Fact of the day: The previous 7 sides that have been more than a game clear on top of the ladder......

[Duskfire]

Saints peaked too early in 09? They were resting players and couldn’t care; they were saving themselves for finals. Geelong was the same; their second half was nowhere as good as their first. But this is what I mean; the saints aren’t an example of a side that peaked too early. That Grand Final was one of the hardest tightest games ever. It’s such a weird term that doesn’t mean anything nowadays

 

[juss]

Yeah maybe, to be honest I don't think the tigs hit top gear in 2018. The drop off in form from mid to late season was kinda marginal - it wasn't huge.

Fair enough, but against good opposition in finals, if you're off, you get knocked off.

 

[Tiger2709]

Its all about hitting the finals at your peak whether you are in 1st, 2nd or whatever position when and if that occurs doesnt really matter.

 

[Go the Guts]

Learnt from '08.

Keep going hard and racking up the wins until round 15 or 16 and then start to rest / manage veterans and rookies. Can probably afford to drop 3 to 4 games while managing players and still finish top 2.

Pfft. Messing with form is fraught with danger.

 

[Tarkyn_24]

I reckon North 2016 and Freo 2015 were pretty good examples of sides that peaked too early.

St Kilda 2009 too, they were looking cooked by the last few rounds.

St Kilda 2009? Not a chance, they beat two very good sides to make the Grand Final and lost it at the death.

 

[Benny78]

It's a very petty thing for Geelong supporters to crack the sads at

If you want petty check out the "what's eating away at Gaz" on the rumours board lol

 

[Herne Hill Hammer]

Pfft. Messing with form is fraught with danger.

Won them 2 flags.

 

[Hobbes]

Also Geelong 2011 (Premier), Collingwood 2010 (Premier), St Kilda 2009, Geelong 2008, Geelong 2007 (Premier), Adelaide 2006, West Coast 2005, St Kilda 2004, Port Adelaide 2003, Brisbane 2003 (Premier), Essendon 2001, Essendon 2000 (Premier), West Coast 1999, Carlton 1995 (Premier), West Coast 1994 (Premier), West Coast 1991. 7/23 all up since 1991.

 

[theyellowsash]

Also Geelong 2011 (Premier), Collingwood 2010 (Premier), St Kilda 2009, Geelong 2008, Geelong 2007 (Premier), Adelaide 2006, West Coast 2005, St Kilda 2004, Port Adelaide 2003, Brisbane 2003 (Premier), Essendon 2001, Essendon 2000 (Premier), West Coast 1999, Carlton 1995 (Premier), West Coast 1994 (Premier), West Coast 1991. 7/23 all up since 1991.

Not sure what this list of team names is supposed to mean but there's been more than 23 years since 1991

 

[threesixpio]

Richmond 2018
Adelaide 2017
Hawthorn 2016
North Melbourne 2016
Fremantle 2015
Port Adelaide 2014
Collingwood 2011

Didn't win the flag

Have the cats peaked too early or will they continue on and win the flag?

I remember that week in 2016. Tattooed fourthorn on my forehead

 

[Hobbes]

Not sure what this list of team names is supposed to mean but there's been more than 23 years since 1991

23 Teams which have been leading by more than a match during the minor round. Seven premiers. Did you not read or understand this thread at all?

 

[Ian Dunross]

Feel like they've been off broadway since their win against Collingwood. Looking forward to seeing them Friday night

 

[Final Siren]

Its all about hitting the finals at your peak whether you are in 1st, 2nd or whatever position when and if that occurs doesnt really matter.

Yeah, although I also think people can get a bit carried away with the narrative of "peaking." Teams play only a handful of finals, so it's easy to craft a story one way or the other based on a slim margin or a single game.

Collingwood were sublime against Richmond in the 2018 prelim, but without that game, I don't think the Tigers' results look like a late-season slide. So is it peaking at the wrong time or just running into a red-hot opponent?

Even the poster boys for peaking, the 2016 Bulldogs - one kick goes the other way in the prelim, and they'd be just another team that pulled out a good finals game or two, like 2014-2015 North Melbourne.

 

[HTT]

Ask us after R23

I'd wait til about a month after R23 personally

 

[kozi]

Geelong have issues winning finals regardless of when they peak, so I’d expect the trend of regular season teams clear at the top not winning the flag to continue.

 

[JohnZ]

Geelong have issues winning finals regardless of when they peak, so I’d expect the trend of regular season teams clear at the top not winning the flag to continue.

Many said the same about Richmond in 2017. Good teams prove bad prediction wrong.

 

[HairyO]

Hrmmm Nostradamus this thread !

 

[McOrist]

Geelong are now no longer more than a game ahead of the pack.
Therefore their premiership chances have increased and they are now certainties to win the flag.
You can't argue with plain logic. Cause and effect.

 

[NetworkNerd]

Seems like we might soon add Geelong 2019 to this list!