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FanFooty Fanplanner 2009 (v2)

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m0nty

Premiership Player
Jan 22, 2005
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Seeing as the first thread is almost 1000 posts long and they usually get locked when they're that big, I thought I'd make a second one.

The Fanplanner feature on FanFooty is now fully updated for the 2009 season, just waiting on the drafts to lock down player lists. For those who haven't seen it before, it's a system where I have made educated guesses as to the player prices and positions for the next Dream Team and Super Coach seasons, and you get to pick a provisional team based on the projected salary caps.

I've left the SC salary cap and magic number the same, and for DT I used the new salary cap of $7,693,800 and assumed a flat 10% rise in magic number to 4777. For the purposes of draftees, I used the phantom draft from BigFooty, modified with a few top 10 guesses by Emma Quayle, and followed their rough player positions.

The Fanplanner now includes Guru score predictions, which use historical data on each player's recent record overall and then modified by numbers against the opponent, at the ground and at the time of day, with further adjustment for the opposing team (i.e. the Sydney factor).

I'm publishing little snippets of info every so often about recent trends on the FanFooty blog. For instance, I can tell you that there doesn't seem to be one single player who has replaced Xavier Ellis in plan teams since the news broke of his injury, though Nick Malceski and Ricky Petterd have become more prominent. A number of teams are pushing Jack Grimes up to a starter now. Look for future stories on the blog for further insights.
 

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Saw this on the previous thread:

One other worrying factor is his tribunal is up to about 93 points against him - so one thing and he's gone (and we all know the hawks are more prone to suspensions in recent years).

Nice point, anyone know how long carryover points last for?
 
Saw this on the previous thread:



Nice point, anyone know how long carryover points last for?

I think they are permanent. Was an interesting point, will have an affect on some decision making for initial squads. Anyone have a website or list of the players who have any carryover points from last season?
 
Page 7, Points - Consequences:

The player is not suspended from playing but carries the allocated points for one AFL year and they will be added to any future points allocated within that one AFL year.
 
Means he needs to behave himself up until round 12. Big risk to take early on considering if he gets done for any level one offence he's gone for at least 1 game.
 
Sorry for the double post. I've recently been thinking about selecting captain choices in your initial squad. At the moment in my planteam (which I havn't thought about too much) I don't have Cox and my most expensive mid is Gibbs. I do however have room for four premium forwards. Now I know how unpopular key forwards have become in planteams but TBH there is only one small forward who appeals to me. Which leaves me with the option of taking Pavlich, Riewoldt and Franklin. I'm pretty confident that I could pick one of those three as captain each week and have a solid average. For example for the first 8 rounds I could go with these captain choices, after that I should have a couple of gun mids:

Pavlich vs Bulldogs (choices were awful there:p)
Pavlich vs Essendon
Riewoldt vs West Coast
Franklin vs Port OR Riewoldt vs Freo
Franklin vs West Coast OR Riewoldt vs Port
Franklin vs Carlton OR Pavlich vs West Coast
Franklin vs Essendon OR Pavlich vs Carlton
Pavlich vs Essendon or Franklin vs Freo

I could also throw Goddard in there who I think will average around 100. Seems pretty safe to me, can you tell I'm not one of those people who doesn't like captaining key forwards?:p
 

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A little early to be deciding captains don't you think Dazza? :p

But, if you must have some reply just play it safe and leave Pavlich captain for the first 8 rounds. :thumbsu:

Ohhh, posted at 00:00 :eek:
 
A little early to be deciding captains don't you think Dazza? :p

But, if you must have some reply just play it safe and leave Pavlich captain for the first 8 rounds. :thumbsu:

Ohhh, posted at 00:00 :eek:

It wasn't really planning captains, just team structure. The question really is can you get by with no Cox and no premium mid for the first 6-8 rounds? If I was to pick Pavlich each week I would average around 100 which wouldn't be good enough. I think with key forwards it's not too hard to identify games they should dominate. Obviously there would be some shockers in there but I think they would be outweighed by the huge scores.
 
Good stuff Monty, one little thing there, you have Suban going to Carlton at #24 when infact it was traded to Freo.
 

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who was the player?

It was buddy.

What do you guys think of FWs reserves now that ziebell is all but useless at NM?

I havent looked too hard but:

Rusling/Hentschell/Gumby = injury prone

Most 91900 are not certain starters for round 1 (except maybe heyne/walters/ballantyne)

Jack Watts is Finishing School

Vickery as a FW i dont think you can expect to average much more than 40-45

Yarren - quite a few people may even start.

Who are you guys looking at?

I will probably end up going with rusling and yarren, or if i start yarren maybe walters/ballantyne depending on pre-season vibes.
 
Currently looking at three of Gumbleton, Rusling, Yarran and Grant, probably the first three. It's a bit expensive, but i figure it is the safest option if I am going to start a low priced player to have two good benchers. Also, Gumbleton provides insurance should Lucas get injured.
 
It was buddy.

What do you guys think of FWs reserves now that ziebell is all but useless at NM?

I havent looked too hard but:

Rusling/Hentschell/Gumby = injury prone

Most 91900 are not certain starters for round 1 (except maybe heyne/walters/ballantyne)

Jack Watts is Finishing School

Vickery as a FW i dont think you can expect to average much more than 40-45

Yarren - quite a few people may even start.

Who are you guys looking at?

I will probably end up going with rusling and yarren, or if i start yarren maybe walters/ballantyne depending on pre-season vibes.

Why's that? He's the first high draft pick we've spent on a mid since Wells. Completely different situation to Hansen/Riggio/SDT. Not to mention he is exactly the type of midfielder we need and he is physically ready (even though he's quite young). Obviously he is not assured a spot in RD 1 (far from it) but to rule him out because he plays for Laidley is ridiculous.
 
Why's that? He's the first high draft pick we've spent on a mid since Wells. Completely different situation to Hansen/Riggio/SDT. Not to mention he is exactly the type of midfielder we need and he is physically ready (even though he's quite young). Obviously he is not assured a spot in RD 1 (far from it) but to rule him out because he plays for Laidley is ridiculous.

It is probably a bit premature but i looked back a bit:

Year Drafted, Player, Pick, Position, Games Played in First Season

2007, Robbie Tarrant, 15, FW, 0
2007, Levi Greenwood, 32, MF, 0
2006, Lachie Hansen, 3, Back, 2, (10 in second)
2006, Gavin Urquhart, 21, Back, 0, (13 in second)
2005, Matt Riggio, 28, Back, 0, (2 in second, 7 in third)
2005, Andrew Swallow, 43, MF, 12 (22 in second, 3 in third)

History doesnt really show much for Ziebell's chances although it must be said it would obviously change from player to player. But the fact that the first 2 selections made by the roos in last 2 drafts only ended up playing 2 first season games between them says alot - particularly with a high draft pick such as Hansen.
 
How many versions of the Plan team thread can we get before the season ;)

For Ziebell, he would have been great if Harris had left. As I see it, he is a fairly reasonable chance of playing.

A question for Cartman/Dazza/Scan or a north fan

Will Ziebell and Swallow be competing for the same spot? Also, where does this leave JWS?
 
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