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- Thread starter Ill Chicken
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Ill Chicken
Premiership Player
- Joined
- Feb 6, 2008
- Posts
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- Browns, Redlegs, Eagles, Strike
- Thread starter
- #102
For leading wicket/runs markets I've backed;
Most Series Wickets:
Roelof Van Der Merwe @ 34.00
Piyush Chawla @ 41.00
Chaminda Vaas @ 67.00
Most Series Runs:
Eoin Morgan @ 41.00
AB de Villiers @ 23.00
Tillakaratne Dilshan @ 19.00
Matthew Hayden @ 19.00
No good.
Pretty disappointed with Vaas. Started well and then being dropped for pretty much the rest of the tournament. Took earlier wickets but weren't happy with his death bowling, was a ridiculous reason.
What were Mumbai thinking?!
They dont send Pollard out til number 8!
They keep him until there are 3 overs left and he needs to go at 18 an over!
They send out JP Duminy above him with 5 overs to go and a Required RR of over 14!
When he finally gets a go he hits 22 off his first over!
Seriously WTF is wrong with Mumbai? Absolute brain freeze or just horrible game plan?
They dont send Pollard out til number 8!
They keep him until there are 3 overs left and he needs to go at 18 an over!
They send out JP Duminy above him with 5 overs to go and a Required RR of over 14!
When he finally gets a go he hits 22 off his first over!
Seriously WTF is wrong with Mumbai? Absolute brain freeze or just horrible game plan?
Ill Chicken
Premiership Player
- Joined
- Feb 6, 2008
- Posts
- 3,696
- Reaction score
- 167
- Location
- Australia
- AFL Club
- Hawthorn
- Other Teams
- Browns, Redlegs, Eagles, Strike
- Thread starter
- #104
Can't fault Tendulkar's captaincy.
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If it was his call to put JP Duminy in ahead of Pollard the yes you can fault his captaincy. The biggest stuff up in the biggest game. Also what was up with Rayudu trying to keep the strike for himself? And was even flirting with the idea of sacrificing Pollard at the end to save himself. Bit selfish there. You have to know who the main man is and if Pollard is out there it is always going to be him. Im thinking of throwing a few bucks on the West Indies to win the T20 world cup purely because of this man.
I kind of forgot about this thread but thought I might post my results. Also, what were Mumbai doing in the final it was their worst performance of the year.
Anyway, I kept stats on the run outs for the tournament and also used the ones posted earlier in the thread. I ended up betting on most matches but I thought I would just use small units ($5) to see how it went this year. I started out betting 1 unit per outcome, then moved on to 2 about 10 matches in depending upon how confident I was. I ended up winning $154.10 or 30.8 units. Most of this came from over/ under 1.5 run outs bets. The odds for an over actually started on 2.35 but came in to around $2 by the end of the tournament. The total unders was 29 and overs was 27 so this was a big advantage, especially early on. I did ok betting on outright winners making 7 units from an investment of 18 units. Betting on the team with the most run outs netted me .5 of a unit ($2.50
).
Rajistan were the worst run out culprits with 21 from 14 matches and Mumbai with the best with 5, so I got on matches with these teams where possible. The averages per game in 2010 are below for anybody interested.
Deccan: 0.928571
Delhi: 1.142857
Kolkata: 0.43
Rajistan: 1.5
Punjab: 0.642857
Bangalore: 0.571429
Mumbai: 0.357143
Chennai: 0.571429
So next year I plan to try again but with a larger unit size as I feel a lot more confident. I think being able to view many matches over a short period of time gives a good advantage to the punter.
Anyway, I kept stats on the run outs for the tournament and also used the ones posted earlier in the thread. I ended up betting on most matches but I thought I would just use small units ($5) to see how it went this year. I started out betting 1 unit per outcome, then moved on to 2 about 10 matches in depending upon how confident I was. I ended up winning $154.10 or 30.8 units. Most of this came from over/ under 1.5 run outs bets. The odds for an over actually started on 2.35 but came in to around $2 by the end of the tournament. The total unders was 29 and overs was 27 so this was a big advantage, especially early on. I did ok betting on outright winners making 7 units from an investment of 18 units. Betting on the team with the most run outs netted me .5 of a unit ($2.50
). Rajistan were the worst run out culprits with 21 from 14 matches and Mumbai with the best with 5, so I got on matches with these teams where possible. The averages per game in 2010 are below for anybody interested.
Deccan: 0.928571
Delhi: 1.142857
Kolkata: 0.43
Rajistan: 1.5
Punjab: 0.642857
Bangalore: 0.571429
Mumbai: 0.357143
Chennai: 0.571429
So next year I plan to try again but with a larger unit size as I feel a lot more confident. I think being able to view many matches over a short period of time gives a good advantage to the punter.
Yeah it is weird but I guess the teams can change a lot. I used those stats that you postedfrom th last 2 years for the first 10-15 games but after that I had enough data from the current year. There was an increase in run outs all around this year for some reason. Maybe more emphasis on fielding or the Indian venues played a part
I went with the first dismissal being a stumping at $26 for games involving Rajastan, Chennai and a few other teams who used spinners first up. Bet five times and one once.
