Draft Expert Knightmare's 2021 Draft Almanac

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Knightmare

Brownlow Medallist
Sep 22, 2010
18,664
17,668
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Chicago Bulls
ESPN articles:

AFL Draft Power Rankings:
2/4/2021: April AFL Draft Power Rankings:
1. Jason Horne
2. Matthew Roberts
3. Matthew Johnson

4/5/2021: May AFL Draft Power Rankings:
1. Jason Horne
2. Nick Daicos
3. Tyler Sonsie

8/6/2021: June AFL Draft Power Rankings:
1. Nick Daicos
2. Jason Horne
3. Tyler Sonsie

5/7/2021: July AFL Draft Power Rankings:
1. Nick Daicos (Collingwood - Father-Son)
2. Jason Horne
3. Sam Darcy
(Western Bulldogs - Father-Son)

2/8/2021: August AFL Draft Power Rankings:

1. Nick Daicos (Collingwood - father-son)
2. Jason Horne
3. Sam Darcy
(Western Bulldogs - father-son)

AFL Mid-season Draft:
19/5/2021: AFL Mid-Season Draft Power Rankings:
1. Jacob Edwards
2. Jackson Callow
3. Bailey Lambert

31/5/2021: AFL Mid-Season Draft. How every club can fill their most pressing list need:
North Melbourne
Likely number of picks:
2
Greatest list need: Young stars
Who should they pick: North Melbourne are in need of young stars and there is no better way of finding them through the draft than adding the best available talent. Consensus number one selection Jacob Edwards has nominated for the mid-season draft and should be joining North Melbourne as the first player selected. Had he entered the national draft, Edwards may have featured inside the first round. Edwards is a late bloomer, switching his attention from basketball and has made meaningful strides physically over the past 12 months, looming as an athletic type who can play both as a key forward and through the ruck.

31/5/2021: Second ESPN podcast appearance for 2021. Covering tomorrow's AFL Mid-Season draft.
This week on the podcast, ESPN's AFL draft expert Chris Doerre joins the teams to give us an insight into how this year's draft crop is shaping up. Christian Joly From Champion Data runs us through the players who are always under pressure (and who is best at dealing with it), and the team talk the worst guernseys of all time, how to fix Collingwood, and play another round of 'justified hype or hyperbole' with some interesting results.

3/6/2021: AFL Mid-Season Draft review. The biggest surprises, best selections, plug-and-play options and hard luck stories:
THE BIGGEST SURPRISES
Hawthorn had been heavily linked in the leadup to competitive ruckman Ned Moyle given the club's limited ruck youth and how strong Moyle's play had been. A Hawthorn supporter, Moyle would have loved to have been selected by the Hawks, but Jai Newcombe ultimately was Hawthorn's choice. Having been playing as a midfielder for Box Hill in the VFL, ball winning bull Newcombe attracted more attention than Hawthorn would have liked in the leadup to the mid-season draft. A portion of this attention around Newcombe came due to the chatter around his unusual choice to nominate to be taken in the Mid-Season Draft under 'other terms' which led to plenty of speculation in the leadup to the draft that Hawthorn had their eyes on Newcombe and may have had interest in taking him with their second-round selection. With the cat out of the bag and with several other clubs interested in Newcombe in the first round, Hawthorn were forced to select him with their first pick, ultimately prioritising their midfield over their long-term ruck needs.

AFL Season Previews:
10/3/2021 - AAMI Community Series Wrap. Covering best first year players, breakout players and rebound season:
Adelaide
Most impactful draftee:
Looking likely to earn Round 1 selection and have an immediate impact as a crumbing forward, James Rowe was the SANFL's leading goal kicker in 2020. He failed to kick a goal against Port Adelaide but did register three behinds and looked lively enough at ground level to suggest he could play in the first round of the season.

Breakout contender: Jordon Butts performed strongly as a key defender against Port Adelaide. An effective ball reader and intercept marker, expect a push from Butts to establish himself as a part of Adelaide's best 22.

Rebound season: After a disappointing 2020, Taylor Walker appeared to move a lot better during his preseason clash against Port Adelaide. Walker kicked three goals and was clearly Adelaide's best forward 50m target. Expect him to play a better brand of football this season.

AFL Draft Previews:
24/3/2021 - The biggest 2021 AFL Draft questions answered:
ESPN's AFL Draft expert Chris Doerre is back to answer all the burning draft questions ahead of 2021, including who the standout prospects are, when the state leagues and junior competitions begin and the impact 2020 has had on this crop of players.

28/7/2021: AFL Draft state of play. The top picks, draft bolters, father-son, Academy and NGA prospects you should be watching out for:
The pick one contenders
At this point in time there are two top contenders and one outside chance.
Collingwood father-son prospect Nick Daicos has starred so far this season and is one of the favourites to feature first overall.
The second contender for the top pick is South Australian midfielder Jason Horne.
The outside chance is Western Bulldogs father-son prospect and son of Luke, Sam Darcy.


ESPN Podcast involvements:
4/5/2021: ESPN AFL Podcast. First involvement for season 2021 including an approx 15min draft segment:
This week on the podcast, the team discuss how the COVID curveballs came at a lucky time for the AFL, analyse the first half of the year for this week's bye teams, and talk most improved players, while we also debate which Josh Kennedy has had the better career and more!

AFL Draft Weekly Wraps:
7/4/2021: AFL Draft wrap with a focus on Josh Rentsch:
Key forward Josh Rentsch provided a strong focal point up forward for Greater Western Victoria in their 23-point win against Geelong Falcons.

14/4/2021: AFL Draft wrap with a focus on Nick Daicos:
Playing in a distinctively lively, clean, smart and stylish yet arrogant manor, Nick Daicos for the second successive week starred, consolidating his status as a likely top-5 draft choice and one of Victoria's best.

21/4/2021: AFL Draft wrap with a focus on Josh Gibcus:
After earning AFL Academy squad selection during the week, Josh Gibcus confirmed his status as one of this year's premier key defenders, patrolling the airways for Greater Western Victoria in their 11-point win against Murray.

28/4/2021: AFL Draft wrap with a focus on GWS Giants Academy member Josh Fahey:
Winning the MCC President's Medal, Fahey, the Greater Western Sydney Academy product took the bulk of the kickouts for the AFL Academy and impressed on his left foot with his penetration and precision kicking.

5/5/2021: AFL Draft wrap with a focus on Matthew Roberts:
With one of the dominant displays so far this season in the junior ranks, Matthew Roberts solidified his top-10 draft billing for South Adelaide in their 56-point win against Norwood with 34 disposals, eight marks, nine tackles, eight clearances, 10 inside-50s and three goals.

12/5/2021: AFL Draft wrap with a focus on Hugh Jackson:
With a season-high 41 disposals, nine marks and eight clearances for North Adelaide's Under 18s in an entertaining draw against Woodville-West Torrens, Hugh Jackson is the early favourite to follow in the footsteps of Tom Powell to win the SANFL's Under-18 MVP.

26/5/2021: AFL Draft wrap with a focus on mid-season draft prospect Jackson Callow:
Winning best-on-ground honours in Norwood's 48-point win against Adelaide, 18-year-old Jackson Callow played like a man among boys in the SANFL and may be the first key forward taken in this year's mid-season draft.

2/6/2021: AFL Draft wrap with a focus on powerful mid/fwd Hugh Stagg:
Starring for Glenelg's U/18s in their four-point loss to West Adelaide on the weekend, mid-forward prospect Hugh Stagg put on an exhibition of strength and power - showcasing his ability to absorb and break tackles, and remain standing and dispose of the ball with bodies hanging off of him.

9/6/2021: AFL Draft wrap with a focus on Adelaide NGA Isaiah Dudley:
It's a rare day when the standout player is on the losing side of a 98-point blowout, but that was the case for 168cm midfielder and Adelaide Next-Generation Academy prospect Isaiah Dudley.

16/6/2021: AFL Draft wrap with a focus on Sam Frost:
Not to be confused with the current Hawthorn key defender, this week's player in focus is 18-year-old Sam Frost who starred in GWS' 78-point NAB League win over the Northern Territory.

23/6/2021: AFL Draft wrap with a focus on Finn Callaghan:
Displaying freakish evasion through traffic, Callaghan amassed 31 disposals, 10 contested possessions, seven inside 50s, and four score assists. What was striking with Callaghan was whenever he had ball in hand, there was an immediate sense he was going to make something happen.

30/6/2021: AFL Draft wrap with a focus on Sam Darcy (Vic Metro v Country u18 trial notes):
With the most dominant display so far this season in the junior ranks, Western Bulldogs father-son prospect Sam Darcy (son of Luke) wowed watchers for Vic Metro in Trial Match 2 against Vic Country. The performance instantly elevated him into the No. 1 pick conversation.

7/7/2021: AFL Draft wrap with a focus on Connor MacDonald:
What was special about MacDonald's performance was how clean he was at ground level, everything he did in close was one-touch in cold slippery conditions on Saturday night.

14/7/2021: AFL Draft wrap with a focus on Melbourne Next-Generation Academy prospect Mac Andrew:
It was such a commanding performance that the Demons should not expect to be able to match bids for Andrew, as this year any bid inside the top 20 for NGA prospects cannot be matched.

21/7/2021: AFL Draft wrap with a focus on Blake Schlensog, the best key position player outside the AFL and the solution to your club's key position woes:
The best key position player outside the AFL has emerged and looms as both a plug and play piece and a long-term answer. A former Geelong Category B rookie, Blake Schlensog was unlucky to be delisted at the conclusion of the 2020 season, following rapid improvement in his two-year stint with the Cats.

4/8/2021: AFL Draft wrap with a focus on Josh Clarke:

The driving force for the Eastern Ranges in their 27-point win against Dandenong, Josh Clarke was the most damaging player afield with both his kicking and running difference-making.
 
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YouTube videos New

Knightmare

Brownlow Medallist
Sep 22, 2010
18,664
17,668
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Chicago Bulls
YouTube videos (2021):



29/12/2020 - Supercoach and AFL Fantasy relevance of all 2020 AFL National Draft selections:
Should you pick
Jamarra - no
Thilthorpe - no
Phillips - yes
McDonald - no
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fZd8ehbuDBM&t=25s&ab_channel=AFLDraftExpert

13/1/2021 - A labour of love project. My biggest hits and misses in my 12 years covering the AFL draft:
Biggest hits:

Ben Brown Rated: 2010 - 32 and 2011 - 27. Actually drafted: 2013 - 47.
Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti: 2012 - 36. Actually drafted: 2015 - rookie - 22
Noah Balta: 2017 - 6. Actually drafted: 2017 - 25.
Best avoids:
Lucas Cooke: 2010 - outside 50. Actually drafted: 12.
Jonathon O'Rourke: 2012 - 11. Actually drafted: 2.
Michael Apeness: 2013 - outside 60. Actually drafted: 2013 - 17.
Jack Leslie: 2013 - outside 60. Actually drafted: 2013 - 20.
Paddy McCartin 2014 - 5. Actually drafted: 2014 - 1.
Blaine Boekhorst 2014 - outside 60. Actually drafted: 2014 - 19.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fn3b-ReWkcQ&t=832s&ab_channel=AFLDraftExpert

19/1/2021 - AFL Premiership 2007 - the list management fundamentals learnt and the players I would build around:
The list of 40+4 rookies I would have gone forward with as of the start of 2007:
Todd Goldstein, Sam Jacobs, Dean Cox, Jonathan Brown, Lance Franklin, Tom Hawkins, Jack Riewoldt, Josh Kennedy, Jarryd Roughead, Brian Harris (Lake), Luke McPharlin, Heath Grundy, Tom Lonergan, Matthew Scarlett, Corey Enright, Heath Shaw, Shannon Hurn, Bachar Houli, Jarrod Harbrow, Luke Hodge, Kade Simpson, Brendon Goddard, Jarrad McVeigh, Matthew Pavlich, Adam Goodes, Shaun Burgoyne, Jimmy Bartel, Brett Deledio, David Mundy, Shaun Higgins, Shane Edwards, Eddie Betts, Brent Harvey, Robbie Gray, Gary Ablett, Sam Mitchell, Dane Swan, Chris Judd, Scott Pendlebury, Joel Selwood, Travis Boak, Josh Kennedy, Kieran Jake.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qdcTgQE-lxw&t=1s&ab_channel=AFLDraftExpert

26/1/2021 - The list management mistake all 18 AFL clubs make time and time again:
With talls it's about quality over quantity. The less key position players and ruckman on your list the better so as to maximise the quality of your best-22.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mi7S3n0I6iA&ab_channel=AFLDraftExpert

2/2/2021 - 2020-2029 AFL Best 22:
B: Luke Ryan Harris Andrews Jack Lukosius
HB: Andrew McGrath Noah Balta Jordan Ridley
CEN: Hugh McCluggage Matthew Rowell Sam Walsh
HF: Christian Petracca Aaron Naughton Zak Butters
F: Connor Rozee Max King Izak Rankine
FOLL: Brodie Grundy Tom Green Bailey Smith
BENCH: Jy Simpkin Clayton Oliver Jarrod Berry Adam Cerra
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DmL67Y2HTfs&ab_channel=AFLDraftExpert

9/2/2021 - Why Jake Lloyd's production will reduce in 2021:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f9MKgRERMWg&ab_channel=AFLDraftExpert
Risks: Braeden Campbell, Jordan Dawson, Will Gould
16/2/2021 - How to win AFL Fantasy - Interview with 2017+2018 AFL Fantasy winner Moreira's Magic: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DM4Qga9KODw&ab_channel=AFLDraftExpert

23/2/2021 - The AFL Team everyone is disrespecting in season 2021:
Key finding: there is a bottom-10 team every year breaking into the top-4
The team I'm not sleeping on in 2021: Fremantle
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EaW9Z4V_UBQ&ab_channel=AFLDraftExpert

25/2/2021 - AFL Fantasy and Supercoach keepers rankings from the 2020 AFL Draft:
1. Will Phillips
2. Finlay Macrae
3. Tom Powell
4. Elijah Hollands
5. Braeden Campbell
6. Sam Berry
7. Lachlan Jones
8. Heath Chapman
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2YwAuduWn0I&t=934s&ab_channel=AFLDraftExpert

1/3/2021 - Learning Supercoach secrets with Jords Supercoach & AFL over some chess:
Some top tips from Jords:
Captain options recommended: 4
Premium recommendation: take the top priced premiums as durability, reliability and role are built into the price
Mid pricer tip: think about what you want out of the mid-pricer
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-jKzy04Yna8&ab_channel=AFLDraftExpert

3/3/2021 - The only video Supercoach or AFL Fantasy video you'll need to watch on rookies for season 2021:
Recommended rookies: Flynn, Phillips, Powell, Berry, Gulden, Chapman, Jones, Campbell and Macrae.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Ff8nXWvzxc&ab_channel=AFLDraftExpert

10/3/2021 - Why Geelong's list in 2021 is the most OP on paper since their 2007-2010 list:
6 players: Jeremy Cameron, Isaac Smith, Shaun Higgins, Jordan Clark, Tom Atkins and Josh Jenkins
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qQxkfEtLlOs&t=1s&ab_channel=AFLDraftExpert

11/3/2021 - My AFL Fantasy team for 2021 with all round 1 considerations detailed:
Starting with Grundy as captain with Merrett there as the other captain option. No Gawn.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=weSRF3jwTB8&t=703s&ab_channel=AFLDraftExpert

11/3/2021 - My Supercoach team for 2021 with all round 1 considerations detailed:
Starting with Grundy and Merrett as captain options. No Gawn.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fVfX_5-E25A&t=476s&ab_channel=AFLDraftExpert

14/3/2021 - I got the 2020 #1 pick wrong. The real #1 pick in the 2020 AFL Draft should have been…:
Logan McDonald over Jamarra.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hXcBdDJagqY&ab_channel=AFLDraftExpert

15/3/2021 - AFL Team Power Rankings Season 2021:
My pre-season ladder prediction:
1. Geelong
2. Richmond
3. Port Adelaide
4. Brisbane
--
5. St Kilda
6. Western Bulldogs
7. West Coast
--
8. Fremantle
etc
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mZ0nUbHZG78&ab_channel=AFLDraftExpert

15/3/2021 - AFL Rising Star Prediction 2021:
1. Matt Rowell
2. Tom Green
3. Hayden Young
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wt2Dk8fYCqQ&ab_channel=AFLDraftExpert

16/3/2021 - 15 AFL moneyball trade targets I will be tracking in season 2021:
Tom Green
Willem Drew
Jack Sinclair
Tom McDonald
Josh Caddy
Deven Robertson
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t7tlznEb2ss&t=377s&ab_channel=AFLDraftExpert

17/3/2021 - 2021 Supercoach final team reveal. Essential watch to get your rookie structure and selections right:
Def: + 2 bench
Mid: Campbell, Powell, Gulden, Scott + 2 bench
Ruck: + 1 bench
Fwd: Warner + 2 bench
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p7AWaaiYewg&t=144s

17/3/2021 - 2021 AFL Fantasy final team reveal. Essential watch to get rookie structure and selections right:
Def: + 2 bench
Mid: Powell, Gulden + 2 bench
Ruck: Flynn + 1 bench
Fwd: Campbell, Scott + 2 bench
+ 1 extra
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HJ0GzFJ-TsE&t=338s

18/3/2021 - 2021 AFL Real Dream Team final team reveal:
Grundy+Merrett as captain options. Walsh as a unique.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rTrjEdbPlwk&ab_channel=AFLDraftExpert

24/3/2021 - 1000 subscriber special. Best AFL footballers drafted from 2016 to 2020 top-100 rankings:
1. Jack Lukosius
2. Noah Balta
3. Logan McDonald
4. Jamarra Ugle-Hagan
5. Matt Rowell
6. Bailey Smith
7. Sam Walsh
8. Max King
9. Ben King
10. Jy Simpkin
11. Zak Butters
12. Tom Green
13. Aaron Naughton
14. Nick Blakey
15. Charlie Ballard
16. Sam Taylor
17. Oscar Allen
18. Hugh McCluggage
19. Andrew McGrath
20. Tim Taranto
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NkC4QdWYqvg&ab_channel=AFLDraftExpert

30/3/2021 - Supercoach team update and trade ideas ahead of round 3 2021:
Starting team mistakes that need rectification: Dom Tyson, Paddy Dow, Patrick Cripps, Tom Phillips
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r8Zp43vpQ80&ab_channel=AFLDraftExpert

7/4/2021: Mason Cox the biggest beneficiary of the AFL's new man on the mark rules?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KoaiJ0oecL4&ab_channel=AFLDraftExpert

16/4/2021: AFL best 22 under 22 early 2021 edition
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=licjYSe2g8g&ab_channel=AFLDraftExpert

23/4/2021: Was the 2018 AFL Draft a Super Draft? - Podcast:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iiMzgUTzvM0&t=21s&ab_channel=AFLDraftExpert

27/4/2021: AFL Draft preview 2021 - putting my draft skills to the test:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pu_XF3998Ec&t=1s&ab_channel=AFLDraftExpert

6/5/2021: AFL Draft tier list May 2021: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O9BUXWUhIjI

7/5/2021: How to watch junior footy and state league competitions online: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xIGWf5VrB3U

10/5/2021: AFL Mid season draft 2021: The Big Opportunity: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a3kjdSebdXE

27/5/2021: AFL Mid-Season Draft Top 20 Power Rankings and the best players at each position ranked https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mbXbaRVhF2w&t=1851s

1/6/2021: Why Jackson Callow went undrafted and how he exposes an AFL recruiting blind spot: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rM4Wr52xJtM&t=6s

3/6/2021: AFL Mid-Season Draft review with a ...: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UISBcVxsDkA

10/6/2021: 2020 AFL Draft re-done mid 2021: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NhlnSPLpqpc

24/6/2021: My Mid-Season AFL All-Australian team: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UpGcDEiwVXY&t=115s

8/7/2021: The collapse of junior footy in Victoria? Why I’m concerned by the calibre of Victorian prospects coming through. July 2021 AFL Draft Power Rankings Tier List (top-40) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6r3p2UD46U4

22/7/2021: The greatest dynasty since 2000: Brisbane, Geelong, Hawthorn or Richmond?

Most All-Australians: Geelong
Most Premierships: Brisbane/Hawthorn/Richmond
Most Grand Finals: Brisbane/Hawthorn
Home and away wins: Geelong
Home and away percentage: Geelong
Combined best-22 totals: Geelong/Hawthorn

29/7/2021: The real reason why Gold Coast and GWS failed to win a premiership not even AFL clubs understand:

The key numbers and points of discussion:
Of the x12 17 year olds and top-15 picks from 2010-2014 which should have made up a major portion of the club cores:
Gold Coast: 2/25 remain or 8%
GWS: 6/34 remain or 17.6%
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_iQEfRggNFU

5/8/2021: The moneyball style disruptive draft and list management focuses all clubs need to implement now

Those disruptive opportunities:
Opposition talent ID
State league talent ID
Overagers
Mature agers over 25
International recruits
Veteran leaders

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VJyW9YKxH4k
 
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Knightmare

Brownlow Medallist
Sep 22, 2010
18,664
17,668
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Chicago Bulls
July AFL Draft Power Rankings: https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_...daicos-jason-horne-sam-darcy-duke-top-billing


1. Nick Daicos (Collingwood - Father-Son)
Best position: General midfielder/general forward
Height, weight: 183cm, 72kg
Recruited from: Oakleigh Chargers
Projected draft range: 1-2
Plays like: Zach Merrett
June ranking: 1
Rationale: On performance to date Daicos has been the clear standout without a close equal. Averaging 36 disposals and two goals per game, Daicos has starred in every one of his games. He also led the way for the AFL Academy in their match against Geelong's VFL side, with team high disposals, contested possessions, clearances inside 50s, shots on goal and score assists.
Strengths:
Composure in traffic
Decision making under pressure
Draws free kicks from high tackles
Agility
Evasion
Production
Go-to-guy around the ground
Scoreboard impact
Inside-outside midfield balance
Versatility to impact games both through the midfield and up forward
Stoppage work
Contested ball winning
Consistency
AFL ready-to-go game
Weaknesses:
Application defensively

2. Jason Horne
Best position:
Inside midfield/general forward
Height, weight: 184cm, 78kg
Recruited from: South Adelaide
Projected draft range: 1-3
Plays like: Jarryd Lyons
June ranking: 2
Rationale: Remains a solid #2 at this point on performance and has displayed both consistency and gradual improvement in the SANFL. His pressure and application defensively has been a staple to his play.
Strengths:
Consistency of application defensively
Pressure applied to the ball carrier
Strong tackler
Aerial marking
Contested marking
Takes on the game with his run
Evasion
Impact per possession
Damaging ball user
One-touch ground ball winner
Contested ball winning
Proven against senior state league opposition
Versatility to impact games both through the midfield and up forward
Scoreboard impact
AFL ready-to-go game
Weaknesses:
Consistency from game to game
Consistency of impact offensively

3. Sam Darcy (Western Bulldogs - Father-Son)
Best position: Key forward
Height, weight: 204cm, 75kg
Recruited from: Oakleigh Chargers
Projected draft range: 1-5
Plays like: Max King
June ranking: 5
Rationale: On the back of his dominant Under-19 trial match, Darcy forces his way into the top-3 and enters the pick one discussion. With more games like that, Darcy can push his way higher up this draft board, though will need a larger sample size of dominance to do so. In a draft lacking in the way of premier talls, Darcy is by far and away the standard of excellence.
Strengths:
Rate of improvement
One grab contested marking
Long reach and takes marks fully extended
Attack on the ball aerially
Early reading of the drop of the ball
Protects the drop zone
Versatility to impact games as a key forward, key defender and through the ruck
Agility
One-touch at ground level
Instinctive finisher around goal
Speed to create separation on the lead
Weaknesses:
Endurance
Repeat speed/repeat efforts
Strength
Will require time to develop before he can impact AFL games regularly

4. Matthew Roberts
Best position:
General midfield/general forward
Height, weight: 183cm, 81kg
Recruited from: South Adelaide
Projected draft range: 3-10
Plays like: Dayne Beams
June ranking: 4
Rationale: Last playing in May, Roberts has missed time with an ankle injury. Despite Sam Darcy's rise, Roberts has been able to hold his spot due to the inconsistent play of Tyler Sonsie. Roberts has been one of this year's most consistent performers and is one of the premier ball winners and most influential both through the midfield and up forward in this draft.
Strengths:
One-touch below the knees
Endurance
Work rate
Spread from the contest
Contested ball winning
Clean hands in traffic
Distribution by hand
Damaging and penetrating left foot kick
Places kicks out in front of forwards to lead onto
Overhead marking
Inside-outside midfield balance
Versatility to impact games both through the midfield and up forward
Scoreboard impact
Strong tackler
AFL ready-to-go game
Weaknesses:
Prone to rushing under pressure and bombing long by foot
Would benefit from lowering his eyes more and looking to hit up shorter targets more often

5. Josh Rachele
Best position:
General forward/general midfield
Height, weight: 180cm, 78kg
Recruited from: Murray Bushranges
Projected draft range: 5-15
Plays like: Alan Didak
June ranking: 6
Rationale: Despite the rise of Sam Darcy and Ben Hobbs, Rachele who is this draft's premier kick moves up one spot on the back of his performance against Bendigo. What was special about his performance against Bendigo was when injected into centre bounces in the third quarter, stoppage after stoppage he won first possession and was unstoppable. Having those capabilities in addition to the damage he does forward of centre with ball in hand makes him one of this draft's most exciting dual position threats.
Strengths:
Best in class level precision kick
Kicks placed out in front of targets to lead onto
Scoreboard impact
First possession winning at stoppages
Explosive speed
Agility
Forward pressure
Tackling
Aerial marking threat
Overhead marking
Ground level craft
Versatility to impact games both as a forward and through the midfield
AFL ready-to-go game
Weaknesses:
Finds little easy outside ball
Endurance
Consistency

6. Ben Hobbs
Best position:
Inside midfield
Height, weight: 183cm, 80kg
Recruited from: Greater Western Victoria
Projected draft range: 3-10
Plays like: Jacob Hopper
June ranking: Outside top-20
Rationale: With only one full game early in the season before missing an extended stretch of time with injury, Hobbs has stepped up several gears. Appearing like a strong bodied, aggressive ball winning midfielder, Hobbs against Murray and again in the first trial match against Vic Metro has demonstrated in recent weeks a level of diversity to his game that wasn't apparent in his round two match against Geelong Falcons, leading to his sharp move up this draft board. Scoreboard impact and outside accumulation capabilities weren't apparent earlier in the year but have been unexpected strengths since his return, helping his standing in this year's pool.
Strengths:
First possession winner at stoppages
Contested ball winning
Tackling
Distribution by hand
Scoreboard impact
Outside accumulation and involvement around the ground
Versatility to push forward as part of a large midfield rotation as required
Reading of the ball in flight
Overhead marking
Production
AFL ready-to-go game
Weaknesses:
Rarely wins the ball at speed which leads to limited time and space in congestion
Speed
Athleticism

7. Finn Callaghan
Best position:
Inside midfield
Height, weight: 189cm, 82kg
Recruited from: Sandringham Dragons
Projected draft range: 3-10
Plays like: Jared Polec
June ranking: 11
Rationale: Callaghan's appeal has risen consistently since his move to play inside midfield. What makes Callaghan special and why he will be appearing in a lot of top-5s at this stage is his work in traffic. He possesses the time and space in traffic of a Scott Pendlebury, yet a burst of speed and dynamic movement on the move more like a Marcus Bontempelli. Callaghan is an upside pick a club may speculate on inside the top-5, though with questions around his aggression and how hard he is willing to go to either win the football or tackle showing up in his recent game against Eastern, there are a few others who look like safer selections at this stage.
Strengths:
Rare time, space and composure in traffic
Evasion
Agility
Sidestep
Speed
Takes on the game at speed with ball in hand
Hits contests at speed and times his moves well to receive on the burst
Work rate
Endurance
Overlap run
Class and composure under pressure to hit his targets by hand or foot
Skill execution by hand and foot targets
Versatility to play inside or outside midfield
Weaknesses:
Contested ball winning
Tackling
Lack of aggression

8. Josh Sinn
Best position:
General defence
Height, weight: 186cm, 72kg
Recruited from: Sandringham Dragons
Projected draft range: 3-15
Plays like: Lachie Ash
June ranking: 7
Rationale: Returning from an early season hamstring injury to face off against Oakleigh, Sinn reminded recruiters how eye-popping his run with ball in hand is. If Sinn can improve his consistency by foot over medium and long distances and win more of his own ball, he has the scope to push higher up this draft board. Sinn drops one spot due to the rise of Sam Darcy and Ben Hobbs.
Strengths:
Agility to stop on a dime, then accelerate in another direction, wrong-footing opponents and burst past them at speed
Speed
Breaks the lines with ball in hand at a high frequency
Versatility to impact games both through the midfield and in defence
Reliable short kick to target
Kick placement out in front of inside-50m targets to lead onto
Weaknesses:
Production
Contested ball winning
Inconsistency by foot over medium and long distance
Consistency

9. Tyler Sonsie
Best position:
General midfield/general forward
Height, weight: 181cm, 76kg
Recruited from: Eastern Ranges
Projected draft range: 3-15
Plays like: Nick Dal Santo
June ranking: 3
Rationale: Sonsie has been among the most erratic performers to open the season with some big games headlined by his 24 disposals and two goals in his VFL match for Box Hill, and then he has had his poor games where he has found little of the ball and had no meaningful influence. His poor performance against Sandringham is his latest below expectation performance with positive moments few and far between before he left the game late with bone bruising to his knee. With Sonsie's inconsistency and the stark difference between his best and worst games, he has been forced down draft boards in favour of others.
Strengths:
Placement of kicks out in front of targets inside 50m to lead up onto
Composure with ball in hand
Decision making under pressure
Burst of acceleration
Line-breaking run
Contested ball winning
Offensively damaging enough to break games open in a matter of minutes
Versatility to impact games both through the midfield and up forward
Inside-outside midfield balance
Scoreboard impact
Weaknesses:
Difference between his best and worst games
Invisible in his worst games
Not a four quarter performer

10. Connor MacDonald
Best position:
Balanced midfield/general forward
Height, weight: 184cm, 77kg
Recruited from: Dandenong Stingrays
Projected draft range: 10-40
Plays like: Luke Parker
June ranking: 8
Rationale: A goalkicking midfielder, MacDonald has been prolific and consistent in the games he has appeared for Dandenong early in the season before school football commitments began. The only reason for MacDonald dropping two spots is the rise of Sam Darcy and Ben Hobbs.
Strengths:
Contested ball winning
Tackling
Scoreboard impact
Work rate
Reliable skills
Aerial marking
Acceleration
Work rate
Endurance
Inside/outside midfield balance
Able to impact games both through the midfield and up forward
Consistency
Production
Weaknesses:
Impact per possession

11. Josh Ward
Best position:
Balanced midfielder
Height, weight: 181cm, 74kg
Recruited from: Northern Knights
Projected draft range: 5-25
Plays like: Marc Murphy
June ranking: Outside top-20
Rationale: On the back of firstly a 34-disposal performance where he broke even with Nick Daicos and a team best performance for Vic Metro in the first trial match against Vic Country, Ward has announced himself as one of this draft's most desirable. He has shot his way into first round calculations and is working his way into the conversation with this year's best Victorians.
Strengths:
Skills
Placement of kicks out in front of targets inside 50m to leadup onto
Lowers his eyes for kicks inside 50m
Vision
Decision making under pressure
Composure
Finishing around goal
Agility
Run and carry
Speed
Inside/outside midfield balanced
Works hard both ways
Rises to the big occasion
Weaknesses:
Able but only moderate volume contested ball winner
Strength

12. Bodhi Uwland (Gold Coast - Academy)
Best position: Inside midfield/general defence
Height, weight: 185cm, 84kg
Recruited from: Gold Coast
Projected draft range: 20-60
Plays like: Luke Hodge
June ranking: 9
Rationale: Uwland earned his way onto this draft board through his striking play in his NAB League match against both Dandenong and Brisbane. With the way he impacts games, with his damaging and penetrating kick, contested ball winning and how he bursts through stoppages and shrugs tackles so easily, there is sizable scope to develop. In more recent weeks after starting the season with Gold Coast's VFL side, he has earned more VFL opportunities and has shown improvement. Uwland only drops three spots due to the rising stocks of Sam Darcy, Ben Hobbs and Josh Ward. At this stage Uwland is not as highly regarded in clubland as he features on this draft board, but with further performances like his two NAB League games and that could change in a hurry as he gets in front of more sets of eyes.
Strengths:
Penetrating and damaging but reliable kick
Kicks placed out to the advantage side for teammates to lead onto
Decision making with ball in hand
Vision
Contested ball winning
Powerful shrugging of tackles
Aggression
Physical edge
Evasion
Agility
Acceleration
Leap
Versatility to impact games either through the midfield, defence or across half-forward
Weaknesses:
Endurance
Work rate

13. Hugh Jackson
Best position:
Outside midfield
Height, weight: 180cm, 69kg
Recruited from: North Adelaide
Projected draft range: 10-30
Plays like: Andrew Gaff
June ranking: 10
Rationale: With Jackson's consistent and prolific SANFL Under-18s play, he remains firmly inside the top-15 on this draft board and only drops three spots due to the rise of others. Jackson has been a high production and classy accumulator throughout the year, averaging 33 disposals per game. In more recent weeks Jackson has started hitting the scoreboard more with three goals against West Adelaide in round 11 his first week with multiple goals.
Strengths:
Production
Classy and reliable ball user
Placement of kicks inside-50m out in front of targets to lead onto
Run with ball in hand
Work rate
Endurance
Consistency
One-touch at ground level
Reading of the ball off hands
Weaknesses:
Strength

14. Arlo Draper
Best position:
Inside midfield/general forward
Height, weight: 185cm, 71kg
Recruited from: South Adelaide
Projected draft range: 5-25
Plays like: James Harmes
June ranking: Outside top-20
Rationale: On the back of a strong month of midfield play splitting his time between the SANFL Under-18s and Reserves, Draper has earned his way into the top-20. What's immediately striking with Draper is while his frame is light, he's one of South Australia's premier contested ball winners and stoppage players. The bonus is that he's a dual position threat with his capabilities forward of centre. Draper's 10 goals from his eight Under-18 matches greatly add to the appeal. Draper will miss some time with an ankle injury, but his stocks are unlikely to be impacted as someone who has proven himself over a long period of time.
Strengths:
Contested ball winning
Tackling
Stoppage craft
Composure in traffic
Clean hands
Lowers his eyes for kicks inside 50m
Overhead marking
Contested marking
Agility
Evasion
Acceleration
Takes on the game with his run
Influential both through the midfield and up forward
Scoreboard impact
Weaknesses:
Strength
Lack of outside accumulation
Inconsistent kick placement

15. Joshua Browne
Best position:
Inside midfielder
Height, weight: 185cm, 77kg
Recruited from: East Fremantle
Projected draft range: 15-45
Plays like: Tom Mitchell
June ranking: Outside top-20
Rationale: Browne has been consistent throughout the season so far in the WAFL Colts averaging 33 disposals in his first eight matches and has impressed as a first possession winner at stoppages who plays a mostly balanced and well-rounded game. What has moved the needle with Browne to work his way into the top-20 is the scoreboard impact component he is adding to his game, with three goals from six scoring shots against Perth hopefully a sign of things to come from the ball magnet.
Strengths:
Contested ball winning
Awareness and composure in traffic
Endurance
Work rate
Inside/outside balance
Tackling
Aggression
Consistency
Reading of the drop of the ball
Plays hard both ways
Weaknesses:
Impact per possession
Lack of hurt factor by foot
Speed

16. Matthew Johnson
Best position:
Inside midfield
Height, weight: 192cm, 80kg
Recruited from: Subiaco
Projected draft range: 10-30
Plays like: Will Setterfield
June ranking: 12
Rationale: After a three-game stint playing in the WAFL at League level, Johnson has returned to the WAFL Colts. His best performance so far has been a 30-disposal effort against Perth, though with others improving and Johnson not taking the next step with his football this year, others have improved past him which has led to his drop. As a tall midfielder though there remains plenty of interest based around how classy of an operator he is and what his upside could look like if realised.
Strengths:
Composure
Class and sound decision making with ball in hand
Evasion in traffic
Agility
Reliable ball user who displays vision on his kicks
Places kicks out in front of leading targets inside-50m to lead onto
Weaknesses:
Production
Consistency

17. Neil Erasmus
Best position:
Utility
Height, weight: 188cm, 80kg
Recruited from: Subiaco
Projected draft range: 10-25
Plays like: Kyle Langford
June ranking: 13
Rationale: An improver this year, Erasmus in each of his games this year has been a reliable performer through the midfield and up on a wing, yet to drop below 27 disposals in the WAFL Colts. Erasmus drops due to no fault of his own other than the improvement and strong play of others.
Strengths:
Early ball reader in flight who consistently gets to the drop of the ball
Intercepting marking
Strong overhead mark
Aerial marking
Leap
Big game performer
Versatility to play inside/outside midfield or as a forward
Scoreboard impact
Consistency
Rate of improvement
Weaknesses:
Consistency by foot
Stoppage work

18. Ned Long
Best position:
Inside midfield/general forward
Height, weight: 192cm, 88kg
Recruited from: Northern Knights
Projected draft range: 30-late
Plays like: Taylor Garner
June ranking: 14
Rationale: Impressing early in the season through the midfield and up forward, Long is not only able as a tall ball winning midfielder, but he's also a threat up forward kicking seven goals in from his three NAB League matches so far. Having played school football since, Long's drop can be attributed to the improvement shown by others.
Strengths:
Scoreboard impact
Versatility to impact games both as a forward and ball winning midfielder
Contested ball winning
Tackling
Marking threat forward of centre
Reliable skills
Places kicks out in front of leading targets inside-50m to lead onto
Weaknesses:
Speed
Agility
Endurance
Low impact per possession

19. Josh Fahey
Best position:
General defence
Height, weight: 186cm, 77kg
Recruited from: GWS Giants
Projected draft range: 10-30
Plays like: Trent McKenzie
June ranking: 15
Rationale: A kickout specialist who generates meaningful drive with his precision, long kick is among this year's premier rebounding defenders at this point. The standout game so far from Fahey was his MCC President's Medal winning performance for AFL Academy in their 130-point loss to Geelong's VFL side which remains in the minds of recruiters. On Saturday night Fahey played his third VFL game for Greater Western Sydney's VFL side. Fahey's drop can be attributed to the improvement shown by others.
Strengths:
Precise 65m penetration on kick
Drive generation out of defence by foot
Kickout candidate
Handball receive candidate in defence
Run in support and overlap run
One-on-one defence
Reading of the ball in flight
While best suited up the field has the versatility to push up onto a wing as required
Weaknesses:
Contested ball winning

20. Mac Andrew (Melbourne Next-Generation Academy)
Best position: Ruck
Height, weight: 200cm, 70kg
Recruited from: Dandenong Stingrays
Projected draft range: 10-30
Plays like: Paddy Ryder
June ranking: 16
Rationale: Andrew is a light bodied ruckman and long-term project player who is likely to spend his early years developing as a key position player while he adds muscle to his light frame. With an incredible leap and soft hands, the hope is over time he becomes a threat through the ruck. Signs from the AFL Academy game when thrown into the ruck in the final quarter caught the eye and earned him a spot on this board. The only reason for Andrew's drop is the rise of others.
Strengths:
Leap
Soft hands through ruck
Hitouts to advantage
Clean below the knees
Tackling
Mobile
Clean by hand and foot
Reading of the ball in flight
Contested marking
Weaknesses:
Strength
Too light at this stage to play through the ruck and will need to start out his development as a key position player
Endurance
 
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Knightmare

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briztoon

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First piece for the year with ESPN:
Season preview:

Every AFL club's best draftee, breakout prospect and rebound contender: https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_...t-draftee-breakout-prospect-rebound-contender
In regards to Brisbane.

While Blake and Keidean share some attributes, that don’t play the same way. Blake is a genuine small forward/forward pocket. Keidean is much better playing up the ground as a flanker and delivering the ball in to the forward 50.

Don’t be surprised if Harry Sharp actually plays first. He’s been mightily impressive on the wing. The club is definitely taking it slow with Sharp, as he’s finishing year 12, but he’s been the clear standout draftee during the preseason.

With Rayner going down for the season, I wouldn’t be surprised if Dev Robinson grabs a midfield spot by the middle of the season.
 

Knightmare

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In regards to Brisbane.

While Blake and Keidean share some attributes, that don’t play the same way. Blake is a genuine small forward/forward pocket. Keidean is much better playing up the ground as a flanker and delivering the ball in to the forward 50.

Don’t be surprised if Harry Sharp actually plays first. He’s been mightily impressive on the wing. The club is definitely taking it slow with Sharp, as he’s finishing year 12, but he’s been the clear standout draftee during the preseason.

With Rayner going down for the season, I wouldn’t be surprised if Dev Robinson grabs a midfield spot by the middle of the season.
It would be great if Dev gets a regular shot for Brisbane. He's underutilised and was ready-to-go last year. He can contribute well once introduced. For mine he just needs that run of games to become a piece. Do you believe he breaks in round 1? Not appearing against Gold Coast, it felt like to me he's further back in calculations. I would have liked to have seen him v Gold Coast to see where he is at, how much he may/may not have improved and to see a commitment to him as a prospect more broadly as someone with in my opinion at least a great deal of scope to improve. Spuds don't win Larke Medals ahead of the likes of Rowell/Anderson/Green/Serong/Young/Ash/Jackson etc.

Keidean I prefer closer to goal because he brings that forward pressure and with all that energy he provides, having the ground level craft and awareness around goal. You're right though that he can deliver i50 so he can do either and does at this stage have the greater ability when playing higher. I find as that guy delivering i50 that Zorko is my preferred guy across half-forward if I was to say there is one guy I want the ball in the hands of doing that predominantly, albeit he's still great rotating through the midfield also for stints.

Sharp had some moments v Gold Coast, and his training no doubt would be through the roof given his athletic capabilities. I can't say having watched his junior play even at that level his skills are remotely close to sound enough, so he'll need a few years to develop that to a consistent enough level. A great first step though and a nice reward for the hard work he has been putting in to get an opportunity to appear.
 

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Knightmare

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How is Isiah Dudley tracking? Seems to have fallen off the radar after 15s and 16s.
I've only seen the one (school) footy game of him that I can think of.

He's an NGA for Adelaide.

Short and sub 170cm. What he has is wheels and he brings good forward pressure. So he'll need to keep developing his forward craft and keep building his game around that.

Rate of improvement and performance this year will be what determines whether he gets drafted, and if so, how high.

If you're sub 170cm, it's unrealistic to go early when then were recruiters in 2014 were saying of Caleb Daniel who was around the same height that he won't make it and that they wouldn't draft him. A good outcome for Dudley would be selection in the 3rd round.

We'll have to see all the talent this year and to see how they all fit against one another.
 

Knightmare

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Well that's an early call.
I'm happy to be the first to call it.

It was a 1a/1b scenario last year for me, and I believe I was the only one saying that, but this is the first time I'm feeling like Jamarra isn't that #1.

The Victorian's broadly, and I was probably more conservative than any judge going into last year's draft with Victorian talent, but I have so many of their stocks in my own mind dropping from where I had them last year. The lack of a season has hurt their development and readiness even more than expected.
 

ummmbont

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Lock it in Ugle Hagen will win rising star
Spoke to a lot at the dogs there playing him down sooo bad it’s crazy 😜

Will play from round 4 and dominate 22 goals put your house on it
 

Knightmare

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Lock it in Ugle Hagen will win rising star
Spoke to a lot at the dogs there playing him down sooo bad it’s crazy 😜

Will play from round 4 and dominate 22 goals put your house on it
If Rowell is winning Gold Coast's B+F, is Ugle-Hagan winning the Dogs' B+F and the Coleman at the same time?
 

Knightmare

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2021 Supercoach final team reveal. Essential watch to get your rookie structure and selections right:
 

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