WallyStringhaus
Club Legend
- Aug 27, 2015
- 1,150
- 5,280
- AFL Club
- Western Bulldogs
In previous postings I have highlighted some data with regards to experience levels and how the Club under Bevo has massively over-achieved when compared with the rest of the competition. It still baffles me that people on this board have been so quick to jump off of the #inbevowetrust bandwagon, especially when you consider just how young and inexperienced our list is at the moment.
Below is a chart that shows 10 years worth of data;
For reasons that have been discussed Ad nauseam the Premiership team from 2016 was unable to stick together, let's just pretend for a moment that they did. What would our experience level look like if Hamling decided to stay, Jake behaved himself, Dahl stayed motivated, Biggs, Boyd, Picken and Clay didn't retire early and Moz and Dicko had an injury free run. If we use the 21 premiership players and subbed in Suckling for M.Boyd and imagine for a second that we had a Richmond like injury free run, adding around 50 games to each player would see our total games experience sit at around 2750...right in the pocket for where a consistent finals team needs to be.
On the weekend our total games played was 1615. In Round One 2018 it was 1510. History shows us that this is bottom four level. That we won 8 games last year was a feat on par with making the finals in 2015. If we can get another 8 this year then we should all be very encouraged. Brisbane finished 18th in 2017 and had a total games played of 1615 in Round 23 of that season. They've added Charlie Cameron, Luke Hodge and Lachie Neale and pumped some games into their youth and they now sit at 2142 games played and are on track for a home final. It can turn very, very quickly.
Only 5 teams have made the finals with less than 2000 games experience. Three of those teams were early in the decade (Freo 2010, Carl 2010/11) and the Dogs in 2015/16. Only one of those teams were able to make it past the Semi-Final stage which shows just what a remarkable achievement 2016 was. Out of 72 finals teams since 2010 only one has made a Prelim with less than 2000 games experience, that side went on to not only win that Prelim but a GF as well.
Luke Beveridge is a miracle worker and we as fans need to give him the time to build his team. We are showing we can sustain good levels of football against quality, hardened and experienced units. What is lacking is a bit of consistency and continuity. If we show a bit of patience and just let these young blokes marinate and throw in a few key ingredients at the draft/trade period then we will be tasting success again in no time! Go Dogs!
Below is a chart that shows 10 years worth of data;
- The Green line illustrates the total games played by the Premiers of each season
- The Black line shows the average games played by the eight finalists of each season
- The Red line displays the average games played by the bottom four sides of each season
For reasons that have been discussed Ad nauseam the Premiership team from 2016 was unable to stick together, let's just pretend for a moment that they did. What would our experience level look like if Hamling decided to stay, Jake behaved himself, Dahl stayed motivated, Biggs, Boyd, Picken and Clay didn't retire early and Moz and Dicko had an injury free run. If we use the 21 premiership players and subbed in Suckling for M.Boyd and imagine for a second that we had a Richmond like injury free run, adding around 50 games to each player would see our total games experience sit at around 2750...right in the pocket for where a consistent finals team needs to be.
On the weekend our total games played was 1615. In Round One 2018 it was 1510. History shows us that this is bottom four level. That we won 8 games last year was a feat on par with making the finals in 2015. If we can get another 8 this year then we should all be very encouraged. Brisbane finished 18th in 2017 and had a total games played of 1615 in Round 23 of that season. They've added Charlie Cameron, Luke Hodge and Lachie Neale and pumped some games into their youth and they now sit at 2142 games played and are on track for a home final. It can turn very, very quickly.
Only 5 teams have made the finals with less than 2000 games experience. Three of those teams were early in the decade (Freo 2010, Carl 2010/11) and the Dogs in 2015/16. Only one of those teams were able to make it past the Semi-Final stage which shows just what a remarkable achievement 2016 was. Out of 72 finals teams since 2010 only one has made a Prelim with less than 2000 games experience, that side went on to not only win that Prelim but a GF as well.
Luke Beveridge is a miracle worker and we as fans need to give him the time to build his team. We are showing we can sustain good levels of football against quality, hardened and experienced units. What is lacking is a bit of consistency and continuity. If we show a bit of patience and just let these young blokes marinate and throw in a few key ingredients at the draft/trade period then we will be tasting success again in no time! Go Dogs!