Greyhound Thread

[Oaksnaf]

Well done then.


ADDINGTON
Race 1

#1 17.80s has clear run after starting only try at distance from box 5.
#2 17.50s 3-2-5 at track C1
#3 18.0s unlikely to figure
#4 17.80 only 1/32 wins C1. Place at best
#5 Slow 1/20 wins No chance
#6 17.80 needs a perfect run and wont get it
#7 Good beginner 17.70s C0
#8 17.70 Begins on terms should get clear run C1

#2-7-8-1 EDIT: 1-3-8-6 Win $15.40

*With the pools being so small, look at the place price for the runners, usually get some good overs. A quinella should go alright here.

RACE 2

#1 31.40 well drawn and definate place hope.
#2 18.00 over the shorts. Not likely to figure.
#3 31.20 gets chance today.
#4 31.05 winner. Drew outside #8 when won, now draws inside with no speed around
#5 31.80 and has been well beaten in all starts
#6 18.20s over shorts. Find this tough
#7 31.70 with 21/53 placings without winning. Place chance.
#8 31.10 Led here last start when drawn perfectly. Should go close again.

Selections: #4-8-3-1 EDIT:4-7-3-8 Win $2.90

*The 4,8 quinella looks a good bet here and they are likely to be favourites. Maybe have two seperate quinella's aswell with 1,3,4 and 1,3,8. Should cover all bases.

RACE 3

#1 17.80 drawn well but needs to lift
#2 17.60 lacks outright pace to challenge
#3 17.40 exceptionally hard to beat
#4 17.50 in good form
#5 17.60 can lead and is ready to fire
#6 17.60 is poorly drawn and needs rails
#7 17.70 looks well placed
#8 17.70 drawn well but may not be able to cross

Selections: #3-4-5-7 EDIT:5-6-2-7 Win $11.50

*We have a short priced favourite here. Could be a good exacta race.

RACE 4

#1 17.30 perfectly drawn and should give them a merry dance
#2 17.50 should get the perfect sit in the race
#9 (3) 17.60 and not without a chance
#10 (4) soundly beaten of late. Open to improvement
#5 17.60 should be thereabouts
#6 17.70 better suited to the 520.
#7 17.50 50% S/R over track/distance. Challenger.
#8 17.80 and hard to make a case for

Selections: #1-2-9-7 EDIT:1-2-9-10 Win $1.60 Quin $6.50 (TRI in order $67.90)

*The 1 should blitz them here.

RACE 5

#1 31.40 who was at the front last start from box 6. Well suited today
#2 31.60 Not without a chance from this draw
#3 31.70 Needs to improve
#4 31.80 Just dont like it here
#5 31.40 should run away from these
#6 32.00 better than form suggests
#7 17.70s over the shorts, go close
#8 32.00s needs to lift and has the draw to do so

Selections: 5-1-7-2 EDIT: 5-1-8-4 Win $3.20 Quinella $3.70

*Looks a good quinella this race. The 7 is the query as might not run the distance out at first go. 2 is the dark-horse.

RACE 6

#1 17.70 better drawn this time out, but is a bit weak
#2 17.50 can lead and may take catching
#3 17.90 better than suggested
#4 18.00 Faces tough task
#5 17.50 Definate danger, risis in class
#6 17.70 is a threat but drawn pooly
#7 17.80 Does not win enough races
#8 17.50 If crosses this field, which I think she will, should go close to winning.

Selections: 8-2-6-5 EDIT:8-1-2-6 WIN $2.70

*If the 8 crosses we should be home and hosed.

RACE 7

#1 31.00 perfectly drawn and should get clear racing room early with vacant box on outside
#3 30.90 well placed here and should go close
#4 31.10 1/40 wins not likely
#5 30.90 needs the perfect race to go well
#6 30.40 should score first NZ win. Is ex Vic dog.
#7 30.80 not without a chance
#8 31.00 up in class

Selections: 6-3-1-7 EDIT: 6-8-5-7 WIN $2.00

*The 6 should be lengths ahead of these. The only trouble is the box, but should be able to overcome that. Looks a good trifecta 6-1,3,7-1,3,7

 

[Oaksnaf]

GAWLER

RACE 1

#1 37.90 Raced well when second at Angle Park over 600m recently.
#2 38.15 qual winner over this trip in Nov. Needs everything to go right.
#3 Has placed over this trip in 37.93. Chance.
#4 In good kennel and is a 30.20 Angle Park winner.
#6 37.66 placegetter over this trip in Dec. Huge chance.
#7 Likely to struggle
#8 38.50 and faces tough task.

Selections: 4-6-1-3 EDIT:2-3-1-4

*Have gone for talent rather than proven ability over this distance. The 4 should either win here or flop, it just seems to do that at times. I think the 6 is unlikely to run 37.66 this time around and has only won 3/32.

RACE 2

#1 31.80 drawn well and thats about all the favours he has.
#2 Ran a steady qualy time at Strathalbyn. Well placed.
#3 Slow 31.76 qualy at Cranbourne.
#4 Dam has produced some nice types and is in good kennel. Ready to win on debut.
#5 Shall be better from 2 runs to date. Litter-mate racing well.
#7 Just doesn't have the pace. Place at best.
#8 Is in Modra camp so can't rule out.

Selections: #4-5-2-8 EDIT: 7-1-2-8

*Market will probably suggest I have gone a little bit risky, but the 4 should win easily.

RACE 3

#1 30.75 Angle Park run on debut from difficult draw. Is perfectly drawn here and should run away from these up the back-straight.
#2 Hasn't broken 31 at Angle Park after 6 goes. Hard to enthuse.
#3 Needs clear racing room early, but is better than most of these.
#4 Distance is a huge query
#5 May find best here
#6 Kennel goes alright
#7 Only 3/18 career placings.
#8 Litter-mate to R2 #3 and not much chop

Selections: 1-3-6-5 1-6-8-7 WIN $1.70

*The 1 will be short and should just salute.

RACE 4

#1 31.40 and can go close from this favourable draw
#2 31.30 and is racing in fine form. Go close.
#3 Forgive last run over this trip. Is a place hope if leads.
#4 In good kennel and has been running times that should see him at the front of this field.
#5 30.38 ANgle Park winner on debut, seems lengths ahead of this field if can reproduce run.
#6 31.70 and needs plenty of luck
#7 31.70 faces tough task.
#8 Hard to make any case for

#5-4-2-1 2-4-1-5 Win $4.70 F4 $95.60

*Stick to the inside 5 and you should nab every single exotic.

RACE 5

#1 One and only win comes from over this trip in 31.63 and is well drawn. Gets chance to win again.
#2 Racing well of late and not without hope.
#3 Unlikely to run well
#4 30.38 Angle Park winner recently. Is inconsistent though.
#5 Right in this. Having second start at track/distance and did well last time out.
#6 May be thereabouts in the run, but needs luck.
#7 Better than recent form suggests. Place hope.
#8 Good kennel, well drawn and has been racing consistently of late. Should cross this field and lead all the way.

Selections: 8-1-4-2 8-5-1-2 Win $3.00

*This was a hard race, as I found it hard to decide the placings between 1,2,4,5. I think that this is going to be a closely run race and the market might relfect that. Hard race. So box exotics if your having any.

RACE 6

#1 Drawn to lead. If runs a 31.30 which is capable of should go close
#9 (2) 31.60 place at best
#3 7/8 placings over this trip. Looks well placed
#4 30.52 Angle Park winner last start. In Modra kennels. Suited.
#5 Is the class of this field and will take beating
#6 Consistent performer running 30.60s at Angle Park.
#7 GOes well over thist rip 4/6 placings with 31.61 win here
#8 30.45 Angle Park winner recently. Comes from NSW and is well drawn.

Selections: 5-8-4-6 EDIT:5 LSCR 4-1-7-8 WIN $3.40

*This is an exceptionally hard race. If you taking a quaddie, I suggest the FIELD for this leg as I found it really hard to leave out the perfectly drawn 1 and the 3 who loves racing here. It's a tough race - and one that looks like bringing me undone.

RACE 7

#1 Never missed a placing from this draw. She gets her chance today.
#2 Going well and is right in this.
#3 Has been soundly beaten of late.
#4 Goes well here. Might be the one to beat with a 31.03 P.B
#5 31.50 at best over this trip. Looks a place hope at best.
#6 30.18 Angle Park winner in Nov. Go close.
#9 1/20 wins and hard to make a case for
#8 Needs a lot of luck in the running

Selections: 4-6-2-1 4-3-5-6 WIN $9

*Have gone for a touch of value here with the 4. Seems to be enough pace on the inside to get a good sit and charge home. The fav 6 could be hard to hold out though.

RACE 8

#1 4/5 wins over this trip and is racing well
#2 30.18 Angle Park winner last start. Has a 30.79 P.B over this trip from Oct which is good going.
#3 Races well when drawn near the rail. Has 8/10 placings over this trip.
#4 7/18 career wins and is in flying form
#6 The only one without a hope
#7 In career best form and is going to get plenty of early racing room.

Selections: 3-7-4-2

*Another hard race and this should be relfected in the market.

 

[tazlgnd]

1-5-6-3 in the next at addington

 

[Oaksnaf]

Good luck Taz. The 1,5 looks a good quinella as both dogs are several lengths ahead of this field. THe only worry is how the 5 is drawn in my opinion.

 

[Lensen]

Angle Park. $10 each race:
When 4 selections - $1 win on each, box tri for 25% ($6)
When 3 selections - $1 win on each, box quinella for 66% ($4), box tri for 50% ($3)

Angle Park:
R1 - 2684 $5 winner, no tri
R2 - 4386 no winner, no tri
R4 - 5317 $3.60 winner, no tri
R6 - 387 $3.20 winner, no tri, $5 quin
R9 - 517 $2 winner, no tri, $1.80 quin

cranbourne:
R11 - 5621 $2.70 winner, no tri
R12 - 2576 $11 winner, no tri

Wentworth Park:
R1 - 4651 no winner, no tri
R7 - 2314 $8.10 winner, no tri

Albion Park
R3 - 5624 $3.80 win

Small profit on win only, exotics no good

 

[Oaksnaf]

Well done with the win profit LENNY.

Today at ADDINGTON
28 selections 7 winners returning $39.30
5/7 top selections won
We picked the quaddie one out.

A GREAT start to the day.

 

[Lensen]

Albion Park
R4: 1637
R9: 341

Gosford
R2: 8357
R5: 2389
R6: 1583
R8: 5816
R10: 6148

Warragul
R4: 8127

Ipswich
R1: 187
R3: 347
R5: 4629
R8: 6738
R9: 234

Lismore
R5: 3756
R10: 1537

 

[Oaksnaf]

Today at Gawler

31 selections 6 winners returning $26.20
0/8 quinella's
3/8 top selections winning @ $1.70/$3.00/$9.00

Am getting on terms with these top selections recently with 8/15 winning today between NZ and Gawler.

 

[Oaksnaf]

Ipswich Race 2 #1-4-7 Should be the trifecta here. May pay $20 depending on the order.

 

[Brenno]

Today at Gawler

31 selections 6 winners returning $26.20
0/8 quinella's
3/8 top selections winning @ $1.70/$3.00/$9.00

Am getting on terms with these top selections recently with 8/15 winning today between NZ and Gawler.

Gawler is a bitch of a track, in recent months i have struggled their, unsure as to why this is though

 

[sniper77]

Good tipping Oaks.

Am really enjoying your analysis and some value is on offer to those not wanting to take the shorts. Pretty impressive quaddie dividend at Addington that you picked one out.

Keep up the good work

 

[tazlgnd]

yeah great work oaks

3-8-1-5 next at lismore 3-4-5-1 WIN 1.60

 

[tazlgnd]

1-2-8-5 lismore race 10 1-3-5-6 win $2.00

 

[Oaksnaf]

GOVERNATOR at Warragul Race 10 is ideally drawn here and should be the one to beat. A good quinella here between 1,2. They both should give each other plenty of room and ride the rails throughout the race.

X Too much pace came across them

 

[Oaksnaf]

Thanks guys. Some days are good some days are shocking. With NZ the same dogs run around at the same tracks all of the time and in a way you can really grade them by estimated times from their draw.

Plus its always good to try and discuss the tips and ways to go about analysing rather than just posting numbers and names as it can be a bit hard to understand and results can be easily manipulated.

 

[tazlgnd]

3-1-7-2 next at gosford 3-1-6-2 win $2.30 quinella $4.30 exacta $6.80

 

[Oaksnaf]

A nice $7 exacta there Taz, pretty good since it was 1st and 2nd favs. People must have looked elsewhere or hoped the 3 would get beat.

ALso two favs return a running double of $14.

 

[tazlgnd]

2-1-4-6 next at warragul 2-8-1-4 win $2.40
third time i have got 3 outa the first 4 but no trifecta tonight haha
low low low quality field

 

[tazlgnd]

5-2-1-7 next at mandurah
2-5-8-6 Win $2.20 Quinella $6.50 Exacta $14.70 -very good price for the exacta

 

[tazlgnd]

A nice $7 exacta there Taz, pretty good since it was 1st and 2nd favs. People must have looked elsewhere or hoped the 3 would get beat.

ALso two favs return a running double of $14.

yeah i know i thought id get 4 or 5 for that exacta so very tidy result, the 3 woulda had to get in a fair bit of trouble to lose that one

 

[Oaksnaf]

I really like 4,5,6 at Mandurah at those odds with the 2 running a favourite at the moment.

 

[tazlgnd]

3-4-6-8 next at albion
1-2-3-8= nothin

 

[tazlgnd]

I really like 4,5,6 at Mandurah at those odds with the 2 running a favourite at the moment.

smoke alarm absolutely flew out there, very good run for the 2 to catch up

 

[Oaksnaf]

I think you'll find the insides have this at Albion Park taz. A lot speedier than the outsides and dont have to cross.

 

[tazlgnd]

5-2-7-1 next at mandurah
7-5-4-8 win 6.60 quinella $34.30 exacta $50.80