Draft Watcher Knightmare's 2019 Draft Almanac

Knightmare

Brownlow Medallist
Sep 22, 2010
16,756
14,889
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Chicago Bulls
Phantom Drafts:

2/10/2019 - First round phantom draft (pre trade period): AFL Draft first round phantom draft (pre trade period): https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/27746624/afl-phantom-draft-goes-where-first-round

21/10/2019 - AFL phantom draft two rounds (post trade period): https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/27891050/expanded-afl-phantom-draft-risers-sliders-new-names

AFL Draft Power Rankings:

1/4/2019 - April AFL Draft Power Rankings: http://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/26412970/afl-draft-chris-doerre-knightmare-power-rankings-giants-academy-prospect-holds-chargers-oakleigh

6/5/2019 - May AFL Draft Power Rankings: http://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/26672412/afl-draft-power-rankings-noah-anderson-new-no-1

5/6/2019 - June AFL Draft Power Rankings: https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/26869398/afl-draft-power-rankings-key-defenders-make-move-big-3

8/7/2019 - July AFL Draft Power Rankings (Post Under-18 Championships): https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/27143272/afl-draft-power-rankings-state-mvps-make-run-board

5/8/2019 - August AFL Draft Power Rankings: https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/27318147/afl-draft-power-rankings-general-defenders-enter-top-five-calculations

1/9/2019 - September AFL Draft Power Rankings: https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/27510525/afl-draft-power-rankings-father-son-hawk-breaks-top-20

9/10/2019 - October AFL Draft Power Rankings: https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/27802450/afl-draft-power-rankings-rowell-back-top-afl-draft-nears

Weekly AFL Draft Wrap:

27/3/2019 - Focus on Noah Anderson: http://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/26367489/afl-draft-wrap-noah-anderson-no-1-contender

3/4/2019 - Focus on Charlie Dean: http://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/26426279/is-charlie-dean-best-key-forward-afl-draft

10/4/2019 - Focus on Brodie Kemp: http://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/26483254/shades-bont-brodie-kemp-continues-rise

17/4/2019 - Focus on Lachlan Ash: http://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/26540345/line-breaker-lachlan-ash-rising-afl-draft-boards

24/4/2019 - Focus on Matthew Rowell: http://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/26588673/draft-wrap-no-1-prospect-rowell-already-afl-standard

1/5/2019 - Focus on Connor Budarick (Gold Coast Academy): http://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/26643006/afl-draft-wrap-first-round-prospect-connor-budarick-defying-stature

8/5/2019 - Focus on Jesse Clark: http://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/26694991/afl-draft-wrap-intercept-king-jesse-clark-first-round-contender

15/5/2019 - Focus on Sam Flanders: http://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/26748563/afl-draft-wrap-shades-petracca-likely-top-10-pick-flanders

22/5/2019 - Focus on Hayden Young: http://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/26796311/afl-draft-wrap-hints-dees-defender-pinpoint-kick-hayden-young

30/5/2019 - Focus on Thomas Green (GWS Academy): https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/26845454/afl-draft-wrap-shades-patrick-cripps-gws-academy-prospect-thomas-green

5/6/2019 - Focus on Fischer McAsey (game 1 U18 Champs): https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/26899044/afl-draft-wrap-young-victorian-looms-star-key-defender

12/6/2019 - Focus on Fremantle NGA Prospect Liam Henry (U18 Champs round 1) :https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/26951769/afl-draft-wrap-another-sonny-way-fremantle

19/6/2019 - Focus on Jeremy Sharp (U18 Champs round 2): https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/27003818/afl-draft-wrap-sharp-rising-leading-rebounding-defender

26/6/2019 - Focus on Harry Schoenberg (U18 Champs round 3): https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/27056792/afl-draft-wrap-south-australian-midfielder-flying-draft-boards

3/7/2019 - Focus on Will Gould (U18 Champs round 4): https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/27109039/afl-draft-wrap-unique-defender-booming-boot-looms-first-round-force

10/7/2019 - Focus on Deven Robertson (U18 Champs round 5): https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/27156700/afl-draft-wrap-deven-robertson-pushes-top-10-calculations

17/7/2019 - Focus on Mitch Mellis: https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/27204526/afl-draft-wrap-shades-gray-mitch-mellis-boosts-claims

24/7/2019 - Focus on Bailey Schmidt: https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/27245701/afl-draft-wrap-bailey-schmidt-growing-stature-draft-smokey

31/7/2019 - Focus on St Kilda NGA prospect Biggy Nyuon (includes draft combine invite list): https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/27289969/afl-draft-wrap-saints-prospect-biggy-rise-strong-showing

7/8/2019 - Focus on Jay Rantall: https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/27335390/afl-draft-wrap-former-basketball-star-rantall-keeps-rising

14/8/2019 - Focus on Miles Bergman: https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/27383231/afl-draft-wrap-bergman-marking-prowess-the-rise

21/8/2019 - Focus on Corey Watts: https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/27428486/afl-draft-wrap-watts-come-key-defensive-prospect-corey

28/8/2019 - Focus on Brady Rowles: https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/27479414/afl-draft-wrap-linebreaker-brady-rowles-likened-damaging-crow

4/9/2019 - Focus on Archi Manton (Carlton father-son): https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/27531382/afl-draft-wrap-carlton-set-prosper-another-talented-father-son

11/9/2019 - Focus on Finn Maginness (Hawthorn father-son): https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/27589458/afl-draft-wrap-finn-maginness-scintillating-form

18/9/2019 - Focus on Caleb Serong: https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/27639466/afl-draft-wrap-why-caleb-serong-firming-top-five-choice

25/9/2019 - Focus on Dylan Stephens: https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/27694566/afl-draft-wrap-sa-midfielder-dylan-stephens-firms-top-10-selection

AFL Draft Previews/Reviews:

4/2/2019 - 2013 AFL Redraft - the real top 20: http://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/25865721/afl-draft-doerre-redrafting-top-20-2013-draft

11/2/2019 - 2014 AFL Redraft - the real top 20: http://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/25926168/afl-draft-doerre-reselecting-top-20-2014-draft

18/2/2019 - 2015 AFL Redraft - the real top 20: http://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/25993761/afl-draft-doerre-reselecting-top-20-2015-draft

25/2/2019 - 2016 AFL Redraft - the real top 20: http://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/26057542/afl-draft-doerre-reselecting-top-20-2016-draft

4/3/2019 - 2017 AFL Redraft - the real top 20: http://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/26121298/afl-draft-doerre-reselecting-top-20-2017-draft

12/3/2019 - JLT Review including most impactful draftee, breakout contender and rebound season (a must read for fantasy football players): http://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/26226915/jlt-series-review-how-every-club-shapes-up

22/5/2019 - AFL midseason draft: what your club needs and who they should pick: http://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/26785205/afl-midseason-draft-your-club-needs-should-pick

28/5/2019 - AFL midseason draft: Hits, misses and biggest surprises: http://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/26834039/afl-midseason-draft-hits-misses-biggest-surprises

4/7/2019 - Under 18 Championships: 5 AFL Draft Prospects who elevated their stocks: https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/27114608/under-18-championships-5-afl-draft-prospects-elevated-their-stocks

17/9/2019 - The struggling Suns: Where it all went wrong and how to fix it: https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/27626778/the-struggling-suns-where-all-went-wrong-how-fix-it

5/10/2019 - AFL Draft Combine wrap: https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/27769053/afl-draft-combine-which-prospects-shone-brightest

28/10/2019 - 2018 AFL National Draft re-ranked: https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/27936675/re-ranking-every-club-2018-afl-draft-haul

4/11/2019 - The 10 key questions ahead of this year's AFL Draft: https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/27994952/afl-draft-wrap-10-burning-questions

11/11/2019 - AFL Draft: The best state league prospects: https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/28047597/afl-draft-best-state-league-prospects

14/11/2019 - Three AFL Draft trends to look out for: https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/28063712/afl-draft-three-trends-look-2019

AFL Trade/Free Agency content:

1/10/2019 - AFL trade, draft and free agency - who your club should target to fill their list needs: https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/27724228/your-club-list-needs

14/10/2019 - 2018 AFL trade and free agent period re-rated: https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/27830903/afl-re-ranking-2018-trade-free-agency-period

17/10/2019 - 2019 AFL trade/free agency review: https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/27858000/afl-trades-free-agency-every-club-moves-rated
 
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Knightmare

Brownlow Medallist
Sep 22, 2010
16,756
14,889
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Chicago Bulls
October Power Rankings: https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/27802450/afl-draft-power-rankings-rowell-back-top-afl-draft-nears

1. Matthew Rowell

Best position: Inside midfield/outside midfield

Height, weight: 178cm, 74kg

Recruited from: Oakleigh Chargers

Projected draft range: 1-2

Plays like: Joel Selwood

September Ranking: 3

Rationale: Rises to the occasion like no other and has built a reputation as a big game player. He has earned back-to-back medals for best on ground in TAC Cup/NAB League Grand Finals, during the Under-17 All-Stars Grand Final curtain raiser and in the Under-18 vs. Casey earlier in the year. Rowell is likely to have the most immediate impact in this draft and moves up due to sheer dominance in the NAB League Grand Final where he managed 44 disposals, 11 clearances, nine tackles and two goals.

Strengths: Performances on the biggest of stages, will to win and make winning plays in big moments, consistency, attack on the ball, contested ball winning, aggressive tackler, comfortable at stoppages as either the ball winner or receiver, distribution by hand, clean at ground level, strength to keeps his feet through tackles and dispose of the ball, explosive acceleration, run and carry, endurance, evasion, two way running, work rate, movement without the ball, run in support, always leading up at the football to provide a lead-up options, versatility to play inside or outside midfield, overhead marking, intercept marking, leadership and voice on the field

Weaknesses: Often slow to move the ball on after marks and free kicks, hurt factor and consistency by foot, unclear scope to play forward

2. Noah Anderson

Best position: Inside midfield/general forward

Height, weight: 188cm, 86kg

Recruited from: Oakleigh Chargers

Projected draft range: 1-3

Plays like: Jordan De Goey

September Ranking: 1

Rationale: A match winner who breaks games open in the matter of minutes. The most influential in the pool whether he's used as a midfielder or forward. Anderson's influence both as a forward and midfielder set him apart from Green and Rowell. Moves slightly behind Rowell with a good but not as influential finals series.

Strengths: Impact per possession, moments where he individually takes games over, versatility to impact games midfield, forward or back, first possession winner at stoppages, contested ball winning, distribution by hand, threat one-out in the goal square, work at ground level inside 50m, overhead marking inside 50m, reading of the ball in flight, finds space inside 50m, scoreboard impact, instinctive finisher around goal and from around the 50m arc, hurt factor by foot, vision, moves the ball on aggressively, spread from the contest, explosive line breaker, endurance, work rate, agility, evasion, repeat speed, two way run

Weaknesses: Inconsistency across four quarters, has quiet patches where his impact isn't felt, kicking consistency

3. Thomas Green (Greater Western Sydney Academy)

Best position: Inside midfield

Height, weight: 188cm, 85kg

Recruited from: GWS Giants

Projected draft range: 3-10

Plays like: Patrick Cripps

September Ranking: 2

Rationale: The most prolific stoppage player and contested ball winner I've seen at this age and stage. Drops as Rowell rises.

Strengths: First possession winner at stoppages, contested ball winning, winning clearances, reading of the ball off the hands of the ruckmen, hunts the ground balls with a greater want than any other, distribution by hand, strength through the hips to stand up through tackles, capabilities forward of centre, marking threat on the lead and inside 50m, overhead marking, scoreboard impact, production on the board in the NEAFL, composure, vision, reliable skills, leadership and encouragement of teammates on the field, evasion, improving speed and endurance

Weaknesses: Agility, athleticism

4. Sam Flanders

Best position: General forward/inside midfield

Height, weight: 182cm, 81kg

Recruited from: Gippsland Power

Projected draft range: 3-15

Plays like: Robbie Gray

September Ranking: 9

Rationale: One of the draft's most damaging players forward of centre and shows continued improvement as a ball winning midfielder. Rises on the back of his finals performance against Oakleigh where he outplayed projected top-two choices Matthew Rowell and Noah Anderson, reminding us that despite playing mostly midfield this year, forward of centre only Anderson at his best is comparable.

Strengths: Scoreboard impact, threat one-out in the goal square, overhead marking, one-on-one marking, keeps his feet, crumbing, contested ball winning, first possession winner at stoppages, loose ball winner, aggressive tackler, strength through the hips to stand up through tackles, explosive acceleration, agility, leap, hurt-factor by foot, vision, leadership and voice out on the field

Weaknesses: Not as influential through the midfield as he can be up forward, consistency, with body very physically advanced ceiling may be lower than some other top end prospects

5. Brodie Kemp

Best position: Inside midfield/utility

Height, weight: 192cm, 82kg

Recruited from: Bendigo Pioneers

Projected draft range: 3-15

Plays like: Marcus Bontempelli

September Ranking: 5

Rationale: Among the midfielders with the greatest upside in the pool. Clean ball winner with unbelievable acceleration with ball in hand. Made big plays in big moments during the Under-18 Championships. Sustained a season ending ACL tear which likely will keep him out for the next year.

Strengths: Versatility to impact games in any position other than ruck, acceleration, line breaking, movement and evasion through traffic, wins first possession on the move, ground ball winning, intercept marking, reading of the ball in flight, aerial marking, one-on-one marking, leadup marking, contested marking, marking forward of centre, threat one-out in the goal square, hurt factor by foot, vision, stands up in the big moments

Weaknesses: Needs to find more of the ball to become a top tier midfielder, consistency over four quarters

6. Hayden Young

Best position: General defence/midfield

Height, weight: 188cm, 82kg

Recruited from: Dandenong Stingrays

Projected draft range: 3-7

Plays like: Christian Salem

September Ranking: 7

Rationale: Provides consistent drive from defence with his work by foot a highlight. Rises ahead of Ash due stronger form over the latter part of the season and a better contested side to his game.

Strengths: Versatility to play defence or midfield, precise and damaging kick, vision, decision making under pressure, aggressive attack on the ball, contested ball winning, stoppage work, run and carry, agility, leap, one-on-one defence, defensive accountability, reading of the drop of the ball, intercept marking

Weaknesses: Sometimes too accountable, needs to provide a marking target more often around the ground rather running around the back for cheap handball receives

7. Lachlan Ash

Best position: General defence

Height, weight: 186cm, 80kg

Recruited from: Murray Bushrangers

Projected draft range: 3-15

Plays like: Kade Simpson

September Ranking: 6

Rationale: A well rounded defender who intercepts and hurts the opposition with his run and hurt-factor by foot from defence. Drops due to below expectation play through the midfield late season.

Strengths: Line breaking run and carry, daring runner who will take on opponents, agility, evasion, endurance, damaging kick, vision, hits meaningful targets in the corridor, intercept marking, reading of the ball in flight, ground ball winning, tackling, forward pressure, versatility to push up through the midfield, able to win his own ball

Weaknesses: Prone to trying to do too much with ball in hand, not as dominant through the midfield as the other top end midfielders, contested ball winning not of the level of the other top end prospects

8. Deven Robertson

Best position: Inside midfield

Height, weight: 182cm, 80kg

Recruited from: Perth

Projected draft range: 5-25

Plays like: Adam Treloar

September Ranking: 8

Rationale: Nephew of Darren Glass, Robertson is one of the most productive ball winning midfielders in the pool. Robertson won the Larke Medal for the best player during the Under-18 Championships and was as consistent and influential as any during the carnival.

Strengths: Production, attack on the ball, contested ball winning, freakish reflexes on ground ball pickups, stoppage work, distribution by hand, work rate, moves the ball on quickly, endurance, speed, run and carry, agility, evasion, tackling, pressure around the ground, courage, leadership on and off the field

Weaknesses: Scoreboard impact, ball use under pressure, unclear versatility

9. Will Gould

Best position: General defence/key defence

Height, weight: 191cm, 98kg

Recruited from: Glenelg

Projected draft range: 5-25

Plays like: Shannon Hurn

September Ranking: 4

Rationale: An Under-18 All-Australian, Gould is the most physically advanced and imposing prospect in the pool. A season one ready defender who performs reliably at SANFL League level each week. Finished the season strongly in the SANFL at League level as a premiership player. Drops on review of Under-18 Championships play when weighed against the performances of what is a very even 4-16 grouping.

Strengths: Aggression, imposing presence, attack on the ball, one-on-one strength, penetrating and damaging kick with 60m penetration, vision, reading of the ball in flight, intercept marking, explosive speed, strength through the hips to stand up through and absorb tackles, leadership through on field courage and presence allowing teammates to gain confidence, consistent performances on the board against SANFL league competition

Weaknesses: Endurance, unclear whether tall enough to be a key defender at AFL level

10. Caleb Serong

Best position: Inside midfield/general forward

Height, weight: 178cm, 83kg

Recruited from: Gippsland Power

Projected draft range: 3-10

Plays like: Isaac Heeney

September Ranking: 10

Rationale: Consistent impact through Vic Country's midfield during the Under-18 Championships and was a strong performer during the NAB League Finals. One of this draft's best midfielders and forwards.

Strengths: One-on-one capabilities, powerful overhead mark, aerial marking threat, reading of the ball in flight, high leaper who times his leaps effectively, explosive first step, agility, strong tackler, impact per possession, scoreboard impact, finishing around goal, contested ball winning capabilities, first possession winning, first to loose balls, plays on when the opportunity is there

Weaknesses: Kick placement and reliability, skill execution under pressure

11. Dylan Stephens

Best position: Outside midfield

Height, weight: 183cm, 69kg

Recruited from: Norwood

Projected draft range: 3-15

Plays like: Lachie Hunter

September Ranking: 14

Rationale: Consistent play in the SANFL at League level has shot Stephens up in draft calculations.

Strengths: Endurance to run all day, agility, speed, run and carry, movement without the ball, work rate, leading up at the football and multiple leads in general play, loose ball winning, reliable ball user, versatility to play midfield in an inside or outside role or as a forward, tackling, pressure around the ground, scoreboard impact, production, performances at SANFL League level

Weaknesses: Size, strength

12. Liam Henry (Fremantle Next-Generation Academy)

Best position: General forward

Height, weight: 179cm, 67kg

Recruited from: Claremont

Projected draft range: 10-30

Plays like: Michael Walters

September Ranking: 12

Rationale: One of Western Australia's most influential through the Under-18 Championships and is one of this year's most exciting forwards.

Strengths: Freakish ground ball pickups on the move at speed, crumbing, forward pressure, second and third efforts, kicks placed out in front of targets to lead onto, vision, composure with ball in hand, skill execution under pressure, instinctive finisher around goal, moves the ball on quickly, line-breaking speed, dare with ball in hand, agility, evasion, impact per possession, feels dangerous any time the ball is in his area, leadup marking, protects the drop zone in one-on-one marking contests, early reading of the ball in flight, comfortable pushing up through the midfield

Weaknesses: One-on-one strength, inconsistent overhead mark, kicking penetration

13. Jeremy Sharp

Best position: General defence/outside midfield

Height, weight: 187cm, 79kg

Recruited from: East Fremantle

Projected draft range: 10-30

Plays like: Nathan Wilson

September Ranking: 16

Rationale: One of the premier rebounding defenders and outside runners in the draft. His speed, endurance and ball use are his greatest assets. Rises on review of Under-18 Championships and WAFL League play.

Strengths: Speed, endurance, line breaking capabilities, daring runner who will take on opponents, evasion, composure and decision making with ball in hand, vision, long and damaging kick, versatility to play in defence or on a wing, one touch ground ball pickups, WAFL League performances on the board

Weaknesses: Contested ball winning, unclear midfield capabilities, intercept marking

14. Fischer McAsey

Best position: Key defence

Height, weight: 195cm, 86kg

Recruited from: Sandringham Dragons

Projected draft range: 5-25

Plays like: Darcy Moore

September Ranking: 11

Rationale: Winner of Vic Metro's MVP and the premier key defender in this draft. Drops as others rise.

Strengths: Intercept marking, reading of the drop of the ball, contested marking, marking on the lead, aerial marking, attack on ball aerially, closing speed, leap, aggressive spoiling, reliable kick out in front of targets to lead onto, courageous, versatility to hold down key position posts at either end

Weaknesses: One-on-one strength, one-on-one marking

15. Finn Maginness (Hawthorn - father-son)

Best position: Inside midfield/general forward

Height, weight: 187cm, 80kg

Recruited from: Sandringham Dragons

Projected draft range: 10-30

Plays like: Jack Ziebell

September Ranking: 15

Rationale: Balance of production through the midfield and impact forward of centre sees Maginness break into the top 20. An improving player who rose late in the season due to his improved hurt-factor and his impact forward of centre, but his numbers aren't high enough to justify moving up any further.

Strengths: Production, first possession winner through the midfield, ground ball winning, tackling, strength to stand up through tackles and dispose of the ball, crumbing, lowers his eyes, kicks out in front of leading targets, work rate, endurance, speed, one-on-one marking, overhead marking, threat one-out in the goal square, scoreboard impact, evasion, endurance

Weaknesses: Production not on the level of other highly touted midfielders, athletically tests very well but needs to put his speed and endurance more often in game, kicking consistency
16. Luke Jackson

Best position: Ruck

Height, weight: 198cm, 94kg

Recruited from: East Fremantle

Projected draft range: 5-20

Plays like: Paddy Ryder

September Ranking: 13

Rationale: A raw, athletic, high leaping ruckman who made the decision to pursue football instead of basketball. An aggressive tackler who follows up powerfully from ruck contests often winning first possession. Drops on as others rise.

Strengths: High leaper, follow-up work, contested ball winning, tackling, contested marking, aerial marking, reading of the ball in flight, endurance

Weaknesses: Short for a ruckman, raw, skills, running patterns, struggles to find the ball outside the contest

17. Harry Schoenberg

Best position: Inside midfield

Height, weight: 180cm, 78kg

Recruited from: Woodville-West Torrens

Projected draft range: 15-45

Plays like: Dylan Shiel

September Ranking: 17

Rationale: Rocketed into the draft discussion on the back of his Under-18 Championships performances where he was South Australia's most prolific midfielder and won his state's MVP award.

Strengths: Contested ball winning, wins first possession on the move, high work rate and is always on the move whether at stoppages or around the ground, endurance, agility, acceleration to burst away from stoppages, strength to shrug tackles, tackling, smothers, skills by hand and foot, vision, evasion, impact per possession, courage

Weaknesses: Unclear versatility, scoreboard impact

18. Ryan Byrnes

Best position: Inside midfield

Height, weight: 181cm, 80kg

Recruited from: Sandringham Dragons

Projected draft range: 20-50

Plays like: Jake Steven

September Rankings: 18

Rationale: On performance in the NAB League has been one of the most damaging midfielders by winning the ball and hurting the opposition with his acceleration and hurt-factor by foot.

Strengths: Wins first possession at stoppages, wins the ball on the move, use of speed with ball in hand around stoppages, line breaking pace, agility, evasion in traffic, hurt factor by foot, impact per possession, vision to find targets inside 50m, production

Weaknesses: Scoreboard impact, unclear versatility

19. Dylan Williams

Best position: General forward/inside midfield

Height, weight: 185cm, 79kg

Recruited from: Oakleigh Chargers

Projected draft range: 10-30

Plays like: Steve Johnson

September Rankings: unranked

Rationale: Williams has battled injury and form in 2019 which has limited his output. Unable to recapture his 2018 form, Williams looked like a genuine top-five choice this time last year. He rises as others fall and is inside the top-20 based on the quality of his 2018 play.

Strengths: One touch at ground level, strong one-on-one mark, overhead marking, vertical leap, clever finisher around goal, skills, kicking penetration, contested ball winning, first possession winner at stoppages, versatility to impact games forward or through the midfield, 2018 performance

Weaknesses: Endurance, forward pressure, tackling, consistency, 2019 performance

20. Bigoa Nyuon (St Kilda Next-Generation Academy)

Best position: Key defence

Height, weight: 196cm, 86kg

Recruited from: Dandenong Stingrays

Projected draft range: late-rookie

Plays like: Aliir Aliir

September Rankings: unranked

Rationale: Has been on the edge of the top-20 since June and finally enters the top-20 on the back of others falling and a strong State Combine which included running a remarkable 2.855 second 20m sprint.

Strengths: Intercept marking, reading of the ball in flight, leap, fluid mover, speed, agility, versatility to play key defence, key forward or ruck, shuts down opposition key forwards, leadup marking, power to shrug tackles, clean ground ball winner, spread from contests, blocks for teammates, runs in support, involved in general play, upside, intangibles

Weaknesses: Raw, production
 
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Knightmare

Brownlow Medallist
Sep 22, 2010
16,756
14,889
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Chicago Bulls
21/10/2019: Two round phantom draft: https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/27891050/expanded-afl-phantom-draft-risers-sliders-new-names

1. Gold Coast: Matthew Rowell (VIC)
Height, Weight:
178cm/74kg
Profile: A big-game player, Rowell is the first person to ever win two successive Grand Final best-on-ground medals in TAC Cup/NAB League history. He is this year's premier midfielder as a hardworking, ball-winning midfielder with explosive pace.

2. Gold Coast (priority pick): Noah Anderson (VIC)
Height, Weight:
188cm/86kg
Profile: A match-winner who breaks games open in the matter of minutes whether he is winning his own ball or hitting the scoreboard. The most influential in the pool whether he's used as a midfielder or forward.

3. Melbourne: Hayden Young (VIC)
Height, Weight:
188cm/82kg
Profile: One of this year's premier ball users from defence. A reliable stopper who has the capability to push through the midfield and win his own ball.

4. Greater Western Sydney (matching Adelaide's bid): Thomas Green (NSW/ACT - GWS Academy)
Height, Weight:
188cm/85kg
Profile: The most prolific stoppage player and contested ball-winner to come through the junior ranks in recent years. Able to rotate forward as required and provide a leadup target.

5. Adelaide: Sam Flanders (VIC)
Height, Weight:
182cm/81kg
Profile: Arguably this year's most damaging forward of centre and has become just as valuable as a midfielder. Flanders is ready to go, plays a high-impact-per-possession game and possesses explosive power.

6. Sydney: Caleb Serong (VIC)
Height, Weight:
178cm/83kg
Profile: Strong ball-winner and tackler through the midfield. Impressive athlete who is just as good up forward with his ground ball-winning and work aerially causing problems.

7. Fremantle: Lachlan Ash (VIC)
Height, Weight:
186cm/80kg
Profile: Line-breaking defender who breaks games open with his speed, agility and kicking. Does his best work generating drive from defence but has the versatility to push up through the midfield.

8. Fremantle (matching Melbourne's bid): Liam Henry (WA - Fremantle Academy)
Height, Weight:
179cm/67kg
Profile: Speedy forward who is dangerous at ground level and on the lead inside 50m. Henry is a composed ball user and applies heavy forward pressure.

9. Melbourne: Brodie Kemp (VIC)
Height, Weight:
192cm/82kg
Profile: Explosive ball-winning utility who impacts games through the midfield, up forward or in defence. Torn ACL likely keeps Kemp out until mid-2020.

10. Carlton: Luke Jackson (WA)
Height, Weight:
198cm/94kg
Profile: A raw, athletic, high leaping ruckman who made the decision to pursue football instead of basketball. Jackson is an aggressive tackler who follows up powerfully from ruck contests, often winning first possession.

11. Hawthorn: Dylan Stephens (SA)
Height, Weight:
183cm/69kg
Profile: Consistent performer at SANFL League level, playing 13 games through Norwood's midfield. Stephens is a ready-to-go, hard running left-footer who can play outside or inside.

12. Port Adelaide: Fischer McAsey (VIC)
Height, Weight:
195cm/86kg
Profile: This year's most promising key defender. A high-level intercept mark and stopper with athleticism.

13. Western Bulldogs: Cody Weightman (VIC)
Height, Weight:
177cm/73kg
Profile: Speedy small forward who makes something out of nothing. Weightman is dangerous at ground level, flies for marks, applies heavy forward pressure and hits the scoreboard.

14. Geelong: Deven Robertson (WA)
Height, Weight:
182cm/80kg
Profile: A worthy winner of the Larke Medal for the best performer during the Under-18 Championships. Robertson is one of this year's premier midfielders, winning the ball and moving it on aggressively.

15. Gold Coast: Will Gould (SA)
Height, Weight:
191cm/98kg
Profile: Strong bodied defender with the performances on the board at SANFL League level including a premiership for Glenelg. Gould throws his weight around, plays an aggressive style of game and is a penetrating kick.

16. Brisbane: Trent Rivers (WA)
Height, Weight:
188cm/85kg
Profile: Possesses the versatility to play either as a ball-winning midfielder or in defence. A strong contested ball-winner, Rivers combines this with class and composure.

17. Geelong: Josh Worrell (VIC)
Height, Weight:
195cm/74kg
Profile: Athletic utility with the scope to play key forward, key defence or on a wing. Worrell is an excellent reader of the ball in flight, displays a high work rate and was Vic Metro's leading goalkicker during the Under-18 Championships.

18. Port Adelaide: Jeremy Sharp (WA)
Height, Weight:
187cm/79kg
Profile: Speedy line-breaker who is also damaging by foot. Has performed strongly at WAFL League level.

19. Hawthorn (matching Richmond's bid): Finn Maginness (VIC - Hawthorn Father-Son)
Height, Weight:
187cm/80kg
Profile: Ball-winner midfielder who is a hard to stop mark one-on-one inside 50m. Finn is the son of Hawthorn defender Scott Maginness.

20. Richmond: Cooper Stephens (VIC)
Height, Weight:
188cm/83kg
Profile: Strong ball-winning midfielder who distributes effectively by hand and bursts out of stoppages at speed. Has not played since round three due to a fractured fibula.

21. Port Adelaide (matching Brisbane's bid): Jackson Mead (SA - Port Adelaide Father-Son)
Height, Weight:
184cm/83kg
Profile: Ball-winning midfielder with class and reliable skills. Jackson is the son of former Power defender Darren.

22. Brisbane: Miles Bergman (VIC)
Height, Weight:
186cm/75kg
Profile: High leaping, strong marking medium forward. Arguably possesses the most penetrating kick in the draft pool.

23. Gold Coast: Elijah Taylor (WA)
Height, Weight:
185cm/75kg
Profile: Instinctive forward with speed and tricks around goal. Possesses good skills and is composed, evasive and dangerous aerially.

24. Fremantle: Will Day (SA)
Height, Weight:
187cm/70kg
Profile: Lightly built outside midfielder with good skills and speed. Viewed by recruiters as one of the prospects with the greatest upside in this draft.

25. Adelaide: Mitch O'Neill (TAS)
Height, Weight:
181cm/70kg
Profile: Touted as a potential first round selection at the beginning of the season, O'Neill has struggled with injury for much of the year. O'Neill is an outside midfielder who is a polished ball user and moves well.

26. Geelong: Dylan Williams (VIC)
Height, Weight:
185cm/79kg
Profile: Talented forward and midfielder who hurts opponents aerially and at ground level. Projecting as a top-five selection this time last year, Williams has battled injury and form in 2019 which has limited his output.

27. Sydney: Harry Schoenberg (SA)
Height, Weight:
180cm/78kg
Profile: Won South Australia's MVP award during the Under-18 Championships. Schoenberg is a prolific ball-winning midfielder with a high work rate.

28. North Melbourne: Trent Bianco (VIC)
Height, Weight:
178cm/70kg
Profile: Precise and consistent ball user who has the versatility to play on a wing or in defence. Captained the talented Oakleigh Chargers to this year's NAB League premiership.

29. North Melbourne: Harrison Jones (VIC)
Height, Weight:
194cm/75kg
Profile: Lightly built key forward who is at his best taking marks at full stretch. Jones is athletic, capable at ground level, hits the scoreboard heavily and possesses a high ceiling.

30. Adelaide: Sam De Koning (VIC)
Height, Weight:
200cm/85kg
Profile: Athletic, versatile but raw key position player. Sam is the younger brother of Carlton's Tom.

31. Essendon: Jay Rantall (VIC)
Height, Weight:
184cm/82kg
Profile: Endurance running machine who set a new draft combine record in the 2km time trial. Rantall is a basketball convert who is excellent at stoppages as a ball-winner and distributor.

32. Sydney: Jack Mahony (VIC)
Height, Weight:
176cm/70kg
Profile: Crumbing forward who can push up through the midfield. Polished ball user who applies forward pressure.

33. Essendon: Callum Jamieson
(WA) Height, Weight:
200cm/80kg
Profile: Mobile ruckman who finds plenty of the ball around the ground. A project ruckman who will take time to develop physically.

34. Brisbane: Thomson Dow (VIC)
Height, Weight:
182cm/72kg
Profile: Dow is a speedy midfielder with growing ball-winning capabilities. Thomson is the younger brother of Carlton's Paddy.

35. Collingwood: Jake Riccardi (VIC)
Height, Weight:
195cm/92kg
Profile: Turning 20 in November, Riccardi showed positive signs in the TAC Cup last year as an overager and has made meaningful progress this year in the VFL. Riccardi is a strong marking, athletic key forward and won the Fothergill-Round-Mitchell Medal as the VFL's Rising Star.

36. Geelong: Joshua Shute (SA)
Height, Weight:
187cm/73kg
Profile: A smooth moving, classy ball user with evasion. Shute showed strong improvement throughout the year as a midfielder placing in Sturt's SANFL Reserves bests in four of his last five matches.

37. Adelaide: Cameron Taheny (SA)
Height, Weight:
185cm/80kg
Profile: A strong marking forward who does his best work close to goal. Taheny doesn't need much of the ball to hit the scoreboard heavily.

38. Richmond: Ryan Byrnes (VIC)
Height, Weight:
181cm/80kg
Profile: Consistent ball-winner through the midfield. Wins the contested ball, combined with pace and damaging ball use.

39. Richmond: Darcy Cassar (VIC)
Height, Weight:
183cm/75kg
Profile: Midfielder with the versatility to play forward or back. Cassar does his best work on the outside and possesses good skills.

40. Greater Western Sydney: Kysaiah Pickett (SA)
Height, Weight:
170cm/67kg
Profile: Lively forward with speed who applies forward pressure as well as any in the pool. Kysaiah is the nephew of dual premie
 
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Knightmare

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Do you know if those mature alternatives taken in later years had actually nominated in 2013?
A great question.

Tom Stewart I'm not aware whether or not he nominated earlier - I half suspect not but I don't know for sure. The others I believe did.

Not having a list of those who nominated I don't know and that's an element I didn't take into account.

It's something overall I'm looking at from the perspective of - they weren't on AFL lists and were of draft age so they were available. So in theory, and I'm taking some creative licence, but if Mason Cox was deemed a clear best 20 player (and he's not) but he's of an age where I'd say in theory - he could based on age/availability have been had those years earlier, so he could on that basis be included. That's the criteria I'm going with - rightly or wrongly. Everyone will have their own takes and ways of looking at it. It's one I look at as - if you know they're going to be one of the best in the draft. You tell them - nominate. We're going to pick you. And they would. So in that regard it takes that out of the equation.

But I'm only going to take into account their actual playing careers and not speculating if they entered the league earlier - they may have played this many more games. Because at the end of the day when you look back at it all, you don't look at Sam Mitchell's career and think - he could have been drafted sooner and count those games to his name because it was 329 games he played rather than 350 that he may have played if drafted sooner.

Adding to this question, is there actually a publicly available record of all players who have nominated for each draft?
If there is, I'm not aware of it, but I'd be interested to see it if indeed there is.
 

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GUMBLETRON

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It's something overall I'm looking at from the perspective of - they weren't on AFL lists and were of draft age so they were available. So in theory, and I'm taking some creative licence, but if Mason Cox was deemed a clear best 20 player (and he's not) but he's of an age where I'd say in theory - he could based on age/availability have been had those years earlier, so he could on that basis be included. That's the criteria I'm going with - rightly or wrongly. Everyone will have their own takes and ways of looking at it. It's one I look at as - if you know they're going to be one of the best in the draft. You tell them - nominate. We're going to pick you. And they would. So in that regard it takes that out of the equation.

But I'm only going to take into account their actual playing careers and not speculating if they entered the league earlier - they may have played this many more games. Because at the end of the day when you look back at it all, you don't look at Sam Mitchell's career and think - he could have been drafted sooner and count those games to his name because it was 329 games he played rather than 350 that he may have played if drafted sooner.
It's an interesting exercise, but what of the other half of the equation - do they make that same progress if they do get drafted earlier? It seems fair to assume AFL clubs are the best place for a player to develop, but that perhaps devalues the work sub-AFL teams did to get these guys up to draftable (let alone top 20) standard, as well as the psychological impact of not being drafted on a player's motivation.

Tipungwuti for example had major flaws as a junior, but through his work with the Essendon VFL program demonstrated he had the commitment to get his body and fitness to a standard necessary for AFL. He can get that opportunity because of the relatively low resource burden of a VFL list spot - whether an AFL club would be willing to offer a list spot on a small with no expectation of return for several years is less clear, as is whether there is the same incentive to develop if a player already feels they've "made it" by being drafted. To raise another example, Gach Nyuon, Essendon rookie ruckman, had all the tools to develop but washed rapidly out of the system after he let getting drafted go to his head.
 
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Knightmare

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It's an interesting exercise, but what of the other half of the equation - do they make that same progress if they do get drafted earlier? It seems fair to assume AFL clubs are the best place for a player to develop, but that perhaps devalues the work sub-AFL teams did to get these guys up to draftable (let alone top 20) standard, as well as the psychological impact of not being drafted on a player's motivation.

Tipungwuti for example had major flaws as a junior, but through his work with the Essendon VFL program demonstrated he had the commitment to get his body and fitness to a standard necessary for AFL. He can get that opportunity because of the relatively low resource burden of a VFL list spot - whether an AFL club would be willing to offer a list spot on a small with no expectation of return for several years is less clear, as is whether there is the same incentive to develop if a player already feels they've "made it" by being drafted. To raise another example, Gach Nyuon, Essendon rookie ruckman, had all the tools to develop but washed rapidly out of the system after he let getting drafted go to his head.
It's a good question - and that element of if drafted earlier and whether that would lead to more progress (or less being potentially to immature and dropping out of the system) or more games played I'm leaving out of it completely with a view towards - of those eligible who will all things said and done have the best career. But that's something arguments could be made for both ways as to how to break that down best. This is just the method I chose to be consistent with who they actually are and how many games and how impactful they will actually be over their careers.

Gach Nyuon is one I'd show up to games and watch, and invariably someone sitting next to me would be exclaiming 'wow! this guy is something!' *Observing how high he can leap/reach at ruck contests. But ultimately he is one I look at as a one trick pony who regardless of whether he was drafted to another club, drafted later etc I don't believe would have become anything. He can leap and get hitouts - but he doesn't have that second way of impacting games - not taking marks i50, not hitting the scoreboard, not finding it around the ground or following up all that spectacularly. Everyone needs something to hang their hat on, but you can't have nothing else you're even passable at. When that's the case. You're looking at someone only appropriate for state league play.

Tipungwuti was one I liked as far back as his draft year feeling he should have gone mid draft. Was always lively and whenever the ball was in his area would have an impact. He's one I know particularly with my 2014 redraft coming next week, as with the 2013 redraft I'll have people laughing at me for rating him as highly as I do, but he's a legit footballer who with his pressure and kicking is a seriously good forward.
 

GUMBLETRON

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Gach Nyuon is one I'd show up to games and watch, and invariably someone sitting next to me would be exclaiming 'wow! this guy is something!' *Observing how high he can leap/reach at ruck contests. But ultimately he is one I look at as a one trick pony who regardless of whether he was drafted to another club, drafted later etc I don't believe would have become anything. He can leap and get hitouts - but he doesn't have that second way of impacting games - not taking marks i50, not hitting the scoreboard, not finding it around the ground or following up all that spectacularly. Everyone needs something to hang their hat on, but you can't have nothing else you're even passable at. When that's the case. You're looking at someone only appropriate for state league play.

Tipungwuti was one I liked as far back as his draft year feeling he should have gone mid draft. Was always lively and whenever the ball was in his area would have an impact. He's one I know particularly with my 2014 redraft coming next week, as with the 2013 redraft I'll have people laughing at me for rating him as highly as I do, but he's a legit footballer who with his pressure and kicking is a seriously good forward.
Both had serious flaws in their draft years though, no? Tipungwuti was able to work on his, with missing out providing motivation. Nyuon was not, as being drafted seemingly meant he didn't feel that pressure. There will of course be players for whom the opposite is the case - where missing out on a draft sees them give up on footy, or getting into a club system opens up vital opportunity for development. Anyway, impossible to factor all that into your rankings, I was just curious on your view, so thanks for humouring me. :)
 

Knightmare

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Both had serious flaws in their draft years though, no? Tipungwuti was able to work on his, with missing out providing motivation. Nyuon was not, as being drafted seemingly meant he didn't feel that pressure. There will of course be players for whom the opposite is the case - where missing out on a draft sees them give up on footy, or getting into a club system opens up vital opportunity for development. Anyway, impossible to factor all that into your rankings, I was just curious on your view, so thanks for humouring me. :)
Tipungwuti was always small which was my main issue with him but I always felt like he was lively and impacting games - which is why I've all along considered him draftable. So he's not one I ever looked at as bad and if drafted sooner maybe he'd have been a regular AFL footballer earlier or maybe as you're speculating he may not be who he is today. I don't have the answer to that. Most would benefit from being inside the AFL system sooner as you're training harder and getting better coaching in the system. It can also mean if you're a super long term prospect, that could hurt and can sap their confidence, or for some others at lower levels they may gain confidence, though those types generally don't make it anyway. Smalls though are usually pretty ready and can slot into roles.

It's one of those that can work both ways and isn't necessarily clear cut either way a lot of the time - though more often (let's say 80% of the time to estimate) I'd say they're better off in the AFL system sooner.
 

RUNVS

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15. Sydney
Who they picked:
Zak Jones
Who they should have picked: Aliir Aliir (pick 44)
Analysis: Sydney have a long-term player in Jones, though he narrowly misses making the top 20 with his kicking and stoppage work needing improvement. Aliir is my choice on the back of his 2018 season managing 91 marks from 12 games. It's a speculative choice, but if he continues intercepting at an elite level and stopping his opponents, he will justify this position.
Damn, the Swans really missed out there :fire::cool:
 

Knightmare

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Damn, the Swans really missed out there :fire::cool:
Jones is clear top 30 from 2013.

I really like the way Aliir has developed. Was hopeless as a junior. Couldn't read it in the air and now he's an intercept marking monster and looking like a really nice long term player.

A good draft for Sydney.
 

RUNVS

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Jones is clear top 30 from 2013.

I really like the way Aliir has developed. Was hopeless as a junior. Couldn't read it in the air and now he's an intercept marking monster and looking like a really nice long term player.

A good draft for Sydney.
I tend to agree. Aliir is still a little suspect one on one but as you said he is a very good intercept mark and he also has a very attacking mindset, getting the ball and trying to play on very quickly. He usually plays on within his limitations as well, and while he has a certain LRT feeling about him, where it constantly looks like he is making it up as he goes along, he is usually pretty effective.
 

Knightmare

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Your boy Sydney Stack has just been signed on by Richmond KM , Hope you are correct in your opinion on this kid
Having trained with Richmond, he's off to a positive start earning a list position with the club getting to try before buying and still liking what they see.

It's going to be a hard team to crack into, but hopefully it proves a good environment that allows him to maximise his development and have a career.
 

GUMBLETRON

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On that, do you think the supplementary system will change the way clubs approach slightly sketchier options, be they kids with behaviour/commitment question marks or state league players? Let them slide in the hope they go undrafted, then get them in the system for a while before committing a list spot.

Dayle Garlett is a good example from previous years, where the regular U18 placements were enough to ward at least one club off, and that bit more exposure in the year he was passed over might have saved Hawthorn a decent pick in the following draft.
 

Knightmare

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On that, do you think the supplementary system will change the way clubs approach slightly sketchier options, be they kids with behaviour/commitment question marks or state league players? Let them slide in the hope they go undrafted, then get them in the system for a while before committing a list spot.

Dayle Garlett is a good example from previous years, where the regular U18 placements were enough to ward at least one club off, and that bit more exposure in the year he was passed over might have saved Hawthorn a decent pick in the following draft.
My prediction is it doesn't alter team drafting habits. If you want someone and don't want to miss out. You'll take them.

A lot of those deemed 'unlucky' (and some will be those with character questionmarks) and a lot of mature agers who train with the clubs and impress will be the ones who will get picked up.
 

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