Prediction Geelong's fortunes for season 2019

Where will Geelong finish on the ladder in season 2019?


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Landgraft

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Maybe. It is a very easy scenario to imagine. None of those teams will be slouches. But the fact a few or them are at home should help immensely.
I see 7-0 as equally likely to 0-7.

Key to remember is just that even if we were quite disadvantaged (let's be unrealistic and say 70-30 in each game) probability is far more likely we win 2 than 0.
 
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Which is where you bump up against the limitations of a ladder predictor. I rate all teams we play in the first 7 games as stronger teams than us. So I picked them to beat us. However as you correctly point out probability would say we win at least a few of those.
 
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This bloke knows what he's talking about.

We'll finish top 4 and I'll tell you why. Our weakness was our forward line and we've fixed it. Rohan and Dahlhaus add the forward pressure and they are both suited to the role and not makeshift like the Parsons, Fogarty's and co who were trialled there last season. We'll also get Ratugloea returning from injury and our forward half functioned better with him in the side as that second marking target. We'll hopefully also see the return of Cockatoo. With him and Rohan we have two players with genuine speed who are both good in the air and at ground level and hard to match up on.

Our backline is top notch when they go into games with the right structure and our midfield is second to none but was lacking that genuine first hands to the ball ruckman. Fort, Abbott and Stanley provide something different depending on which way they decide to go but we recruited Fort for a reason and he's the best tap ruckman of the 3 so he should provide our mids with first use. Selwood, Ablett and Danger struggled a little last year and the main reason was the lack of continuity from our big men. Once Stanley had a consistent string of games it's no coincidence our clearance numbers improved.

I genuinely think we can win the flag next year.
Rohan is going to make a few people eat humble pie I reckon
He'll apply plenty of forward pressure which is something we lack ... I think Rohan was 4th in the league for goals from his forward pressure. He can also mark the ball in the air and provide a better forward 50 presence than what Menzel did so there's and added bonus there too.

He's a better player than most give him credit for.

Will it be substantially different in a team that's Hawk-centric?
You watch with interest young padawan.

Very classy player who gives 110%. People will start getting on board soon enough.
We're more likely to be 4-0 than we are 0-4
One of our teams major weaknesses is a lack of speed and pressure. Rohan brings both. He's also an exceptional user of the ball. He can take a mark, he tackles with 110% intent and he has breakaway speed with the ability to break the lines. All the things we're screaming out for. At Sydney he was used in the wrong role in a Buddy centric forwardline. Buddy is one of the most selfish players I've ever seen play the game which also didn't help Rohan's cause.
I understand the scepticism relating to injuries but if he stays on the park he'll be the recruit of the year. He has are the tools we need. Very talented footballer.
 

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