Greyhound Thread

[Oaksnaf]

Bendigo

Race 4
#4-6-1 $1
#4-6-2 50c
#4-1-6 50c

Richie Wabbit is the class of this race and looks the goods.

 

[sblack]

Couple of questions here Oaks.

1. How did you split the 4 and 6? Their times are nearly identical, with the 6 having better 650 times, and the only 699 time slightly better.

2. I am either missing something obvious, but doesn't the 1 have much faster times than both the 4 and 6. His 2 last runs over 700 at Geelong were 40.8 and 40.9, while the 4s only time over this trip was a 42.5 and the 6s best time was a 42.3.

Therefore, shouldn't the 1 romp it home? Or am I reading too much into the times?

 

[banana_bus]

Yeah the 1 will win. 4 doesnt seem to be a 700m runner, but has some decent times at the 600.

1-4 exacta for mine.

 

[Oaksnaf]

Not quite sure what your looking at sblack as Richie Wabbit has never raced over the 700m at Bendigo. And Inject The Venom has ran 40.41 and 41.24 over this track/distance.

If your not aware, 700m at Geelong is not 700m at Bendigo. And 699m at Cranbourne is definately not even close to 700m Geelong/Bendigo.

You can't compare a 40.21 at Geelong against a 40.5 at Bendigo for 700m on TIMES. You need to compare Geelong times against Geelong and Bendigo against Bendigo.

 

[sblack]

Yeah the 1 will win. 4 doesnt seem to be a 700m runner, but has some decent times at the 600.

1-4 exacta for mine.

Would rather the 4 or 6 win, but cannot see it. That's why I want to know why Oaks thinks otherwise.

Just boxed them all in a tri. A 4 or 6 win would give much better odds

 

[banana_bus]

Late money for 4 and 6... Im getting on 4.

 

[Brenno]

hopefully 1 wins, with the 4 second

 

[banana_bus]

Where the **** did that dog come from

EDIT: Wichie didnt have the legs as I expected earlier...

 

[sblack]

No idea.

The 1 never looked in it. The 4 couldn't run out the 700. The 6 looked good, but got done

 

[banana_bus]

No idea.

The 1 never looked in it. The 4 couldn't run out the 700. The 6 looked good, but got done

The 8 did have a good 700m run 2 starts back... but I guess we all overlooked that... had a dream run though.

 

[Oaksnaf]

Graceful Amy wins. Last two runs have been great, and got preferred box. Didn't do extensive study, so missed out.

Still we only lose $2 and can move onto the next race, and hopefully learn from the previous.

 

[Oaksnaf]

Race 5

Without know who is in the race. We are going to rate each runners likelyhood of running a good race.

#1 HUGE CHANCE for a Grade 5 event with the red box.
#2 NO
#3 Definate one for the exotics.
#4 If leads, should win.
#5 Don't like her chances.
#6 Races well here and this is easier race.
#7 Winning form is good form.
#8 Going to reserve judgement on this one. Place.

So without comparing any runners, just looking at them individually we have already ruled out a few runners.

 

[Oaksnaf]

Where the **** did that dog come from

EDIT: Wichie didnt have the legs as I expected earlier...

Predicting a runners ability is better than tipping. The more you can predict the runners ability the more accurate your punting will be.

Keep that up, and you'll be swimming in a pool of cash.

 

[sblack]

I like the 8. Then the 1 and 3.

 

[Oaksnaf]

Bendigo Race 5
#1-3-4 50c
#1-4-3 50c
#3-1-4 50c
#3-4-1 50c

There are many combinations that you could play for the EXACTA in this race, especially considering the odds available for #4,6.

 

[Oaksnaf]

I like the 8. Then the 1 and 3.

Well done sblack.

It was easy to find the losers in that race. Just hard to find the winners in exact order. That is why there was plenty of on offer in the exotics if you take several combinations.

Of course you have to hit the right ones. But even boxing 6 in a F4 would have provided a profit. Laughing.

 

[Cruiser23]

Race 6 at Bendigo -

5 : 1,2 : 1,2 Trifecta...

 

[sblack]

Hard to see the 5 losing. With a lot of place claims from the others

5-2-6
5-6-2
2-5-6

Don't count out the 1 or 3 though

This would of been a mess for the quaddie. Unless you just took the field, which was probably the smart choice

 

[Oaksnaf]

Lack of study only gives you a gut feeling. If you are looking at the races in the form of race-to-race and you don't know any of the dogs by their name. Then your in trouble.

Better to target a race earlier on in the day and study hard on that race. The more studying you do on a single race allows you to think about more things and realise certain aspects of your form analysis that you may overlook or not even consider when doing a QUICK study.

 

[Oaksnaf]

Hard to see the 5 losing. With a lot of place claims from the others

5-2-6
5-6-2
2-5-6

Don't count out the 1 or 3 though

This would of been a mess for the quaddie. Unless you just took the field, which was probably the smart choice

$29.80

Fantastic work.

Interesting that you said HARD to see the #5 losing. Yet 33% of your exotics posted here had #2 winning. So realistically, you saw #5 as a reasonable chance to lose this race.

There is no need to have SAVER bets. You bet your exotic combinations in direct relation to how you rate each animal.

 

[sblack]

$29.80

Fantastic work.

Interesting that you said HARD to see the #5 losing. Yet 33% of your exotics posted here had #2 winning. So realistically, you saw #5 as a reasonable chance to lose this race.

There is no need to have SAVER bets. You bet your exotic combinations in direct relation to how you rate each animal.

Yeah, just kinda doing it in your fashion

He was always going to be tough to bet. Had the early speed, and the lack of early speed of the inside boxes would allow him to get to the rail. Never looked back then.

 

[sblack]

Another tough race next. 1, 2, 4, and 7 look good. Just at a quick glance though. They have all been racing over this distance, and keep producing consistent times all around each other, in the range of low 44 second times. They all get drawn pretty nicely.


7-2 quinella

Sorry that was for race 8. Hit the wrong tab

 

[Oaksnaf]

Which is exactly the sort of analysis that needs to be done for greyhounds. Good work.

Once you work out your favoured combinations. You can then take those combinations for more amounts than your less favoured combinations.

Race 7
#1-8-3 $1
#1-8-4 50c
#8-1-3 50c

 

[Cruiser23]

Race 7 at Bendigo -

2 , 1 , 7

 

[Oaksnaf]

Bendigo Race 8

I agree that #7 SUPREME LEVEL is going to be hard to hold out from Box 7. #1 MINGO'S VICTORY is perfectly suited from the inside draw and the local #2 ESKIMO MAGGIE continues to perform well here.

#4 UNO JIMMY and #5 PYRENES DESTINY are the only other possible runners that can place here, in my opinion.

But we have to consider recent form. Track experience. Times and Class. Stats. Box manners and video analysis.

Easy to find the losers in this race again too.


IF I had $10 to invest in this race, this is how I would go about it.

Race 8
#7-1-2 $2
#7-2-1 $1
#7-1-4 50c
#7-1-5 50c
#7-2-4 50c
#1-7-2 50c
#1-2-7 50c
F4
#7-1-2-4 $1
#7-1-2-5 $1
#7-2-1-4 50c
#7-2-1-5 50c
#7-1-4-2 50c
#7-1-5-2 50c
#1-7-2-4 50c