Media Predictions from Crystal Ball: Our predictions for the 2022 AFL season are in
Highest we were rated was 4th to bottom by 2 people, rest ranked us lower. If we finish 5th to bottom or higher that will mean every media person in this sample ranked us lower than where we finished up. In a sensible world, an accurate media should be distributed around our likely finishing position, a few above, a few below. In this case we need to finish second or third to bottom for that to be the case. I find that really, really, hard to believe. If we don't then we can pretty much see there is a systematic under-rating of us by the media, perhaps even a bias against us!??
If anyone else finds any other media ladder predictions, chuck them in can ya, I'd like a bigger sample.
I might just rant on a bit more, I am staggered at this rating of us. Look at the positives for us, we only lost 1 player who contributed in any decent way last year and that's Lynch. We're a young side but we've already bottomed out in terms of experience, it only goes up from here for us. We finished 5th from bottom with our super inexperienced side last year, the only way we don't improve on that is with mega injuries. We've now got our coaches plan getting soundly bedded in in its 3rd year. We've got one of the best fitness guys in the comp working with us. We've got two good high draft picks in the team now. Weve essentially gained two all Australians (Crouch and Dawson) and added another mature player in Milera to an inexperienced squad. We've got some exciting prospects in the twos like Gollant, Cook and Soligo knocking on the door, hardly had that at all last year. Unlike last year, we now have a viable second ruck option and can rest ROB if he gets sore and his performance drops away which has been an achilles heel for us. Anyway, I look forward to a lot of media salt and surprise if we sit just in touch with the logjam of teams vying for 8th this year, which I think its possible for us to do.
Highest we were rated was 4th to bottom by 2 people, rest ranked us lower. If we finish 5th to bottom or higher that will mean every media person in this sample ranked us lower than where we finished up. In a sensible world, an accurate media should be distributed around our likely finishing position, a few above, a few below. In this case we need to finish second or third to bottom for that to be the case. I find that really, really, hard to believe. If we don't then we can pretty much see there is a systematic under-rating of us by the media, perhaps even a bias against us!??
If anyone else finds any other media ladder predictions, chuck them in can ya, I'd like a bigger sample.
I might just rant on a bit more, I am staggered at this rating of us. Look at the positives for us, we only lost 1 player who contributed in any decent way last year and that's Lynch. We're a young side but we've already bottomed out in terms of experience, it only goes up from here for us. We finished 5th from bottom with our super inexperienced side last year, the only way we don't improve on that is with mega injuries. We've now got our coaches plan getting soundly bedded in in its 3rd year. We've got one of the best fitness guys in the comp working with us. We've got two good high draft picks in the team now. Weve essentially gained two all Australians (Crouch and Dawson) and added another mature player in Milera to an inexperienced squad. We've got some exciting prospects in the twos like Gollant, Cook and Soligo knocking on the door, hardly had that at all last year. Unlike last year, we now have a viable second ruck option and can rest ROB if he gets sore and his performance drops away which has been an achilles heel for us. Anyway, I look forward to a lot of media salt and surprise if we sit just in touch with the logjam of teams vying for 8th this year, which I think its possible for us to do.
