Game Day Eagles v Blues

Candiru

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Jan 27, 2018
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We've always known we have to rely on Brisbane to drop a game (and us to win everything from here). Brisbane winning or losing to Geelong is perfect both ways because we'll go second (so long as we win). Brisbane probably won't be Richmond either so we could even go to first.

Seems pretty crazy to have to rely on it, but that's the way the year has gone for pretty much everyone
It could easily come down to percentage between WC, Brisbane and Richmond.
 

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EagleJack42

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Jul 1, 2013
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I'm quite sure come season's that 2nd and 3rd will be decided by win/loss not % based on the big games left. It may decide 1st and 2nd though. If Brisbane lose even 1 game and we win out then we're good. If Brisbane lose 2 and we loss to Richmond then we're good. If Geelong fall off a cliff then we're good. If anything we should be lamenting the Collingwood game. We'd be in the driver's seat right now if that hadn't occurred.
 

Benji85

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Aug 22, 2013
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It could easily come down to percentage between WC, Brisbane and Richmond.
If we have to rely on % we won't get there, our run home and ability to put big scores on this year just isn't there like last year (it feels like). We'll win games no problem, but thrashing teams isn't really a thing this year (fremantle aside lol)
 

Candiru

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If we have to rely on % we won't get there
That was not a given and still isn't a given but easing to four-goal wins over Carlton will make it harder. Hence the irritation by people who have spent too much time on the ladder predictor, like me.

Anyway, this one is done and dusted.
 

Coasters7

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Right, so maybe we are a chance of matching their percentage after all? Particularly if we run out games.
Not the way Brisbane are playing today. They’ll already have a nice gap before playing Gold Coast next week. Don’t think the extra 2-3 goals today are going to realistically matter. Just need to focus on our games and keep winning, that gets us top 2. If we win every game from here on by 1 point I’ll take it.

If we’re going to pick up things where we’ve gone wrong it should be where we’ve dropped games we shouldn’t have, rather than being annoyed at %. Looking at the Collingwood game specifically plus maybe the other two we dropped at home to Port and Brisbane (although we had a hangover so those ones are probably not as relevant).
 
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Macpotata

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Mar 22, 2017
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WTF!!!!!!!


1992 Premiership year for the Eagles.......


Beat the Blues by 24 points, exactly 4 goals in Melbourne


And even crazier I just remembered, they kicked 15 goals and 11 goals each, like today!



WTF!


edited 2.6 in the 1st qtr 1992, today they kicked 2.5!!!!!!
 
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Candiru

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Not the way Brisbane are playing today.
All the more reason to go on with it when we lead Carlton by 40 halfway through the last term.

The difference between winning by 60 and winning by 24 may be the difference between 2nd and 3rd or even 2nd and 4th.

Anyway, moving on.
 

jorel6669

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Here's something people forget... Richmond vs Brisbane is basically last match of the season (forget the losers playing after that). Let's say Geelong steady themselves and win their next 3 games, we drop our Richmond game.... Richmond go into that match knowing if they win, they travel to Perth or lose and stay home and play Geelong at the MCG. They also know Brisbane win and by how much, it can hand them a Brisbane final vs us.

I reckon it will play out exactly like that. Makes the Richmond game a must win.
 

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Forward Press

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It could easily come down to percentage between WC, Brisbane and Richmond.
If Brisbane continue this reaming of the Dogs today and the form line holds for Gold Coast next week even a 100 thumping today would have made zero difference. I don't see us beating Adelaide, Richmond and/or Hawthorn by enough to overcome what is expected from Brissie.
 

jorel6669

John Worsfold Medallist
Jun 5, 2004
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Here's something people forget... Richmond vs Brisbane is basically last match of the season (forget the losers playing after that). Let's say Geelong steady themselves and win their next 3 games, we drop our Richmond game.... Richmond go into that match knowing if they win, they travel to Perth or lose and stay home and play Geelong at the MCG. They also know Brisbane win and by how much, it can hand them a Brisbane final vs us.

I reckon it will play out exactly like that. Makes the Richmond game a must win.
Although one saving grace would be GWS winning their last 3 to force Richmond to have to win to stay top 4. But GWS have been flakey.
 

the harry

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Sep 25, 2007
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Here's something people forget... Richmond vs Brisbane is basically last match of the season (forget the losers playing after that). Let's say Geelong steady themselves and win their next 3 games, we drop our Richmond game.... Richmond go into that match knowing if they win, they travel to Perth or lose and stay home and play Geelong at the MCG. They also know Brisbane win and by how much, it can hand them a Brisbane final vs us.

I reckon it will play out exactly like that. Makes the Richmond game a must win.

Cars could give the lions a touch up and ruin that before it starts.
 

Candiru

Premiership Player
Jan 27, 2018
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If Brisbane continue this reaming of the Dogs today and the form line holds for Gold Coast next week even a 100 thumping today would have made zero difference. I don't see us beating Adelaide, Richmond and/or Hawthorn by enough to overcome what is expected from Brissie.
Who else do Brisbane play?
 

Coasters7

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All the more reason to go on with it when we lead Carlton by 40 halfway through the last term.

The difference between winning by 60 and winning by 24 may be the difference between 2nd and 3rd or even 2nd and 4th.

Anyway, moving on.
Yeah that’s true. Carlton have been handy lately though so I wasn’t expecting a 10 goal win or to pile on goals in the last. Can’t say I’m not annoyed about the last 5 minutes though.. would’ve been fairly happy with a ~6 goal win. But yeah the difference between 36 and 24 shouldn’t matter in the end. To make a serious impact it needed to be a huge win, 60 points like you say, and I don’t think we were ever going to be around that mark.
 

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