FromTheBoundaryLine
Club Legend
- Jun 7, 2022
- 1,527
- 3,710
- AFL Club
- Collingwood
I’ve run the data through my PollyAnnalysis software and have us beating Adelaide and Melbourne, finishing 2nd in the H&A then going on to win the GF
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Prediction Ladder Predictor
- Thread starter Stoods
- Start date
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We mathematically could if we lost both games by over 100 points and ever other result went perfectly
PiCkLeJuiCe
Club Legend
- Nov 12, 2024
- 2,638
- 2,972
- AFL Club
- Collingwood
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- Aug 19, 2020
- 2,695
- 2,729
- AFL Club
- Collingwood
- Other Teams
- San Antonio, Melbourne Stars
If we lose one, we need either the Suns to drop one (most likely today) and some percentage or the Hawks to knock of Brisbane next week without leapfrogging our percentage.
MightyPies2010
Team Captain
So a giants win is best for us today?
The suns are basically sitting 4th so yes
PiCkLeJuiCe
Club Legend
- Nov 12, 2024
- 2,638
- 2,972
- AFL Club
- Collingwood
Suns have 8 guaranteed points.
Port and Essendon.
Sadly for us, they probably also have an additional 8-9% because of these two games
Then hope is gone altogether.
- Aug 21, 2009
- 7,625
- 10,554
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- Collingwood
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- Liverpool
Port game is Ken and Boak’s last game Reckon they might test the Suns.
Port are a chance in that fixture. Suns don't fare well at Adelaide Oval.
PiCkLeJuiCe
Club Legend
- Nov 12, 2024
- 2,638
- 2,972
- AFL Club
- Collingwood
Goodbye Top 4
Almost impossible now.
We need Brisbane to beat Hawthorn.
And need Gold Coast to lose one of their games. Port and Essendon. And with a drop in percentage.
We need to beat Melbourne. With a boost to percentage.
- Oct 1, 2012
- 2,189
- 3,254
- AFL Club
- Collingwood
If hawthron beat Brisbane by less than we beat Melbourne we jump Brisbane… and cannot be dislodged regardless of Gold Coast
Can finish 4th with gold cost winning both but it'll come down to less than one percentage point.
Must win big Friday night, but we don't score anymore so that'll be hard
Must win big Friday night, but we don't score anymore so that'll be hard
As it stands now, Gold Coast need 32 points unopposed to pass our %.
We need to beat Melbourne by 60+. Give them a target of 100 points across their two games with a fired up Port first.
Or failing that, barrack for the Hawks like 2019
We need to beat Melbourne by 60+. Give them a target of 100 points across their two games with a fired up Port first.
Or failing that, barrack for the Hawks like 2019
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- Oct 1, 2012
- 2,189
- 3,254
- AFL Club
- Collingwood
If it’s Brisbane that win that game, we’d need to have a better % than GC if GC win both of their games to stay in the 4
- Aug 17, 2009
- 30,648
- 28,197
- AFL Club
- Collingwood
- Other Teams
- Phila 76ers , Phila Eagles , Man U
The fact we are going to be going for Hawthorn to beat Brisbane in a close game makes me sick. We royally ****ed up top 4.
It’s simple - beat Melbourne by more than Hawthorn beat Brisbane and we are top 4
Also Friday will be fun, one eye on Ken and Boaks last game, If Port beat GC and we beat Melbourne, should also see us finish top 4
Also Friday will be fun, one eye on Ken and Boaks last game, If Port beat GC and we beat Melbourne, should also see us finish top 4
If Brisbane beat Hawthorn it leaves us with only one avenue to finish 4th and that's maintaining a percentage advantage over GC (assuming they win their 2 remaining games and we beat Melbourne).
If Hawthorn win that opens up a secondary avenue so a finish as high as 3rd is possible.
In both scenarios the risk of slipping to 5th on percentage is still a possibility.
If Hawthorn win that opens up a secondary avenue so a finish as high as 3rd is possible.
In both scenarios the risk of slipping to 5th on percentage is still a possibility.
