eth-dog
Tier 1 WW Player
Observations
Richmond: An 8 goal to 2 second half got Richmond over the line against Geelong after trailing by 21 at half time. Bachar Houli was at his running best with 32 disposals, 9 rebound 50's and almost 600 metres gained whilst big recruit Tom Lynch had 19 disposals, 10 marks (4 contested) and 5 goals to lead them to their second Grand Final in 3 years.
Greater Western Sydney: Five goals to nothing in the third quarter helped the Giants win a tight game against Collingwood, the game going down to the wire with only 4 points separating them at the end. Nick Haynes was instrumental with 30 disposals and 10 intercepts whilst Jeremy Cameron was the focal point with 3 goals.
Head to Head (last 5)
Richmond 3-2 GWS
Form Guide
Richmond: 5W 0L
GWS: 4W 1L
Sportsbet odds
Richmond: $1.36
GWS: $3.30
Line: 18.5 ($1.90)
Possible sides
Richmond vs GWS
B: Jayden Short - David Astbury - Nathan Broad
F: Brent Daniels - Jeremy Cameron - Jeremy Finlayson
HB: Nick Vlaustin - Dylan Grimes - Bachar Houli
HF: Toby Greene - Harrison Himmelberg - Daniel Lloyd
C: Brandon Ellis - Dion Prestia - Kane Lambert
C: Adam Tomlinson - Josh Kelly - Lachlan Whitfield
HF: Daniel Rioli - Jack Riewoldt - Shai Bolton
HB: Nick Haynes - Aiden Corr - Heath Shaw
F: Jason Castagna - Tom Lynch - Josh Caddy
B: Adam Kennedy - Phil Davis - Sam Taylor
R: Ivan Soldo - Trent Cotchin - Dustin Martin
R: Shane Mumford - Jacob Hopper - Stephen Coniglio
I: Shane Edwards - Toby Nankervis - Jack Graham - Liam Baker
I: Harry Perryman - Tim Taranto - Matthew de Boer - Zachary Williams
EMG: Mabior Chol - Sydney Stack - Kamdyn McIntosh - Jackson Ross
EMG: Ian Hill - Lachlan Keefe - Sam Reid - Dawson Simpson
Richmond in: N/A; Out: N/A
Greater Western Sydney in: Toby Greene, Lachlan Whitfield, Stephen Coniglio; Out: Ian Hill, Lachlan Keefe, Sam Reid
Richmond defence vs Greater Western Sydney forward line
The Giants have the second most efficient forward line in the AFL this season, kicking a goal 24.6% of the time it enters their forward 50. Richmond are surprisingly middle of the pack here as well, conceding a goal 21.8% of the time it enters their defensive 50. All eyes will be on Jeremy Cameron against David Astbury at this end of the ground, the Coleman medalist against Richmond's best stopper, Cameron kicking 10 goals this year against Richmond from their 2 games so far, whilst the mobile Nathan Broad and Dylan Grimes seem likely to go with Harrison Himmelberg and Jeremy Finlayson. Another one to watch is Jayden Short trying to lock down Brent Daniels, the latter having 25 goal assists this season.
Midfield/rucks battle
Greater Western Sydney hold sway over Richmond in terms of clearance differential, being the second best team in the league in that particular department whilst the Tigers are 16th, the Giants also 2nd in contested possession differential to the Tigers 17th. Richmond are more about pressure around the ball and forcing them to kick blindly whilst the Giants have some of the best extractors in the game with Stephen Coniglio, Tim Taranto and Toby Greene to release the likes of Lachie Whitfield on the outside. Trent Cotchin will be the key to halving those clearances for Richmond with Matt de Boer likely to take Dustin Martin after holding him to 15 touches earlier in the year, most of Richmond's run and carry will be from the likes of Dion Prestia and Shane Edwards. Rucks wise, Ivan Soldo and Toby Nankervis are much more mobile than big Shane Mumford, so expect them to use that to their advantage.
Richmond forward line vs Greater Western Sydney defence
Richmond's forward line is around the middle of the pack in terms of goals per inside 50, kicking one 22.8% of the time it enters their forward 50. Greater Western Sydney are 6th in defensive efficiency in the league, conceding a goal 20.8% of the time it enters their back 50. Tom Lynch against Phil Davis should be a sight to behold, the Tigers big man having kicked 7 in the two games against the Giants this year, whilst impressive young tall Sam Taylor will likely get the job on Jack Riewoldt. Josh Caddy's match-up will be interesting, expect the flexible Aiden Corr to take him whilst Adam Kennedy is likely to go with Jason Castagna as Richmond's most dangerous small forward.
X-Factor Player
Liam Baker is one that has flown under the radar somewhat this year for the Tigers but he's an excitement machine and will love to get out on the big stage here.
Key stat
Richmond: Tackles Inside 50's. This is always an important measure for the Tigers, expect them to dominate if they get this right.
Greater Western Sydney: Clearances. Second best clearance team in the league with their inside group. Need to win this stat in particular to win the game.
Tip
Screw the head, going with the heart. GWS by 15, Toby Greene to get the Norm Smith
Richmond: An 8 goal to 2 second half got Richmond over the line against Geelong after trailing by 21 at half time. Bachar Houli was at his running best with 32 disposals, 9 rebound 50's and almost 600 metres gained whilst big recruit Tom Lynch had 19 disposals, 10 marks (4 contested) and 5 goals to lead them to their second Grand Final in 3 years.
Greater Western Sydney: Five goals to nothing in the third quarter helped the Giants win a tight game against Collingwood, the game going down to the wire with only 4 points separating them at the end. Nick Haynes was instrumental with 30 disposals and 10 intercepts whilst Jeremy Cameron was the focal point with 3 goals.
Head to Head (last 5)
Richmond 3-2 GWS
Form Guide
Richmond: 5W 0L
GWS: 4W 1L
Sportsbet odds
Richmond: $1.36
GWS: $3.30
Line: 18.5 ($1.90)
Possible sides
Richmond vs GWS
B: Jayden Short - David Astbury - Nathan Broad
F: Brent Daniels - Jeremy Cameron - Jeremy Finlayson
HB: Nick Vlaustin - Dylan Grimes - Bachar Houli
HF: Toby Greene - Harrison Himmelberg - Daniel Lloyd
C: Brandon Ellis - Dion Prestia - Kane Lambert
C: Adam Tomlinson - Josh Kelly - Lachlan Whitfield
HF: Daniel Rioli - Jack Riewoldt - Shai Bolton
HB: Nick Haynes - Aiden Corr - Heath Shaw
F: Jason Castagna - Tom Lynch - Josh Caddy
B: Adam Kennedy - Phil Davis - Sam Taylor
R: Ivan Soldo - Trent Cotchin - Dustin Martin
R: Shane Mumford - Jacob Hopper - Stephen Coniglio
I: Shane Edwards - Toby Nankervis - Jack Graham - Liam Baker
I: Harry Perryman - Tim Taranto - Matthew de Boer - Zachary Williams
EMG: Mabior Chol - Sydney Stack - Kamdyn McIntosh - Jackson Ross
EMG: Ian Hill - Lachlan Keefe - Sam Reid - Dawson Simpson
Richmond in: N/A; Out: N/A
Greater Western Sydney in: Toby Greene, Lachlan Whitfield, Stephen Coniglio; Out: Ian Hill, Lachlan Keefe, Sam Reid
Richmond defence vs Greater Western Sydney forward line
The Giants have the second most efficient forward line in the AFL this season, kicking a goal 24.6% of the time it enters their forward 50. Richmond are surprisingly middle of the pack here as well, conceding a goal 21.8% of the time it enters their defensive 50. All eyes will be on Jeremy Cameron against David Astbury at this end of the ground, the Coleman medalist against Richmond's best stopper, Cameron kicking 10 goals this year against Richmond from their 2 games so far, whilst the mobile Nathan Broad and Dylan Grimes seem likely to go with Harrison Himmelberg and Jeremy Finlayson. Another one to watch is Jayden Short trying to lock down Brent Daniels, the latter having 25 goal assists this season.
Midfield/rucks battle
Greater Western Sydney hold sway over Richmond in terms of clearance differential, being the second best team in the league in that particular department whilst the Tigers are 16th, the Giants also 2nd in contested possession differential to the Tigers 17th. Richmond are more about pressure around the ball and forcing them to kick blindly whilst the Giants have some of the best extractors in the game with Stephen Coniglio, Tim Taranto and Toby Greene to release the likes of Lachie Whitfield on the outside. Trent Cotchin will be the key to halving those clearances for Richmond with Matt de Boer likely to take Dustin Martin after holding him to 15 touches earlier in the year, most of Richmond's run and carry will be from the likes of Dion Prestia and Shane Edwards. Rucks wise, Ivan Soldo and Toby Nankervis are much more mobile than big Shane Mumford, so expect them to use that to their advantage.
Richmond forward line vs Greater Western Sydney defence
Richmond's forward line is around the middle of the pack in terms of goals per inside 50, kicking one 22.8% of the time it enters their forward 50. Greater Western Sydney are 6th in defensive efficiency in the league, conceding a goal 20.8% of the time it enters their back 50. Tom Lynch against Phil Davis should be a sight to behold, the Tigers big man having kicked 7 in the two games against the Giants this year, whilst impressive young tall Sam Taylor will likely get the job on Jack Riewoldt. Josh Caddy's match-up will be interesting, expect the flexible Aiden Corr to take him whilst Adam Kennedy is likely to go with Jason Castagna as Richmond's most dangerous small forward.
X-Factor Player
Liam Baker is one that has flown under the radar somewhat this year for the Tigers but he's an excitement machine and will love to get out on the big stage here.
Key stat
Richmond: Tackles Inside 50's. This is always an important measure for the Tigers, expect them to dominate if they get this right.
Greater Western Sydney: Clearances. Second best clearance team in the league with their inside group. Need to win this stat in particular to win the game.
Tip
Screw the head, going with the heart. GWS by 15, Toby Greene to get the Norm Smith