Final 8

[Kaney321]

Breaking down our final 8 games we have to win 6 to pretty much garuntee a finals berth.

This means we need to win all of Port away, GWS at home and Melbourne twice.

Then we need to win two of Eagles, Adalaide away, North away and Richmond at home.

Luckily we have another three weeks against the easier wins to get players fit and build confidence before the harder part of the run home.

We could very well be heading into the eagles game with a line up like this:

Broughton Dawson Johnson
McPhee McPharlin Mundy

Fyfe DeBoer Hill

Ballantyne Bradley Morabito
Mayne Pavlich Walters

Griffen Barlow Crowley

Mzungu Lower Ibbotson
Suban

On top of this the Eagles will hopefully be low on confidence with injuries and suspension taking their toll on the harder part of their draw. If we win this game i believe we are almost garunteed a finals spot.

If we reach the finals, it could quite easily be us in 8th and eagles in 5th. This is after we play Melbourne at home.

I am ver excited to see how the rest of the year pans out and am getting more confident every time i think about it.

 

[jedi mind tricks]

I think Eagles will be top 4.


We will give top 8 a shake due to our easy draw from now on. The only thing i'm worried about is %. I also wouldn't rush Fyfe back in at all this season as he really doesn't need another shoulder op. He would be best strengthening it up so the chances of it happening again in minimal.

 

[Fred Ziffel]

The big difference to your team i would make is Mellington in for Walters.
Plus it's possible for Freo to finish 8th with 12 wins; For the record I have
Eagles finishing 5th and Freo 8th.
I guess that means a home final for us.

 

[Kram]

The ladder predictor I just tried with 6 more wins still had us missing, finishing 9th on %.

 

[Fred Ziffel]

The ladder predictor I just tried with 6 more wins still had us missing, finishing 9th on %.

Did you have Gold Coast beating Richmond in Cairns ?
I had Cats finishing 10th on 40 points.

 

[Kram]

Nah had Richmond winning.

 

[free at last]

The ladder predictor I just tried with 6 more wins still had us missing, finishing 9th on %.

Where did the ladder predictor place Richmond,norf,saints and carltank?

PS: I would not be one bit surprised if the suns upset Richmond.

 

[Kram]

Richmond
Geelong
-----------
Fremantle
St Kilda
Carltank
Norf

Anyway there's bound to be some upsets so 6 wins would quite likely be enough. (what was that I said about not looking past this week again? lol)

 

[Kaney321]

Richmond have just lost Foley for the season, this is on top of underrated second ruckmen/KPF vickery who is also out for the season, other injuries and suspensions are catching up with them.

Did you have us losing to them?

 

[Fred Ziffel]

5,6,7,8 = Eagles , Essendon, Carlton, Freo (12 wins )
9,10,11,12 = Saints (11 wins), Geelong (10 wins ), North (10 wins ), Lions(10 wins ), Richmond (8 wins)

I did this using 12 pts margin for every game so teams at 10,11 & 12 on the ladder on equal points could shuffle depending on % but nonetheless 12 wins could see Freo in 8th spot.

 

[free at last]

Hard not to look forward though.Win the next three hopefully and then reassess.

 

[Fred Ziffel]

I expect Geelong to finally slide from their glorious reign and Richmond to head south at a rate of knots.
By the way is Vickery the turd who mimicked Mick Barlow coming off the ground at half time with the exaggerated limp ?

If so, there's a lovely irony.

 

[blue shark]

A month is a long time in footy, no Sandi, Clarke, in that lineup. At the beginning of the year media portraying we couldnt win without 211.

 

[Nickos66]

I can't see us having the glory run people assume we'll have. IMO we'll fall just short, say 9th or 10th and dockerland will have a boilover with us going backwards with Ross.

 

[dockshark]

The ladder predictor is tricky because of all the games that are near 50/50. Who can predict which Carlton will turn up or how North will go for example.... Anyways this is what I came up with after a bit of manipulation. This assumes we only drop the Derby and the Adelaide game (which for the purposes of this exercise is what required imho for us to make the 8).

In my view though (I hope I'm wrong of course!) we will drop at least one of the North or Richmond game and finish 9-11.

Adelaide 18
Hawthorn 17
Sydney 17
West Coast 17
Collingwood 16
Essendon 14
Carlton 13
Fremantle 13
---------------
Geelong 12
Richmond 12
St Kilda 11
North 10

 

[free at last]

I can't see us having the glory run people assume we'll have. IMO we'll fall just short, say 9th or 10th and dockerland will have a boilover with us going backwards with Ross.

I can see us continuing to improve offensively with the fyfe returning,defensively we'll probably be better with Dawson back too.I'm not sure if the improvement will be enough to upset one of the eggs,crows or Roos,but I would not be one bit surprised if we pinch one from that treble.We win all our logical winnables and pinch one you wouldn't expect,freo will be finals bound IMO.

 

[PapaJ]

In my view though (I hope I'm wrong of course!) we will drop at least one of the North or Richmond game and finish 9-11.

I've not done the predictor thing myself recently, but that was my take on it a few weeks back. We're still a chance for 8th spot, but it's not very likely. If I was a betting man I'd put money on us on finishing 9th. Before the Don's game and after the Tigers game I had us at 7-8, that loss at Subi tipped the odds over the edge from I sit.

 

[malpaso]

We will WIN the second derby, lose the Adelaide and North games.

 

[Bad Brain]

I hate to say it but I can't see us making the finals. Just because we're not playing like we should be.

 

[feds2000]

I expect Geelong to finally slide from their glorious reign and Richmond to head south at a rate of knots.
By the way is Vickery the turd who mimicked Mick Barlow coming off the ground at half time with the exaggerated limp ?

If so, there's a lovely irony.

wasn't Barlow, he was giving shit to Stephen Hill cos he did the stanky leg dance during the game

 

[Bad Brain]

wasn't Barlow, he was giving shit to Stephen Hill cos he did the stanky leg dance during the game

I thought he was giving shit to Jack Reiwoldt, who also did his ankle.

 

[dominguez]

$5 at NSWTAB to make the 8 which is good value IMO. If we can win the next 3 and move inside the 8 it will lift the group and sets up a cracking derby.

 

[Wharf]

Win the next three and the Melbourne and Richmond games at Subi plus a win against one of North, Adelaide or West Coast and we're home. Simple as that.

 

[free at last]

Jeez the bummers injury toll is starting to mount now, Ryder out with a calf tear 4-6 wks.
If the port upset essendon this weekend another spot in the top 8 will open up.

 

[PapaJ]

Jeez the bummers injury toll is starting to mount now, Ryder out with a calf tear 4-6 wks.
If the port upset essendon this weekend another spot in the top 8 will open up.

And it will make me double upset we lost to them at Subi.