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Ladder predictor

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Joined
Jul 9, 2006
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Location
on a thing called earth
AFL Club
Collingwood
This ladder is if we only lose one more game for the year and i have that loss against Melbourne.

Geelong 22 16 wins 6 losses 64 135.8
Hawthorn 16 6 64 114.9
Collingwood 15 7 60 109.0
West Coast 15 7 60 107.6
Adelaide 14 8 56 112.3
Port Adel 13 9 52 103.8
Sydney 12 10 48 109.3
Kangaroos 12 10 48 97.7
W Bulldogs 11 11 44 99.9
Essendon 11 11 44 98.0
Bris Lions 9 12 38 97.0
St Kilda 9 13 36 93.1
Fremantle 8 14 32 99.7
Melbourne 8 14 32 85.8
Carlton 5 17 20 81.1
Richmond 1 20 6 78.

this ladder is if we lose to Bombers, brisbane, demons, swans and crows.

Geelong 16 6 64 135.8
Hawthorn 16 6 64 114.9
Adelaide 15 7 60 113.1
West Coast 15 7 60 107.6
Sydney 13 9 52 110.0
Port Adel 13 9 52 103.8
Essendon 12 10 48 97.8
Kangaroos 12 10 48 97.7
Collingwood 11 11 44 104.6
Bulldogs 11 11 44 99.9
Bris Lions 10 11 42 98.8
st Kilda 9 13 36 93.1
Fremantle 8 14 32 99.7
Melbourne 8 14 32 85.8
Carlton 5 17 20 81.1
Richmond 1 20 6 78.1
 

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This ladder is if we only lose one more game for the year and i have that loss against Melbourne.

Geelong 22 16 wins 6 losses 64 135.8
Hawthorn 16 6 64 114.9
Collingwood 15 7 60 109.0
West Coast 15 7 60 107.6
Adelaide 14 8 56 112.3
Port Adel 13 9 52 103.8
Sydney 12 10 48 109.3
Kangaroos 12 10 48 97.7
W Bulldogs 11 11 44 99.9
Essendon 11 11 44 98.0
Bris Lions 9 12 38 97.0
St Kilda 9 13 36 93.1
Fremantle 8 14 32 99.7
Melbourne 8 14 32 85.8
Carlton 5 17 20 81.1
Richmond 1 20 6 78.

this ladder is if we lose to Bombers, brisbane, demons, swans and crows.

Geelong 16 6 64 135.8
Hawthorn 16 6 64 114.9
Adelaide 15 7 60 113.1
West Coast 15 7 60 107.6
Sydney 13 9 52 110.0
Port Adel 13 9 52 103.8
Essendon 12 10 48 97.8
Kangaroos 12 10 48 97.7
Collingwood 11 11 44 104.6
Bulldogs 11 11 44 99.9
Bris Lions 10 11 42 98.8
st Kilda 9 13 36 93.1
Fremantle 8 14 32 99.7
Melbourne 8 14 32 85.8
Carlton 5 17 20 81.1
Richmond 1 20 6 78.1
Ok Guys here it is again and its the best i can do. Jabso, i just google AFL ladder predictor and it gives you heaps of info.
 
Ok I found the link.

To format it properly simply copy and paste it into notepad, maybe fix a couple of things then paste that into code brackets. That's "code" "/code" with [ and ] instead of "
Code:
Predicted Ladder   	Pl 	 W 	 L 	 D 	  PF 	  PA 	Pt 	 Perc
 1 	Geelong 	22 	17 	 5 	 0 	2425 	1723 	68 	140.7
 2 	Hawthorn 	22 	16 	 6 	 0 	2197 	1825 	64 	120.3
 9 	Adelaide 	22 	14 	 8 	 0 	1996 	1742 	56 	114.5
 4 	West Coast 	22 	14 	 8 	 0 	2070 	1881 	56 	110.0
 6 	Collingwood 	22 	14 	 8 	 0 	2081 	1977 	56 	105.2
 7 	W Bulldogs 	22 	14 	 8 	 0 	2305 	2211 	56 	104.2
 3 	Kangaroos 	22 	14 	 8 	 0 	2101 	2076 	56 	101.2
 8 	Sydney 		22 	13 	 9 	 0 	2076 	1795 	52 	115.6
 5 	Port Adel 	22 	13 	 9 	 0 	2226 	2109 	52 	105.5
11 	St Kilda 	22 	10 	12 	 0 	1889 	2004 	40 	 94.2
10 	Essendon 	22 	10 	12 	 0 	2162 	2294 	40 	 94.2
13 	Fremantle 	22 	 9 	13 	 0 	2156 	2166 	36 	 99.5
12 	Bris Lions 	22 	 7 	14 	 1 	1927 	2087 	30 	 92.3
14 	Carlton 	22 	 5 	17 	 0 	2151 	2768 	20 	 77.7
15 	Melbourne 	22 	 3 	19 	 0 	1860 	2404 	12 	 77.3
16 	Richmond 	22 	 2 	19 	 1 	1921 	2481 	10 	 77.4

Now I did this in with us winning only 5/7 and tipping the favourites most times (if two close sides come up to against each other I'd tip the team that wouldn't favour us by winning) and giving us low margins.
 
Geelong
Hawthorn
Kangaroos
Adelaide
West Coast
Collingwood
Port Adelaide
Bulldogs

Sydney
Essendon


That's what I got, without really worrying about margins. I had us losing to Melbourne and Adelaide.
 
I honestly can't see us losing again - or we shouldn't at least.

Geelong
Collingwood
Hawthorn
West Coast
Bulldogs
Sydney
Port Adelaide
Kangaroos

Qual finals - Geelong vs West Coast; Collingwood vs Hawthorn
Elim finals - Bulldogs vs Kangaroos (PLAY IT AT THE DOME); Sydney vs Port

6th, 7th and 8th were all on 13 wins. So the way I see it 13 wins is a necessity - meaning we need at least 4/7.

Adelaide for the record got knocked out of the 8 by us in the final round.
 
We should only lose one more - either the Adelaide or Sydney games. That will put us third, but its as good as top two according to my predictions, because no interstate sides are above us on the ladder, meaning we'll have a Melbourne final.

I have

Geelong
Hawthorn
Collingwood
Port Adelaide

in the top four

Eagles limp into eighth.
 

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This ladder is if we only lose one more game for the year and i have that loss against Melbourne.

Geelong 22 16 wins 6 losses 64 135.8
Hawthorn 16 6 64 114.9
Collingwood 15 7 60 109.0
West Coast 15 7 60 107.6
Adelaide 14 8 56 112.3
Port Adel 13 9 52 103.8
Sydney 12 10 48 109.3
Kangaroos 12 10 48 97.7
W Bulldogs 11 11 44 99.9
Essendon 11 11 44 98.0
Bris Lions 9 12 38 97.0
St Kilda 9 13 36 93.1
Fremantle 8 14 32 99.7
Melbourne 8 14 32 85.8
Carlton 5 17 20 81.1
Richmond 1 20 6 78.

this ladder is if we lose to Bombers, brisbane, demons, swans and crows.

Geelong 16 6 64 135.8
Hawthorn 16 6 64 114.9
Adelaide 15 7 60 113.1
West Coast 15 7 60 107.6
Sydney 13 9 52 110.0
Port Adel 13 9 52 103.8
Essendon 12 10 48 97.8
Kangaroos 12 10 48 97.7
Collingwood 11 11 44 104.6
Bulldogs 11 11 44 99.9
Bris Lions 10 11 42 98.8
st Kilda 9 13 36 93.1
Fremantle 8 14 32 99.7
Melbourne 8 14 32 85.8
Carlton 5 17 20 81.1
Richmond 1 20 6 78.1

you had to have carlton winning an extra game and missing the priority pick. no bias?
 
Just did one now, points and percentage given:

1 Geelong 72 152.0
4 West Coast 60 115.9
2 Hawthorn 56 115.0
5 Kangaroos 56 104.8
3 Port Adel 52 109.1
6 Sydney 48 115.1
11 Adelaide 48 108.8
7 Collingwood 48 98.6

8 Bris Lions 46 109.9
9 St Kilda 46 95.8
12 Fremantle 40 102.9
13 Essendon 40 90.0
10 W Bulldogs 38 88.9
14 Melbourne 24 79.2
15 Carlton 20 76.8
16 Richmond 10 75.0

Sydney's our best chance of a win, IMHO.
 
I'd have said its our worst chance, we don't play the G well with our slow midfield - not that the Swans are quick.

I have us 50/50 for the next two games, but we should beat the Crows at the Dome.
 
Looks to me like we will be playing a mini elimination final against Adelaide last round. They will need to win to get in and by the looks of things we will need to win to stay in.
 

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