Analysis Inexperience watch

[Jivlain]

Now look what y'all have done, you've made me actually get around to updating my database.

We appear to have introduced a couple of outliers.

 

[Dalions]

Now look what y'all have done, you've made me actually get around to updating my database.
View attachment 473506
We appear to have introduced a couple of outliers.

We really should be there or there abouts shouldn't we?

 

[KissKiss]

Honestly that makes me think we should be more competitive than I thought. I know that Hodge skews the metrics but on so many other points we seem to be about the saints

 

[Nunez]

Honestly that makes me think we should be more competitive than I thought. I know that Hodge skews the metrics but on so many other points we seem to be about the saints

Nek minut Hodge finishes with 35 disp, 3 goals, 15 inside 50s and we win.

 

[Viceregal]

Wasn't sure where to put this and hope the formatting works. Saw this on the main board and was interesting to see how long it's been since we actually beat some sides. Cheers RTB

Our greatest winning streak is ... one (1) game in a row ... vs GCS.

I was surprised to see our losing streak v Tigers was so low - psychologically it feels like forever

 

[luthor]

Honestly that makes me think we should be more competitive than I thought. I know that Hodge skews the metrics but on so many other points we seem to be about the saints

Feeling happier than ever about the "lazy" 20 I put on the Lions this morning.

 

[fanackapan]

Normal service is resumed. The changes to the teams from last week take it from a marginal experience/age advantage for the Demons, to a significant one. Demons should really win this based on these numbers.

R2 Lions vs Demons at The Gabba, 31 March, 2018
(0 to 10 games - Lions 3 vs. Demons 1)
0 to 24 games - Lions 6 vs. Demons 2
25 to 49 games - Lions 2 vs. Demons 7
50 to 99 games - Lions 8 vs. Demons 6
100 to 199 games - Lions 5 vs. Demons 4
200+ games - Lions 1 vs. Demons 3
Extra stats:
Average games played - Lions 76.1 vs. Demons 91.4 (= -15.3 games on average)
Average age - Lions 24.1 vs. Demons 25.4 (= -1.3 years on average)
Average height - Lions 188.6cm vs. Demons 187.6cm (= +1.0cm on average)
Average weight - Lions 87.9kg vs. Demons 87.6kg (= +0.2kg on average)

 

[Jivlain]

It's not a pretty picture. A side that should now be ready to play finals, and then us.

 

[luthor]

How does the Draft Index work?

 

[Jivlain]

How does the Draft Index work?

"The pick you were first drafted at", but with the PSD, rookie draft, and zone selections/cat B rookies added on at the end of the draft (and the previous mini-draft inserted at the top).

 

[luthor]

"The pick you were first drafted at", but with the PSD, rookie draft, and zone selections/cat B rookies added on at the end of the draft (and the previous mini-draft inserted at the top).

OK

I get it ................I think

Still a bit puzzled at why we (apparantly) have what looks like two picks @ #175 and one that looks like (about) #130

 

[Jivlain]

OK

I get it ................I think

Still a bit puzzled at why we (apparantly) have what looks like two picks @ #175 and one that looks like (about) #130

Zone selections like Zorko and Bewick are right at the very bottom of what were already long drafts; Walker was rookie pick #23 following a 112-man national draft.

 

[briztoon]

OK

I get it ................I think

Still a bit puzzled at why we (apparantly) have what looks like two picks @ #175 and one that looks like (about) #130

One of those is Zorko. Another will be Cameron.

 

[Jivlain]

 

[luthor]

View attachment 479420

OUCH!

 

[fanackapan]

Experience, venue, form. Yeah, nah.



R3 Lions vs Power at Adelaide Oval, 07 April, 2018
(0 to 10 games - Lions 2 vs. Power 3)
0 to 24 games - Lions 5 vs. Power 6
25 to 49 games - Lions 3 vs. Power 2
50 to 99 games - Lions 6 vs. Power 2
100 to 199 games - Lions 7 vs. Power 9
200+ games - Lions 1 vs. Power 3
Extra stats:
Average games played - Lions 81.1 vs. Power 100 (= -18.9 games on average)
Average age - Lions 24.4 vs. Power 25 (= -0.7 years on average)
Average height - Lions 188.1cm vs. Power 188.2cm (= -0.1cm on average)
Average weight - Lions 87.5kg vs. Power 86.3kg (= +1.2kg on average)

 

[Gibbo_88]

Average games played, we look like we are roughly 1 season behind port. 2019 Everyone will be tipping us for the finals.

 

[Dalions]

Average games played, we look like we are roughly 1 season behind port. 2019 Everyone will be tipping us for the finals.

We are a bit further behind than that.
Take out Hodgey and in both the games played and age there would be an even bigger gap. He distorts it a little.

 

[Gibbo_88]

We are a bit further behind than that.
Take out Hodgey and in both the games played and age there would be an even bigger gap. He distorts it a little.

Yes, he does but is he not going to a best 22 player for majority of games for this year and next? We can't just not include him because one of his roles is to mentor our young players.

 

[fanackapan]

Yes, he does but is he not going to a best 22 player for majority of games for this year and next? We can't just not include him because one of his roles is to mentor our young players.

I don't think its a given that he plays on next season.

 

[Nunez]

I don't think its a given that he plays on next season.

Definitely no given but I'd say highly likely.

 

[fanackapan]

Nah.

R4 Lions vs Tigers at MCG, 14 April, 2018
(0 to 10 games - Lions 2 vs. Tigers 1)
0 to 24 games - Lions 5 vs. Tigers 1
25 to 49 games - Lions 2 vs. Tigers 5
50 to 99 games - Lions 8 vs. Tigers 5
100 to 199 games - Lions 6 vs. Tigers 8
200+ games - Lions 1 vs. Tigers 3
Extra stats:
Average games played - Lions 80.2 vs. Tigers 109.7 (= -29.5 games on average)
Average age - Lions 24.3 vs. Tigers 25.2 (= -0.9 years on average)
Average height - Lions 187.6cm vs. Tigers 185.7cm (= +1.9cm on average)
Average weight - Lions 88.1kg vs. Tigers 86.2kg (= +1.9kg on average)

 

[Jivlain]

There are two things which make this look even uglier.

One, Luke Hodge personally increases our average age by an extra 11 games.

The other problem is at the bottom end. Port is also playing the youf, but have an edge on experience at the upper end (where it makes less difference).

Richmond on the other hand... they've got us on the spread.


Richmond's Gini coefficients are so low it's practically communism.

 

[Billy Puller]

This is one of the best threads we have, love the work you guys put into it

 

[Lions Flag 2020]

Awesome work but somewhat depressing this week!