Prediction Draft rumours

[Peel67skin]

19 for Eagles future first

then 1 pick later

Eagles future first back to west coast for pick 20

We move up a spot in return for helping GWS out...

GWS can't because they don't have future second to allow them to trade future first back . The stupid rule still apply.

 

[Suma Magic]

GWS can't because they don't have future second to allow them to trade future first back . The stupid rule still apply.

They got one from Carlton so all good.

 

[Thetrader15]

So he is predicting that Adelaide are going to be arseholes

It's within the rules...just the COLA...was

 

[gutsroy]

But given limited list spots we would essentially be forgoing pick 24 and 29

So if the trade was 8 + 16 + 21 for 3 we would end up with
Pick 2, 6, 8, 16, 21 - (24+29 we wouldn't use.. could trade for future seconds potentially)

instead of

2,3,6,24,29

Essentially Caldwell + 16 + 21
vs. Rankine + 24 + 29

I'd prefer Rankine.

Reckon you're in a much better position to spread your risk across the high picks you've accumulated than to overpay to move up and put all your eggs in one basket.
All the analyses I've seen (admittedly only two or three, and they're a few years old now) highlight that the talent drop off is much less steep than the dropoff in the perceived value of the pick, so you pay a heap to move up and don't improve your lot.
And there's also often overconfidence amongst the talent raters who think they're much better at identifying that one bloke who'll change a team's fortunes than they are bases on their track records.
If others are keen to throw stuff at you, trading down (as long as you're spreading it across years / not grabbing too many lower picks you can't use due to limited spots to fill) and taking advantage of other teams who are looking to move up works better on the whole.
My 2c for what it's worth.

 

[Peel67skin]

Reckon you're in a much better position to spread your risk across the high picks you've accumulated than to overpay to move up and put all your eggs in one basket.
All the analyses I've seen (admittedly only two or three, and they're a few years old now) highlight that the talent drop off is much less steep than the dropoff in the perceived value of the pick, so you pay a heap to move up and don't improve your lot.
And there's also often overconfidence amongst the talent raters who think they're much better at identifying that one bloke who'll change a team's fortunes than they are bases on their track records.
If others are keen to throw stuff at you, trading down (as long as you're spreading it across years / not grabbing too many lower picks you can't use due to limited spots to fill) and taking advantage of other teams who are looking to move up works better on the whole.
My 2c for what it's worth.

I think going for 2,6,8,13,21 only risk Contract extension .
All 5 add together could be a big problem and could end up selling them cheap like GWS due to salary cap .
Spreading contract extension between
2018 - 2,3,6 and 2019 - 2 first round are more easy to manage .

 

[Enviable Tradition]

It would fit the script that apparently they have wanted him from a very long way out. It is also no coincidence that they have 3 x 1st round picks this year and I have no doubt they would sacrifice a few of them to get Lukosius. I wonder if 8 + 16 + 21 for 2 + 29 (or maybe 24) might be around the mark. Alternatively, 8 + 13 + 21 for 2 + 24 + 29...

LOL

Sent from my SM-G960F using Tapatalk

 

[bird_man]

https://sportsdayradio.com.au/2018/11/20/wilson-suns-rejected-saints-trade-offer/

 

[MarcLocksCrustySock]

Love watching the reality sink in for the Adelaide based optimists that they aren't getting a pick that will net them Rankine or Lukosius.

Welcome to the Suns.

On [device_name] using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[Procrastinator35]

https://sportsdayradio.com.au/2018/11/20/wilson-suns-rejected-saints-trade-offer/

Now that's a proper rumour.

 

[Daniel McL]

Welcome to the Suns for 2 years.

EFA

 

[Daniel McL]

Knowing Stephen Wells he’ll draft someone who everyone is saying is in the 30-40 range with our Pick 12

 

[footyfan000001]

Knowing Stephen Wells he’ll draft someone who everyone is saying is in the 30-40 range with our Pick 12

He would know best! Has the points on the board..

 

[Amarula]

Geez that seems like a steep price to be paying honestly, do you think the crows are really that desperate for pick 2?

Put it this way - if they are, then that's the price.

 

[Thetrader15]

https://sportsdayradio.com.au/2018/11/20/wilson-suns-rejected-saints-trade-offer/

Looks like everyone has called St Kilda's bluff...

 

[Daniel McL]

He would know best! Has the points on the board..

Not for recent first round picks unfortunately. Lang (bust), Thurlow (bust), Cockatoo (has the talent but can never get on the park) hasn’t been great.

I miss the days of Mackie, J. Selwood, Taylor, Bartel, etc.

Wells seems to be fantastic from 20 onwards though so I’m excited to see who he gets with 51 (assuming with 50 he gets Brownless).

 

[Thetrader15]

Not for recent first round picks unfortunately. Lang (bust), Thurlow (bust), Cockatoo (has the talent but can never get on the park) hasn’t been great.

I miss the days of Mackie, J. Selwood, Taylor, Bartel, etc.

Wells seems to be fantastic from 20 onwards though so I’m excited to see who he gets with 51 (assuming with 50 he gets Brownless).

You might have missed the sarcasm there

 

[Daniel McL]

You might have missed the sarcasm there

I definitely missed the sarcasm there

 

[Stevi_Tigers]

Love watching the reality sink in for the Adelaide based optimists that they aren't getting a pick that will net them Rankine or Lukosius.

Welcome to the Suns.

On [device_name] using BigFooty.com mobile app

Can we have Rankine in a few years

 

[Crow till I die]

LOL

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And if it happens...lol

 

[AstonSouffle]

Yet you finally addressed that area of concern during the trade period

Finally being the key word... aout 7-8 years too late, we had the issue before we made the Grand Final. Everyone knew Pavlich was getting on a bit.

 

[Arr0w]

I think going for 2,6,8,13,21 only risk Contract extension .
All 5 add together could be a big problem and could end up selling them cheap like GWS due to salary cap .
Spreading contract extension between
2018 - 2,3,6 and 2019 - 2 first round are more easy to manage .

I doubt that would be a concern

 

[Peel67skin]

Can we have Rankine in a few years

Maybe , as I don't know the future .

 

[MarcLocksCrustySock]

EFA

Edited to eleviate your offended.

On [device_name] using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[Peel67skin]

I doubt that would be a concern

Me too if I am Carlton fan , GWS always supply them with cheap players.

 

[DangerSloane]

Love watching the reality sink in for the Adelaide based optimists that they aren't getting a pick that will net them Rankine or Lukosius.

Welcome to the Suns.

On [device_name] using BigFooty.com mobile app

I'm sure they'll be shattered. Ruin kids careers since 2011