Analysis Josh Kennedy: Back 2 Back 2 Back Coleman Medalist?

[MKMatty]

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Given JK is now outright leader of the Coleman Medal, thought it'd be fun to track, analyse and discuss his chances with only two weeks to go in the H&A season. JK would be the third person since '63 (and first since Gary Ablett Sr in '95) to take three Coleman Medals in a row. He faces some stiff competition from young up-and-comer Joe Daniher (*cough* FLOG *cough*), and Lance '9 Year Contract' Franklin to complete the feat.

First, let's look at the competition.

JOE DANIHER (ESS)
Current Goal Tally: 59 (AVG: 3)
Remaining Games: Suns (4) Dockers (4)

Joey Daniher is the real black horse in this race. Averaging 3 goals a game and with opposition ripe for the picking, he could easily swell his final goal count if he gets on the end of a couple in the coming weeks. I've gone relatively conservative with my figures for both games. Could easily see Joe kicking 5+ in both games to really blow everyone out of the water for the medal (Fingers crossed this doesn't happen).
MY PREDICTED TOTAL: 67 GOALS

LANCE FRANKLIN (SYD)
Current Goal Tally: 56 (AVG: 2.8)
Remaining Games: Adelaide (3) Carlton (6)

The consumate "outside 50" specialist, Franklin's run home is a bit more of a mixed bag with games against Adelaide and Carlton to finish the H&A season. I've gone conservative here again, and can't see him kicking more than his average amount against a very strong, attacking Adelaide side next week, but can see him having a feast on the Blues to end the season strongly.
MY PREDICTED TOTAL: 65 GOALS

Now let's look at the man himself!

JOSH KENNEDY (WCE)
Current Goal Talley: 60 (AVG: 4.0)
Remaining Games: GWS (3) Adelaide (5)

Kennedy faces the hardest run by far if he intends to snag the Coleman for a third year straight, with games against top 4 locks in GWS and Adelaide. Now you're probably thinking "What the *? 5 against Adelaide?" but hear me out! Assuming Adelaide lock in top 2 next weekend against Sydney, they'll surely be more concerned with finals planning and resting their best over giving a relative stuff about a game in Perth. In comes Kennedy with 5 (or more?) goals. Hello history! Considering JK's relatively strong form against GWS, I've penciled him in for 3 against a stronger GWS than we've historically faced on their turf.
MY PREDICTED TOTAL: 68 GOALS

So according to my calculations, a three peat is on the cards for JK!? Will be interesting to monitor and see how close my predictions are. Feel free to predict yourselves. No prizes for the winner.

 

[Carbine Chaos]

Gah, you've gone and put the mocker on him now.

 

[avishka5]

Dude some bloke made a similar thread about jk making 100 and then jk got injured.

 

[nameless]

Dude some bloke made a similar thread about jk making 100 and then jk got injured.

You're welcome.

He got injured 10 weeks later btw

 

[kid_a]

Hope he can do it, has anyone ever won three colemans in a row????
Easily my favourite player and 50% of the reason we are 7th and not 14th this season, plus would be an amazing achievment considering he was out for a month.
Along with Nic Nat, one of our only two genuine A grade players.

 

[MKMatty]

Gah, you've gone and put the mocker on him now.

Dude some bloke made a similar thread about jk making 100 and then jk got injured.

You guys need to stop being superstitious cucks.

 

[W.C. Fry]

Not too sure Adelaide will rest too much on final game. Weeks break between final h&a game and finals... May not go 100% in every contest, but doubt they will flirt with form at all.

 

[88mph]

Why would they rest against us when they can rest against Sydney?

Sydney will hit them harder.

 

[Jandamarra]

You guys need to stop being superstitious cucks.

Shut up cuck

 

[Smeg Head]

JOE DANIHER (ESS)
Current Goal Tally: 59 (AVG: 3)
Remaining Games: Dockers (4)

 

[lewigie]

Daniher has only kicked 7 goals in four games against Freo (which have all been losses).

I think Freo could keep him quiet. Adelaide were without Talia last night so I think he got off the leash a bit.

Gold Coast only 6 goals in 5 games..

 

[lewigie]

We also play last during the last round of the season, so we should know if he's got the lead sewn up by then or not!

 

[Jandamarra]

Fingers crossed Fremantle doesn't suffer another 100pt loss against Essendon.

 

[ioppolo]

Hopefully he kicks like he did against Melbourne.

 

[Biggie]

#prayforJJKback2back2back

 

[flamingEMBERS]

We also play last during the last round of the season, so we should know if he's got the lead sewn up by then or not!

and if we can make finals. If we can't make finals it should be strictly kick it to JK. That tactic is probably best suited to making finals too.

 

[Agent93]

Only way JK wins the Coleman is if Steven May and Joel Hamling somehow stop Daniher kicking bags. Josh aint getting more than 3 against the Giants and Cows.

 

[Chris_6678]

Yep Daniher will have a field day v the Dockers under the roof!

 

[DickDunn]

Daniher has only kicked 7 goals in four games against Freo (which have all been losses).

I think Freo could keep him quiet. Adelaide were without Talia last night so I think he got off the leash a bit.

Gold Coast only 6 goals in 5 games..

Talia was definitely playing. The youngster Alex Keath spent a fair bit of time on him.

Adelaide hardly ever rest players so I can't see them changing course now. Reckon Daniher will win it. Absurd for JK to even be in the mix reallt considering how long he missed. Unbelievable player

 

[ChampRevesby]

Just kick in the great mans area, he will do the rest. Come on JK, threepeat this sucka!

 

[nameless]

Hope he can do it, has anyone ever won three colemans in a row????
Easily my favourite player and 50% of the reason we are 7th and not 14th this season, plus would be an amazing achievment considering he was out for a month.
Along with Nic Nat, one of our only two genuine A grade players.

Gary Ablett Snr and John Peck only players to get 3 in a row.

 

[Ochre]

Daniher could kick 10 in both games. He's still a strong favourite for mine.

 

[Mick63]

To get his average up to 4 per game is a phenomenal effort. Serious old school full forward numbers.

If he gets a bag against GWS and Adelaide sew up top spot, do you reckon that Pyke will double team him like Hawks did to Fev in '08?

 

[FKASC]

Yep Daniher will have a field day v the Dockers under the roof!

But Freo have a #top4 defence

 

[2006_Eagles]

Misses 5 games and still probably wins the Coleman