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tribey

5 Wins In-A-Row Certificate Recipients '13/'14/'18
Mar 9, 2003
58,461
136,749
Queen St & Peter Rd
AFL Club
Port Adelaide
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NUFC, YES.
Notice the change in the away team PF wins? Before the AFL assisting the Vic clubs, the higher ranked team at the end of the minor round won the PF, since then its been the lower ranked team that has won the PF. And 4th lost 5 of the 7 PF's.
Are we sure this isn’t just a natural symptom of diminishing home ground advantage at large?

Since the Essendon game in 2014 we’re barely above 50% at ThE pOrTrEsS and Optus Stadium, while still an imposing trip, is hardly peak-Subiaco. The SCG has become a graveyard for the Swans.
 

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RussellEbertHandball

Flick pass expert
Nov 16, 2004
57,033
76,987
SE Oz
AFL Club
Port Adelaide
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The Mighty Blacks
Are we sure this isn’t just a natural symptom of diminishing home ground advantage at large?

Since the Essendon game in 2014 we’re barely above 50% at ThE pOrTrEsS and Optus Stadium, while still an imposing trip, is hardly peak-Subiaco. The SCG has become a graveyard for the Swans.
Nah look at the 3 examples - which in itself this decade, shows that its a rare occurrence. The home team is still dominating winning PF's, just these were the exceptions.

Sure travelling teams are getting better at travelling and winning away from home but this is the 2nd biggest game of the year and the home team, unlike the GF, gets to dominate the crowd.

* 2015 Haw 3rd beat Freo 1st at Subi, Haw lost QF to WCE 2nd at Subi, Freo 1st beat Syd 4th
- Hawks were going for their third in a row, were battled hardened and just like Brisbane in 2003.

* 2016 WB 7th beat GWS 4th at Syd Showgrounds, GWS won QF Syd 1st at Stadium Oz. First time bye before finals
- GWS 2016 was the first year they played finals, a lot of kids, beat Sydney in Sydney at ANZ as opposed to travelling to win the QF, and it was the first year of the finals bye. Plus WB had 3 or 4 guys that played in triple losing PF's in 2008-09-10 and knew this might be the last chance. Bulldogs crowd was about 50% of the total.

* 2019 GWS 6th beat Coll 4th at MCG, Coll 4th won QF Gee 1st at MCG.
- GWS have a better list of players. They were decimated mid year and were down to a minimal list of injured players, Ward, Coniglio and Delidio. They only just won.
 

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