Expectations for 2026

[THE_GUN]

Paying $1.01 that none of these are correct.

Probably

But love to see which players you think are under what o estimated
Was just trying to gauge what our cap space looks like in 2 years time before 2024 recruits get increases

 

[tigs2010]

Probably

But love to see which players you think are under what o estimated

I think theyre all wrong. I couldnt be more clear on that

 

[THE_GUN]

I think theyre all wrong. I couldnt be more clear on that

Prove it

 

[_RT_]

Why are we discussing contract values in the 2026 expectations thread?

 

[tigs2010]

Prove it

Wheres the front & back loading?
Wheres the match payments?
Wheres the performance bonuses?
Wheres the incremental increases year on year wirh the cap?

Blair could give you every players contract and you still wouldnt be able to work out how much cap space is available

 

[Wrenny]

Why are we discussing contract values in the 2026 expectations thread?

 

[4tune8]

Zero expectations = Zero disappointment, what will be, will be.

 

[thegcat]

10TH

 

[Tiger_Of_Old]

As i mentioned - Im Bored and had a bit of a debate about how much we would have to spare in our cap space over the next 2 years so made a list to see what it might look like. I believe i was very generous with some players and the likely outcome would be lower but interested to see what your opinions are on my estimations.

View attachment 2487698

And here you are having ago at people talking about Norfs trading.FMD.

 

[Ralll]

Where do we finish on the Ladder : 14th
How many wins are you expecting : 7
How many wins would be the pass mark : 4 - Depending on injuries.
Who will be our most improved player that has been there prior to this draft : McAuliffe
Who will be our leading goal kicker : Lynch
Which of the new kids drafted in 2025 will be the best performed : Cumming
How many games will Smillie play : 7

 

[Drunken Wookie]

we will make the wildcard slot this year

 

[Tiger_4_Life]

Where do we finish on the Ladder : 18th
How many wins are you expecting : 4
How many wins would be the pass mark : 6
Who will be our most improved player that has been there prior to this draft : fawcett
Who will be our leading goal kicker : Lynch
Which of the new kids drafted in 2025 will be the best performed : Cumming
How many games will smillie play : 7
Will LOTW get a perm ban: of course not, the Richmond bigfooty board is more corrupt than the afl

 

[THE_GUN]

And here you are having ago at people talking about Norfs trading.FMD.

So ?
whats that got to do with the price of fish these days

 

[THE_GUN]

Wheres the front & back loading?
Wheres the match payments?
Wheres the performance bonuses?
Wheres the incremental increases year on year wirh the cap?

Blair could give you every players contract and you still wouldnt be able to work out how much cap space is available

Your back already been loaded but you dont get it.......... Sorry cant help you sunshine

Now go have a look at the amounts for the rookies at $250k and $200k
Rookie's dont get that much and the match payments have already been included
most of the players are set salaries and no incremental increase for juniors apart from match payment

Jesus THINK SON THINK !!!

 

[_RT_]

Your back already been loaded but you dont get it.......... Sorry cant help you sunshine

Now go have a look at the amounts for the rookies at $250k and $200k
Rookie's dont get that much and the match payments have already been included
most of the players are set salaries and no incremental increase for juniors apart from match payment

Jesus THINK SON THINK !!!

Fairly sure Lynch is on the last year of his backended deal so would be closer to $1.5m than $500k

 

[THE_GUN]

Fairly sure Lynch is on the last year of his backended deal so would be closer to $1.5m than $500k

That was 2025 and this year he takes a massive hair cut

 

[Tiges1229]

Where do we finish on the Ladder : Spoon
How many wins are you expecting : 3
How many wins would be the pass mark : 7
Who will be our most improved player that has been there prior to this draft :Rioli
Who will be our leading goal kicker : Tim Lunch
Which of the new kids drafted in 2025 will be the best performed : Grlj
How many games will smillie play : Zero
Will LOTW get a perm ban: No
Will Groupie give up his KFC addiction and go on a diet : the fat campaigner will never give up

 

[_RT_]

That was 2025 and this year he takes a massive hair cut

My mistake, but I dont believe that he'll be on $550

 

[THE_GUN]

My mistake, but I dont believe that he'll be on $550

What do you believe he will be on ?
Basically getting paid to guide the younger players as a type of mentor and certainly not for what he has produced the last 2 years at 33 years old he is not getting big money and has already filled his bags.

Only played 24 games in 3 years and no where near a high level

2025 - 16 games 1.6 goals a game
2024 - 4 games 1.5 goals
2023 - 4 games 2.2 goals a game

 

[_RT_]

What do you believe he will be on ?
Basically getting paid to guide the younger players as a type of mentor and certainly not for what he has produced the last 2 years at 33 years old he is not getting big money and has already filled his bags.

Only played 24 games in 3 years and no where near a high level

2025 - 16 games 1.6 goals a game
2024 - 4 games 1.5 goals
2023 - 4 games 2.2 goals a game

I'd suggest closer to $750k given we need to pay around $17.5m to meet minimum requirement of the cap.

 

[THE_GUN]

I'd suggest closer to $750k given we need to pay around $17.5m to meet minimum requirement of the cap.

We can pay the $17.5 mil without over paying players

Balta is on roughly $1 mil for 7 years = $7,000,000
Taranto / Hopper $750k x 4 years remaining = $6 million
Seth Campbell just extended

We could front load most of their salaries to meet the cap floor

 

[Karp3_dm]

Where do we finish on the Ladder : 16th
How many wins are you expecting : 5+
How many wins would be the pass mark : don’t like setting limits
Who will be our most improved player that has been there prior to this draft : McAuliffe
Who will be our leading goal kicker : Tim Lynch
Which of the new kids drafted in 2025 will be the best performed : Cumming
How many games will smillie play : Zero
Will LOTW get a perm ban: Deserves a pay rise
Will Groupie give up his KFC addiction and go on a diet : #1 share holder of Bill Gates bugs meat

 

[Infamy]

As i mentioned - Im Bored and had a bit of a debate about how much we would have to spare in our cap space over the next 2 years so made a list to see what it might look like. I believe i was very generous with some players and the likely outcome would be lower but interested to see what your opinions are on my estimations.

View attachment 2487698

Deciding to post this was a bold choice

 

[THE THIN MAN]

RICHMOND

Pass mark: Win eight games

The Tigers outperformed external expectations in Adem Yze

Adem Yze

Age

48

Ht

187cm

Wt

85kg

Pos.

M/F

Career

Season

Last 5

D

18.2

5star

K

14.4

5star

HB

3.8

3star

M

4.0

4star

T

1.7

4star

No current season stats available

D

5.2

2star

K

3.4

2star

HB

1.8

2star

M

0.6

1star

T

0.6

3star

’s second season, winning five games after some audaciously claimed they’d go winless.

It’s time to see if they can take the step with natural progression from their plethora of promising youngsters, with Sam Lalor, Jonty Faull and Taj Hotton at the forefront.

Josh Smillie’s development is crucial after a tough rookie season, while Luke Trainor, Harry Armstrong and Tom Sims will also be expected to take another step.

Key premiership veterans Toby Nankervis

25

Toby Nankervis

Age

31

Ht

199cm

Wt

102kg

Pos.

Ruck

Career

Season

Last 5

D

14.2

4star

K

7.2

3star

HB

7.0

4star

CL

2.9

4star

HO

21.9

5star

D

12.0

3star

K

5.7

2star

HB

6.3

4star

CL

3.0

4star

HO

17.0

5star

D

7.8

2star

K

3.4

2star

HB

4.4

4star

CL

1.0

3star

HO

8.4

5star

, Nick Vlastuin

1

Nick Vlastuin

Age

32

Ht

187cm

Wt

88kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

16.2

4star

K

9.6

4star

HB

6.6

4star

M

5.4

5star

T

2.7

4star

MG

269.3

4star

D

13.3

3star

K

9.0

4star

HB

4.3

3star

M

4.9

5star

T

1.8

3star

MG

257.6

4star

D

20.2

5star

K

11.4

4star

HB

8.8

5star

M

7.4

5star

T

2.8

5star

, Nathan Broad

35

Nathan Broad

Age

33

Ht

192cm

Wt

86kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

11.7

3star

K

7.3

3star

HB

4.3

3star

M

3.6

4star

T

2.0

4star

MG

192.9

3star

D

12.3

3star

K

8.3

3star

HB

4.0

3star

M

4.1

4star

T

1.0

2star

MG

192.9

3star

D

12.8

4star

K

8.4

4star

HB

4.4

4star

M

3.2

4star

T

2.0

4star

, Tom Lynch and Dion Prestia

3

Dion Prestia

Age

33

Ht

175cm

Wt

84kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

24.1

5star

K

12.7

5star

HB

11.4

5star

M

3.1

3star

T

4.4

5star

CL

4.6

5star

D

21.2

5star

K

10.4

4star

HB

10.8

5star

M

2.4

3star

T

4.2

5star

CL

3.2

4star

D

12.8

4star

K

6.0

3star

HB

6.8

5star

M

3.2

4star

T

3.0

5star

CL

1.4

4star

remain to guide those youngsters along, while coach Adem Yze

Adem Yze

Age

48

Ht

187cm

Wt

85kg

Pos.

M/F

Career

Season

Last 5

D

18.2

5star

K

14.4

5star

HB

3.8

3star

M

4.0

4star

T

1.7

4star

No current season stats available

D

5.2

2star

K

3.4

2star

HB

1.8

2star

M

0.6

1star

T

0.6

3star

has added two more years to his Tigers tenure.

And it’s not as if Richmond lost much this off-season, with Tylar Young’s trade departure arguably leaving the biggest hole — and a tolerable one at that. Adding a few more wins to this year’s tally is a reasonable target.

From GF-or-bust to starved finals contenders: Every AFL club’s early pass mark for 2026

What Swans must do after trade blockbuster; Eagles’ sad reality — Every AFL club’s 2026 pass mark

www.foxsports.com.au

 

[THE_GUN]

RICHMOND

Pass mark: Win eight games

The Tigers outperformed external expectations in Adem Yze’s second season, winning five games after some audaciously claimed they’d go winless.

It’s time to see if they can take the step with natural progression from their plethora of promising youngsters, with Sam Lalor, Jonty Faull and Taj Hotton at the forefront.

Josh Smillie’s development is crucial after a tough rookie season, while Luke Trainor, Harry Armstrong and Tom Sims will also be expected to take another step.

Key premiership veterans Toby Nankervis, Nick Vlastuin, Nathan Broad, Tom Lynch and Dion Prestia remain to guide those youngsters along, while coach Adem Yze has added two more years to his Tigers tenure.

And it’s not as if Richmond lost much this off-season, with Tylar Young’s trade departure arguably leaving the biggest hole — and a tolerable one at that. Adding a few more wins to this year’s tally is a reasonable target.

From GF-or-bust to starved finals contenders: Every AFL club’s early pass mark for 2026

What Swans must do after trade blockbuster; Eagles’ sad reality — Every AFL club’s 2026 pass mark

www.foxsports.com.au

8 wins in year 2 of a total rebuild , Talk about optimistic and unrealistic expectations