No comparisons of course and no pressure but GA'J was a late pick and also a slow developer. If I remember rightly and I should, it took junior about season 3 possibly 4 before he became a star
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I dont think Abletts pick position is a good data point now ... it was a different system.. and no matter the talent of the kid a FS cost an R3 pick. A better way would be to look at recent FS ..not just for Geelong. The current system is designed to give a cloak of equity to what a FS is picked for .. but Naish last till 34 lats year is just another example of clubs preferring to not pick FS till its overwhelmingly unders. He was expected go go a lot earlier. Bews did not get a bid and was a slow developer.
My guess is unless he obviously R1 he will go much later than a reasonable estimate of his value. Even if he is much better than R3 , it may be all we pay