First club to 17 premierships?

Who will be the first club to 17 premierships?


  • Total voters
    292

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GiantHawk

Draftee
Sep 25, 2019
19
122
AFL Club
GWS
As per the thread title.

The only real contenders are:
Carlton - 16 premierships
Essendon - 16 premierships
Collingwood - 15 premierships
Hawthorn - 13 premierships
Melbourne - 12 premierships
Richmond - 12 premierships


Can Essendon or Carlton win a premiership before Collingwood win 2, Hawthorn win 4 or either Melbourne or Richmond win 5?
 

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Chief

Elastico Gomez
Dec 1, 1999
89,794
64,836
Brisbane
AFL Club
Carlton
As per the thread title.

The only real contenders are:
Carlton - 16 premierships
Essendon - 16 premierships
Collingwood - 15 premierships
Hawthorn - 13 premierships
Melbourne - 12 premierships
Richmond - 12 premierships


Can Essendon or Carlton win a premiership before Collingwood win 2, Hawthorn win 4 or either Melbourne or Richmond win 5?
No matter the state of each team, it’s like starting a match 3 goals down.

Richmond can win another one, maybe 2.

The most likely clubs to get to 17 first are the ones closest to 17.
 

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Juddernaut08

Norm Smith Medallist
Nov 8, 2007
7,775
9,903
Melbourne
AFL Club
Carlton
Haha that doesn't even make sense.

You remember all Carlton's 16 flags though?
Those 5 before Richmond won their 1st?
Before Saturday's game we were discussing how much each team had. Most had Richmond in single digits.

Whereas everyone knew Essendon and Carlton on 16. (some thought Collingwood were on 16 too)
 

Tony Harrison

🏆 🏆 🏆
Apr 15, 2013
11,374
35,126
AFL Club
Richmond
Before Saturday's game we were discussing how much each team had. Most had Richmond in single digits.

Whereas everyone knew Essendon and Carlton on 16. (some thought Collingwood were on 16 too)
Fair enough.
Seems odd to me. Obviously people will know who's on top so most likely to get those two right.
But Richmond having been on 10 since 1980, I don't see why most would have them in single digits.
 

demondavey

Cancelled
Apr 18, 2005
23,772
19,309
AFL Club
Melbourne
Hawthorn probably. No one would’ve thought they’d beat Melbourne to 13 flags, when the count was 12-1 against them, but they did. No club is winning flags as often as Hawthorn are.
Still to win 4 more when Carlton or Essendon only have one to go, I think Carlton are on the up a bit.
 

Tony Harrison

🏆 🏆 🏆
Apr 15, 2013
11,374
35,126
AFL Club
Richmond
Still to win 4 more when Carlton or Essendon only have one to go, I think Carlton are on the up a bit.
It's easy to say that when a team is rebuilding but then we've seen so many failed rebuilds over the years, or successful ones that still didn't get a flag.
So you just can't tell.
A lot has to go right to get one.
Most would have had the dees as most likely to get the next flag out of them, blues and Essendon at the end of 2018 but now are reconsidering.
But they could also rise straight back up.

And that's why I'm sitting on the fence :D
 

demondavey

Cancelled
Apr 18, 2005
23,772
19,309
AFL Club
Melbourne
It's easy to say that when a team is rebuilding but then we've seen so many failed rebuilds over the years, or successful ones that still didn't get a flag.
So you just can't tell.
A lot has to go right to get one.
Most would have had the dees as most likely to get the next flag out of them, blues and Essendon at the end of 2018 but now are reconsidering.
But they could also rise straight back up.

And that's why I'm sitting on the fence :D
Yeah I know what you mean, but I do think Carlton under Teague look the best I’ve seen in years. Who knows.
 

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