Ladder Predictor

[DeZi]

1- West Coast
2- Geelong
3- Hawthorn
4- Bulldogs
5- Adelaide
6- Port Adelaide
7- Collingwood
8- Essendon

LoL mate that must the worst ladder predictor I have ever seen...seriously

 

[piesnz]

this is the ladder i ended up with.

1 Geelong 22 17 5 0 2448 1756 68 139.4 4 Collingwood 22 16 6 0 2148 1966 64 109.2 2 West Coast 22 15 7 0 2138 1798 60 118.9 3 Hawthorn 22 14 8 0 2144 1873 56 114.4 10 Sydney 22 13 9 0 2037 1772 52 114.9 6 Adelaide 22 13 9 0 1995 1781 52 112.0 9 Port Adel 22 13 9 0 2158 2162 52 99.8 12 St Kilda 22 12 10 0 1977 1954 48 101.1 7 W Bulldogs 22 11 11 0 2217 2270 44 97.6 8 Essendon 22 11 11 0 2185 2242 44 97.4 5 Kangaroos 22 11 11 0 2074 2143 44 96.7 11 Fremantle 22 10 12 0 2189 2173 40 100.7 13 Bris Lions 22 8 13 1 1936 2070 34 93.5 14 Carlton 22 6 16 0 2178 2679 24 81.2 15 Melbourne 22 4 18 0 1919 2337 16 82.1 16 Richmond 22 1 20 1 1815 2582 6 70.2


that first week of finals would be amazing. one question though, doesnt the afl have a contract that if theres 2 games in melbourne first week, one has to be at telstra dome? that would be a problem, either coll'wood eagles game or cats-hawks at dome. both of these would draw around 80k youd think.

 

[Fastback]

this is the ladder i ended up with.

1 Geelong 22 17 5 0 2448 1756 68 139.4 4 Collingwood 22 16 6 0 2148 1966 64 109.2 2 West Coast 22 15 7 0 2138 1798 60 118.9 3 Hawthorn 22 14 8 0 2144 1873 56 114.4 10 Sydney 22 13 9 0 2037 1772 52 114.9 6 Adelaide 22 13 9 0 1995 1781 52 112.0 9 Port Adel 22 13 9 0 2158 2162 52 99.8 12 St Kilda 22 12 10 0 1977 1954 48 101.1 7 W Bulldogs 22 11 11 0 2217 2270 44 97.6 8 Essendon 22 11 11 0 2185 2242 44 97.4 5 Kangaroos 22 11 11 0 2074 2143 44 96.7 11 Fremantle 22 10 12 0 2189 2173 40 100.7 13 Bris Lions 22 8 13 1 1936 2070 34 93.5 14 Carlton 22 6 16 0 2178 2679 24 81.2 15 Melbourne 22 4 18 0 1919 2337 16 82.1 16 Richmond 22 1 20 1 1815 2582 6 70.2


that first week of finals would be amazing. one question though, doesnt the afl have a contract that if theres 2 games in melbourne first week, one has to be at telstra dome? that would be a problem, either coll'wood eagles game or cats-hawks at dome. both of these would draw around 80k youd think.

Isn't the G owed some finals games given all the interstate finals over the last few years?

 

[Sir_Adrian84]

Don't know how the Roos got so high and Adelaide so low but:

Geelong 68
Collingwood 64
Hawthorn 60
West Coast 52
Sydney 52
Kangaroos 52
Bulldogs 52
Port 52
_________________
Adelaide 48
Essendon 48
Saints 44
Freo 40
Lions 34
Melb 16
Carl 16
Richmond 6

First Round Finals:
Geelong vs West Coast (MCG- Sunday)
Collingwood vs Hawthorn (MCG- Friday Night)
Sydney vs Port (Homebush- Saturday Night)
Roos vs Dogs (MCG/TD- Saturday)

Semi Finals:
West Coast vs Sydney (Subiaco- Friday Night)
Hawthorn vs Roos (MCG- Saturday)

Preliminary Finals:
Geelong vs Hawthorn (MCG- Friday Night)
Collingwood vs Eagles (MCG-Saturday)

Grand Final:
Geelong vs Collingwood (MCG)

 

[weagles_fan]

1. Geelong
2. Collingwood
3. Hawthorn
4. West Coast
5. Western Bulldogs
6. Sydney
7. Adelaide
8. Port Adelaide

Geelong def by West Coast
Collingwood def Hawthorn
Western Bulldogs def Port Adelaide
Sydney def by Adelaide

Geelong def Western Bulldogs
Hawthorn def by Adelaide

West Coast def Adelaide haha
Collingwood def by Geelong

West Coast def Geelong

 

[hawka_fan]

#	Team    	Pl	 W	 L	 D	  PF	  PA	Pt	 Perc
 1 	Geelong 	22 	18 	 4 	 0 	2442 	1762 	72 	138.5
 3 	Hawthorn 	22 	15 	 7 	 0 	2137 	1880 	60 	113.6
 2 	West Coast 	22 	15 	 7 	 0 	2083 	1853 	60 	112.4
 6 	Adelaide 	22 	14 	 8 	 0 	1966 	1772 	56 	110.9
 7 	W Bulldogs 	22 	14 	 8 	 0 	2265 	2222 	56 	101.9
10 	Sydney  	22 	13 	 9 	 0 	1993 	1816 	52 	109.7
 4 	Collingwood 	22 	13 	 9 	 0 	2096 	2018 	52 	103.8
 9 	Port Adel 	22 	13 	 9 	 0 	2164 	2156 	52 	100.3

 5 	Kangaroos 	22 	11 	11 	 0 	2086 	2131 	44 	 97.8
11 	St Kilda 	22 	11 	11 	 0 	1901 	1992 	44 	 95.4
 8 	Essendon 	22 	10 	12 	 0 	2185 	2242 	40 	 97.4
12 	Fremantle 	22 	 9 	13 	 0 	2171 	2191 	36 	 99.0
13 	Bris Lions 	22 	 8 	13 	 1 	1948 	2058 	34 	 94.6
15 	Melbourne 	22 	 6 	16 	 0 	1955 	2301 	24 	 84.9
14 	Carlton 	22 	 4 	18 	 0 	2176 	2681 	16 	 81.1
16 	Richmond 	22 	 1 	20 	 1 	1952 	2445 	 6 	 79.8

 

[the_big_sav]

all results 6 points

geelong 18 4 72
wc 16 6 64
hawks 16 6 64
collingwood 15 7 60

adelaide 14 8 56
north14 8 56
sydney 13 9 52
port 13 9 52

bulldogs 11 wins, essendon and freo 10 wins st kilda 9 wins

compared to a ladder i posted a month ago the top 4 is in a different order, essendon out port in and 5-8th in a different order.

i had geelong lose to freo over there (only game on paper geelong look like losing but depending on the next couple of weeks that could change). i have us losing to wc, geelong and hawks but i reakon right now we are better chances to win against the hawks and wc then a few weeks ago

 

[the_big_sav]

sir adrian has us to play dogs in first week of the finals after we play them in round 22, when was the last time that happened? i can think of essendon v richmond in 01

 

[Sir_Adrian84]

sir adrian has us to play dogs in first week of the finals after we play them in round 22, when was the last time that happened? i can think of essendon v richmond in 01

dons played richmond on 2 straight friday nights in 2001

tigers won the first, dons the second

I can also remember that Hawthorn played Geelong in 2 successive matches in 1989/90 (1989 Grand Final and Round 1, 1990) as did the Eagles vs Swans this season. However if these were both deliberately set up (as the 2007 one was) then the dons vs richmond one would be the last time it happened).

 

[_RT_]

# Team Pl W L D PF PA Pt Perc
1 Geelong 22 17 5 0 2432 1772 68 137.2
4 Collingwood 22 17 5 0 2162 1952 68 110.7
2 West Coast 22 16 6 0 2113 1823 64 115.9
3 Hawthorn 22 14 8 0 2101 1916 56 109.6
5 Kangaroos 22 14 8 0 2134 2083 56 102.4
10 Sydney 22 13 9 0 1999 1810 52 110.4
6 Adelaide 22 12 10 0 1948 1790 48 108.8
8 Essendon 22 12 10 0 2209 2218 48 99.5

9 Port Adel 22 11 11 0 2134 2186 44 97.6
11 St Kilda 22 11 11 0 1901 1992 44 95.4
7 W Bulldogs 22 10 12 0 2205 2282 40 96.6
12 Fremantle 22 9 13 0 2171 2191 36 99.0
13 Bris Lions 22 8 13 1 1936 2070 34 93.5
14 Carlton 22 5 17 0 2176 2681 20 81.1
16 Richmond 22 3 18 1 1986 2411 14 82.3
15 Melbourne 22 3 19 0 1913 2343 12 81.6

 

[kilaw]

#  Team      Pl  W  L  D    PF   PA  Pt  Perc   

1  Geelong   22 16  6  0  2400 1804 64 133.0 (1)

2  Eagles    22 16  6  0  2210 1726 64 128.0 (2)

3  Adelaide  22 15  7  0  2002 1736 60 115.3 (6)

4  Hawks     22 15  7  0  2131 1886 60 112.9 (3)

5  Pies      22 14  8  0 2102 2012 56 104.4 (4)

6  Port Adel 22 13  9  0 2182 2138 52 102.0 (9)

7  Sydney    22 12 10  0 1981 1828 48 108.3 (10)

8 Bulldogs   22 12 10  0 2241 2246 48  99.7 (7)

9 Kangaroos  22 12 10  0 2098 2119 48  99.0 (5)
10 Essendon  22 11 11  0 2175 2252 44  96.5 (8)
11 St Kilda  22 10 12  0 1855 2038 40  91.0 (11)
12 Lions     22  9 12  1 1954 2052 38  95.2 (13)
13 Fremantle 22  9 13  0 2143 2219 36  96.5 (12)
14 Carlton   22  6 16  0 2188 2669 24  81.9 (14)
15 Melbourne 22  4 18  0 1943 2313 16  84.0 (15)
16 Richmond  22  1 20  1 1915 2482  6  77.1 (16)

FINALS:

First Round:
Geelong vs. Hawthorn (SS)
West Coast vs. Adelaide (S)

Collingwood vs. Bulldogs (MCG)
Port Adelaide vs. Sydney (AAMI)

Semi Finals:
Hawthorn vs. Collingwood (MCG?)
Adelaide vs Sydney (AAMI)

Preliminary Finals:
Geelong vs. Collingwood (SS)
West Coast vs. Adelaide (S) lol

GRAND FINAL:

Geelong vs. West Coast (MCG) - Not going to chose due to extreme bias... Let's just hope it's the Eagles back to back.

 

[Cudi]

1 Geelong 21 16 5 0 2321 1683 64 137.9
4 Collingwood 21 15 6 0 2035 1879 60 108.3
7 W Bulldogs 22 15 7 0 2301 2186 60 105.2
6 Adelaide 22 14 8 0 1990 1748 56 113.8
3 Hawthorn 22 14 8 0 2095 1922 56 109.0
2 West Coast 21 13 8 0 1990 1746 52 113.9
5 Kangaroos 22 13 9 0 2110 2107 52 100.1
10 Sydney 22 12 10 0 1991 1818 48 109.5

9 Port Adel 21 12 9 0 2049 2071 48 98.9
11 St Kilda 22 12 10 0 1901 1992 48 95.4
8 Essendon 22 10 12 0 2157 2270 40 95.0
12 Fremantle 22 9 13 0 2149 2213 36 97.1
13 Bris Lions 22 8 13 1 1936 2070 34 93.5
15 Melbourne 22 5 17 0 1955 2301 20 84.9
14 Carlton 22 4 18 0 2166 2691 16 80.4
16 Richmond 22 1 20 1 1974 2423 6 81.4

 

[Rilian]

Here's a crack I just had at the ladder using http://afl.allthestats.com/misc/ladderpredict.php​

Predicted Ladder
# Team Pl W L D PF PA Pt Perc
1 Geelong 22 17 5 0 2431 1717 68 141.5
2 Hawthorn 22 16 6 0 2151 1871 64 114.9
6 Collingwood 22 16 6 0 2157 1901 64 113.4
8 Sydney 22 14 8 0 2082 1789 56 116.3
4 West Coast 22 14 8 0 2064 1887 56 109.3
5 Port Adel 22 14 8 0 2250 2085 56 107.9
7 W Bulldogs 22 14 8 0 2299 2217 56 103.6
9 Adelaide 22 12 10 0 1960 1778 48 110.2
3 Kangaroos 22 12 10 0 2068 2085 48 99.1
11 St Kilda 22 10 12 0 1901 1992 40 95.4
13 Fremantle 22 9 13 0 2131 2167 36 98.3
10 Essendon 22 9 13 0 2156 2300 36 93.7
12 Bris Lions 22 8 13 1 1931 2083 34 92.7
14 Carlton 22 5 17 0 2155 2764 20 77.9
15 Melbourne 22 3 19 0 1880 2384 12 78.8
16 Richmond 22 2 19 1 1903 2499 10 76.1

Finals...
Week 1:
Geelong d Sydney
Collingwood d Hawthorn
West Coast d Adelaide
Western Bulldogs d Port Adelaide

Week 2:
West Coast d Sydney
Hawthorn d Western Bulldogs

Week 3:
Geelong d Hawthorn
Collingwood d West Coast

Week 4:
Geelong d Collingwood


*Those finals predictions probably do not represent my predictions for the rest of the rounds. I thought the Finals Factor would influence a few teams differently. Really though, all those finals could go many ways, and there'd be some cracking games there. Can't wait!

Oh, and it's just my opinion, not meant to stir up any trouble...

 

[Bateanator]

Geelong 22 17 5 0 2391 1757 68 136.0
Hawthorn 22 15 7 0 2139 1883 60 113.5
Port Adel 22 14 8 0 2266 2069 56 109.5
Collingwood 22 14 8 0 2081 1977 56 105.2
Kangaroos 22 14 8 0 2107 2070 56 101.7
Adelaide 22 13 9 0 1984 1754 52 113.1
West Coast 22 13 9 0 2036 1915 52 106.3
W Bulldogs 22 13 9 0 2275 2241 52 101.5
---------------------------------------------------
Sydney 22 12 10 0 2040 1831 48 111.4
St Kilda 22 11 11 0 1901 1992 44 95.4
Bris Lions 22 10 11 1 1987 2027 42 98.0
Essendon 22 10 12 0 2168 2288 40 94.7
Fremantle 22 8 14 0 2152 2170 32 99.1
Carlton 22 5 17 0 2159 2760 20 78.2
Melbourne 22 4 18 0 1916 2348 16 81.6
Richmond 22 2 19 1 1941 2461 10 78.8

Geelong vs. Coll
Hawks vs. Port
Roos vs. Dogs
Crowsvs. Eagles

Geelong vs. Eagles
Port vs. Dogs

Coll. vs. Dogs
Hawks vs. Geelong

Coll vs. Hawks (way to close to call. collingwood have gone longer without though)

Bias towards Port after Saturday (made them go out in straight sets), against Bombers because of their injuries and i don't know why the Swans aren't in there. Geelong are very unlucky, just have hunch towards the Pies in the finals.

More importantly, however, Carlton don't get the priority pick, Tigers get Kreuzer (damnit) and Dees get Cotchin.

 

[Kings Army]

#    Team        Pl     W     L     D      PF      PA    Pt     Perc
 1     Geelong     22     18      4      0     2442     1762     72     138.5
 3     Hawthorn     22     15      7      0     2137     1880     60     113.6
 2     West Coast     22     15      7      0     2083     1853     60     112.4
 6     Adelaide     22     14      8      0     1966     1772     56     110.9
 7     W Bulldogs     22     14      8      0     2265     2222     56     101.9
10     Sydney      22     13      9      0     1993     1816     52     109.7
 4     Collingwood     22     13      9      0     2096     2018     52     103.8
 9     Port Adel     22     13      9      0     2164     2156     52     100.3
 
 5     Kangaroos     22     11     11      0     2086     2131     44      97.8
11     St Kilda     22     11     11      0     1901     1992     44      95.4
 8     Essendon     22     10     12      0     2185     2242     40      97.4
12     Fremantle     22      9     13      0     2171     2191     36      99.0
13     Bris Lions     22      8     13      1     1948     2058     34      94.6
15     Melbourne     22      6     16      0     1955     2301     24      84.9
14     Carlton     22      4     18      0     2176     2681     16      81.1
16     Richmond     22      1     20      1     1952     2445      6      79.8

Roos to win 1 more game for the year? So which out of Melb and the Blues will we drop?

 

[Cuzz09]

Eagles wont make top 4 now.

Made it too hard for ourselves unfortunately.

 

[borgy]

Cats
Pies (easy run home)
Dogs (hitting some form, key legs returning, bias)
Adel
Hawks
WCE (injuries against them all year)
Port
Kangas
-------------------
Syd
STK
Bris
Freo
Dons (dont know what happened here, not complaining though)
Tigers (bottom 3 all on 4 wins, the Tigers will win some more)
Melb
Carl

 

[Cuzz09]

Oh Geez - I just did the Laddder predictor off the top of my head and this is what I got....

1 Geelong 22 19 3 0 2379 1769 76 134.4
2 Hawthorn 22 15 7 0 2121 1901 60 111.5
6 Collingwood 22 15 7 0 2075 1983 60 104.6
8 Sydney 22 14 8 0 2034 1837 56 110.7
7 W Bulldogs 22 14 8 0 2281 2235 56 102.0
3 Kangaroos 22 14 8 0 2101 2076 56 101.2
9 Adelaide 22 13 9 0 1954 1784 52 109.5
5 Port Adel 22 13 9 0 2208 2127 52 103.8

4 West Coast 22 12 10 0 2018 1933 48 104.3
11 St Kilda 22 11 11 0 1895 1998 44 94.8
10 Essendon 22 10 12 0 2198 2258 40 97.3
13 Fremantle 22 9 13 0 2164 2158 36 100.2
12 Bris Lions 22 7 14 1 1965 2049 30 95.9
15 Melbourne 22 4 18 0 1952 2312 16 84.4
14 Carlton 22 4 18 0 2215 2704 16 81.9
16 Richmond 22 1 20 1 1983 2419 6 81.9

 

[Ashb23]

1 Geelong 22 17 5 0 2442 1762 68 138.5
2 West Coast 22 17 5 0 2197 1739 68 126.3
3 Adelaide 22 16 6 0 2065 1711 64 120.6
4 Hawthorn 22 15 7 0 2153 1864 60 115.5
5 Sydney 22 14 8 0 2029 1780 56 113.9
6 Collingwood 22 14 8 0 2136 1978 56 107.9
7 Kangaroos 22 13 9 0 2100 2117 52 99.1
8 W Bulldogs 22 11 11 0 2211 2276 44 97.1

9 Port Adel 22 11 11 0 2110 2210 44 95.4
10 Fremantle 22 10 12 0 2195 2167 40 101.2
11 Essendon 22 9 13 0 2145 2282 36 93.9
12 St Kilda 22 8 14 0 1862 2069 32 89.9
13 Bris Lions 22 7 14 1 1878 2128 30 88.2
13 Carlton 22 7 15 0 2202 2655 28 82.9
15 Richmond 22 3 18 1 1938 2459 14 78.8
16 Melbourne 22 3 19 0 1895 2361 12 80.2

FINALS

Geelong vs. Hawthorn MCG
West Coast vs. Adelaide SUBIACO
Sydney vs. W Bulldogs Telstra Stadium
Collingwood vs. Kangaroos MCG

Hawthorn vs. Sydney MCG
Adelaide vs. Collingwood AAMI

Geelong vs. Adelaide MCG
West Coast vs. Hawthorn SUBIACO

Adelaide vs. West Coast MCG

Thank god - you're prediction is already stuffed.

 

[The Old Dark Navy's]

Tigers (bottom 3 all on 4 wins, the Tigers will win some more)
Melb
Carl

Curious. Tiges have to win 2 more and get another draw to overtake Carlton.

Where do you think they may come from?

Home v Port - 40-60 IMO
Away v Sydney 10-90
Away v Geelong 5-95
Home v Collingwood 30-70
Away v West Coast 10-90
Away v Essendon 40-60
Home v St Kilda 30-70

They are up against it. Not impossible but a tough task nonetheless.

 

[The Floodbuster]

# Team Pl W L D PF PA Pt Perc
1 Geelong 22 18 4 0 2468 1680 72 146.9
8 Sydney 22 15 7 0 2100 1771 60 118.5
5 Port Adel 22 14 8 0 2331 2004 56 116.3
2 Hawthorn 22 14 8 0 2127 1895 56 112.2
6 Collingwood 22 14 8 0 2131 1927 56 110.5
7 W Bulldogs 22 13 9 0 2275 2241 52 101.5
11 St Kilda 22 13 9 0 1955 1938 52 100.8
4 West Coast 22 12 10 0 2028 1923 48 105.4
3 Kangaroos 22 12 10 0 2059 2118 48 97.2
9 Adelaide 22 11 11 0 1910 1828 44 104.4
13 Fremantle 22 11 11 0 2204 2118 44 104.0
10 Essendon 22 11 11 0 2198 2258 44 97.3
12 Bris Lions 22 8 13 1 1925 2089 34 92.1
15 Melbourne 22 4 18 0 1891 2373 16 79.6
14 Carlton 22 4 18 0 2112 2807 16 75.2
16 Richmond 22 1 20 1 1829 2573 6 71.0

 

[Hawkk]

Cats
Pies (easy run home)
Dogs (hitting some form, key legs returning, bias)
Adel
Hawks
WCE (injuries against them all year)
Port
Kangas
-------------------
Syd
STK
Bris
Freo
Dons (dont know what happened here, not complaining though)
Tigers (bottom 3 all on 4 wins, the Tigers will win some more)
Melb
Carl

Dogs won't finish above Hawthorn...ditto Adelaide.

If the Hawk beat either the Saints or Kangaroos they are certainties to finish top 4.

 

[Lightning_Rod]

Geelong
Hawthorn
West Coast
Collingwood
Port Adel
Kangaroos
Sydney
Essendon
W Bulldogs
Adelaide
Fremantle
Bris Lions
St Kilda
Carlton
Melbourne
Richmond

 

[Cuzz09]

Geelong
Hawthorn
West Coast
Collingwood
Port Adel
Kangaroos
Sydney
Essendon
W Bulldogs
Adelaide
Fremantle
Bris Lions
St Kilda
Carlton
Melbourne
Richmond

Adelaide 10th?

You hate them that much??

 

[Lightning_Rod]

Adelaide 10th?

You hate them that much??

i just tipped it as i saw it, i dont rate adelaide. but i think u will find the only thing separating 3rd to 10th is percentage.