Prediction Ladder Predictor

[FromTheBoundaryLine]

I’ve run the data through my PollyAnnalysis software and have us beating Adelaide and Melbourne, finishing 2nd in the H&A then going on to win the GF

 

[Harry O]

With Freo losing we can’t miss the 8 now

 

[Kappa]

With Freo losing we can’t miss the 8 now

We mathematically could if we lost both games by over 100 points and ever other result went perfectly

 

[PiCkLeJuiCe]

With Freo losing we can’t miss the 8 now

Yep - very, very unlikely now.

Lose today, and our top 4 hopes are just as unlikely.

 

[magpiemaniac44]

If we lose one, we need either the Suns to drop one (most likely today) and some percentage or the Hawks to knock of Brisbane next week without leapfrogging our percentage.

 

[MightyPies2010]

So a giants win is best for us today?

 

[stormskye]

So a giants win is best for us today?

The suns are basically sitting 4th so yes

 

[PiCkLeJuiCe]

So a giants win is best for us today?

Suns have 8 guaranteed points.

Port and Essendon.

Sadly for us, they probably also have an additional 8-9% because of these two games

 

[timokane]

gws won by 6 goals breaths some life back into pies bid for top 2 with a win tonight keeps suns at bays only got port next week to go at ao.

 

[Carringbush2010]

Yep - very, very unlikely now.

Lose today, and our top 4 hopes are just as unlikely.

Then hope is gone altogether.

 

[No SPIN]

Suns have 8 guaranteed points.

Port and Essendon.

Sadly for us, they probably also have an additional 8-9% because of these two games

To gain 9% they have to win by a combined total of 150 points - not sure that’s a given.

 

[Harry O]

Suns have 8 guaranteed points.

Port and Essendon.

Sadly for us, they probably also have an additional 8-9% because of these two games

Port game is Ken and Boak’s last game Reckon they might test the Suns.

 

[Harry O]

The percentage swing for Hawthorn and Collingwood last week could end up deciding the top 4

 

[mocamagic]

Port game is Ken and Boak’s last game Reckon they might test the Suns.

Port are a chance in that fixture. Suns don't fare well at Adelaide Oval.

 

[PiCkLeJuiCe]

Goodbye Top 4

 

[Kes1984]

Goodbye Top 4

Almost impossible now.

We need Brisbane to beat Hawthorn.

And need Gold Coast to lose one of their games. Port and Essendon. And with a drop in percentage.

We need to beat Melbourne. With a boost to percentage.

 

[Masked Magician]

Almost impossible now.

We need Brisbane to beat Hawthorn.

And need Gold Coast to lose one of their games. Port and Essendon. And with a drop in percentage.

We need to beat Melbourne. With a boost to percentage.

If hawthron beat Brisbane by less than we beat Melbourne we jump Brisbane… and cannot be dislodged regardless of Gold Coast

 

[Pies_10]

Can finish 4th with gold cost winning both but it'll come down to less than one percentage point.
Must win big Friday night, but we don't score anymore so that'll be hard

 

[SuperSub17]

As it stands now, Gold Coast need 32 points unopposed to pass our %.

We need to beat Melbourne by 60+. Give them a target of 100 points across their two games with a fired up Port first.

Or failing that, barrack for the Hawks like 2019

 

[mocamagic]

If we win we finish ahead of whoever loses out of Brisbane hawthorn

 

[Masked Magician]

If we win we finish ahead of whoever loses out of Brisbane hawthorn

If it’s Brisbane that win that game, we’d need to have a better % than GC if GC win both of their games to stay in the 4

 

[mocamagic]

If it’s Brisbane that win that game, we’d need to have a better % than GC if GC win both of their games to stay in the 4

Yes

 

[danielnajdek]

The fact we are going to be going for Hawthorn to beat Brisbane in a close game makes me sick. We royally ****ed up top 4.

 

[Frankie23]

It’s simple - beat Melbourne by more than Hawthorn beat Brisbane and we are top 4

Also Friday will be fun, one eye on Ken and Boaks last game, If Port beat GC and we beat Melbourne, should also see us finish top 4

 

[swoop42]

If Brisbane beat Hawthorn it leaves us with only one avenue to finish 4th and that's maintaining a percentage advantage over GC (assuming they win their 2 remaining games and we beat Melbourne).

If Hawthorn win that opens up a secondary avenue so a finish as high as 3rd is possible.

In both scenarios the risk of slipping to 5th on percentage is still a possibility.