Prediction Lid off? Lid on?

3KZ is Football

Brownlow Medallist
Jun 17, 2008
14,236
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In the grandstand at the Brunswick St. Oval
AFL Club
Brisbane Lions
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Fitzroy Football Club
Surely you've followed enough footy to know clubs don't tend to talk about finals until much later in the season.
True. I’m more interested in what us supporters think. I want to keep my lid off and will probably feel better if we win the St.Kilda game, but I’m still gutted after the weekend.
 

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3KZ is Football

Brownlow Medallist
Jun 17, 2008
14,236
14,232
In the grandstand at the Brunswick St. Oval
AFL Club
Brisbane Lions
Other Teams
Fitzroy Football Club
Prior to the first game most of us thought 8-10 wins would be a pass mark - a fail would have been less than that 5-7 wins. Finals at that stage were a pipe dream
Thanks. Which brings us to where we are at, or where we were before the Carlton game. Given our current position, would people see missing the finals as acceptable? I want to keep my lid off, but talking to a mate at work last Friday, he described Brisbane as an overpriced company share price and he is expecting a market crash.
 

Dlions

Norm Smith Medallist
Aug 12, 2016
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AFL Club
Brisbane Lions
Thanks. Which brings us to where we are at, or where we were before the Carlton game. Given our current position, would people see missing the finals as acceptable? I want to keep my lid off, but talking to a mate at work last Friday, he described Brisbane as an overpriced company share price and he is expecting a market crash.
I think that every single one of us would be disappointed, to an extent, if we do not make finals from here.
But I really don’t think that means it will be an unacceptable year if we don’t.
If we win 5 more games and miss finals on percentage only, personally I think that has been a very good year.
And an indication of where we are at!
 

Sausages

HIGH PRIEST IN THE TEMPLE OF GG/SNSD
Feb 27, 2007
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Luton Town
Thanks. Which brings us to where we are at, or where we were before the Carlton game. Given our current position, would people see missing the finals as acceptable? I want to keep my lid off, but talking to a mate at work last Friday, he described Brisbane as an overpriced company share price and he is expecting a market crash.
Well, one thing I'll point out here - since Fagan's arrival, we have been pretty competitive in the back half of the season. I'm actually thinking we will do at least as well as we have in the front half of the year. I think we'll end up with 13-14 wins.

I'm gonna go one further - we'll beat Geelong at the Gabba :D
 

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Kernel Kurtz

All Australian
May 5, 2013
917
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AFL Club
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From my perspective at the start of the year, prior to the first game, missing finals again would constitute a fail.
Yeh you'd have to be disappointed if we don't get in to finals from here.
Based on last years 5 win which in terms of quality , close losses, percentage, you could easily say it was a 8 win season.
So at the start of the season I would of taken a 10 win season with a number of close losses as a good season and that would be enough to keep the faith.
from where we are now ,unless we are cruelled by injuries , if we don't finish with minimum 12 wins with 10 games to go , would be under achieving .
I had us winning 7 before the bye at the start of the season and strangely had us losing to Carlton,finishing hard to go on and win 13.
We are still on track, but need to win the next two games.
The lid will be off for sure if that happens .
 

lioninthesand

Premiership Player
Feb 22, 2016
3,856
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Brisbane Lions
Lids is firmly on and the jar is away.

Huge lapses in games. Psychological issues around holding leads and kicking goals. Pressure dropping away. Can't win on the road. Young team. Can give up 5-6 goals in 10 minutes like it's nothing. still have a handful of players in our 22 each eek with question marks galore. Melt in big games in front of big crowds when there is any sense of occasion.. Collingwood, Bombers, Carlton.

I am thrilled with where we are at, we are tracking nicely. But... we would be fraudulent in our aspirations as a top 4 team. No where near it, not ready for the heat of finals yet.

I want us to be successful. Love the direction we are heading. Back in players coaches and staff. But hoping we luck some miracle run this year is counter productive to the overall rebuild IMO.

We are a middle of the road team and that will be reflected in our ladder position. My guess is we will finish with 11 wins in 9th or 10th, which would be an excellent result.

Then we get another preseason under our belts, go through a summer with a bit of expectation for the following year and try to iron out the kinks in our developing team for a more stable and deliberate run at 2020.
 
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lioninthesand

Premiership Player
Feb 22, 2016
3,856
6,069
AFL Club
Brisbane Lions
Thanks. Which brings us to where we are at, or where we were before the Carlton game. Given our current position, would people see missing the finals as acceptable? I want to keep my lid off, but talking to a mate at work last Friday, he described Brisbane as an overpriced company share price and he is expecting a market crash.
This is a fitting analogy. But I would say more like Bitcoin, overheating early.. will have a crash before rising again.
 
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