Head to head or the Line

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Thread starter #1
What do people think about this when it comes to betting on the AFL. Do you usually stick to betting on one or the other, or a combination of the two? Do you look for VALUE in taking the 3-1 underdog, knowing you will miss more often than not, or look for a win by taking them with a headstart?
 

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Oaksnaf

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#2
It would have to depend on your markets and what is overs and what is not. And then look at your history to see if your markets are accurate and whether you are profitable at backing every OVERS selection, or whether they are just profitable at backing your top rating at OVERS etc.

I don't bet on football that much, but for what its worth, I don't like betting on big lines.
 

pacemaker

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#3
I think it depends on the round of footy. This week for example where all 8 favourites are expected to win there isn't much value but still I have mulitied some H2H together. But I can see VALUE this week at the line and will be look at 2 to put together in a multi or might just do a single.

Just depends on the round of footy in summing up my short essay
 

mike262

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#4
I personally prefer H2H because you know all teams are normally trying their best to win and margin would be something that doesnt bother players. I usually take lines when i see less than -15.5 lines on home favourites. like WCE last week and WBD the week earlier against hawthorn. i hardly ever take the positive line.

However seems to be no small home favourite lines this week. really poor value in round
 

Dr Awkward

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#5
Well it obviously depends on each individual game.

Personally I generally prefer H2H betting because I like to be betting on something in which both sides absolutely care about - winning. I don't like betting on teams to cover a big negative line because often if a team gets x amount of points up it doesn't play as hard and different tactics are used...etc.
 

pacemaker

Norm Smith Medallist
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#6
I personally prefer H2H because you know all teams are normally trying their best to win and margin would be something that doesnt bother players. I usually take lines when i see less than -15.5 lines on home favourites. like WCE last week and WBD the week earlier against hawthorn. i hardly ever take the positive line.

However seems to be no small home favourite lines this week. really poor value in round
I never take the negatibe line, very rarely I do. Even if it is negative PYOL for example when I had negative 2.5 on collingwood to cover that againist Melbourne:thumbsdown: yet they still won so that really pissed me off:mad:

Positive all the way:thumbsu:
 
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#7
I never take the negatibe line, very rarely I do. Even if it is negative PYOL for example when I had negative 2.5 on collingwood to cover that againist Melbourne:thumbsdown: yet they still won so that really pissed me off:mad:

Positive all the way:thumbsu:
Yeah totally agree, goin negative line is crazy on most occassions...also bets like the 39.5 line are crazy to if you want a team to not only win but to win by more than 39.5 points, unless their playing richmond of course:D...

Just basic head to head or positive line for me, plus most disposals for the value!
 
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