if we win the next 2 out of the next 3 well, the lid has to come off cos that means we might just challenge for the top 4.

 

[Crow till I die]

Collingwood are old this year

Will they go the distance?

They have men in white with whistles to help them through the tough times.

 

[Nepotism]

We will make finals

 

[Cromulant]

I said weeks ago that at our bye we have to be at least 7-7 at the bye if we are going to make the 8... i think we get to the bye 8-6
We are not beating Hawthorn away in Tassie cos thats something the crows just dont do.. especially prime time on a Friday night.
That leaves us to get a win from the next two games. surely! if we win the next 2 out of the next 3 well, the lid has to come off cos that means we might just challenge for the top 4.

Except we have.....

 

[Samcro24]

Except we have.....

Clutch fog ftw

 

[JPetro83]

Except we have.....

NOT when it means something. we beat them 3 years ago when they were 17th. thats what i was getting at.

 

[Cromulant]

NOT when it means something. we beat them 3 years ago when they were 17th. thats what i was getting at.

You've been awful with your predictions so far this year, so ill back us in