Analysis Inexperience watch

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Round 1 2018 vs St Kilda
  • Index
    • Now look what y'all have done, you've made me actually get around to updating my database.
    stk_brl.png
    We appear to have introduced a couple of outliers.
     
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    KissKiss said:
    Honestly that makes me think we should be more competitive than I thought. I know that Hodge skews the metrics but on so many other points we seem to be about the saints
    Click to expand...

    Nek minut Hodge finishes with 35 disp, 3 goals, 15 inside 50s and we win. ;)
     
    Gibbo_88 said:
    Wasn't sure where to put this and hope the formatting works. Saw this on the main board and was interesting to see how long it's been since we actually beat some sides. Cheers RTB
    Click to expand...

    Our greatest winning streak is ... one (1) game in a row ... vs GCS.

    I was surprised to see our losing streak v Tigers was so low - psychologically it feels like forever :(
     
    Normal service is resumed. The changes to the teams from last week take it from a marginal experience/age advantage for the Demons, to a significant one. Demons should really win this based on these numbers.

    R2 Lions vs Demons at The Gabba, 31 March, 2018
    (0 to 10 games - Lions 3 vs. Demons 1)
    0 to 24 games - Lions 6 vs. Demons 2
    25 to 49 games - Lions 2 vs. Demons 7
    50 to 99 games - Lions 8 vs. Demons 6
    100 to 199 games - Lions 5 vs. Demons 4
    200+ games - Lions 1 vs. Demons 3
    Extra stats:
    Average games played - Lions 76.1 vs. Demons 91.4 (= -15.3 games on average)
    Average age - Lions 24.1 vs. Demons 25.4 (= -1.3 years on average)
    Average height - Lions 188.6cm vs. Demons 187.6cm (= +1.0cm on average)
    Average weight - Lions 87.9kg vs. Demons 87.6kg (= +0.2kg on average)
     
    brl_mel.png
    It's not a pretty picture. A side that should now be ready to play finals, and then us.
     
    luthor said:
    How does the Draft Index work?
    Click to expand...

    "The pick you were first drafted at", but with the PSD, rookie draft, and zone selections/cat B rookies added on at the end of the draft (and the previous mini-draft inserted at the top).
     
    Jivlain said:
    "The pick you were first drafted at", but with the PSD, rookie draft, and zone selections/cat B rookies added on at the end of the draft (and the previous mini-draft inserted at the top).
    Click to expand...

    OK

    I get it ................I think

    Still a bit puzzled at why we (apparantly) have what looks like two picks @ #175 and one that looks like (about) #130
     
    luthor said:
    OK

    I get it ................I think

    Still a bit puzzled at why we (apparantly) have what looks like two picks @ #175 and one that looks like (about) #130
    Click to expand...

    Zone selections like Zorko and Bewick are right at the very bottom of what were already long drafts; Walker was rookie pick #23 following a 112-man national draft.
     

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    Experience, venue, form. Yeah, nah.



    R3 Lions vs Power at Adelaide Oval, 07 April, 2018
    (0 to 10 games - Lions 2 vs. Power 3)
    0 to 24 games - Lions 5 vs. Power 6
    25 to 49 games - Lions 3 vs. Power 2
    50 to 99 games - Lions 6 vs. Power 2
    100 to 199 games - Lions 7 vs. Power 9
    200+ games - Lions 1 vs. Power 3
    Extra stats:
    Average games played - Lions 81.1 vs. Power 100 (= -18.9 games on average)
    Average age - Lions 24.4 vs. Power 25 (= -0.7 years on average)
    Average height - Lions 188.1cm vs. Power 188.2cm (= -0.1cm on average)
    Average weight - Lions 87.5kg vs. Power 86.3kg (= +1.2kg on average)
     
    Gibbo_88 said:
    Average games played, we look like we are roughly 1 season behind port. 2019 Everyone will be tipping us for the finals. :cool:
    Click to expand...
    We are a bit further behind than that.
    Take out Hodgey and in both the games played and age there would be an even bigger gap. He distorts it a little.
     
    Dlions said:
    We are a bit further behind than that.
    Take out Hodgey and in both the games played and age there would be an even bigger gap. He distorts it a little.
    Click to expand...

    Yes, he does but is he not going to a best 22 player for majority of games for this year and next? We can't just not include him because one of his roles is to mentor our young players.
     
    Nah.

    R4 Lions vs Tigers at MCG, 14 April, 2018
    (0 to 10 games - Lions 2 vs. Tigers 1)
    0 to 24 games - Lions 5 vs. Tigers 1
    25 to 49 games - Lions 2 vs. Tigers 5
    50 to 99 games - Lions 8 vs. Tigers 5
    100 to 199 games - Lions 6 vs. Tigers 8
    200+ games - Lions 1 vs. Tigers 3
    Extra stats:
    Average games played - Lions 80.2 vs. Tigers 109.7 (= -29.5 games on average)
    Average age - Lions 24.3 vs. Tigers 25.2 (= -0.9 years on average)
    Average height - Lions 187.6cm vs. Tigers 185.7cm (= +1.9cm on average)
    Average weight - Lions 88.1kg vs. Tigers 86.2kg (= +1.9kg on average)
     
    ric_brl.png

    There are two things which make this look even uglier.

    One, Luke Hodge personally increases our average age by an extra 11 games.

    The other problem is at the bottom end. Port is also playing the youf, but have an edge on experience at the upper end (where it makes less difference).

    Richmond on the other hand... they've got us on the spread.

    animation.gif
    Richmond's Gini coefficients are so low it's practically communism.
     
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