Greyhound Thread

[Oaksnaf]

Warrnambool Cup Heats tonight.

Going to be interesting given the poor weather especially to see if there is much bias in where the rain sits on the track and see how that suits the runners.

I like Atomic Voodoo in Heat 1

Warrnambool Race 5

1 ATOMIC VOODOO $3.47
4 CROSSFARNOGUE $4.76
8 FANTASY PHOENIX $7.26
7 DYNA LACHLAN $8.06
3 HOT PRICE $11.06
6 LAKELAND BALE $13.66
5 REV LIMITER $20.81
2 WANSBOROUGH $35.25

347-QUIN

1,4,7,8 X 1 = $6
Win #1 $4

 

[Oaksnaf]

Warrnambool Race 6

2 SHREDDED CHEESE $2.45
3 AMALKER GIRL $5.70
4 REEKAY RIP $8.69
7 GARMAN PRINCE $9.66
5 COHEN BALE $11.92
8 NIKITA BERIMAN $18.17
6 LIVIO BALE $27.70
1 GO WILD FELP $42.22

245-EXACTA

2-3,4,7 X 2 = $6
2-5 X 1 = $1
3,4,7-2 X 1 = $3

 

[Oaksnaf]

Warrnambool Race 7

5 GRIPEN BALE $2.64
3 PAPA COOL $3.62
7 GOODESY $5.52
8 TYE ME DOWN $9.34
6 CAPTAIN MILO $33.08
2 FREDDIE BALE $76.84
1 OLIVER ALLEN $117.11
4 WHITE NOISE $220.37

264-EXACTA

3,5-3,5,7 X 2.5 = $10

 

[Oaksnaf]

Race 8

4 GALBA JACK $3.23
5 EXPLOSIVE RHODE $3.99
8 BOMBER BLUE BOY $6.76
6 RUFF IT $7.51
3 DYNA OBELIA $10.31
7 BEST RESULT $29.56
2 CHERIE BAXTER $50.06
9 COOL VISION $116.29

323-QUIN

4,5 X 5 = $5
8r/4,5 X 1.5 = $3
6r/4,5 X 1 = $2

 

[clivewaterhousen]

GREENDALE huge value at maitland

 

[clivewaterhousen]

GREENDALE huge value at maitland

2nd F00k ya

$4 the place though

huggeee trifecta shame i wasnt on

 

[bigbunyip14]

wow no one has posted here for a while...

well during my days of working at the TAB, ive noticed that during the greyhound races, a big percentage of races, either the box 1, box 3 and box 8 win. not sure of the percentage but it seems alot, when watching. so last week, i decided to try out this theory with the 2 Melb Dog meetings (Sandown - Thurs and Meadows - Sat [also saves money because only 10 race meetings]) I will do this for 4 weeks

I will spend $6 on each race, a total of $1 FTW on 1,3,8. and a $3 Tri- 1,3,8.

Totals to $60 for 10 races. bout the same id spend at the Pub on the nite haha.

So here are the first weeks results.

Sandown 1/7/10

Race 1. 5/3/8 - X
Race 2. 5/8/2 - X
Race 3. 6/1/4 - X
Race 4. 8/3/1 - win $31.80... Tri - $377.95 (half of $755.90)
Race 5. 6/1/4 - X
Race 6. 8/2/6 - $2.90f
Race 7. 1/8/3 - win $3.50f... Tri - $60.60 (half)
Race 8. 2/8/4 - X
Race 9. 1/2/7 - win $9.60
Race10. 5/8/1 - X

Total spent - $60.
Total won - $486.35
UP - $426.35.

--------------------------------
The Meadows 3/7/10

Race 1. 8/1/3 - win $7.10...Tri $21.05 (half)
Race 2. 5/10/3 - X
Race 3. 3/4/1=7 - win $1.70f
Race 4. 8/4/3 - win $3.50
Race 5. 3/2/7 - win $2.00f
Race 6. 7/3/5 - X
Race 7. 1/6/4 - win $4.20
Race 8. 8/3/6 - win $6.40
Race 9. 2/4/3 - X
Race10. 7/1/4 - X

Spent - $60
Won - $45.95
DOWN $14.05
---------------------
After week 1.

Spent $120

Won $532.30

Up $412.30.

 

[Michael Scarn]

Nice work there mate

 

[bigbunyip14]

Just some quick stats from all races at each track.

43.84% or 445 wins out of 1015 races at The Meadows were won by boxes 1,3,8. (from July 09 to July 10)

44.73% or 412 wins out of 921 races at Sandown were won by boxes 1,3,8. (from July 09 to July 10)

 

[Poizun]

Where are you getting stats from?

Also, it is standard for boxes 1 and 8 to feature prominently at most tracks as they are the best boxes more often then not. Plucking box 3 out of the sky as another winning box is odd as at Sandown Park, box 2 has 146 wins recently verse 104 for box 3 for the period you are talking.

At The Meadows box 3 actually has 20 more wins then box 2 and tbh, over a sample size of 10 years im sure it would even out in favour of Box 2, because there is no reason box 3 would be advantageous over box 2 on that track.

In fact, going through the GRV stats, nearly every track that is popular at the pet distance, box 2 is beating box 3 in winners....

 

[bigbunyip14]

grv website. yes. everyone has their theories mate. if you want to do a thing with your numbers, you are most welcome. BTW i didnt just pluck box 3 out of the sky.

also boxes 1 and 8 can be hell for some dogs. dogs may like to rail early and other dogs may like to run wide.

thank you for your input

 

[bigbunyip14]

Bit late, been away.

Sandown 8/7/10

Race 1. 6-2-1-3 X
Race 2. 3-1-8-2 Win $3.80...Tri $87.10 (half)
Race 3. 7-8-4-1 X
Race 4. 7-2-3-6 X
Race 5. 8-4-2-3 Win $2.00
Race 6. 4-7-3-6 X
Race 7. 5-1-2-3 X
Race 8. 8-2-4-7 Win $8.70
Race 9. 5-3-7-1 X
Race10. 8-3-4-1 Win $7.50

Total Spent - $60
Total Won - $109.1
UP - $49.1

-----------------------------------

The Meadows 10/7/10

Race 1. 4-3-6-1 X
Race 2. 1-7-5-8 Win $3.10
Race 3. 1-7-10-4 Win $6.50
Race 4. 3-8-5-4 Win $3.90
Race 5. 6-3-5-7 X
Race 6. 4-5-7-8 X
Race 7. 6-8-5-7 X
Race 8. 2-1-7-3 X (8 scratched w no reserve)
Race 9. 2-1-6-3 X
Race10. 1-5-3-8 Win $2.30

Total Spent - $58
Total Won - $15.80
DOWN - $42.20

------------------------------------

After week 2.

Total Spent - $238
Total Won - $657.20
UP - $419.20

 

[bigbunyip14]

i think my next experiment will be 1,3,8 roving with the field in the first 4. or going on what POizun said, 1 and 8 each race in running doubles.

 

[Oaksnaf]

i think my next experiment will be 1,3,8 roving with the field in the first 4. or going on what POizun said, 1 and 8 each race in running doubles.

These numbers are overbet and more often than not provide UNDERS and in the long run any specific betting associated around the numbers 1,8 in running doubles does not return a profit.

If you were to rover this two numbers with the FIELD in trifecta's you will also find a huge loss.

 

[Cizzler]

Oaksnaf,

I notice you've been posting tips for a while. Have you been recording this and if so what does your record look like?

 

[Oaksnaf]

Oaksnaf,

I notice you've been posting tips for a while. Have you been recording this and if so what does your record look like?

Yes, I record everything.

The relevance of some records has somewhat diminished upon recent findings which was quite annoying, especially after two years of hard work. But thats ok.

There have been two distinct swings in my own analysis over the past two years. These periods show:

(STAB dividends used)
2009

Top Rater = -14%
$1 on Top 4 = -10.9%

Boxed Exotics = +19%

2010

Top Rater = +4.5%
$1 on Top 4 = +3.2%

Boxed Exotics = +3.7%

 

[Cizzler]

Yes, I record everything.

The relevance of some records has somewhat diminished upon recent findings which was quite annoying, especially after two years of hard work. But thats ok.

There have been two distinct swings in my own analysis over the past two years. These periods show:

(STAB dividends used)
2009

Top Rater = -14%
$1 on Top 4 = -10.9%

Boxed Exotics = +19%

2010

Top Rater = +4.5%
$1 on Top 4 = +3.2%

Boxed Exotics = +3.7%

I'm guessing they are ROI numbers? If so, what is your overall investment amoun then? Better yet, do you record your profit / loss in units?

Cheers,

 

[padstar23]

is anyone else on here extremely excited about nellie noodles? best stayer i have seen.

 

[Poizun]

is anyone else on here extremely excited about nellie noodles? best stayer i have seen.

That is a bit extreme. Is she talented? Hell yes, extremely talented. But when I think of her, I think of stayers like Miss Grub, Elektra etc etc. She is probably a level above them, but has same race pattern. Would of been interesting to see her in the Mantra Lad/Amity Bale phase tbh.

 

[padstar23]

That is a bit extreme. Is she talented? Hell yes, extremely talented. But when I think of her, I think of stayers like Miss Grub, Elektra etc etc. She is probably a level above them, but has same race pattern. Would of been interesting to see her in the Mantra Lad/Amity Bale phase tbh.

broken a lot of track records early.......one of them was amity bales at the meadows over 725m. obviously a bit early to call her that good but definitely shaping up to them at the moment.

 

[bigbunyip14]

WEEK 3.

Sandown 15/7/10

Race 1. 1-4-7 Win $7.30
Race 2. 9-7-2 Win $8.70
Race 3. 5-8-2 X
Race 4. 3-6-7 Win $3.00
Race 5. 9-8-5 Win $24.20
Race 6. 3-1-5 Win $3.70
Race 7. 8-6-5 Win $2.40
Race 8. 2-4-7 X
Race 9. 2-1-8 X
Race10. 2-7-8 X

Total Spent - $60
Total Won - $49.30
DOWN - $10.70

-----------------------------------

The Meadows 17/7/10

Race 1. 4-2-6 X
Race 2. 6-2-7 X
Race 3. 2-7-3 X
Race 4. 3-1-4 Win $7.10
Race 5. 5-1-2 X
Race 6. 3-4-1 Win $13.00
Race 7. 2-3-1 X
Race 8. 7-4-8 X
Race 9. 4-8-2 X
Race10. 5-2-1 X

Total Spent - $60
Total Won - $20.10
DOWN - $39.90

------------------------------------

After week 3.

Total Spent - $358
Total Won - $726.60
UP - $368.60

 

[Oaksnaf]

I'm guessing they are ROI numbers? If so, what is your overall investment amoun then? Better yet, do you record your profit / loss in units?

Cheers,

Realistically this is the internet, a realistic fantasy place where I can write what I want and you choose to believe or to not. So on that basis, I normally refrain from posting such information unless I am keeping a live track on what has been posted here or elsewhere.

No point writing anything after the fact. In my opinion.

Are you a greyhound punter yourself?

 

[Oaksnaf]

Traralgon

Race 6

4 CHEEKY RED $2.83
3 DANIELLA $3.88
2 ZIEBELL $6.57
1 EARLY PRIZE $9.01
5 POMMIE PRINCESS $20.93
7 UPSY DAISY $31.90
8 HILLDENE $39.38
6 POWERETTE $48.61

283-EXACTA

4-3 X 2.5 = $2.50
4-2 X 2 = $2
4-1 X 1.5 = $1.5
3-4 X 2 = $2
3-1,2 X 1 = $2

 

[Oaksnaf]

Race 7

5 WHY NOT DOUGIE $3.17
4 INFLAMES $4.83
8 LONGYS BANDITO $6.63
3 JASON STACKHOUSE $9.09
7 MARLY BOND $13.85
9 CLEARWATER CHIEF $17.10
2 PAPA ARK $21.11
1 RANDOM ENCOUNTER $26.06

317-QUIN

3,4,5,8 X 1 = $6
5r/3,4,8 X 1 = $3
4,5 X 1 = $1

 

[Oaksnaf]

Race 8

5 PRINCE FUSER $2.68
8 PHOTON FURY $5.04
3 LUKES MEDAL $7.69
6 CRACKED ICE $9.49
7 BRIAN BORU $10.55
4 BARRACOUTA $13.02
1 SORPRESAS $46.10

268-EXACTA

#5 should prove too strong as #4 wont be beginning with these. #3 needs to lead. #8 can sit outside leader.

5-8 X 3 = $3
5-3,6,7 X 1 = $3
3,6,7,8-5 X 1 = $4