LIVE Federal Election Coverage 2016

Mateyman

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Melbourne Ports: Danby got out to thoroughly insane prices - he was into $4.50 by the time I got on him, but as the 3rd favourite I'd seen him as high as (I think) $5.60. It wasn't free money, but I'm always happy to take $4.50 on a Labor incumbent in a left seat.
My read on Melbourne Ports is that the Greens could still take it. Although they are still great odds for Danby. I tried to put a bet on Hung parliament, but after seeing odds on it from both Ladbrokes and Sportsbet before I made accounts, the markets both disappeared as soon as I made an account for each. Not sure what happened but seems dodgy to me
 

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Forward Press

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With 2 new leaders.o_O.

Ted Bulllpit....'Ozzie politics is a bloody shambles I tells ya'.
Shorten's has changed the rabble of Labor 2013 (and way behind Turnbull only a few months ago) into one that is neck and neck with the coalition. The Albanese rumours are just that - rumours. Guarantee he will stay on if there's another election soon.
 

Hawk Dork

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My read on Melbourne Ports is that the Greens could still take it. Although they are still great odds for Danby. I tried to put a bet on Hung parliament, but after seeing odds on it from both Ladbrokes and Sportsbet before I made accounts, the markets both disappeared as soon as I made an account for each. Not sure what happened but seems dodgy to me
The Greens cant take it
Danbys preferences went to the Libs on his Card
 

Pessimistic

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Any chance the moderates in the the alp and liberal can cook up a joint budget plan together? no that's why abbott rolled trurnbull in the first pace, despite the famous ETS being almost exactly what howard took to the 2007 election

Budget should be more moderate operating area though
 

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Jiska

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Thread starter Moderator #2,867
I wish everytime I was "rejected", I was still the winner.

Turnbull lost ground sure, but I see it as a correction from the disaster that was 2013 for ALP, and Shorten campaigned very well. I have no doubt that Abbott would have been obliterated. Turnbull stemmed the bleeding on the ineviteble.

Ultimately though, the Coalition will win, so talks from ALP about the public "rejecting" them is just poor-loser bullshit.

Disclaimer: I did not vote blue
Underdog which 9 seats of the 10 in doubt will the Libs win to win.

image.jpeg
 

Pessimistic

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Hearing murmurs from people involved with the liberal party that internally the liberals have pretty much conceded that Shorten will be the prime minister and Malcolm is cooked.
Hmm. Andrew Bolt last week

The case for Shorten as PM
SOME conservatives believe Malcolm Turnbull must be replaced, even if it takes three more years of Labor led by Bill Shorten to do it, writes Andrew Bolt.


Its groundhog day!

If Bolts so critical of the liberal leadership, nothing stopping him nominating
 

Pie eyed

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I believe I have solved this one. Pie Eyed was looking at the 2 Party Preferred, not the primary votes. Demonsthenes mistakenly assumed that Pie Eyed was not adding all the Coalition parties' votes together to get to those numbers. It's nothing to do with pedantry, just miscommunications.

Here are the facts: The Labor Party is currently ahead on to 2PP by 0.44%. The Coalition have more primary votes, though.
Possibly I'm looking at the wrong figures, I'll accept that.
Apologies to Demonthenes.:thumbsu:
 

Pie eyed

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Hmm. Andrew Bolt last week

The case for Shorten as PM
SOME conservatives believe Malcolm Turnbull must be replaced, even if it takes three more years of Labor led by Bill Shorten to do it, writes Andrew Bolt.


Its groundhog day!

If Bolts so critical of the liberal leadership, nothing stopping him nominating
Classic serial killer move from Bolt.

Lure Shorten to a remote locale for an "interview" and "Whoop!" Into the pot with him Dhamer style
 
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Mateyman

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The Greens cant take it
Danbys preferences went to the Libs on his Card
They went to the Greens in Jewish districts and Labor elsewhere. The impression I got was that most of them went to the Greens but say 20 or 30% of the cards said Liberals. I would expect greens to get most of the roughly 6% 'other' vote as well from animal rights, Hemp and marriage equality. Then say 70% of Danby's preferences is very gettable IMO.
 

Underdog

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Underdog which 9 seats of the 10 in doubt will the Libs win to win.

View attachment 263212
My comment was based on the predictions offered by the analysts on election night, which were stated pretty definitively - if it changes, so be it.

I'm really not interested in debating this matter, particularly when a final result is yet to be determined.
 

Forward Press

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Has there ever been research done on the proportion of voters that have preferences following How To Vote cards? Obviously a big deal where parties list each other but there surely must still be significant amounts of voters that don't follow them.
 
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