Harness Tips

[haywood jablome]

Haywood - I analyse everyting. When 3/4 of your selections open up favourite or close to it in early markets *sometimes* well doesn't that say everything?

Brooklyn - I do this not so people will back them but it's more like a blog journal till i get things right. How am i sopposed to know a horses real price unless i say nothing? Some of the winners i'm finding i'm almost postive would start longer if i said nothing. Maybe it's all in my head and they would be backed anyway but i dunno

Tell you guys what, i'll just do tonight, go back to being awful then you guys won't care. I don't know Vic and Tassie horses very well so it wont be a profitable night and in likelyhood a shocher which suits me! ... but i want to learn it!

Stressless - It can be done perfect and i'm getting closer each day. I don't expect to find every winner.

I would hope people that had the ability to influence odds (requires quite a bit of money, even in small pools) wouldn't be dumb enough to follow tips on an internet forum

 

[Danger Mouse]

Launceston

race 1 - Springvale Flyer
race 2 - November Twenty
race 3 - Topnotch Dan
race 4 - Rakanig
race 5 - Arundel
race 6 - Sophies Pleasure


No summary afterwards. Rediculously hard card with little value.

 

[Danger Mouse]

race 7 - Perfect Portrait
race 8 - Just Stayin Alive

Yep Haywood, you are spot on, you are right and i'm wrong!

 

[brooklynbute]

Geelong

Race 4 - Heez Running Holme(If it leads will be might hard to run down. Beaten 5.5 meters in 1.56....way too good for this field...but this is 2 mins before race and they are backing this NZ import off the map, will have to be good first up)(2nd-Well i was right, they backed the NZ import, Megasam, off the map and he won by 10 meters, HRH got checked going for home, overaced and still managed a very distinguishable 2nd placing to what seems to be a very good horse)

Race 5 - Asafa(I thought this horse was going to be a genuine metro performer but has been out for a long time, he still could end up there. He loves the stand and really looks a class above if fit)(5th-Stewards report says he jumped sideways at start and his run was quieried, but he was 2nd up over 2500 and he scooted along the entire race, stay with him though)

Race 6 - Luminous Lombo(A gallant front runner who should be there the whole way, really looks a class above. Second up, he went 1.57 from the breeze, way good enough for this)(1st-Once he held the lead the race was over, easy money)

Race 7 - Village Deputy(Looks outclassed but has everything going for him here, loves the pole, loves to lead and loves the mile, has developed and can race with a sit these days so looks a good bet)(10th-Vets examined him after the race after his run was seriously bad after leading and stopping as if shot in the head, I'm not sure what went wrong, maybe another one of them heart arrhythmias, they seem to be happening too much these days)

4 selections
1 first
1 second

Not that good of a night but still got i little something back, wasn't the best saturday night racing ive ever seen though, the Cranbourne racing tonight is better.

 

[brooklynbute]

Im so confident on these bets tonight, it would be worth jumping on these.

Cranbourne

Race 3 - Exacta, Charleys Dream to beat Fidel Castro(Hopefully FC can hold out rapdanz and then CD will take the lead of it, should be a precession from there)

Race 5 - Son Of Jam(I've always follow this horse and his 2nd up win was very impressive coming off the speed to clear out by a length, should led or sit behind and leader and use the long long long sprint lane to win)

Race 6 - Christian Melody(Races best with a sit and should sit behind Jackson Street who was impressive last time, CM finished off well last time to Gilt Bromac off the one one in a 27 and change last quarter, she loves this track and will be sprint laning home to victory, in what is a very good race)

Race 7 - Rebel Town(A very good 4YO who should lead throughout here, that Mister Ballymurphy has been running some time but i think the barriers should make a difference here, providing RT has his best manners)

 

[brooklynbute]

Cranbourne

Race 3 - Exacta, Charleys Dream to beat Fidel Castro(Hopefully FC can hold out rapdanz and then CD will take the lead of it, should be a precession from there)(1st and 3rd-they went 37 and change for the first quarter and the race planned out exactly as i said it would and FC couldnt hold onto 2nd, pretty disappointing, Charleys Dream in a breeze)

Race 5 - Son Of Jam(I've always follow this horse and his 2nd up win was very impressive coming off the speed to clear out by a length, should led or sit behind and leader and use the long long long sprint lane to win)(3rd-Got caught 3 back the pegs put got out at the right time on this tack and only plodded into 3rd, stay with him though i like him)

Race 6 - Christian Melody(Races best with a sit and should sit behind Jackson Street who was impressive last time, CM finished off well last time to Gilt Bromac off the one one in a 27 and change last quarter, she loves this track and will be sprint laning home to victory, in what is a very good race)(1st-Led all the way and never look liked getting beaten, put about 10 meters on them on the turn, too good)

Race 7 - Rebel Town(A very good 4YO who should lead throughout here, that Mister Ballymurphy has been running some time but i think the barriers should make a difference here, providing RT has his best manners)(5th-Hoped Skipped and Jumped at the start but found the lead in a run that could only be described as disapointing, although did get taken on down the back)

5 selections
2 winners
2 thirds

Not really a bad night, usually every horse gets their chance on this track, Banked my might on Christian Melody which ended me up just in the green, cant complain

 

[Danger Mouse]

Thought of a way to do this without effecting price! Might take Haywoods lead and just fire out a selection 5-10 mins before each race! So i'm back to fire out a mass of hopeless losers and turn a huge loss!

Next at Albion Park - race 3

Four Trumps - win
Lord Bronson - lay

 

[Danger Mouse]

.... and Leigh Patrick is a 500-1 chance

 

[Danger Mouse]

Four Trumps win at 2.60

 

[Danger Mouse]

Meanangle race 4

Above the Storm - win
Cocky Cullen - lay

 

[Danger Mouse]

Above the Storm unplaced
Cocky Cullen the favourite unplaced

That race sucked as well, numerous chances and Carso Comet was one of them. 56 dollar winner, sheesh

 

[Danger Mouse]

Albion Park race 4

Striking Grace - win
Seymour Blue Jean - lay

 

[Danger Mouse]

SG and SBJ both unplaced, bad selection

Menangle race 5

Surferoo - win
Davanti, Mitchell River, Enjoythegoodlife - lay

 

[Danger Mouse]

Surferoo and all the lays well beat

Albion Park race 5
Bonnie Jones* - win
Treasure Ball Zee - lay

 

[Danger Mouse]

Bonnie Jones third / Treasure Ball Zee 2nd fave unplaced

Frusturating day so far. Last 2 races i was tossing up between mine and the winner and chose wrong! The amount of times that happens kills me!

I choose the barrier the previous 2 races and both drivers ease back to last. Then i choose the slightly worse barrier and again the driv er eases right back. Can't win. If a horse races at its best on the pace then why the hell would you ease back? Some of these drivers are clueless. Need a real good beating!

 

[Danger Mouse]

I take a break, don't post, the horses i would speck, win, looks like i might go back into shell if i'm going to run like this! Fire out the last 2 then i'm gone for a while! I suck when the fields are to even!

AP

R7 - Destreos
R8 - Bonnie Wee Laddie*

 

[SpecialComments]

Tips for Terang and Northam tonight? anyone

 

[brooklynbute]

Terang

Race 5 - Meljoy (Pretty good quality mare who if steps should be hard to beat, runs good time against quality horses who have all gone on with it, it is first up though)

Race 6 - Radio City (Best run ever last start, driven out hard for the lead, restrained back to last, went around them quick down the back and headed the in-from Beris Holmes just to get nailed on the line due to an amazing B.Gath drive, and that was all first up, should improve and win)


Its great to see Lookslikelightening back at Northam...hes not the same horse but he will always be a great horse, hopefully he comes back with a bit of form.

 

[Danger Mouse]

Do a couple od races till i can't be bothered anymorE. Will look for roughies

Northam race 3

The Turning Point - win
Mister Hannible - lay

 

[Danger Mouse]

Both unplaced

Terang race 5

Pacfic Raider - win
Longtan Safarai - lay

 

[Danger Mouse]

thrilling, can't find a winner to save my life today except for a couple of 2 dollar shots, meh, but all my lays are not winning either, least i'm getting something right.

Northam race 4

Just Another Fella (editing, better draw, other one might not get a spot) - win

 

[Danger Mouse]

unplaced, lol

Terang race 6 - Royal Rachel - win

 

[Danger Mouse]

unplaced again!

Northam - The Jobs On

 

[Danger Mouse]

Finally something good

Terang race 7

Charged Energy* - All my units lost today multiplied by 3 on this

 

[Danger Mouse]

Just plain horrible tonight, cannot get a look in, i think its hillarious!

Northam race 6

The Final Word - I know this bolts in "normally" but because i'm on it, lol i dunno
Solid Gold Blue Jean - lay - If that piece of crap wins, i give up tonight!