- Banned
- #401
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March Election
- Thread starter Blue Red and Gold
- Start date
- Tagged users None
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- Moderator
- #402
For those that are interested - full coverage of the results will be on ABC1 from 6:30pm tomorrow night
The posters have an authorised by thing at the bottom (I actually noticed one today on KWS before seeing it on the web).
Either way those posters breach the Regulations by having two on a pole (which I realise is common) but are also clearly designed to mislead considering their colour scheme and placement.
Would be surprised to learn they've been authorised by the Electoral Commission in the manner they've been distributed.
That's some of the dumbest rationale i've ever seen.
Also, does something like that ever change anyone's vote?
Also, as a side note, does anyone remember The Australian prior to the 2001 federal election declaring "we're not biased, but anyone who doesn't vote liberal is irrational" or something to that effect? Always very sceptical of news paper endorsements!
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- Moderator
- #405
While I'm going by the pic on AdelaideNow (the authorisation is too blurry to read on their pic), I'd be very surprised if the authorisation was authentic.
As for the one on a pole policy - the Democrat candidate for Ramsay (Rod Steinert) - has quite a few poles with 3 Democrat posters on it (one for himself, one for Jeannie Walker in the upper house and a roadsign style one from the 2007 Federal election).
I'd be interested to see how many election posters are compliant (with the 1.8m min height rule and not on poles with any pipes etc attached to them), I'd say a fair few from all parties are breaking one regulation or another.
I remember in the 2007 federal election every man and his dog thought it'll be a good idea to stick a poster on the Morphett St bridge (overlooking North Tce). Lasted about a week before they were ordered to go
birdmanptr
Norm Smith Medallist
I think I heard right that Reddy has only been on the ABC morning show once.
Is that cause she does not get the same love she gets from Liberal Leon on AA ?
Is that cause she does not get the same love she gets from Liberal Leon on AA ?
You mean the same show that Foley and Rann boycotted for 18 months?
In her defence, the one time she did go on that show, she did get talked into getting tazed
smoovy
Premiership Player
Brave move for the editor of a News Limited paper to be backing a Labor government. Or perhaps Rupert Murdoch is a changed man?
You could mount a fairly strong argument that the ALP would be the conservative party for the purposes of this election.
Also judging by Rann's treatment of Unions this term (Teachers, Nurses, Workcover) they're not really the Labor party.
birdmanptr
Norm Smith Medallist
You mean the same show that Foley and Rann boycotted for 18 months?
In her defence, the one time she did go on that show, she did get talked into getting tazed
What is it about those 2 they seem to upset a few
birdmanptr
Norm Smith Medallist
It all adds up ain't for Randy it don't look good I predict the Libs to win and win well
- Moderator
- #412
Considering Labor look like regaining Mitchell, and the Libs aren't going to win Newland and Bright, if your prediction is true it would be require some giant swings (15%+) in some seats.
I reckon Labor will win by 1 seat
birdmanptr
Norm Smith Medallist
What about Norwood and out Gawler way Piccolo V Cossie ?
Wow if I was Labor he would be one of the last people I would want backing me judging by the quality of his 'newspaper'
- Moderator
- #415
Vini always finds a way to hold onto Norwood, while I reckon Piccolo will retain Light.
Even if they do win those two, and their expected gain of Morialta, it's still an uphill battle for the Libs with them needing a further 6-7 seats to win.
I wonder how much the Liberals hospital gaffe will hurt them so close to polling day.
I'll eat my hat if vini wins Norwood. I expect a 10 to 15 % swing against. Also don't discount Hartley as a gain and I wouldn't rule out Adelaide either.
Also it's far from a given that Hanna loses Mitchell
- Moderator
- #417
No way will there be a 15% swing in Norwood. Labor haven't done anything that wrong to warrant that big a swing in any seat.
Problem with Hartley is Joe Scalzi is the candidate (who was outsed from that seat in 2006). Bit of a risk putting someone that lost the seat back up for election.
I reckon Adelaide is safe enough for Labor 10.2% is just too much to gain.
SouthAustralia
Senior List
As I've said before, the developers must really be quite nervous at the moment. Millions of dollars in political donations, only 6 months ago they thought they had their seats at the right table.
Massive LOL's at them if the Libs win.
Massive LOL's at them if the Libs win.
I really hope Vini loses her seat, I can't stand her.
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Living in and around these three seats I disagree.
Vini has only scraped in the last 2 elections due to the electorates most popular politician being Mike Rann. Mark my words, she will get destroyed tomorrow.
Hartley is different, Portolesi is a semi-effective local member, unlike Ciccarello.
Adelaide is a massive wildcard still. Alot of resentment to labor, alot of resentment to Jlo.
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- Adelaide
It would be unlikely that there would be a uniform swing in the order of 8% to toss the ALP out. It could happen but its highly unlikely in a general election given:-
1) the state is generally in a good economic state and there haven't been any real blunders like the State Bank debacle or real incompetence like the NSW ALP government (now thats a government that does deserve to be tossed out)
2) there would still be some voters who doubt Redmond is ready given she has only been in the role for 6 or so months. I'm certainly not convinced.
3) Chantelois saga was just a side show and hopefully we don't see any more of the media whore. It also shows how society has been dumbed down by our media
4) If someone is undecided over the last days of a campaign they tend to stay with the status quo unless they have a compelling reason to change and I haven't seen that and for the last week the Liberals have been lack lustre. Remember, governments lose rather than oppositions win. Just look at past results both Federally and State.
1) the state is generally in a good economic state and there haven't been any real blunders like the State Bank debacle or real incompetence like the NSW ALP government (now thats a government that does deserve to be tossed out)
2) there would still be some voters who doubt Redmond is ready given she has only been in the role for 6 or so months. I'm certainly not convinced.
3) Chantelois saga was just a side show and hopefully we don't see any more of the media whore. It also shows how society has been dumbed down by our media
4) If someone is undecided over the last days of a campaign they tend to stay with the status quo unless they have a compelling reason to change and I haven't seen that and for the last week the Liberals have been lack lustre. Remember, governments lose rather than oppositions win. Just look at past results both Federally and State.
birdmanptr
Norm Smith Medallist
I wonder how much of a hit Tom K will take
- Moderator
- #423
Id'd say 5% tops as West Torrens is a very safe Labor seat and he's kept a fairly low profile since his traffic indescretions. If he were in a marginal, he may have been in danger.
He should've been sacked.
- Moderator
- #425
Well he did fall on his sword and step down as Road Safety minister - appropriate punishment IMO. Anyway it was 12+ months ago when it happened and surprisingly the Libs haven't gone after him during the campaign.