FIFA World Cup 2022

[Pacman82]

I don't think there's much conspiring involved, Portugal had some outside noise going on, and a huge Mo'rockin crowd to boot.. reminds of when Greece beat them in the Euro's, Charisteas!!!

Ronaldo did sweet fa that day too.

 

[targett]

People still looking to Hedge 101/1 , And why Pinnacle is still a Bookmaking World leader
FWIW Bet Makers are following Tab

Also added Betfair exchange

 

[kickazz]

I'm wanting to hedge my France to win the WC bets, I’ve got multiple bets at an average of 7.5 odds totalling $4750. Currently the lay on Betfair is 2.2. Just wondering if it's smarter to lay it now or wait for the result of Argentina v Croatia first? I suspect that if Argentina win, the lay odds on France will go up to circa 2.5-2.7 given Argentina will be locked into the final whereas France will still have to beat Morocco. I doubt the odds will change all that much if Croatia wins. Any thoughts?

All those potential price shifts are factored in to the current price and probabilities of outcomes of the lead up games you mention

The key principle when hedging is the same as when punting - do you think the market has the price wrong? If so, ensure your hedge bets exploit the overs.

If you think the market is about right, then there is probably no point in hedging, (as you are just exposing yourself to another round of vig) but if you must because the amount of money at stake is quite high, then whether you do it now or do it tomorrow is no different than simply having a bet/gamble on the outcome of tonight's game.

 

[ippxss]

If you think the market is about right, then there is probably no point in hedging, (as you are just exposing yourself to another round of vig) but if you must because the amount of money at stake is quite high, then whether you do it now or do it tomorrow is no different than simply having a bet/gamble on the outcome of tonight's game.

Damnit accidentally deleted my post instead of editing..

And thanks, that’s a good way of looking at it. I think the market is pretty spot on, maybe a little overconfident on France winning it all. I’m not as confident and the $ is way more than I should be risking.

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Betfair odds before the semis kick off.

 

[dontlimitme]

halftime correct score multi

0-0 in both games @ 6.17 (SB)

 

[dontlimitme]

halftime correct score multi

0-0 in both games @ 6.17 (SB)

1st half under 0.5 goals multi in both gives better odds on SB, @ 6.44 and boosted is 7.15

 

[_ASP3X]

I think Argentina wins this game, but I’m not too confident on any bets for tonight so just taking the Bet365 Mega Boost. My max was $80.

 

[Suncraze]

SGM Croatia +1.5/TGS U2.5 $1.90 2.25u

 

[NYRB]

Was hoping to get a better price on Croatia in the match odds but Ill give that price a pass on match odds. ($5.20 or so)

on Each Team 2+ Corners Each Half and Each team Shots on Target Each half which i got earlier in the week at $81(its come in a bit $67)

FanDuel US Sportsbook have that same market priced at $101 at the time of writing.

 

[ep2018]

under 2.5 multi in both semis unload the bankroll

Can see France winning 3-0 or 4-0, Morocco falling behind will make them panic and France will surely score against them.

 

[rank and file]

Soccer Roulette time
Spinning the ball with a lean to Argentina winning comfortably

 

[rank and file]

Can see France winning 3-0 or 4-0, Morocco falling behind will make them panic and France will surely score against them.

Either way,can see Paris burning.

 

[dontlimitme]

damn that goal came out of nowhere croatia were bossing

 

[dontlimitme]

wtf that 2nd goal lol

 

[dontlimitme]

brasil died for this

 

[rank and file]

Soccer Roulette Theory delivers at the pointy end

 

[pendlebury_10]

I managed to jump on the Argentina train with Betr and have happily ridden through the tournament.

What's the best play here to lock in profit here gents? Lay France as Tournament winners now or wait for tonight's game?

 

[kickazz]

I managed to jump on the Argentina train with Betr and have happily ridden through the tournament.

What's the best play here to lock in profit here gents? Lay France as Tournament winners now or wait for tonight's game?

Assume you mean back France.

It will cost you less (for whatever outcome you want) to back France to win the tournament now than after tonight's game. Maybe not much, but it will be less.

Of course that money is down the toilet if Morocco win, but your original ARG bet will be safer.

 

[pendlebury_10]

Thanks mate, yes should have been back France, I had it in my head to lay Argentina.

I can see a blow out tonight so happy to take the early plunge.

 

[_ASP3X]

I think Argentina wins this game, but I’m not too confident on any bets for tonight so just taking the Bet365 Mega Boost. My max was $80.

View attachment 1572679

+1.2u

World Cup 2022: 40-54-8 +14.26u

3 games left

 

[_ASP3X]

2.5u - Mbappe score or assist & France qualify @ $2.00 (SB)

0.25u - Mbappe & Giroud combine for 2+ goals @ $4.00 (Dabble special)

 

[dontlimitme]

2.5u - Mbappe score or assist & France qualify @ $2.00 (SB)

love this tailing!

 

[Fabab]

Griezman to score $5.50

 

[one eyedtiger]

0.25u - Mbappe & Giroud combine for 2+ goals @ $4.00 (Dabble special)

Can I ask where you find this, I can't seem to find it on the app. Thank you in advance!