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Greyhound Thread
- Thread starter danielz_23
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Heading out for the night so cant give full tips for meetings but some dogs to follow tonight:
Ballarat Race 5, No.7 - Republican - Last start win at Cranbourne had to be seen to be believed. Extra distance will suit to perfection. Cant miss a drum.
Ballarat Race 11, No.7 - Emily Allen - Highly talented chaser who is mixing form at the moment. Should be juicy odds. Worth an investment.
Warnambool Race 8, No.7 - Wild Haley - Spectacular win last week after bombing the start and nearly breaking the near impossible 25sec barrier. My only query is how she will handle box 8. If you think she will, then anchor in everything cuz nothing will get within 6 lengths of her if she handles it.
Warnambool Race 12, No.3 - Penthouse - Good all up opportunity with Wild Haley as this will be short too but should just be winning. Nothing in the field can run 30.10 at the Meadows and he should be improving provided he handles first look at track.
Ipswich Race 6, No.8 - As you do - Super upcoming prospect. Tough win 2 starts back from a middle box. Draws its box in 8 and very hard to topple in what is an exceptional open race.
Ipswich Race 7, No.4 - Staminator - Will start big odds as its a bad box, slowish beginner but has a super motor and puts in everytime. If it can just find a position at the first time it will be near impossible to hold out.
Bulli Gold Cup Heat predictions
Heat 1 - In what is a super hard race, I put Hurricane Luke on top JUST over Hooky Booky and toss up for third between Magnifique (personal favourite) and Pulp who is a rising star.
Heat 2- I think from Box 8 Disintegrate is a special even though Little Sparkle can run time. So Disintegrate on top, from Little Sparkle with Ah Well to be rattling home at the end.
Heat 3 - What an interesting heat and I am going to have to lean towards the best box. The best 2 dogs in the race, Goodsey and Gripen Bale both know nothing about how to begin and its for this reason I am going to put the better box on top. Gripen Bale (biggest motor IMO going atm) from Goodsey(2nd biggest motor IMO lol), these 2 should gap the field with any clear running and for third I will look for a swooper like Drover from the coveted draw.
GOOD LUCK ALL!!
Ballarat Race 5, No.7 - Republican - Last start win at Cranbourne had to be seen to be believed. Extra distance will suit to perfection. Cant miss a drum.
Ballarat Race 11, No.7 - Emily Allen - Highly talented chaser who is mixing form at the moment. Should be juicy odds. Worth an investment.
Warnambool Race 8, No.7 - Wild Haley - Spectacular win last week after bombing the start and nearly breaking the near impossible 25sec barrier. My only query is how she will handle box 8. If you think she will, then anchor in everything cuz nothing will get within 6 lengths of her if she handles it.
Warnambool Race 12, No.3 - Penthouse - Good all up opportunity with Wild Haley as this will be short too but should just be winning. Nothing in the field can run 30.10 at the Meadows and he should be improving provided he handles first look at track.
Ipswich Race 6, No.8 - As you do - Super upcoming prospect. Tough win 2 starts back from a middle box. Draws its box in 8 and very hard to topple in what is an exceptional open race.
Ipswich Race 7, No.4 - Staminator - Will start big odds as its a bad box, slowish beginner but has a super motor and puts in everytime. If it can just find a position at the first time it will be near impossible to hold out.
Bulli Gold Cup Heat predictions
Heat 1 - In what is a super hard race, I put Hurricane Luke on top JUST over Hooky Booky and toss up for third between Magnifique (personal favourite) and Pulp who is a rising star.
Heat 2- I think from Box 8 Disintegrate is a special even though Little Sparkle can run time. So Disintegrate on top, from Little Sparkle with Ah Well to be rattling home at the end.
Heat 3 - What an interesting heat and I am going to have to lean towards the best box. The best 2 dogs in the race, Goodsey and Gripen Bale both know nothing about how to begin and its for this reason I am going to put the better box on top. Gripen Bale (biggest motor IMO going atm) from Goodsey(2nd biggest motor IMO lol), these 2 should gap the field with any clear running and for third I will look for a swooper like Drover from the coveted draw.
GOOD LUCK ALL!!
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Well that is true. With that being said, if your not posting a profit then you will be showing a -% on your investment anyway lol.
Running total on Best Bets from Jan 5th - Jan 7th (STab) based on a $50W/$100P on all selections.
Outlay - $1050
Return - $1074
Profit - $24 (+2.2%)
Warnambool
Lay - Mepunga Harmony (Race 6. No.4) - Labelled a $3.20fav according to the watchdog, I dont think this represents anywhere near the price this dog should. Regardless of its consistency and obvious liking to the Warnambool, the amount of speed inside from Lebron and Classic Diva, combined with Hollic Lodge and Selsi Flyer spearing accross, I cannot see this dog getting a clear run and this is the only way it wins.. Dont be taking anything less than $7.50.
Best - Lynlea Zac (Race 4, No.1) - To me, this look the most obvious best bet on the card. In a field which lacks any real talent, this dog has matched it with Mick The Mozz, Coulta Sky and Sydney Allen in its most recents efforts, recording a win and 2nd from those encounters. Drawn the red, it should just lead and win. Anchor it in.
Value - Mepunga Mac (Race 7, No.6) - This is a sketchy tip, but i know one thing about this dog. Look for it to be scorching home. Going through the form on this race, there does not look to be a "Tearaway" leader and this works in huge favour for this greyhound. Combine the fact he has a vacant box on his outside, and he has only missed a place once in 5 starts at track/dst, this looks to be the value runner in the card.
Maitland
Lay - Lights and Music (Race 3, No.4) - Won it's last 4..but in Dubbo...Boxes 3,5,6,7 have reasonable form in much harder company and this box does not do it favours. Drawn a little closer to the rails in its win and I believe with all the wins in a row the black sheep punters will follow the pattern and you wont get anything reasonable. Lay this dog to win.
Best - Eastley Drive (Race 9, No.3) - I originally made Late Night Out my best bet on the card, but talked myself into making this one it. Its form around The Gardens and Gosford is extremely good and the way the box draw has come out it has suited it with all the speed out wide and no speed inside should give this greyhound a clear go. The obvious danger will be Afroman, but I think at odds this is a certain each way bet, and its clearly my best of the night.
Value - Bee Tee Mac (Race 6, No.4) - Highly talented chaser who is dropping in class, finds its pet distance. Loves Maitland and he will be storming home at the end and I cant see this dog missing a drum either.
Sandown Park
Lay - Gypsy Flame (Race 6, No.4) - Impressive of the check last week, but this race is a harder commodity and has drawn much more awkward in the blue. The fact Shunted who is also a most reliable beginner is going to make its job even more hard, and this dog must lead to win. It cant come off the pace. Too tough tonight even with the watchdog putting it on top.
Best - Mystical Soul (Race 4, No.8) - Sizzling winner in a non-penalty few weeks ago, but refused to rail up last week when drawn the red. Even up the home straight was off the track. Today it draws it box, meets moderate company. Expect it to be sure, but expect it to win. Anchor it all.
Value - Seleyna Magic (Race 11, No.3) - Looks for big odds for this greyhound. Labelled a $10 chance and not tipped in any selection, this dog has oodles of ability. Has been mixing form lately, but with Merrily Mack on its inside and Bomber Fury on its outer, tonight might be the night it can position well on the first turn and based on its super 27.40ish win at Horsham 4 starts back coming off the pace, this could be a suitable assignment.
Adelaide Cup Heat Predictions
Heat 1 - The key here is the check. The form around Mudeye looks amazing, but its time really arent spectacular. They are solid, without being anything special. Beating Caplay, Singing Bee and Lovely Surprise is not Adelaide Cup form. Put Springvale Dash on top. Brilliant record, brilliant PB, drawn to trail early leader and run all over it on the back straight. Rhoda Reason has loads of talent too. Watch for her flashing at the end. Mudeye guy tires into third.
Springvale Dash, Rhoda Reason, Mudeye Guy
Heat 2 - Match race between inside two boxes. Boozeroo can be dicey at box rise so I will follow the red to hold off the late charging Boozeroo late. Financial crisis has had no luck in its recent runs and put him best of the rest if you are trying some Tri's and F4s
Long Gully Jacob, Boozeroo, Financial Crisis
Heat 3 - Ridiculously hard heat to work out the form on. In what is flipping a coin virtually, Ive landed with Fevolution on top. Recent 30.01 winner by 10l from squeeze box. Second pick was a toss up between the out-of-form Tomic, Rawson Reason and Elusive Tiger. I am going to go with Rawson Reason just for the box, with Elusive Tiger late and Tomic in 4th. Taking a gamble leaving fav out of the top 3 but eh, life goes on
Fevolution, Rawson Reason, Elusive Tiger, Tomic
Interstate Challenge - What a race. Just oodles of talent. My favourite dog in racing is Turanza Bale, so I am going to stick with him. High Earner should be able to carve across to lead. Strictly Mambo flying at the end.
Turanza Bale, High Earner, Strictly Mambo
Heat 4 - Dentax Bale loves the red box and he is a clear top pick. I think Sydney Allen can lead him, but he will only be warming up off the back straight and rail right inside on the home turn drawing away to win easily. Jimmy Bothing has loads of talent.
Dentax Bale, Sydney Allen, Jimmy Bothing
Heat 5 - In what the early market's have Lady Gaga are clearcut odd-on favourite, I cant fully agree. I feel Manuel Bale will lead clearly and Id prefer to be on home. No doubting Gaga's talent, but its beginnings keep costing punters. Grand Rule to be charging late.
Manuel Bale, Lady Gaga, Grand Rule.
Dapto
Lay - Lizzie Taylor (Race 8, Box 7) - Pains me to put this as the lay but the hotdog form has her at 2.75 and thats just silly. She has a sizzling PB on the track but thats when she lead all the way from Box 1 and she is a young dog which has a habit of finding bucket loads of trouble in its runs. With Tuaki who is a proven performer from the red who really should be odds on, be wary.
Best - Destiny's Imp (Race 4, No.3) - In what should be an openish betting market, on exposed form I thought this dog was a clear cut top rater. Rattled home behind tearaway leader last start. Extremely moderate field. Should win.
Value - Spring Spartan (Race 5, No.6) - Another personal favourite of mine. Blew the start last week and found more trouble than a fat kid in a bakery. Forgive its run. Never missed a place from 3 starts at the track, honest chaser who always puts in. Awkward box but super value. Worth an each-way ticket.
Albion Park
Lay - Bellbird Park (Race 6, No.5) - Won it's last 4 in a row but today is the acid test. Meets 5x harder company and combine that with a horrid box draw and has no official form at the track, this is a hugeeee lay for me. Would not touch this dog with a 10 foot stick. Fluke win last start.
Best - Veroficious (Race 7, No.6) - Huge drop in class for this super chaser. Won a heat of the Brisbane Cup but is def better drawn close to the fence. Severe drop in class should prevail and he should def be in the winners list tonight.
Value - Count The Dough (Race 2, No.1) - I think this is a monty to lead and this chaser is an extremely underrated one. In a race with only 3 possible hopes (1,2,8), the draw is the key and I think this will lead from box to post.
Hobart
TBH, could not be bothered doing form for Hobart. Too hard!! lol.. But throw a ticket on a dog in Race 6, No.2 in Bronze Warrior. Bad numeric form but is usually a fairly reliable beginner and from the good draw could run a cheeky race at nice odds.
Happy punting!!
Outlay - $1050
Return - $1074
Profit - $24 (+2.2%)
Warnambool
Lay - Mepunga Harmony (Race 6. No.4) - Labelled a $3.20fav according to the watchdog, I dont think this represents anywhere near the price this dog should. Regardless of its consistency and obvious liking to the Warnambool, the amount of speed inside from Lebron and Classic Diva, combined with Hollic Lodge and Selsi Flyer spearing accross, I cannot see this dog getting a clear run and this is the only way it wins.. Dont be taking anything less than $7.50.
Best - Lynlea Zac (Race 4, No.1) - To me, this look the most obvious best bet on the card. In a field which lacks any real talent, this dog has matched it with Mick The Mozz, Coulta Sky and Sydney Allen in its most recents efforts, recording a win and 2nd from those encounters. Drawn the red, it should just lead and win. Anchor it in.
Value - Mepunga Mac (Race 7, No.6) - This is a sketchy tip, but i know one thing about this dog. Look for it to be scorching home. Going through the form on this race, there does not look to be a "Tearaway" leader and this works in huge favour for this greyhound. Combine the fact he has a vacant box on his outside, and he has only missed a place once in 5 starts at track/dst, this looks to be the value runner in the card.
Maitland
Lay - Lights and Music (Race 3, No.4) - Won it's last 4..but in Dubbo...Boxes 3,5,6,7 have reasonable form in much harder company and this box does not do it favours. Drawn a little closer to the rails in its win and I believe with all the wins in a row the black sheep punters will follow the pattern and you wont get anything reasonable. Lay this dog to win.
Best - Eastley Drive (Race 9, No.3) - I originally made Late Night Out my best bet on the card, but talked myself into making this one it. Its form around The Gardens and Gosford is extremely good and the way the box draw has come out it has suited it with all the speed out wide and no speed inside should give this greyhound a clear go. The obvious danger will be Afroman, but I think at odds this is a certain each way bet, and its clearly my best of the night.
Value - Bee Tee Mac (Race 6, No.4) - Highly talented chaser who is dropping in class, finds its pet distance. Loves Maitland and he will be storming home at the end and I cant see this dog missing a drum either.
Sandown Park
Lay - Gypsy Flame (Race 6, No.4) - Impressive of the check last week, but this race is a harder commodity and has drawn much more awkward in the blue. The fact Shunted who is also a most reliable beginner is going to make its job even more hard, and this dog must lead to win. It cant come off the pace. Too tough tonight even with the watchdog putting it on top.
Best - Mystical Soul (Race 4, No.8) - Sizzling winner in a non-penalty few weeks ago, but refused to rail up last week when drawn the red. Even up the home straight was off the track. Today it draws it box, meets moderate company. Expect it to be sure, but expect it to win. Anchor it all.
Value - Seleyna Magic (Race 11, No.3) - Looks for big odds for this greyhound. Labelled a $10 chance and not tipped in any selection, this dog has oodles of ability. Has been mixing form lately, but with Merrily Mack on its inside and Bomber Fury on its outer, tonight might be the night it can position well on the first turn and based on its super 27.40ish win at Horsham 4 starts back coming off the pace, this could be a suitable assignment.
Adelaide Cup Heat Predictions
Heat 1 - The key here is the check. The form around Mudeye looks amazing, but its time really arent spectacular. They are solid, without being anything special. Beating Caplay, Singing Bee and Lovely Surprise is not Adelaide Cup form. Put Springvale Dash on top. Brilliant record, brilliant PB, drawn to trail early leader and run all over it on the back straight. Rhoda Reason has loads of talent too. Watch for her flashing at the end. Mudeye guy tires into third.
Springvale Dash, Rhoda Reason, Mudeye Guy
Heat 2 - Match race between inside two boxes. Boozeroo can be dicey at box rise so I will follow the red to hold off the late charging Boozeroo late. Financial crisis has had no luck in its recent runs and put him best of the rest if you are trying some Tri's and F4s
Long Gully Jacob, Boozeroo, Financial Crisis
Heat 3 - Ridiculously hard heat to work out the form on. In what is flipping a coin virtually, Ive landed with Fevolution on top. Recent 30.01 winner by 10l from squeeze box. Second pick was a toss up between the out-of-form Tomic, Rawson Reason and Elusive Tiger. I am going to go with Rawson Reason just for the box, with Elusive Tiger late and Tomic in 4th. Taking a gamble leaving fav out of the top 3 but eh, life goes on
Fevolution, Rawson Reason, Elusive Tiger, Tomic
Interstate Challenge - What a race. Just oodles of talent. My favourite dog in racing is Turanza Bale, so I am going to stick with him. High Earner should be able to carve across to lead. Strictly Mambo flying at the end.
Turanza Bale, High Earner, Strictly Mambo
Heat 4 - Dentax Bale loves the red box and he is a clear top pick. I think Sydney Allen can lead him, but he will only be warming up off the back straight and rail right inside on the home turn drawing away to win easily. Jimmy Bothing has loads of talent.
Dentax Bale, Sydney Allen, Jimmy Bothing
Heat 5 - In what the early market's have Lady Gaga are clearcut odd-on favourite, I cant fully agree. I feel Manuel Bale will lead clearly and Id prefer to be on home. No doubting Gaga's talent, but its beginnings keep costing punters. Grand Rule to be charging late.
Manuel Bale, Lady Gaga, Grand Rule.
Dapto
Lay - Lizzie Taylor (Race 8, Box 7) - Pains me to put this as the lay but the hotdog form has her at 2.75 and thats just silly. She has a sizzling PB on the track but thats when she lead all the way from Box 1 and she is a young dog which has a habit of finding bucket loads of trouble in its runs. With Tuaki who is a proven performer from the red who really should be odds on, be wary.
Best - Destiny's Imp (Race 4, No.3) - In what should be an openish betting market, on exposed form I thought this dog was a clear cut top rater. Rattled home behind tearaway leader last start. Extremely moderate field. Should win.
Value - Spring Spartan (Race 5, No.6) - Another personal favourite of mine. Blew the start last week and found more trouble than a fat kid in a bakery. Forgive its run. Never missed a place from 3 starts at the track, honest chaser who always puts in. Awkward box but super value. Worth an each-way ticket.
Albion Park
Lay - Bellbird Park (Race 6, No.5) - Won it's last 4 in a row but today is the acid test. Meets 5x harder company and combine that with a horrid box draw and has no official form at the track, this is a hugeeee lay for me. Would not touch this dog with a 10 foot stick. Fluke win last start.
Best - Veroficious (Race 7, No.6) - Huge drop in class for this super chaser. Won a heat of the Brisbane Cup but is def better drawn close to the fence. Severe drop in class should prevail and he should def be in the winners list tonight.
Value - Count The Dough (Race 2, No.1) - I think this is a monty to lead and this chaser is an extremely underrated one. In a race with only 3 possible hopes (1,2,8), the draw is the key and I think this will lead from box to post.
Hobart
TBH, could not be bothered doing form for Hobart. Too hard!! lol.. But throw a ticket on a dog in Race 6, No.2 in Bronze Warrior. Bad numeric form but is usually a fairly reliable beginner and from the good draw could run a cheeky race at nice odds.
Happy punting!!
Oaksnaf
Club Legend
No Bendigo today. It's the Bool.
Jibba Jabba can lead from Box 2 in Race 7. Not sure whether you are going to get anything more than $2.30 for Mepunga Mac. I wouldn't be shocked to see it start at $1.80.
Jibba Jabba can lead from Box 2 in Race 7. Not sure whether you are going to get anything more than $2.30 for Mepunga Mac. I wouldn't be shocked to see it start at $1.80.
Are you talking about the win? You doubt you will get more than 2.30 for the win? I will be blown away, if he gets sent out less than 2.30... I would nearly go on a limb and give you $2.00 on anything upto 100 bucks he starts more than 2.30.....
Jibba Jabba is highly talented but his box skills are very hit n miss... There will money for Jibba and Cosmic,,with a sprinkly for Shoota from the pink..outside of Mepunga of course...
And oops, better update the title haha ..good pick up
Oaksnaf
Club Legend
Warrnambool Race 3
Exacta bet
Code:
4 KORI JANE $2.94
6 PURE MACS $3.45
2 TRAILBLAZER $5.84
8 COME THE BOUNCE $16.74
5 MON BON CHIEN $20.67
1 BLUESKY DREAMING $22.97
3 HOT NIC $35.01
9 SON OF SENNA $53.36Exacta bet
Code:
4 6 $3
6 4 $3
4 2 $1.5
2 4 $1.5
6 2 $1.
2 6 $1.
tazlgnd
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lasst three legs at mandurah are tough tonight
remo cryptic should win well against these though
MANDURAH Quaddie 2:1,2,3,4:1,2,4,7:1,4,6,7,8 Quaddie(NSW)
remo cryptic should win well against these though
MANDURAH Quaddie 2:1,2,3,4:1,2,4,7:1,4,6,7,8 Quaddie(NSW)
Oaksnaf
Club Legend
You are more than likely going to be right with Cosmic Planet/Jibba Jabba/Mepunga Mac all starting close to favourite. But the way the punters rallied for Mepunga Mac against Boozeroo last start shocked me and has me thinking that they might come again.
Oaksnaf
Club Legend
Warrnambool Race 4
1 LYNLEA ZAC $1.68
2 SINGING BEE $7.36
3 HEATHY $13.86
8 FLAMINGO SANDS $15.40
5 WHITEWATER BAY $21.12
6 TIANI BLIND $26.07
7 KIRKSTALL JANE $39.74
4 TIGER CRUZ $44.16
Trifecta
Code:
1 2 3 5.41% $1.
1 2 8 4.86% $1
1 3 2 4.35% $1
1 8 2 3.83% $1
1 2 5 3.54% $0.5
1 2 6 2.88% $0.5
1 5 2 2.65% $0.5
2 1 3 2.55% $0.5
1 LYNLEA ZAC $1.68
2 SINGING BEE $7.36
3 HEATHY $13.86
8 FLAMINGO SANDS $15.40
5 WHITEWATER BAY $21.12
6 TIANI BLIND $26.07
7 KIRKSTALL JANE $39.74
4 TIGER CRUZ $44.16
Trifecta
Code:
1 2 3 5.41% $1.
1 2 8 4.86% $1
1 3 2 4.35% $1
1 8 2 3.83% $1
1 2 5 3.54% $0.5
1 2 6 2.88% $0.5
1 5 2 2.65% $0.5
2 1 3 2.55% $0.5
Oaksnaf
Club Legend
Warrnambool Quaddie legs:
Race 5
5 PERFECT PADDY $2.91
8 BROADWAY ANGEL $5.48
6 BLACKWATER BAY $6.09
4 COURTNEYS SON $8.35
2 MURPH AND TOM $12.73
7 OUR RHINO MAN $19.40
1 CLARETOWN FLASH $23.95
3 IVE GOT CRAFT $55.63
Race 6
1 CLASSIC DIVA $2.37
2 LEBRON $6.81
8 SELSI FLYER $8.40
6 BENNY THE BULL $9.34
4 MEPUNGA HARMONY $11.53
7 HOLLIC LODGE $17.57
3 JANES A DIVA $26.77
5 SUDDEN STATUS $40.81
Race 7
4 COSMIC PLANET $2.64
6 MEPUNGA MAC $3.44
8 SHOOTER BADOOTA $7.20
2 JIBBA JABBA $10.97
3 REALLY SWEET $20.64
5 WATUSI MAGIC $31.45
1 SNORKY SMASH EM $47.94
Race 8
3 ARVOS SPHINX $2.10
1 GYPSY MAN $6.01
5 SKULL WHEEL $7.42
6 RAGING AMAZON $11.31
8 NEWS FROM HOME $17.24
2 KARENS PICK $36.04
7 CALL ME TILLY $40.04
4 OUR RULE $44.49
Race 5
5 PERFECT PADDY $2.91
8 BROADWAY ANGEL $5.48
6 BLACKWATER BAY $6.09
4 COURTNEYS SON $8.35
2 MURPH AND TOM $12.73
7 OUR RHINO MAN $19.40
1 CLARETOWN FLASH $23.95
3 IVE GOT CRAFT $55.63
Race 6
1 CLASSIC DIVA $2.37
2 LEBRON $6.81
8 SELSI FLYER $8.40
6 BENNY THE BULL $9.34
4 MEPUNGA HARMONY $11.53
7 HOLLIC LODGE $17.57
3 JANES A DIVA $26.77
5 SUDDEN STATUS $40.81
Race 7
4 COSMIC PLANET $2.64
6 MEPUNGA MAC $3.44
8 SHOOTER BADOOTA $7.20
2 JIBBA JABBA $10.97
3 REALLY SWEET $20.64
5 WATUSI MAGIC $31.45
1 SNORKY SMASH EM $47.94
Race 8
3 ARVOS SPHINX $2.10
1 GYPSY MAN $6.01
5 SKULL WHEEL $7.42
6 RAGING AMAZON $11.31
8 NEWS FROM HOME $17.24
2 KARENS PICK $36.04
7 CALL ME TILLY $40.04
4 OUR RULE $44.49
I dont rate this a winning chance but I tell you what, it is definitely an improving dog. It has cost me a few trifectas and F4's because ive left it out and its run in the top 4 or even won!! Real smokey for exotics. Its win in 22.23 Best of Night was spectacular 2 starts back.
maxlad
Team Captain
nice races in adelaide tonight, go next top model and dyna lachlan
tazlgnd
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false favourite at warnambool i think
im not sure it can handle the draw, i really like the 4 to win
will back it to win as well as
3,4:3,4,5,8:3,4,5,8
im not sure it can handle the draw, i really like the 4 to win
will back it to win as well as
3,4:3,4,5,8:3,4,5,8
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maxlad
Team Captain
cant believe dyna lachlan was running at 3.90
tazlgnd
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huge value for run the line
has a recent average time .3 better than the next best dog in the race can handle the draw and is in great form
its a $1.70 shot in my opinion
has a recent average time .3 better than the next best dog in the race can handle the draw and is in great form
its a $1.70 shot in my opinion
Sandown Park
Lay - Gypsy Flame (Race 6, No.4) - Impressive of the check last week, but this race is a harder commodity and has drawn much more awkward in the blue. The fact Shunted who is also a most reliable beginner is going to make its job even more hard, and this dog must lead to win. It cant come off the pace. Too tough tonight even with the watchdog putting it on top.
Shunted holds it out, and that was it for the 2.70 fav.
Best - Mystical Soul (Race 4, No.8) - Sizzling winner in a non-penalty few weeks ago, but refused to rail up last week when drawn the red. Even up the home straight was off the track. Today it draws it box, meets moderate company. Expect it to be sure, but expect it to win. Anchor it all.
Short but was never ever going to lose. Def would want to be on this then Zenith at the odds.
Value - Seleyna Magic (Race 11, No.3) - Looks for big odds for this greyhound. Labelled a $10 chance and not tipped in any selection, this dog has oodles of ability. Has been mixing form lately, but with Merrily Mack on its inside and Bomber Fury on its outer, tonight might be the night it can position well on the first turn and based on its super 27.40ish win at Horsham 4 starts back coming off the pace, this could be a suitable assignment.
Bombed the start and worked hard to get within 3 lengths off Merrily Mack leaving the back straight. Closed to within a length but peaked on its run. Was sent around between $14-$22 on diff totes. Payed $4.80ST the place, $5.20NSW and added all the spice to exotics
Lay - Gypsy Flame (Race 6, No.4) - Impressive of the check last week, but this race is a harder commodity and has drawn much more awkward in the blue. The fact Shunted who is also a most reliable beginner is going to make its job even more hard, and this dog must lead to win. It cant come off the pace. Too tough tonight even with the watchdog putting it on top.
Shunted holds it out, and that was it for the 2.70 fav.
Best - Mystical Soul (Race 4, No.8) - Sizzling winner in a non-penalty few weeks ago, but refused to rail up last week when drawn the red. Even up the home straight was off the track. Today it draws it box, meets moderate company. Expect it to be sure, but expect it to win. Anchor it all.
Short but was never ever going to lose. Def would want to be on this then Zenith at the odds.
Value - Seleyna Magic (Race 11, No.3) - Looks for big odds for this greyhound. Labelled a $10 chance and not tipped in any selection, this dog has oodles of ability. Has been mixing form lately, but with Merrily Mack on its inside and Bomber Fury on its outer, tonight might be the night it can position well on the first turn and based on its super 27.40ish win at Horsham 4 starts back coming off the pace, this could be a suitable assignment.
Bombed the start and worked hard to get within 3 lengths off Merrily Mack leaving the back straight. Closed to within a length but peaked on its run. Was sent around between $14-$22 on diff totes. Payed $4.80ST the place, $5.20NSW and added all the spice to exotics
Running total on Best Bets from Jan 5th - Jan 8th (STab) based on a $50W/$100P on all selections.
Outlay - $1800
Return - $1942
Profit - $142 (+7.4%)
Shepparton
Lay - Quick Connect (Race 10, No.1) - Young dog who has had only a handfew of starts. Did win from this draw in a solid 25.69 but there are 3-4 other dogs who can run similiar time. Watchdog has him installed as $2.20 fav and I am pretty sure the punters will follow this dog, but this dog's other 2 runs were nothing flash and I just feel that the right price is around $4.70-$5 and you wont get close to this, so gamble and take this dog on and go wide in multiples.
Best - Supreme Level (Race 6, No.8) - Did not want to label this the special but for pure lack of anything else on the card standing out I have. Look, its clearly the best dog the race. It is boxed to perfection. I think its down a little bit on form, but expect it to bounce back verse an extremely moderate FFA field. Will be short, but expect it to win.
Value - Jigsaw Lass (Race 6, No.4) - In the same race as my best which I dont like either :O, but this dog has had absolutely no luck lately. And I mean not an ounce. It can show electric speed in the opening 75-100m which set up its early wins in its career. However, it has been solely raced at Bendigo nearly which had caused it to race in FFA class from start 5 or 6? The dog just was not ready. Still upcoming, will be monstrous odds, and I think is worth a solid place ticket.
Nowra
Lay - Rapid Unit (Race 5, No.4) - 2 wins and 2 seconds from its last 4 starts and only sub 30sec winner at this track will ensure this greyhound starts right in the market, if not favourite. The talent in this field is extremely deep and is 5x harder than this greyhound has experienced of late. Needs room to move early and this box will not do it any favours and I would be going very wide in exotic and multi-bets because I cant see this greyhound getting anywhere near them.
Best - Three for Ten (Race 6, Box.8) - One of the most reliable beginners you will see, and box 8 is utter perfection for this greyhound. Trained by one of the best, he meets a very very moderate Summer Cup Heat field and he should be far too superior for this bunch.
Value - Diamond Mollie - (Race 10, No.5) - Will not find a better beginner at Nowra in the 365m then this dog. She will be 2 in front within around 25m. The problem is 200m is about her capacity. She will be out in front and hope for carnage behind so she can hold on at good each way odds.
Albion Park
Lay - Sunlander (Race 8, No.3) - Risky move, but monitoring this dog at Ipswich lately, it has not been "pinging" but mustering after the first 30-40m. Today, it meets fast beginners in 1,2 and 4 and the Albion Park 395m is suicide if you dwell even a slight bit. I think this will be close to even money and I would be taking this for anything less than $3.
Best - Quinella $50 (Race 10, No. 1+5) - Couldnt split these two dogs and they do look classes above the rest. Dont think the market will exactly reflect this but I am fairly confident of this one. Only dogs I can see troubling the pair is boxes 7 and 8, but even then their current form is no match for these 2.
Value - Setanta (Race 5, No.7) - Not sure how the market will view this dog, but it is dropping stupidly in class. Even though this is a 4/5, its a really lightly talented 4/5. This dog has mixed it with some very smart dogs and has a slashing PB on track of 35.25, will be giving them a start but will charge late. Should be each way odds.
Traralgon
Lay - Slade Chaser (Race 9, No.4) - Bad box. In good form but bucketloads of speed in this race. I can see carnage in the middle and this one will be short. Stay away. Simple.
Best - Quantam Gold (Race 10, No.7) - Early markets have him at a $3.00. Id be jumping on him at any price he starts at. Ultra classy type. Drawn out wide. Has no opposition to beat. It just wins.
Scarlett Girl - (Race 1, No.5) - No luck in any of its first 4 starts. Showing huge promise. Meets another ordinary bunch again and look for it to blow this field away. Only query is first starters
.
Value - Shadowlands (Race 7, No.6) - Gets a long way back in its races but will be definetly suited by the 658m trip. Only pays 2 dividends so be wary if packing for the place. Def an inclusion for all multiples and will add spice.
The Gardens
Lay - Direct Jolie (Race 8, Box 8) - Highly overrated sprinter. Does its best racing at WPK. Markets have at 2/1 and I can only name one dog that cant win the race, so with that being said. Put this as the lay of the card clearly.
Best - Surfing Billy (Race 10, No.1) - Have to wait till the last to lock in the best on the card. Drops in class severly from racing against the likes of Woy woy fav, Lochinvar Marlow and Tax Rort. This should be an exceptionally easy assignment and has the best draw.
Value - Fuel Tank (Race 2, No.2) - I personally have a liking for this greyhound. Honest as a days old. Can be tardy at boxrise but with any luck, this is always in the finish. Great each-way bet.
Geelong
Lay - World Champ Bill (Race 11, Box.5) - Bad box over the sprint distance. Speed all around. Marked as early favourite. For a lightly talented G5, there is bucketloads of speed everywhere and from box 5 will have to be something special to get the cash.
Best - On Holidays (Race 9, Box.8) - Not only is this my best, it is gunna be HUGE odds. Box 8 specialist, sizzling 19.43PB at the track, good beginner in box 7 to help carve across. In a talented field, in which the betting public wont look at the pink, this has to be the best each-way bet of the day.
Value - Joseph Bale (Race 8, Box.3) - Strong chaser out of form, can bounce back in this field. Look for a bold showing.
No time for Richmond tonight guys. Good luck on the punt!!
P.S. Scarlett girl won at $3.20 and did everything wrong. Dog to follow.
Outlay - $1800
Return - $1942
Profit - $142 (+7.4%)
Shepparton
Lay - Quick Connect (Race 10, No.1) - Young dog who has had only a handfew of starts. Did win from this draw in a solid 25.69 but there are 3-4 other dogs who can run similiar time. Watchdog has him installed as $2.20 fav and I am pretty sure the punters will follow this dog, but this dog's other 2 runs were nothing flash and I just feel that the right price is around $4.70-$5 and you wont get close to this, so gamble and take this dog on and go wide in multiples.
Best - Supreme Level (Race 6, No.8) - Did not want to label this the special but for pure lack of anything else on the card standing out I have. Look, its clearly the best dog the race. It is boxed to perfection. I think its down a little bit on form, but expect it to bounce back verse an extremely moderate FFA field. Will be short, but expect it to win.
Value - Jigsaw Lass (Race 6, No.4) - In the same race as my best which I dont like either :O, but this dog has had absolutely no luck lately. And I mean not an ounce. It can show electric speed in the opening 75-100m which set up its early wins in its career. However, it has been solely raced at Bendigo nearly which had caused it to race in FFA class from start 5 or 6? The dog just was not ready. Still upcoming, will be monstrous odds, and I think is worth a solid place ticket.
Nowra
Lay - Rapid Unit (Race 5, No.4) - 2 wins and 2 seconds from its last 4 starts and only sub 30sec winner at this track will ensure this greyhound starts right in the market, if not favourite. The talent in this field is extremely deep and is 5x harder than this greyhound has experienced of late. Needs room to move early and this box will not do it any favours and I would be going very wide in exotic and multi-bets because I cant see this greyhound getting anywhere near them.
Best - Three for Ten (Race 6, Box.8) - One of the most reliable beginners you will see, and box 8 is utter perfection for this greyhound. Trained by one of the best, he meets a very very moderate Summer Cup Heat field and he should be far too superior for this bunch.
Value - Diamond Mollie - (Race 10, No.5) - Will not find a better beginner at Nowra in the 365m then this dog. She will be 2 in front within around 25m. The problem is 200m is about her capacity. She will be out in front and hope for carnage behind so she can hold on at good each way odds.
Albion Park
Lay - Sunlander (Race 8, No.3) - Risky move, but monitoring this dog at Ipswich lately, it has not been "pinging" but mustering after the first 30-40m. Today, it meets fast beginners in 1,2 and 4 and the Albion Park 395m is suicide if you dwell even a slight bit. I think this will be close to even money and I would be taking this for anything less than $3.
Best - Quinella $50 (Race 10, No. 1+5) - Couldnt split these two dogs and they do look classes above the rest. Dont think the market will exactly reflect this but I am fairly confident of this one. Only dogs I can see troubling the pair is boxes 7 and 8, but even then their current form is no match for these 2.
Value - Setanta (Race 5, No.7) - Not sure how the market will view this dog, but it is dropping stupidly in class. Even though this is a 4/5, its a really lightly talented 4/5. This dog has mixed it with some very smart dogs and has a slashing PB on track of 35.25, will be giving them a start but will charge late. Should be each way odds.
Traralgon
Lay - Slade Chaser (Race 9, No.4) - Bad box. In good form but bucketloads of speed in this race. I can see carnage in the middle and this one will be short. Stay away. Simple.
Best - Quantam Gold (Race 10, No.7) - Early markets have him at a $3.00. Id be jumping on him at any price he starts at. Ultra classy type. Drawn out wide. Has no opposition to beat. It just wins.
Scarlett Girl - (Race 1, No.5) - No luck in any of its first 4 starts. Showing huge promise. Meets another ordinary bunch again and look for it to blow this field away. Only query is first starters
.Value - Shadowlands (Race 7, No.6) - Gets a long way back in its races but will be definetly suited by the 658m trip. Only pays 2 dividends so be wary if packing for the place. Def an inclusion for all multiples and will add spice.
The Gardens
Lay - Direct Jolie (Race 8, Box 8) - Highly overrated sprinter. Does its best racing at WPK. Markets have at 2/1 and I can only name one dog that cant win the race, so with that being said. Put this as the lay of the card clearly.
Best - Surfing Billy (Race 10, No.1) - Have to wait till the last to lock in the best on the card. Drops in class severly from racing against the likes of Woy woy fav, Lochinvar Marlow and Tax Rort. This should be an exceptionally easy assignment and has the best draw.
Value - Fuel Tank (Race 2, No.2) - I personally have a liking for this greyhound. Honest as a days old. Can be tardy at boxrise but with any luck, this is always in the finish. Great each-way bet.
Geelong
Lay - World Champ Bill (Race 11, Box.5) - Bad box over the sprint distance. Speed all around. Marked as early favourite. For a lightly talented G5, there is bucketloads of speed everywhere and from box 5 will have to be something special to get the cash.
Best - On Holidays (Race 9, Box.8) - Not only is this my best, it is gunna be HUGE odds. Box 8 specialist, sizzling 19.43PB at the track, good beginner in box 7 to help carve across. In a talented field, in which the betting public wont look at the pink, this has to be the best each-way bet of the day.
Value - Joseph Bale (Race 8, Box.3) - Strong chaser out of form, can bounce back in this field. Look for a bold showing.
No time for Richmond tonight guys. Good luck on the punt!!
P.S. Scarlett girl won at $3.20 and did everything wrong. Dog to follow.
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