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We just have to find a way to finish top 4.

If we finish 4th, then we are back in the game, with a pathway to an MCG prelim either way (by beating Adelaide or losing and making it through against Geelong (most likely).
I reckon there was a season Hawks beat Eagles away in last round to get us in 8 or top 4
 
Would be pretty funny if the crows lost to north in Melbourne and we ended up with 4th spot and playing geelong. Would annoy the living crap out of AFL they miss out on a ratings blockbuster.
 

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Anyone who thinks we will finish higher than GC on percentage is a ****ing cooker. Essendon are so ****ing useless they will do it all in that game.... Unless port pull off a miracle.

Actually thought Essendon were doing ok tonight.

Remember GC will be coming off a 5 day break after travelling to Adelaide.

End of the day, we need to help ourselves first by beating Melbourne by 10+ goals.
 
Does anybody seriously think we will comfortably beat Melbourne?
When did that last happen?
We kicked 9 goals last week and have a shortened break.
I’m expecting a 10 point win at best sadly.
Stuffed up the Freo game…
Anyway 🤞
Getting 70 I50’s last week was a resounding positive- we smash them if we get close to that against Melb, given their backline is nowhere the quality of Adel.
 
My latest crack at it has us finishing 5th and playing Hawthorn in first week of Finals but that's based on Brisbane beating Hawks this weekend, which looks a coin-toss given Brisbane's injury list.


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My latest crack at it has us finishing 5th and playing Hawthorn in first week of Finals but that's based on Brisbane beating Hawks this weekend, which looks a coin-toss given Brisbane's injury list.


View attachment 2402649
Yep. You've nailed it. This is what will happen unfortunately for us but you never know Brisbane won it from 5th? Would have to be a big turnaround based on recent form.
 
This is assuming the losing teams score around 60 points, which is probably reasonable. The equation only alters by a point or two if someone scores a bit more or less than that.

Pies winning marginGC combined margin required to overtake
1054
2065
3075
4086
5097
60108
70118
80129
90140
Very clever thanks.
 

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