Wilke has ruled himself out after his last experience with Labor.
That makes things very tough then.
It's looking like LNP 73, ALP 72.
If Wilkie wont got ALP(and he sure as hell wouldn't go LNP), that leaves 4 available. That said, if push comes to shove, I think he'd blink and do a deal.
The Green/ALP deal last time broke up as well (although that was, in part, setting up for the next election), but for all the rhetoric before the election about them being separate, you can't really see the Greens going anywhere else. It'd also give the ALP cover to enact their 'ideologically sound, but politically unpalatable' policies (carbon tax, open borders).
Xenophon would be vital for either party, the 1 seat in the house is 'nice' and doubtless important, but the Senate seats would be massive...If the ALP signed him and the greens up, they'd probably come close to a majority in both houses. I think he's more likely to go ALP both because he's closer to them ideologically, so less of a issue to make a 'comfortable' deal.
Katter would tend LNP, but he left them due to some fairly substantial differences, so it's not the sure thing some seem to think. He's an experienced politician, so a deal could certainly be made either way.
McGowan would be the opposite of Katter in many ways...You'd tend to think she's go ALP, but probably has enough flexibility to be swayed for the right deal.
I think the ALP is more likely to patch together a government out of all this, although non existent deity help them trying to keep it all together. This is a bigger and noticably more disparate group than last time.
LNP have trouble with Turnbull having cracked the sads over the past few days, and his inability to listen to other opinions making him not nearly as good at 'let's make a deal', and that many of the deals required would probably have his own right wing walk out on him.