Fantasy EPL - 19/20

[SM]

Nothing wrong with that, both got high scores this week sure, but having both will deplete what else you can have around and in terms of strikers that gives you fu** all, or you have to pick lesser defenders which is always a risk.

I've swapped Harry Kane for Rashford for this week, mainly because they are playing City.

And just banking 4m?

Why not get pea against burnley instead?

 

[Bradesmaen]

And just banking 4m?

Why not get pea against burnley instead?

Too late, and Burnley are solid, I don't expect them to score more than 1 Arsenal.

I'll keep the banked cash for now, which is only 2.4

 

[SM]

Too late, and Burnley are solid, I don't expect them to score more than 1 Arsenal.

I'll keep the banked cash for now, which is only 2.4

PEA has scored two goals in each of his last three against Burnley. Rashford against Wolves is a tough call..

Having 2.4 sitting in the bank is brave but fair enough.

 

[Bradesmaen]

PEA has scored two goals in each of his last three against Burnley. Rashford against Wolves is a tough call..

Having 2.4 sitting in the bank is brave but fair enough.

Banking on Wolves after the Europa game being not all there. Different Burnley too this year.

 

[Cruyff14]

Banking on Wolves after the Europa game being not all there. Different Burnley too this year.

Different Arsenal too, no?

 

[SM]

Banking on Wolves after the Europa game being not all there. Different Burnley too this year.

Sure but the last three games includes the previous year when they were solid defensively. Pepe adds a lot of attacking flair for Arsenal. And with the money available, why not gamble on PEA scoring against Burnley? More likely than Rashford against Wolves IMO.

 

[Jason Derulo]

Salah scored points in bunches last year, not that much of a risk if you can pick the times that he is going to suffer. I did that last year and switched to Mane. I also have De Bruyne who is cheaper 3 and the year before last years injury riddle season he picked up 209 pts, Sterling last year got 239. That 3 pts gives me Firminho instead of Deeney (or someone like that) which is 44 points - net gain of 14.

Not owning at least one of the top 2 most owned midfielders in the gain is pretty much the biggest risk I can think of, even if you go differential and your players outscore them you are going to need Sterling and Salah eventually because they will most likely be the top 2 scoring mids over the season. The more possible outcome which is what happened is that Sterling and Salah go big and now not only are you behind but with captaincy your further behind the pack. Also your points theory of gaining 14 points doesn't take into account captaincy which will no doubt make it a better choice to have the big guns.

FPL is different to other fantasy games where it doesn't pay off to go differential in the early stages especially. Small punts can work out well on the cheaper players but having mostly a template team is usually the way to go. The only time I would be going very differential is if I was chasing top ranks near the back end of the season.

 

[SM]

Not owning at least one of the top 2 most owned midfielders in the gain is pretty much the biggest risk I can think of, even if you go differential and your players outscore them you are going to need Sterling and Salah eventually because they will most likely be the top 2 scoring mids over the season. The more possible outcome which is what happened is that Sterling and Salah go big and now not only are you behind but with captaincy your further behind the pack. Also your points theory of gaining 14 points doesn't take into account captaincy which will no doubt make it a better choice to have the big guns.

FPL is different to other fantasy games where it doesn't pay off to go differential in the early stages especially. Small punts can work out well on the cheaper players but having mostly a template team is usually the way to go. The only time I would be going very differential is if I was chasing top ranks near the back end of the season.

Yeah I carried 3 punts in week one - McGinn, Locadia, KWP. One of the three paid off which is all I needed, and all my safe picks protected me from others going big. Really the only thing that hurt me was people using their TC pick, but other than that I was near the top of the pack. I don't think more than 2-3 risks a week is a wise idea.

That being said I'm not going to call someone an idiot for playing the game their way, but everyone learns the best processes their own way.

 

[Bradesmaen]

Not owning at least one of the top 2 most owned midfielders in the gain is pretty much the biggest risk I can think of, even if you go differential and your players outscore them you are going to need Sterling and Salah eventually because they will most likely be the top 2 scoring mids over the season. The more possible outcome which is what happened is that Sterling and Salah go big and now not only are you behind but with captaincy your further behind the pack. Also your points theory of gaining 14 points doesn't take into account captaincy which will no doubt make it a better choice to have the big guns.

FPL is different to other fantasy games where it doesn't pay off to go differential in the early stages especially. Small punts can work out well on the cheaper players but having mostly a template team is usually the way to go. The only time I would be going very differential is if I was chasing top ranks near the back end of the season.

It's all about moneyball though. The top in my league last year didn't have Sterling or Salah for the whole season. Yes Sterling was great last week and it sucked not having him, but I would have had a lesser striker and Kane scored 2.

 

[TheExtractorFactor]

It's all about moneyball though. The top in my league last year didn't have Sterling or Salah for the whole season. Yes Sterling was great last week and it sucked not having him, but I would have had a lesser striker and Kane scored 2.

What position did they finish?

 

[Bradesmaen]

What position did they finish?

I have no idea, I didn't look. But I was in the top 500k from memory.

 

[Jason Derulo]

It's all about moneyball though. The top in my league last year didn't have Sterling or Salah for the whole season. Yes Sterling was great last week and it sucked not having him, but I would have had a lesser striker and Kane scored 2.

I'm guessing your league must have been pretty bad last year to have been top without the two highest scoring players (I think). I can't imagine anyone with a half decent rank didn't at least have Salah at one point.

If we are doing moneyball then surely Salah is at the top of the list with Captaincy, even priced at 12.5 I'm pretty sure he had the top or close to it expected goals and maybe assists last season with four easy teams in his first 5 matches.

Anyway, I''m sure the results will speak for themselves.

 

[Bradesmaen]

I'm guessing your league must have been pretty bad last year to have been top without the two highest scoring players (I think). I can't imagine anyone with a half decent rank didn't at least have Salah at one point.

If we are doing moneyball then surely Salah is at the top of the list with Captaincy, even priced at 12.5 I'm pretty sure he had the top or close to it expected goals and maybe assists last season with four easy teams in his first 5 matches.

Anyway, I''m sure the results will speak for themselves.

I said for the whole season, as in they had them at times but chopped and changed. Moneyball works.

 

[Jason Derulo]

I said for the whole season, as in they had them at times but chopped and changed. Moneyball works.

Ah fair enough, I also didn't have either at a point in the season and then when Salah went on his streak he really hurt me. I don't think you are understanding what I'm saying but good luck for the season.

 

[Bradesmaen]

Ah fair enough, I also didn't have either at a point in the season and then when Salah went on his streak he really hurt me. I don't think you are understanding what I'm saying but good luck for the season.

I get what you're saying, but I trust the process. I think if it was more like DT where you are versing someone each week then you'd want them in it, but it's an overall thing. At some point I will have one of them in the side, maybe even next week.

 

[SM]

It's all about moneyball though. The top in my league last year didn't have Sterling or Salah for the whole season. Yes Sterling was great last week and it sucked not having him, but I would have had a lesser striker and Kane scored 2.

How many points did you get for the week? I could have afforded Salah, Sterling and Kane and got 92. I had PEA instead of Kane, but that was because I thought PEA was the best option for week 2.

 

[SM]

I have no idea, I didn't look. But I was in the top 500k from memory.

Top 500k is pretty bad.. Top 50k and I'd maybe take the theory seriously.

 

[TheExtractorFactor]

I have no idea, I didn't look. But I was in the top 500k from memory.

Not having a go but the whole concept of moneyball is that the A’s where a small market team who couldn’t afford big money players so had to use algorithms to gain an edge. Everyone in FPL starts with the same budget and can afford two or three big hitters. Picking differentials I agree is smart and much more fun than going with the crowd all the time but there has to be a balance.

 

[Bradesmaen]

How many points did you get for the week? I could have afforded Salah, Sterling and Kane and got 92. I had PEA instead of Kane, but that was because I thought PEA was the best option for week 2.

52, but I had Christensen get 0 and Tierney I didnt know was injured.

 

[Bradesmaen]

Not having a go but the whole concept of moneyball is that the A’s where a small market team who couldn’t afford big money players so had to use algorithms to gain an edge. Everyone in FPL starts with the same budget and can afford two or three big hitters. Picking differentials I agree is smart and much more fun than going with the crowd all the time but there has to be a balance.

Eh yes, but it's also about finding multiple players to do things rather than 1, spreading your investment out.

 

[SM]

52, but I had Christensen get 0 and Tierney I didnt know was injured.

Yeah with all due respect that sort of proves that you need to have at least one premium player. There's absolutely sense in spreading cash out, but you still need 1-2 viable premium options who you can captain. Not 11 mid priced 6.5 players who are going to average 4 points a week.

 

[Bradesmaen]

Yeah with all due respect that sort of proves that you need to have at least one premium player. There's absolutely sense in spreading cash out, but you still need 1-2 viable premium options who you can captain. Not 11 mid priced 6.5 players who are going to average 4 points a week.

I mean I had Harry Kane. I also had Firminho captain hoping he'd score a double against Norwich but he got an assist only.

 

[VSTone]

How many points did you get for the week? I could have afforded Salah, Sterling and Kane and got 92. I had PEA instead of Kane, but that was because I thought PEA was the best option for week 2.

Wow - that's some top end talent you have there. You must have been rummaging through the bargain bin to get there!
I've tried to spread the load with only Sterling of the top end and the next is Debruyne.

 

[SM]

Wow - that's some top end talent you have there. You must have been rummaging through the bargain bin to get there!
I've tried to spread the load with only Sterling of the top end and the next is Debruyne.

 

[VSTone]

My kick off squad - I have shopped Wood to Origi for Wk2. Will look to build some cash reserves while trying to focus on keeping squad value moving forward.