Harness Tips

[Danger Mouse]

Thanks guys

Changing R7 at Albion Park to Hula Gold with the late scratching... thats the easiest race she will ever get, if she cant win this, shoot her! I will be backing this one!

 

[Danger Mouse]

Battle of the walkers up the straight, Hula Gold gets pipped near the line in a 3 way finish. NEVER again will i be on her!

 

[brooklynbute]

Newcastle

R3 - Stormy Crusader ... To put it bluntly, i need a mini speed war early so he can swoop over the top
R4 - Loosen the Load ... Is this a joke? Newcastle? If he finds the front, will brain them! Hes not the same when he can't lead but in front, hes NEVER lost i believe.
R5 - Prince Benji ... Prolly start 1.01

Albion Park

R2 - Four Starz Towel ... No worse then 3 back, rough chance to sweep through..
R3 - Miller ... Pefect trail through, will be right in the finish
R4 - Cool Jasper ... Must lead to win
R5 - Gold Pay/Thomas Crown .... One should lead, the other can sprint lane

R6 - Slipnslide ... To strong, to classy!

R7 - Gotta be Bing .... Good chance against this crap
R8 - Elzar should win easily
R9 - Da svidanyia .... lead or take a sit, the one to beat
R10 - Hal Thomas

Best bet

Hal Thomas
Slipnslide
Elzar

OUR BRAHMAN BOY......seems my fav queensland horses just keep winning this weekend danger mouse....but i was on cool jasper tho, only cos i always back it...he was nominated for an interdominion 2 years ago can u beleive!

 

[Danger Mouse]

What happened with Slipnslide? ... that can't be the same horse surely? Hes a dead set champion on his day but tonight he looked like a C1 horse! I think you kind of won there by default, they walked the whole way and Tip Your Hat is going shizen... i think you had to win! Do you disagree?

ps. i backed slip and laid tip your hat.... never been so happy to see your bloke win!

 

[brooklynbute]

What happened with Slipnslide? ... that can't be the same horse surely? Hes a dead set champion on his day but tonight he looked like a C1 horse! I think you kind of won there by default, they walked the whole way and Tip Your Hat is going shizen... i think you had to win! Do you disagree?

ps. i backed slip and laid tip your hat.... never been so happy to see your bloke win!

haha yeah so tru 1 lap to go i thought if this horse dosnt win it has to be shot but he proved to have a better run then the others but it paid way way way overs...i dont think slipnslide can breeze at all he has to lead...only get on him if he can lead....

absolutely load up on village warrior at shepparton!!

 

[Danger Mouse]

I'm getting really annoyed at these sat night Albion Park meetings, killing me!

Wrapup


13 selections in 12 races for 4 winners, 1 second, three thirds

Cool Jasper paid 11.80
Stormy Crusader paid 3.30
Loosen the Load paid 1.50
Prince Benji paid 1.80

Grand total = 18.4

So many dud runs tonight. Think i'm getting overly obsessed with the draw and not paying enough attention to just how fast the horse is at the end. Meh!

Nice shout brooklyn!

 

[Danger Mouse]

Redcliffe this evening

R3 - River Valley Rocket - If Apache Attack leads and can cart RVR to the corner, i'm extremely confident he can shoot through and win!
R8 - Victree Reign - Had to work very hard early last start when pressured most of the way when just failing. The 2 horses that just beat him are decent types. I'm a fan of Kylie Rasmussen as i think she'll start to make a name for herself and this race looks ideal!

 

[Danger Mouse]

Off to the exiting crown series where I am very confident of a win.

Bendigo - Sunday
Race 3 Number 3 Magic Interest (ever improving, has the draw to lead or take the sit, runs a barnstorming last half)

Race 4 Number 5 Lord Of the Gym (should lead, will cover less ground then Bouchea, he will be good odds)

Race 5 Number 1 Just Glorious (will be great odds against our best trotters including Will Trapper, Sundons Gift and Viva La Fever, might take a sit, cheat lane looks good here)

Race 7 Number Franco Newsman Each Way Special (Improved more then any horse in this series pulling out some beautiful runs, from the draw, $18 fixed odds, good enough for me)

Race 8 Number 2 Muscle Beach (Amazing win last start and with the draw she looks a great chance)

Race 9 Number 4 Otaktay (Massive raps with a massive run last start if he leads he will win)

Race 10 Number 2 Albert Jaccka (Ran an almighty race in this race last year at 100-1 odds, hes improved, its near the same field and he has the draw, will be good odds)

Very confident on a win this week with the youngsters....plus a massive load up on Mister Swinger should set me up for the weekend.

Damn, backed Franco Newsman e/w and only saved on Captain Joy. I really thought Captain Joy would shyt all over these but only saved and won a measily 2 dollars!

On the plus side i followed you in on Magic Interest and was on Ohaka Sampson!

Last 3 races are interesting. I'm likeing Muscle Beach to! Rohan Home and Safari to bring it home.... might save on a couple!

 

[carltonblue]

kept my wallet closed this weekend! would have had a shocker at valley luckily for me!

On what i said the other day (forget fixed odds but on NSW TAB) Keppel Bay won and paid $7.10
Ghadasbest paid $5.10 place
Lizzie and Dazed And Confused both place, $1.60 and $2.70.

Awaiting the 3yo C&Gs

 

[brooklynbute]

mate franco newsman was absolutly bolting but when they all fell it fell with them...it was an amazing race...5 completed the race!!!...

yeah i thought muscle beach was a good thing and won like one...paid awsome odds for its draw and the run it was going to get

magic interest smashed into 3.30 form 6 on fixed odds...but i got on early and got the 6's

 

[Danger Mouse]

2 observations

Were they tag team driving to make sure Rohan Home couldn't win? When he was half carting thinking about moving to the death, i'm sure the death horse quickened, yet when Maffioso went, he eases! Or am i reading to much into it? Was an impossible task to come 4 wide in that dazzling last half.... just think he was the best horse and didn't get the breaks!

Oh and i reckon Otaktay was driven out to lead so Rohan Home couldnt get it.... conspiracy i tell you!

Lance Justice on Smooth Crusa in the last... wtf was that? haha

 

[brooklynbute]

2 observations

Were they tag team driving to make sure Rohan Home couldn't win? When he was half carting thinking about moving to the death, i'm sure the death horse quickened, yet when Maffioso went, he eases! Or am i reading to much into it? Was an impossible task to come 4 wide in that dazzling last half.... just think he was the best horse and didn't get the breaks!

Oh and i reckon Otaktay was driven out to lead so Rohan Home couldnt get it.... conspiracy i tell you!

Lance Justice on Smooth Crusa in the last... wtf was that? haha

i think ur reading too much into it, otaktay is a genuine leader and was never going to hand up...when rohan home went 3 wide to go to the death antony quickened and he was gana be caught 3 wide with the fav on his back...not where u want to be...i dont think he pulled out cos antony was always gana take him into the race and he woulda been covering less ground then maffioso who went 3 wide...but rohan ran a huge race to finish where he did...the race was never going to go his way....

haha smooth crusa is a genuine front runner and keyang hanover has handed up at times thru his career(he won a semi of the vicbred 4Y0 handing up and using the sprint lane to beat melpark major) so i think he thought it was worth a shot....but what about safari...was that awesome or what

 

[brooklynbute]

btw smooth crusa lead all the way to win this race last year...so yeah i think he thought he would have a go...

 

[Danger Mouse]

Redcliffe this evening

R3 - River Valley Rocket - If Apache Attack leads and can cart RVR to the corner, i'm extremely confident he can shoot through and win!
R8 - Victree Reign - Had to work very hard early last start when pressured most of the way when just failing. The 2 horses that just beat him are decent types. I'm a fan of Kylie Rasmussen as i think she'll start to make a name for herself and this race looks ideal!

RVR second, beaten in the last stride by Flying Chev who absolutely rocketed down the outside.

VR weak third, 1-1 spot, had every chance, guess it needs to lead but meh!

 

[Danger Mouse]

Albion Park

R1 - Heza Wonder - Will brain them! How far?
R3 - It's Big Time Baby - Last time she tried to circle, the driver on Quote was being ******ed and was rolling them along to fast refusing to hand up the lead. If she can get around this time will win, very confident! Of course if there is another battle up front and there shouldn't be then Escape Claus will sail over the top.
R4 - Perfection on Ice from the pole? YES PLEASE! Maxistar is worth a saver from the dream draw, can sprint well this horse but is hard to catch.
R5 - Tenderlion is flying, the one to beat hands down.
R6 - Materazzi under one condition, the driver takes the sit behind the leader, thats his go judging by his last win. Can't work but can sprint very hard ... doesn't want a speed battle early!
R7 - Mark Stride will be awefully hard to beat here from the draw. Should be exactly the same as last week but this time no Costa Razoo!
R8 - Rivulet again, drawn to win again, very, very hard to beat. Don't overlook King Galvinator who is drawn to follow his arse everywhere, could sprint lane home very hard!
R9 - All our Lad is a mighty good horse, top win last start, they will want to be good to beat him!

No best bets, just overly confident on the whole card! ok Heza Wonder will bolt the first in!

 

[Danger Mouse]

Menangle

R6 - Thrift all the way baby!
R7 - Black Fighter shocking its last 2. Easily the winner here if he finds his best but do you want to gamble on that?
R8 - Staged Event will find this the easiest race hes contested for a while. Will try to lead throughout! Franco Extreme definately big danger!

 

[xamol]

Ok punters. On the back of the last successful tips, lets have another crack. Gonna be hard to match the last ones though.
Lets start with..

Geelong - Tuesday
Race 4 # 8 Just CallMe CullenBummer. Loomed up and had the leaders covered at the top of the straight. Then galloped. Would have cruised home. SP was $6.50


Mayborough - Wednesday
Race 5 # 6 The Negotiator 3rd, with an SP of $4.20
The winner Mr Clancy is one to follow.


Kilmore - Thursday
Race 2 # 1 Kalahari Prince 1st paid $3.00 and #10 Tab One 5th
Race 5 # 11 Eastwood Countess 2nd SP of $6.90
Race 7 # 2 Three Docs Rocking 2nd SP of $1.90

Good luck today DM.

Not as good as last time. Have some more later.

 

[Danger Mouse]

Summary - 11 selections over 11 races for 3 winners 2 seconds and 3 thirds

Heza Wonder paid 1.20
Tenderloin paid 2.90
All Our Lad paid 1.60 = 5.7

Thought things would go better, oh well. Best run today was Camber Lad, brutal lead time and bolted in in a good last half, good run!

 

[brooklynbute]

Fields are out for the weekend and after winning a fortune last weekend im very confident again this weekend..starting with..

Moonee Valley

Race 1 Number 1 - Calder Image (One dimensional sit-sprinter who has the draw)

RACE 3 NUMBER 9 - ULTIMATE MARK - BEST BET OF THE LAST CENTURY (My dear lord will you ever see another certainty in a race like this ever again)

Race 5 Number 1 - Howards Dilemma(One dimensional sit sprinter who has the draw and good form against the older horses)

Race 7 Number 6 - Cincinnati Kid(Awesome win last start, can lead or take a sit on Smooth Crusa, either way he should win)

Race 8 Number 6 - Broadway Play - Could sit on the outside fence and win this race.(Not far behind of Ultimate Mark on the best bet scale)


Harold Park

Paleface Adios Sprint - Race 5 Number 1 - Ebony Gem (Will get the back of Fluer De Lil and has an awesome turn of speed. Caldow can get her over the line.)

Race 6 Number 5 - Make Me Smile (We are laying the grey flash here as he is an overated animal, Make Me Smile will cross to lead and if he doesn't hand up can he out-sprint the bullet)

Gloucester Park

Race 6 Number 8 - Sneakyn Down Under (Potentially the best horse in the west and will blow these away)

 

[Danger Mouse]

Redcliffe

R5 - Flying Casino - Follow the odds on favourite all the way to the corner and try and sprint lane him, i think he has a really good sprint on him!
R8 - Play the Line - If he drew outside the back row i'd be on him, from gate 2 he looks a moral!

 

[Danger Mouse]

Brooklyn,

Make me Smile won't even lead, Jarendan will and it's going to be very interesting to see what these blokes do because if Jarendan gets his own way he's going to be extremely hard to run down in this small field.

To prove my point, look at both there runs at Menagle on the 20th July. Lead split was 2 seconds quicker in Jarendans race when they went suicidal pace early, the mile rate was faster and he got beaten less after doing a stack more work while MSM ran last. No way MSM will cross and theres no way he will win.

Only worry here is if theres a speed war early then it will be setup for LPW or KM.

 

[brooklynbute]

Brooklyn,

Make me Smile won't even lead, Jarendan will and it's going to be very interesting to see what these blokes do because if Jarendan gets his own way he's going to be extremely hard to run down in this small field.

To prove my point, look at both there runs at Menagle on the 20th July. Lead split was 2 seconds quicker in Jarendans race when they went suicidal pace early, the mile rate was faster and he got beaten less after doing a stack more work while MSM ran last. No way MSM will cross and theres no way he will win.

Only worry here is if theres a speed war early then it will be setup for LPW or KM.

ive been right lately...make me smile could cross a Ferrari at the start let alone jarendan...well see what happens...there was no way be diligent could win...there was no way our brahman boy could win either...but ohh they both did

 

[Danger Mouse]

ive been right lately...make me smile could cross a Ferrari at the start let alone jarendan...well see what happens...there was no way be diligent could win...there was no way our brahman boy could win either...but ohh they both did

Erm... You said OBB in the Redcliffe Cup when he got the perfect run and dropped out, you said nothing at his following start till after the race when again he got the perfect run when there was a major flop in the race. I never said BD couldn't win, i even said he was the main danger. Sorry but had to clear this up!

Special Albert must be a comet then, didn't realise he was so quick! Might go buy shares in him now and put him in a formula one race, those Ferraris are in trouble!

 

[Danger Mouse]

Flying Casino 2nd and Play the Line won at 2.70....

 

[brooklynbute]

who said anything about special albert...arnt i talking about make me smile...who is faster then special albert outa the gate anyway...
jarendan...whats a jarendan??