Just played around with the ladder predictor for something to do and be as unbiased as possible.
of our remaining games against the following, how many games does everyone think we can realistically win?
Collingwood (MCG)
Western Bulldogs (ES)
West Coast (DS)
Sydney (MCG)
Carlton (MCG)
Adelaide (TIO)
Port Adelaide (MCG)
Norf (BA)
GWS (UNSW)
St Kilda (MCG)
Brisbane (MCG)
Collingwood (MCG)
IMO 11 wins is actually sneak you into the 8 this year with good percentage. 12 would see you in for sure.
At 5 wins currently and with reasonable percentage, we'd need to win every single game against teams we "should" beat and cause a couple of upsets.
Gawns inclusion will come at the right time and could provide the lift we need to knock off 1 or 2 better sides.
Of the middle of the road teams like Saints, Norf, Essendon, Collingwood, we play more current top 8 sides in the second half of the year than any of them so I think it's a stretch but keen to know everyone else's thoughts.
I've bolded the games I'd like to think we probably should win but, we all know that means jack shite.
But if we do in fact win those, our best chances to grab 11-12 wins would come from the Dogs, Sydney, Norf and Saints games.
Is a really really interesting run home mid table and not copping a thumping, whilst winning solidly will be fairly important
of our remaining games against the following, how many games does everyone think we can realistically win?
Collingwood (MCG)
Western Bulldogs (ES)
West Coast (DS)
Sydney (MCG)
Carlton (MCG)
Adelaide (TIO)
Port Adelaide (MCG)
Norf (BA)
GWS (UNSW)
St Kilda (MCG)
Brisbane (MCG)
Collingwood (MCG)
IMO 11 wins is actually sneak you into the 8 this year with good percentage. 12 would see you in for sure.
At 5 wins currently and with reasonable percentage, we'd need to win every single game against teams we "should" beat and cause a couple of upsets.
Gawns inclusion will come at the right time and could provide the lift we need to knock off 1 or 2 better sides.
Of the middle of the road teams like Saints, Norf, Essendon, Collingwood, we play more current top 8 sides in the second half of the year than any of them so I think it's a stretch but keen to know everyone else's thoughts.
I've bolded the games I'd like to think we probably should win but, we all know that means jack shite.
But if we do in fact win those, our best chances to grab 11-12 wins would come from the Dogs, Sydney, Norf and Saints games.
Is a really really interesting run home mid table and not copping a thumping, whilst winning solidly will be fairly important
Basically we're ******. I almost hope we lose this week so I can just give up hope and be done with it.

