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Prediction Do you think we make finals?

Do we make finals?


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Need to win 7 of our last 12.
Maybe 6 with a healthy percentage, but you'd want 14 to be comfortably in 7th place.

Sydney, away. W. 8-4
Brisbane, home. L. 8-5
Hawks, away. L. 8-6
Richmond, away. W. 9-6
Melbourne, home. W. 10-6
Dogs, away. L. 10-7
Suns, home. W. 11-7
Port. W. 12-7
Hawks, home. W. 13-7
Eagles, away. W. 14-7
Pies, home. L. 14-8
North, away. W. 15-8

Melbourne, Suns and Hawks at home could all still be losses.
But highlights why beating Sydney this week is vital.
The last team to get 13 or more wins and not play finals was doing naughty things in the medical room.
Even in the 23 game seasons no team has missed on 13 or more wins.

But 14 has never been enough for a top 4 finish in a 23 round season.
 

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The last team to get 13 or more wins and not play finals was doing naughty things in the medical room.
Even in the 23 game seasons no team has missed on 13 or more wins.

But 14 has never been enough for a top 4 finish in a 23 round season.

the difference is there is an extra game now due to gather round. So yeah, 13 may not be enough anymore to certify finals.
 

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the difference is there is an extra game now due to gather round. So yeah, 13 may not be enough anymore to certify finals.

Yup. Although technically Collingwood didnt have 13 wins -they had 52 points and missed last year. 2023 was a lot more generous to average teams as 8th place had 12 wins and 5,6,7 all had 13 wins.
 
Yup. Although technically Collingwood didnt have 13 wins -they had 52 points and missed last year. 2023 was a lot more generous to average teams as 8th place had 12 wins and 5,6,7 all had 13 wins.

The comp had a skew because of West Coast, Richmond and North all being woeful which ment some teams benefited from what could be between at a minimum 3 easy games or could have been as high as 6 easy games if a club played each one twice.
 
I said weeks ago that at our bye we have to be at least 7-7 at the bye if we are going to make the 8... i think we get to the bye 8-6
We are not beating Hawthorn away in Tassie cos thats something the crows just dont do.. especially prime time on a Friday night.
That leaves us to get a win from the next two games. surely! if we win the next 2 out of the next 3 well, the lid has to come off cos that means we might just challenge for the top 4.
 

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I said weeks ago that at our bye we have to be at least 7-7 at the bye if we are going to make the 8... i think we get to the bye 8-6
We are not beating Hawthorn away in Tassie cos thats something the crows just dont do.. especially prime time on a Friday night.
That leaves us to get a win from the next two games. surely! if we win the next 2 out of the next 3 well, the lid has to come off cos that means we might just challenge for the top 4.
Except we have.....
 

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Prediction Do you think we make finals?

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