- Thread starter
- #151
You rate it a winning chance?It ain’t going to Lees, staying with Haggis.
In b4 ‘yeah he’s got just as good a cups record’
$51 at Sportsbet
$31 Ladbrokes
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You rate it a winning chance?It ain’t going to Lees, staying with Haggis.
In b4 ‘yeah he’s got just as good a cups record’
You rate it a winning chance?
$51 at Sportsbet
$31 Ladbrokes
Hmm$67 365, and 4 places (prob get $8 at that price..). I rate it a 1.5% winning chance
I’m just pointing out that it’s qualified, it’s coming, it’ll have around 53kg now, bit more if runs top few in the Ebor, and if won’t be that price if it does (confident enough it does). Arb opportunity on the fair but seems that’s gone now.
Hmm
For a cup of coffee bet I’ll take some of the $51 then
Sorry Liefsy meant stayers eg. Melb Cup hopeful
if it runs well though? Won’t be $51 that’s for sureAs previously stated - not sure why those wasting stakes antepost aren't just backing it in the Ebor - not like it is odds on there and it will be out the gate if it runs poorly.
if it runs well though? Won’t be $51 that’s for sure
As previously stated - not sure why those wasting stakes antepost aren't just backing it in the Ebor - not like it is odds on there and it will be out the gate if it runs poorly.
Is it wasting it if you back it antepost, sell off at half the price for green, and use that to back it in the Ebor?
Ridden dead last 2 to avoid Ebor weight is my take.
If I’m wrong so be it, haven’t lost. $26 TAB now.
i guess actually requires liquidity on the exchange though.
what are you going to do put $50 on sportsbet at 100:1, lay $100 at 50:1 on BF, pocket the $50 have have betfair hold your 5k for 10 weeks?
it's basically interest. and that's ignoring the stale prices board factor.
Is it wasting it if you back it antepost, sell off at half the price for green, and use that to back it in the Ebor?
Ridden dead last 2 to avoid Ebor weight is my take.
If I’m wrong so be it, haven’t lost. $26 TAB now.
You never lose because you are the king of stale prices the market move is entirely expected given the connections - they all start utter poison.
Horses being ridden dead is the desperate claim of the antepost punter #noexcuses
I actually flicked through there Betfair market today - there is pretty much zero I would be interested in outside Spanish Mission and Southern France (PSA I have no idea if either would even come) and there are PLENTY at absolute poison unders - including a few mentioned in this thread already.
Falcon Eight went absolutely awful against decent opposition last night. You couldn't touch it with borrowed money until you see it again.
Looking forward to seeing Raheen House tonight, if manages to win won’t be far off cup favourite; if runs top 3 won’t be far off it either.
If it wins easy with plenty in the tank still after showing a turn of foot we still dismissing it?Posion poison posion
Have a look at how the Slowbor runners have been hammered on Betfair for the Cup already. Good old Moby must have been unloading his account
Raheen House shapes as a genuine 30/1 shot on the day and he is already under that today - shapes as being the lay of this years cup!
If it wins easy with plenty in the tank still after showing a turn of foot we still dismissing it?
I’ve had a dip at $51You mean like Muntacat last year?
Yes
I’ve had a dip at $51
You’re right re: Moby would have blown his load by now
At this stage there isn’t much else international wise
Spanish Mission - If it comes a huge chance
Cross Counter- good enough as we know
Withold - L O L #northumberland plate
(Well aware it is in the Ebor)
Torcedor - too slow
Count Octave - on at 100’s but prob too slow
Falcon Eight- too immature at this stage
Lloyd Williams crew... Johannes Vermeer? Flag of Honour?
No chance Flag of Honor?Spanish won’t come.
C Counter will get too much weight.
Falcon Eight $501 to be here.
JV broken down, from what I’ve heard. Yucatán their cup hope.