Racing May Daily Punt: The 'Bool Monty

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FallingLiefs

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Jan 30, 2013
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How so?

I can only find 21 Fillies to run in the derby in recent years since about 2005, 3 have won. Outperforming the males if anything. 7% loss on fillies 50% loss on males.

Zarita, Qafila, Delicacy.

If stats correct Top 5 finishes to Zayydani, Moonlight Maid, savvy Dreams, Scratchy Bottom, Lalla Rookh, kittens, Bint Maher, El Daana, Purde.
Just checked WA derby, Significantly more starters than SA but have won 5/15.

1 winner for every 13 starters in WA for fillies, 1 in 14 for the boys.

Could not possibly make a compelling case for your argument on the previous history of these races.
 

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Jugada

Norm Smith Medallist
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Nah nothing wrong with Zaaki's odds. Can't take away its Doncaster performance and last start was fine enough just going down to a horse that had the suck run and 6kg on him
 

Shade

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Nah nothing wrong with Zaaki's odds. Can't take away its Doncaster performance and last start was fine enough just going down to a horse that had the suck run and 6kg on him
you can have 600/1 at Shadebet to win tomorrow.

has no hope
 

Shade

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Happy to consider any legit props you want
How can you make any case for him whatsoever? paths of glory got bloused today who Zaaki couldnt even get past and the prospect of it looking like a wet deck puts him even further out of the case.

Ill happily never post in here again if he wins tomorrow
 

Jugada

Norm Smith Medallist
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How can you make any case for him whatsoever? paths of glory got bloused today who Zaaki couldnt even get past and the prospect of it looking like a wet deck puts him even further out of the case.

Ill happily never post in here again if he wins tomorrow
Yeah if form was that simple wouldnt it be an easy game. Avilius couldn't even get past Icebath last time who was toweled up by Nimalee and Greysful Glamour previously - how could you make a case for him?

Would be easy to pick just as many holes in every dozen or so horses you have rated higher than him

Zaaki's first up run in the Donny was huge. Last start ok not great running 2nd. POG got 6kg off it and the dream run. Sometimes horses bob up. On the same line as horses like Fifty Stars and Melody Belle who have also been beaten by some absolute walkers recently is a fair price
 

Jugada

Norm Smith Medallist
Dec 5, 2012
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Not sure why a wet track would rule him out either. Had 4 goes on a soft for a win and that good Donny run. Only other times he met a soft track were in his first few starts and didn't look like he didn't handle it
 

spike101

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Oct 2, 2016
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Sportsbet today

'Seriously, how bloody good is the Bool' Megabet
14:00
Other rules:
During the call of the Grand Annual Stpl (race 7)
Ric McIntosh to say "How Good Is The Bool" during R7

2.00
If McIntosh could concentrate on calling the right horses instead of crapping on it would be good. I reckon if he called the Aintree Grand National he wouldn't get through the field before the end of the race. Any race with more than 12 horses and he's stuffed.
 

iluvparis

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Nah nothing wrong with Zaaki's odds. Can't take away its Doncaster performance and last start was fine enough just going down to a horse that had the suck run and 6kg on him
You mean like how he had the suck run and 6 kilos on Avi in the Doncaster?

Absolutely turned it up last start against horses getting beat at Wagga - LAY OF THE DAY (although at $6 not saying much) - would be 3-4 times the price here if he didn't have the French form which we know is...how do you say....le trash

You can't say Personal is unders at $5 and then butter up on this surrender monkey.
 
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Jugada

Norm Smith Medallist
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You mean like how he had the suck run and 6 kilos on Avi in the Doncaster?

Absolutely turned it up last start against horses getting beat at Wagga - LAY OF THE DAY (although at $6 not saying much) - would be 3-4 times the price here if he didn't have the French form which we know is...how do you say....le trash
The suck run in the Donny? Ah might want to go rewatch that race

Melody Belle also getting beaten by horses who are getting beaten at Wagga. Going to just pen the lot of them and have it 600/1 the field with this logic
 

iluvparis

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The suck run in the Donny? Ah might want to go rewatch that race

Melody Belle also getting beaten by horses who are getting beaten at Wagga. Going to just pen the lot of them and have it 600/1 the field with this logic
Nah Zaaki the obvious utter poi poi on the weights turn around with Avi and the fact he couldn't run down Power Of Cream Puffs with every possible last time when backed as if unbeatable (also a rare frenchy that needs it dry as someone else stated).

You obviously just overlooked the WFA designation. Avi/MB/or Fifty produce the winner - the rest are handicappers. But no doubt you'd have Hangman a legit 7/1 chance here.
 

Jugada

Norm Smith Medallist
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Nah Zaaki the obvious utter poi poi on the weights turn around with Avi and the fact he couldn't run down Power Of Cream Puffs with every possible last time when backed as if unbeatable (also a rare frenchy that needs it dry as someone else stated).

You obviously just overlooked the WFA designation. Avi/MB/or Fifty produce the winner - the rest are handicappers. But no doubt you'd have Hangman a legit 7/1 chance here.
Avi is good value. Zaaki a fair price, no shock if he wins though.

A claim based on nothing. Has won on the wet and ran well on a soft in the Donny. Couple midfield runs at odds as a youngster the only other efforts on a wet track
 

iluvparis

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Avi is good value. Zaaki a fair price, no shock if he wins though.

A claim based on nothing. Has won on the wet and ran well on a soft in the Donny. Couple midfield runs at odds as a youngster the only other efforts on a wet track
Mate if he was a wettie I think that might have been able to find the odd one when trained in Europe #revealedpreference - he is as bigger duffer on the wet as Favourite Moon is on the dry

Hang Man was mowing him down last start FFS and would be $30 here - unders and the first you'd be penning in any reasonable exotic bet. The only people who could get him his current price are the hundreds of Aussie hacks who completely overrate French form - one of the rare angles left in the game you need to start taking advantage of.
 
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FallingLiefs

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Jan 30, 2013
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Seems people want to take back their error on not backing the Camel last year and instead take Month between runs 20:1 shot huge spike performance to compensate this year.

Infinitely worse profile you'd want to be on. Highly exposed form at top level which looked a genuine spike i'm thinking Quick Thinker Tancred vibes. The camel was better price and on the way up, this is not the same. Id prefer Liqueuro at the price. Explosive jack fave but I give ok chance to the 2 behind it in the market as has a huge "flop" potential.
 

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