Prediction GCS NAB Rising Star 2019 prospects

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2019 Gold Coast SUNS NAB Rising star prospects:

PICK 2 - JACK LUKOSIUS:
U18 stats:

Games: 4
Avg disposals: 15
Avg Kicks: 12
Avg Handballs: 3
Avg Marks: 7.8
Goals: 9

Verdict: Hard to say. Not even Lance Franklin was a gun key forward year 1. expectation should be around 15 - 25 goals (provided he play the whole season) and general improvement throughout the season. Will need to put on weight to compete at AFL level and he'll be playing undersized early in his career, though that shouldn't be an issue as he played undersized in the SANFL most of this year and last. Long lead, beautiful kick, very athletic 2nd or 3rd tall that takes a lot of marks. Should expect a nomination at some point, but first year KPF's rarely win the NAB Rising Star. Huge wraps internally and our first top 2 pick since year 1 means he should get plenty of games since Lynch defected. Rated by many as the best KPF to come through the system in years so anything is possible.

Odds: $13

PICK 3 - IZAK RANKINE:
U18 stats:

Games: 4
Avg disposals: 15
Avg Kicks: 12
Avg Handballs: 3.8
Avg Marks: 3.8
Goals: 12

Verdict: Human highlight reel. Would be surprised if he plays any NEAFL football at all. Club has said they do see him moving into the midfield eventually and he has the size to compete straight away. Ranked by many as the No.1 player in the draft and GWS recruiters have definitively stated they would have taken him at No.1. only dual U18 All Australian in the draft. Will definitely give the award a shake.

Odds: $13

PICK 6 - BEN KING:

U18 stats:

Games: 4
Avg disposals: 11.8
Avg Kicks: 7
Avg Handballs: 2.5
Avg Marks: 4.8
Goals: 12

Verdict: Also hard to say. Played as a dominant key forward at the U18 champs after his brother Max went down with a torn ACL. Does he return to playing as a KPD where he was rated best on ground in the U18 VS Werribee or does he continue as a KPF where he kicked = most goals at the U18 championships? Ridiculously quick for a bloke 200cm+ tall but looks a little light. Supposedly being rated big time internally and wouldn't surprise if he received a nomination and played a big chunk of the season.

Odds: $34

PICK 23 - JEZ MCLENNAN

U18 stats:

Games: 4
Avg disposals: 13
Avg Kicks: 6
Avg Handballs: 7
Avg Marks: 5.3
Goals: -

Verdict: Club traded up to get him. Obviously rated highly. Will need to force his way into the side I assume but with Kolodjashnij gone theres is a spot at half-back. Senior football experience at SANFL level and a strong intercept marking defender with a bigger body. a little bit wait-and-see on how much game time in the firsts he gets.

Odds: $67

PICK 71 - CALEB GRAHAM:


U18 stats:

Games: 3
Avg disposals: 6.3
Avg Kicks: 3
Avg Handballs: 3.3
Avg Marks: 2
Goals: -

Verdict: Provided we don't lose all out KPD's to injury this season again, I doubt he plays firsts. Bit of a project key defender with a big physical element to his game. Not a big disposal winner, more of a shutdown defender and seems unlikely to get a nom.

Odds: $101

Second Year Players:

WIL POWELL:

2018 avg:

games:
7
Kicks: 5.29
Handballs: 3.43
Marks: 2.57
Disposals: 8.71
Total Goals: 2

Best individual game: Round 16 VS NM: 15 disposals (8 contested, 13 effective), 5 marks, 1 tackle, 0 goals

Verdict: Another pre-season under his belt and he looks a lot bigger. played more than any expected in 2018 and competed really well for how small he was. needs to kick more goals, but he's classy with the ball and is a one grab mark. Possible nomination, but still on the light side, so doubt he plays the full season.

Odds: $34

BRAYDEN CROSSLEY:

2018 avg:

games: 10
Kicks: 4.5
Handballs: 4.9
Marks: 2.4
Disposals: 0
Total Goals: 5

Best individual game: Round 7 VS WB: 13 disposals (9 contested, 8 effective), 2 marks, 5 tackles, 1.1 goals

Verdict: No Lynch and no Wright meant he played more than expected in a position not necessarily suited for but looked the goods in patches. consistency will be key but he gets a lot of love from commentators and does some solid work in the air and on the physical side of things. Will need to do more to get or maintain a spot in the side provided Wright, King, Lukosius, and Corbett are all healthy. Nomination wouldn't surprise but not guarantee of first team selection with a healthy team to choose from. Could be backup if Witts goes down too.

Odds: $51

CONNOR NUTTING:

2018 avg: N/A
Verdict: Needs improvement. Make or break season but would surprise if he broke into the team.

Odds: $101

JACOB DAWSON:

2018 avg:

games: 3
Kicks: 4.33
Handballs: 11
Marks: 2.33
Disposals: 15.33
Total Goals: 1

Best individual game: Round 20 VS Melbourne: 18 disposals (6 contested, 13 effective), 3 marks, 2 tackles, 4 clearances, 0 goals

Verdict: Big time accumulator in the NEAFL as an 18 year old bodes well for the future. Lacks a bit of damage per disposal and is a little bit on the slower side, but like what I saw and improved each game. Could definitely force his way back in for games during the season again but would seem unlikely to get a nomination.

Odds: $n/a

JACOB HERON:


2018 avg:

games: 8
Kicks: 3.5
Handballs: 5.25
Marks: 1.63
Disposals: 8.75
Total Goals: 2

Best individual game: Round 18 VS Sydney: 12 disposals (6 contested, 6 effective) 4 marks, 1 tackle, 1.3 goals

Verdict: Similar to Powell, did much better than expected for how small he was. His game against Sydney I actually thought was fantastic and had he had a little more composure with set shots, 12 disposals, 9 effective and 4 goals in an upset win probably would have earned him a nomination this year. Another wait and see because he'll be behind Rankine, MacPherson, Ainsworth, Ah Chee and probably Lemmens with a healthy list.

Odds: $n/a

Third year players:

Brad Scheer

games:
10
Kicks: 5.9
Handballs: 4.9
Marks: 2.60
Disposals: 10.8
Total Goals: 1

Best individual game: Round 23 VS Geelong: 13 disposals (9 contested, 8 effective) 4 marks, 3 tackles, 1 goal

Verdict: Being played as a forward IMO has not helped him push his case for senior selection as much as many of us would like and his movement to the rookie list suggests that the coaches want to see a bit more from him. His contested and clearance work is solid and now that he's training more with the midfielders we'll actually get to see more of that. Contested accumulator as a junior, he's put up some high-ish posession games playing as a medium forward including 18 touches against Melbourne round 10 and his game against Geelong showed a touch of class where he was one of the more influential players whenever it came near him. Not ludicrous to suggest that his move into the midfield (the position he was drafted for) will bump up his numbers significantly. will need to start hitting some mid to high 20 possession games and cement a spot in the team to give a Rising Star nomination any sort of look in.

Odds: $101

Discuss.
 
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Thread starter #3
Rankine at $13 is great value in my opinion.
Agree. One of the few draftees from this year that looks likely to play each week, and at a high standard. McLennan at $67 represents value too if he can hold his spot
 

Sunraysia

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#4
2019 Gold Coast SUNS NAB Rising star prospects:

PICK 2 - JACK LUKOSIUS:
U18 stats:

Games: 4
Avg disposals: 15
Avg Kicks: 12
Avg Handballs: 3
Avg Marks: 7.8
Goals: 9

Verdict: Hard to say. Not even Lance Franklin was a gun key forward year 1. expectation should be around 15 - 25 goals (provided he play the whole season) and general improvement throughout the season. Will need to put on weight to compete at AFL level and he'll be playing undersized early in his career, though that shouldn't be an issue as he played undersized in the SANFL most of this year and last. Long lead, beautiful kick, very athletic 2nd or 3rd tall that takes a lot of marks. Should expect a nomination at some point, but first year KPF's rarely win the NAB Rising Star. Huge wraps internally and our first top 2 pick since year 1 means he should get plenty of games since Lynch defected. Rated by many as the best KPF to come through the system in years so anything is possible.

PICK 3 - IZAK RANKINE:
U18 stats:

Games: 4
Avg disposals: 15
Avg Kicks: 12
Avg Handballs: 3.8
Avg Marks: 3.8
Goals: 12

Verdict: Human highlight reel. Would be surprised if he plays any NEAFL football at all. Club has said they do see him moving into the midfield eventually and he has the size to compete straight away. Ranked by many as the No.1 player in the draft and GWS recruiters have definitively stated they would have taken him at No.1. only dual U18 All Australian in the draft. Will definitely give the award a shake.

PICK 6 - BEN KING:

U18 stats:

Games: 4
Avg disposals: 11.8
Avg Kicks: 7
Avg Handballs: 2.5
Avg Marks: 4.8
Goals: 12

Verdict: Also hard to say. Played as a dominant key forward at the U18 champs after his brother Max went down with a torn ACL. Does he return to playing as a KPD where he was rated best on ground in the U18 VS Werribee or does he continue as a KPF where he kicked = most goals at the U18 championships? Ridiculously quick for a bloke 200cm+ tall but looks a little light. Supposedly being rated big time internally and wouldn't surprise if he received a nomination and played a big chunk of the season.

PICK 23 - JEZ MCLENNAN

U18 stats:

Games: 4
Avg disposals: 13
Avg Kicks: 6
Avg Handballs: 7
Avg Marks: 5.3
Goals: -

Verdict: Club traded up to get him. Obviously rated highly. Will need to force his way into the side I assume but with Kolodjashnij gone theres is a spot at half-back. Senior football experience at SANFL level and a strong intercept marking defender with a bigger body. a little bit wait-and-see on how much game time in the firsts he gets.

PICK 71 - CALEB GRAHAM:

U18 stats:

Games: 3
Avg disposals: 6.3
Avg Kicks: 3
Avg Handballs: 3.3
Avg Marks: 2
Goals: -

Verdict: Provided we don't lose all out KPD's to injury this season again, I doubt he plays firsts. Bit of a project key defender with a big physical element to his game. Not a big disposal winner, more of a shutdown defender and seems unlikely to get a nom.

Second Year Players:

WIL POWELL:

2018 avg:

games:
7
Kicks: 5.29
Handballs: 3.43
Marks: 2.57
Disposals: 8.71
Total Goals: 2

Best individual game: Round 16 VS NM: 15 disposals (8 contested, 13 effective), 5 marks, 1 tackle, 0 goals

Verdict: Another pre-season under his belt and he looks a lot bigger. played more than any expected in 2018 and competed really well for how small he was. needs to kick more goals, but he's classy with the ball and is a one grab mark. Possible nomination, but still on the light side, so doubt he plays the full season.

BRAYDEN CROSSLEY:

2018 avg:

games: 10
Kicks: 4.5
Handballs: 4.9
Marks: 2.4
Disposals: 0
Total Goals: 5

Best individual game: Round 7 VS WB: 13 disposals (9 contested, 8 effective), 2 marks, 5 tackles, 1.1 goals

Verdict: No Lynch and no Wright meant he played more than expected in a position not necessarily suited for but looked the goods in patches. consistency will be key but he gets a lot of love from commentators and does some solid work in the air and on the physical side of things. Will need to do more to get or maintain a spot in the side provided Wright, King, Lukosius, and Corbett are all healthy. Nomination wouldn't surprise but not guarantee of first team selection with a healthy team to choose from. Could be backup if Witts goes down too.

CONNOR NUTTING:

2018 avg: N/A
Verdict: Needs improvement. Make or break season but would surprise if he broke into the team.

JACOB DAWSON:

2018 avg:

games: 3
Kicks: 4.33
Handballs: 11
Marks: 2.33
Disposals: 15.33
Total Goals: 1

Best individual game: Round 20 VS Melbourne: 18 disposals (6 contested, 13 effective), 3 marks, 2 tackles, 4 clearances, 0 goals

Verdict: Big time accumulator in the NEAFL as an 18 year old bodes well for the future. Lacks a bit of damage per disposal and is a little bit on the slower side, but like what I saw and improved each game. Could definitely force his way back in for games during the season again but would seem unlikely to get a nomination.

JACOB HERON:

2018 avg:

games: 8
Kicks: 3.5
Handballs: 5.25
Marks: 1.63
Disposals: 8.75
Total Goals: 2

Best individual game: Round 18 VS Sydney: 12 disposals (6 contested, 6 effective) 4 marks, 1 tackle, 1.3 goals

Verdict: Similar to Powell, did much better than expected for how small he was. His game against Sydney I actually thought was fantastic and had he had a little more composure with set shots, 12 disposals, 9 effective and 4 goals in an upset win probably would have earned him a nomination this year. Another wait and see because he'll be behind Rankine, MacPherson, Ainsworth, Ah Chee and probably Lemmens with a healthy list.

Discuss.
No Brad Scheer....????
 

gcsunsfc

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#8
Jack Scrimshaw $19 haha

The ones that interest me betting wise:
Rankine $13
Bailey Smith $26
Stocker $34
Begley $34
Parker $51
Cavarra $67
Constable $67
McHenry $67
Farrell $67
Walker (NM) $101
Scheer $101
 

OB11

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#9
Jack Scrimshaw $19 haha

The ones that interest me betting wise:
Rankine $13
Bailey Smith $26
Stocker $34
Begley $34
Parker $51
Cavarra $67
Constable $67
McHenry $67
Farrell $67
Walker (NM) $101
Scheer $101
Cavarra at $67 - if he is named in Rd 1 that is sensational value.

If he starts well early could triple your money by cashing out by rd 6
 

Sunraysia

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#10
Cavarra at $67 - if he is named in Rd 1 that is sensational value.

If he starts well early could triple your money by cashing out by rd 6
If that's Ben Cavarra - he's ineligible - not under 21 years as at Jan 1.
If it was a first year player award - Tim Kelly would have bolted in last year. .!
 

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